• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertainty reduction

검색결과 283건 처리시간 0.032초

Experimental Study of Robust Control considering Structural Uncertainties (구조물의 모델링 불확실성을 고려한 강인제어실험)

  • 민경원
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 한국지진공학회 2000년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Fall 2000
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    • pp.501-508
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    • 2000
  • It is demanded to find the dynamic model of a real structure to design a controller. However, as the structure has inherently infinite number of degree-of-freedom, it is impossible to obtain an exact dynamic model of the structure. Instead a reduction model with finite degree-of-freedom is used for the design of a controller. So there exists uncertainty between a real model and a reduction model which causes poor performance of control. All these uncertainties can degrade the control performance and even cause the control instability. Thus, robust control strategy considering the above uncertainties can be an alternative one to guarantee the performance and stability of the control. This study deals with the experimental verification of robust controller design for the active mass driver. $\mu$-synthesis technique is employed as a robust control strategy. Some weights are chosen based on the difference between the initial plant with which the controller is designed and the perturbed plant to be controlled having the actuator uncertainty. The robustness of $\mu$-synthesis technique is compared with the result of LQG strategy, which does not consider the uncertainty.

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Quantification of Uncertainty Associated with Soil Sampling and Its Reduction Approaches (토양오염도 평가시 시료채취 불확실성 정량화 및 저감방안)

  • Kim, Geonha
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.94-101
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    • 2013
  • It is well known that uncertainty associated with soil sampling is bigger than that with analysis. In this research, uncertainties for soil sampling when assessing TPH and BTEX concentration in soils were quantified based on actual field data. It is almost impossible to assess exact contamination of the site regardless how carefully devised for sampling. Uncertainties associated with sample reduction for further chemical analysis were quantified approximately 10 times larger than those associated with core sampling on site. Bigger uncertainties occur when contamination level is low, sample quantity is small, and soil particle is coarse. To minimize the uncertainties on field, homogenization of soil sample is necessary and its procedures are proposed in this research as well.

Bayesian Reliability Analysis Using Kriging Dimension Reduction Method (KDRM) (크리깅 기반 차원감소법을 이용한 베이지안 신뢰도 해석)

  • An, Da-Wn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Won, Jun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2008
  • A technique for reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) is developed based on the Bayesian approach, which can deal with the epistemic uncertainty arising due to the limited number of data. Until recently, the conventional RBDO was implemented mostly by assuming the uncertainty as aleatory which means the statistical properties are completely known. In practice, however, this is not the case due to the insufficient data for estimating the statistical information, which makes the existing RBDO methods less useful. In this study, a Bayesian reliability is introduced to take account of the epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as the lower confidence bound of the probability distribution of the original reliability. In this case, the Bayesian reliability requires double loop of the conventional reliability analyses, which can be computationally expensive. Kriging based dimension reduction method(KDRM), which is a new efficient tool for the reliability analysis, is employed to this end. The proposed method is illustrated using a couple of numerical examples.

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Positional Uncertainty Reduction of Overlapped Ultrasonic Sensor Ring for Efficient Mobile Robot Obstacle Detection (효율적인 이동로봇의 장애물 탐지를 위한 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 위치 불확실성 감소)

  • Kim, Sung-Bok;Lee, Sang-Hyup
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.198-206
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the reduction of the positional uncertainty of an ultrasonic sensor ring with overlapped beam pattern for the efficient obstacle detection of a mobile robot. Basically, it is assumed that a relatively small number of inexpensive low directivity ultrasonic sensors are installed at regular spacings along the side of a circular mobile robot with their beams overlapped. First, for both single and double obstacles, we show that the positional uncertainty inherent to an ultrasonic sensor can be reduced using the overlapped beam pattern, and also quantify the relative improvement in positional uncertainty. Second, given measured distance data from one or two ultrasonic sensors, we devise the geometric method to determine the position of an obstacle with respect to the center of a mobile robot. Third, we examine and compare existing ultrasonic sensor models, including Gaussian distribution, parabolic distribution, uniform distribution, and impulse, and then build the sensor model of overlapped ultrasonic sensors, adequate for obstacle detection in terms of positional uncertainty and computational requirement. Finally, through experiments using our prototype ultrasonic sensor ring, the validity of overlapped beam pattern for reduced positional uncertainty and efficient obstacle detection is demonstrated.

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Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty (불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정)

  • Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Yoo Jin;Lee, Ji-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

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시장 불확실성 수준과 혁신체제 패턴간 적합에 관한 연구 : 우리나라 초고속인터넷산업의 사례

  • Kim, Yeong-Bae;Jeon, Ho-Il
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.239-281
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    • 2003
  • This study explored the patterns of activities and interactions among participants in the adoption process of a new system innovation, ADSL, in Korea, using an integrative framework of innovation system and strategic decision-making process for uncertainty reduction. An in-depth case analysis was undertaken to identify the adoption process of ADSL innovation, as a case in point, in conjunction with activities and interactions among related parties such as government, service providers, equipment suppliers, and content providers. The results of case analysis revealed that as the level of uncertainty in the adoption of ADSL innovation decreases, the focus of decision-making activities moves from scoping, to searching, to evaluating and to committing. Also this study found that at the early stage of ADSL adoption with higher level of uncertainty, government plays a pivotal role in coordination of related parties to participate in the innovation process, while service providers replaced this role at later stage of innovation with lower level of uncertainty. This study discussed theoretical and policy implications for the adoption of new system innovations with varying degrees of uncertainty.

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Uncertainty Evaluation of Josephson Voltage Standard in the level of $10^{-10}$ (10의 -10승 수준에서 조셉슨 전압표준기 불확도 평가)

  • Kim, K.T.;Kim, M.S.;Chong, Y.;Kim, W.S.;Song, W.
    • Progress in Superconductivity
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2007
  • The most recent improvement in the 10 V array system was carried out with focusing on noise reduction. We have evaluated the uncertainty of the 10 V Josephson array system after the improvement. The uncertainty evaluation of 10 V standard included a comparison with a programmable Josephson array system at 1 V. Every contribution to the measurement uncertainty was evaluated in the level of $10^{-10}$. The estimated combined uncertainty was found to be approximately $10^{-9}$ at 10 V, which was limited only by the indirect verifying method. In the near future, a direct comparison with another 10 V Josephson voltage standard is expected to be carried out to provide more accurate uncertainty evaluation for the KRISS Josephson voltage standard.

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Study on the Effects of the Interactions between Demand and Supply Uncertainties on Supply Chain Costs (수요 불확실성과 공급 불확실성의 상호 작용이 공급 사슬 비용에 미치는 효과에 대한 연구)

  • Park Sangwook;Kim Soo-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2005
  • This paper models supply chain uncertainties in the dynamic Newsboy Problem context. The system consists of one supplier and one retailer who place an order to the supplier every period. Demand uncertainty is modeled as stochastic period demand, and supply uncertainty as the uncertainty in quantities delivered by the supplier. The supplier delivers exactly the amount ordered by the retailer with probability of $\beta$ and the amount minus K with probability of $(1-\beta)$ We formulate the problem as a dynamic programming problem and derive the first-order optimality condition. Through a numerical study, we measure the extent to which the cost decrease due to the reduction in supply uncertainty depends on the level of demand uncertainty. One of the most important findings In this paper is that this cost decrease is relatively small if demand uncertainty is kept high, and vice versa. We also backup this numerical result by analyzing the distribution of ending Inventory under the supply and demand uncertainties.

Comparative Analysis on Performance Indices of Obstacle Detection for an Overlapped Ultrasonic Sensor Ring (중첩 초음파 센서 링의 장애물 탐지 성능 지표 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Bok;Kim, Hyun-Bin
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.321-327
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a comparative analysis on three different types of performance indices of obstacle detection for an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring. Due to beam overlap, the entire sensing zone of each ultrasonic sensor can be divided into three smaller sensing subzones, which leads to significant reduction of positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. First, the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection is expressed in terms of the area of a sensing subzone, and type 1 performance index is then defined as the area ratio of side and center sensing subzones. Second, based on the area of a sensing subzone, type 2 performance index is defined taking into account the size of the entire range of obstacle detection as well as the degree of the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. Third, the positional uncertainty in obstacle detection is now expressed in terms of the length of the uncertainty arc spanning a sensing subzone, and type 3 performance index is then defined as the average value of the uncertainty arc lengths over the entire range of obstacle detection. Fourth, using a commercial low directivity ultrasonic sensor, the changes of three different performance indices depending on the parameter of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring are examined and compared.

Quantification of Uncertainty Associated with Environmental Site Assessments and Its Reduction Approaches (부지 오염도 평가시 불확실성 정량화 및 저감방안)

  • Kim, Geonha;Back, JongHwan;Song, Yong-Woo
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2014
  • Uncertainty associated with a sampling method is very high in evaluating the degree of site contamination; therefore, such uncertainty affects the reliability of precise investigation and remediation verification. In particular, in evaluating a site for a small-sized filling station, underground utilities, such as connection pipes and oil storage tanks, make grid-unit sampling impossible and the resulting increase in uncertainty is inevitable. Accordingly, this study quantified the uncertainty related to the evaluation of the degree of contamination by total petroleum hydrocarbon and by benzene, toluene, ethylene, and xylene. When planning a grid aimed at detecting a hot spot, major factors that influence the increase in uncertainty include grid interval and the size and shape of the hot spot. The current guideline for soil sampling prescribes that the grid interval increase in proportion to the area of the evaluated site, but this heightens the possibility that a hot spot will not be detected. In evaluating a site, therefore, it is crucial to estimate the size and shape of the hot spot in advance and to establish a sampling plan considering a diversity of scenarios.