• Title/Summary/Keyword: Using possibility for each OD

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A Forecasting Model for the Possibility of Traveling a New Link Using Time and Spatial Characteristics of Networks (Network의 시공간적 특성을 이용한 신설도로의 이용가능성 예측모형 개발)

  • Kwak, Ho-Chan;Song, Ki-Han;Chung, Sung-Bong;Kho, Seung-Young;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2008
  • When forecasting demand for a new road, a select link analysis is usually used to understand the OD pairs that send trips along paths that use the selected link (i.e., the new road). These OD pairs and their associated volumes are listed in a select link analysis. However, there is no research about other methods to obtain these results, so experts are almost always dependent on select link analysis results to obtain these results. The purpose of this study is to propose a model with a different approach from select link analysis to obtain the previously mentioned results. Time and spatial characteristics of networks are used in this new approach. Select link analysis results are used as a comparison index for the results by the proposed model. Also, two case studies (interzonal trips and intracity trips) are performed to validate the significance of the model. Consequently, a correlation coefficient between the results by the proposed model and the comparison index shows high significance: 0.82.