• Title/Summary/Keyword: Value Prediction

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Heliocentric Potential (HCP) Prediction Model for Nowscast of Aviation Radiation Dose

  • Hwang, Junga;Kim, Kyung-Chan;Dokgo, Kyunghwan;Choi, Enjin;Kim, Hang-Pyo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2015
  • It is well known that the space radiation dose over the polar route should be carefully considered especially when the space weather shows sudden disturbances such as CME and flares. The National Meteorological Satellite Center (NMSC) and Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) recently established a basis for a space radiation service for the public by developing a space radiation prediction model and heliocentric potential (HCP) prediction model. The HCP value is used as a critical input value of the CARI-6 and CARI-6M programs, which estimate the aviation route dose. The CARI-6/6M is the most widely used and confidential program that is officially provided by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The HCP value is given one month late in the FAA official webpage, making it difficult to obtain real-time information on the aviation route dose. In order to overcome this limitation regarding time delay, we developed a HCP prediction model based on the sunspot number variation. In this paper, we focus on the purpose and process of our HCP prediction model development. Finally, we find the highest correlation coefficient of 0.9 between the monthly sunspot number and the HCP value with an eight month time shift.

Prediction on the Ratio of Added Value in Industry Using Forecasting Combination based on Machine Learning Method (머신러닝 기법 기반의 예측조합 방법을 활용한 산업 부가가치율 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2020
  • This study predicts the ratio of added value, which represents the competitiveness of export industries in South Korea, using various machine learning techniques. To enhance the accuracy and stability of prediction, forecast combination technique was applied to predicted values of machine learning techniques. In particular, this study improved the efficiency of the prediction process by selecting key variables out of many variables using recursive feature elimination method and applying them to machine learning techniques. As a result, it was found that the predicted value by the forecast combination method was closer to the actual value than the predicted values of the machine learning techniques. In addition, the forecast combination method showed stable prediction results unlike volatile predicted values by machine learning techniques.

Pixel value prediction algorithm using three directional edge characteristics and similarity between neighboring pixels

  • Jung, Soo-Mok
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.61-64
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, a pixel value prediction algorithm using edge components in three directions is proposed. There are various directional edges and similarity between adjacent pixels in natural images. After detecting the edge components in the x-axis direction, the y-axis direction, and the diagonal axis direction, the pixel value is predicted by applying the detected edge components and similarity between neighboring pixels. In particular, the predicted pixel value is calculated according to the intensity of the edge component in the diagonal axis direction. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm can effectively predict pixel values. The proposed algorithm can be used for applications such as reversible data hiding, reversible watermarking to increase the number of embedded data.

Estimation of the Strength Development of the Super Retarding Concrete Incorporating Fly Ash and Blast Furnace Slag (플라이애시와 고로슬래그를 조합 사용한 초지연 콘크리트의 강도증진)

  • Han, Min-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the estimation of super retarding concrete incorporating mineral admixtures at the same time including fly ash(FA), blast furnace slag(BS) are studied based on maturity method. The setting time was retarded, as super retarding agent contents increase and curing temperature decreases. In addition, apparent activation energy by Arrhenius function was ranged from $24\sim35$ KJ/mol with slightly difference along with mixture proportion. This value is smaller than existing value $30\sim50$ KJ/mol. Based on strength development estimation. it exhibited comparable relativity between prediction value and measurement value. Therefore, this study provided effective strength development prediction value with super retarding agent contents and mineral admixture combination. Strength development prediction equation provided herein is possibly valid for estimating accurate strength development of the super retarding concrete at the job site.

A Hybrid Value Predictor using Speculative Update in Superscalar Processors (슈퍼스칼라 프로세서에서 모험적 갱신을 사용한 하이브리드 결과값 예측기)

  • Park, Hong-Jun;Sin, Yeong-Ho;Jo, Yeong-Il
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.592-600
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    • 2001
  • To improve the performance of wide-issue Superscalar microprocessors, it is essential to increase the width of instruction fetch and issue rate. Data dependences are major hurdle to exploit ILP(Instruction-Level Parallelism) efficiently, so several related works have suggested that the limits imposed by data dependences can be overcome to some extent with the use of the data value prediction. But the suggested mechanisms may access the same value prediction table entry again before they have been updated with a real data value. They will cause incorrect value prediction by using stable data and incur misprediction penalty and lowering performance. In this paper, we propose a new hybrid value predictor which achieve high performance by reducing stale data. Because the proposed hybrid value predictor can update the prediction table speculatively, it efficiently reduces the number of mispredicted instruction due to stable due to stale data. For SPECint95 benchmark programs on the 16-issue superscalar processors, simulation results show that the average prediction accuracy increase from 59% for non-speculative update to 72% for speculative update.

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Performance Evaluation of Value Predictor in High Performance Microprocessors (고성능 마이크로프로세서에서 값 예측기의 성능평가)

  • Jeon Byoung-Chan;Kim Hyeock-Jin;RU Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.10 no.2 s.34
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2005
  • value prediction in high performance micro processors is a technique that exploits Instruction Level Parallelism(ILP) by predicting the outcome of an instruction and by breaking and executing true data dependences. In this paper, the mean Performance improvements by predictor according to a point of time for update of each table as well as prediction accuracy and Prediction rate are measured and assessed by comparison and analysis of value predictor that issues in parallel and run by predicting value, which is for Performance improvements of ILP in micro Processor. For the verification of its validity the SPECint95 benchmark through the simulation is compared by making use of execution driven system.

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The Study for the Assessment of the Noise Map for the Railway Noise Prediction Considering the Input Variables (철도소음예측시 입력변수의 영향을 고려한 소음지도 작성 및 평가)

  • Lee, Jaewon;Gu, J.H.;Lee, W.S.;Seo, C.Y.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2013
  • The noise map can be applied to predict the effect of noise and establish the noise reduction measure. But the predicted value in the noise map can vary depending on the input variables. Thus, we surveyed the several prediction models and analyzed the changes corresponding to the variables for obtaining the coherency and accuracy of prediction results. As a result, we know that the Schall03 and CRN model can be applied to predict the railway noise in Korea and the correction value, such as bridges correction, multiple reflection correction, curve correction must be used for reflecting the condition of the prediction site. Also, we know that the prediction guideline is an essential prerequisite in order to obtain the unified and accurate predicted value for railway noise.

A study on the corrosion evaluation and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipeline in residential buildings

  • Jeong, Jin-A;Jin, Chung-Kuk;Lee, Jin Uk
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.8
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    • pp.828-832
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    • 2015
  • This study is conducted for the evaluation of corrosion and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipelines in residential buildings. The fire extinguishing pipeline is made of carbon steel. Twenty-four samples were selected among all the fire extinguishing pipelines in a building; the selection was based on specimenspositions, pipeline diameters, and pipeline thickness. Analysis was conducted by using the results of visual inspection, electrochemical potentiodynamic anodic polarization test, pitting depth measurements, and extreme value statistics with the Gumbel distribution. The maximum pitting depth and remaining life were statistically predicted using extreme value statistics. During visual inspection, pitting corrosion was observed in several samples. In addition, extreme value statistics demonstrated that there were several pipelines that were very sensitive to pitting corrosion. However, the pitting corrosion was not critical in all the pipelines; thus, it was necessary to change only those pipelines that were severely corroded.

Neural Network for Softwar Reliability Prediction ith Unnormalized Data (비정규화 데이터를 이용한 신경망 소프트웨어 신뢰성 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.1419-1425
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    • 2000
  • When we predict of software reliability, we can't know the testing stopping time and how many faults be residues in software the (the maximum value of data) during these software testing process, therefore we assume the maximum value and the training result can be inaccuracy. In this paper, we present neural network approach for software reliability prediction with unnormalized (actual or original collected) data. This approach is not consider the maximum value of data and possible use the network without normalizing but the predictive accuracy is better. Also, the unnormalized method shows better predictive accuracy than the normalized method given by maximum value. Therefore, we can make the best use of this model in software reliability prediction using unnormalized data.

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A study on the Conceptual Design for the Real-time wind Power Prediction System in Jeju (제주 실시간 풍력발전 출력 예측시스템 개발을 위한 개념설계 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Yoo, Myoung-Suk;Choi, Hong-Seok;Kim, Yong-Jun;Seo, Young-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.12
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    • pp.2202-2211
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    • 2010
  • The wind power prediction system is composed of a meteorological forecasting module, calculation module of wind power output and HMI(Human Machine Interface) visualization system. The final information from this system is a short-term (6hr ahead) and mid-term (48hr ahead) wind power prediction value. The meteorological forecasting module for wind speed and direction forecasting is a combination of physical and statistical model. In this system, the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model, which is a three-dimensional numerical weather model, is used as the physical model and the GFS(Global Forecasting System) models is used for initial condition forecasting. The 100m resolution terrain data is used to improve the accuracy of this system. In addition, optimization of the physical model carried out using historic weather data in Jeju. The mid-term prediction value from the physical model is used in the statistical method for a short-term prediction. The final power prediction is calculated using an optimal adjustment between the currently observed data and data predicted from the power curve model. The final wind power prediction value is provided to customs using a HMI visualization system. The aim of this study is to further improve the accuracy of this prediction system and develop a practical system for power system operation and the energy market in the Smart-Grid.