• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.129-136
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• 2020

The advantages of Blockchain present the necessity of Blockchain in various fields. However, there are several disadvantages to Blockchain. Among them, the uncle block problem is one of the problems that can greatly hinder the value and utilization of Blockchain. Although the value of Blockchain may be degraded by the uncle block problem, previous studies did not pay much attention to research on uncle block. Therefore, the purpose of this study attempts to predict the occurrence of uncle block in order to predict and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain. This study verifies the validity of introducing new attributes and ensemble analysis techniques for accurate prediction of uncle block occurrence. As a research method, voting, bagging, and stacking ensemble analysis techniques were employed for Ethereum's uncle block where the uncle block problem actually occurs. We used Blockchain information of Ethereum and Bitcoin as analysis data. As a result of the study, we found that the best prediction result was presented when voting and stacking ensemble techniques were applied using only Ethereum Blockchain information. The result of this study contributes to more accurately predict the occurrence of uncle block and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 2020

Blockchain is emerging as a technology that can build trust between users participating in the system. As interest of Blockchain has increased, previous studies have mainly focused on cryptocurrency and application methods related to Blockchain technology. On the other hand, the studies on the stable implementation of Blockchain were rarely conducted. Typically, uncle block in the Blockchain plays an important role in the stable implementation of the Blockhain system, but no study was conducted on this. Drawing on this recognition, this study attempts to predict the uncle block of Blockchain using machine learning method, Blockchain information, and macro-economic factors. The results of artificial neural network and support vector machine analysis, Blockchain information and macro-economic factors contributed to the prediction of uncle block of Blockchain. In addition, artificial neural network using only Blockchain information provided the best performance for predicting the occurrence of uncle block. This study suggests ways to lead and contribute to Blockchain research in information systems filed.