• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertainty Theory

검색결과 575건 처리시간 0.024초

Expert System for Fault Diagnosis of Transformer

  • Kim, Jae-Chul;Jeon, Hee-Jong;Kong, Seong-Gon;Yoon, Yong-Han;Choi, Do-Hyuk;Jeon, Young-Jae
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents hybrid expert system for diagnosis of electric power transformer faults. The expert system diagnose and detect faults in oil-filled power transformers based on dissolved gas analysis. As the preprocessing stage, fuzzy information theory is used to manage the uncertainty in transformer fault diagnosis using dissolved gas analysis. The Kohonen neural network takes the interim results by applying fuzzy informations theory as inputs, and performs the transformer fault diagnosis. The Proposed system tested gas records of power transformers from Korea Electric Power Corporation to verify the diagnosis performance of transformer faults.

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신뢰성 이론을 이용한 500kgf/$\textrm{cm}^2$의 고강도콘크리트 구조물에 대한 휨변형의 해석적 연구 (An Analytical Study of the Flexural Deformation for High Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory)

  • 송재호;최광진;김민웅;홍원기
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1995년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.231-236
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    • 1995
  • The object of this thesis is an analytical study on flexural deformation of high strength concrete structures using reliability theory. Using the established experimental data that have been presented in various documents the stress-strain relationship curves of high strength(500kgf/$\textrm{cm}^2$)models are proposed. Based on both methods of logarithm regression analysis and multiple regression analysis adopted in order to establish the relationships between design parameters, response random variables and flexural deformation analyzed using Monte Carlo simulation and Simpson composite formula. Additional random variables are introduced to incorporate both the confidence in the analytical accuracy of engineering mechanics associated with structural response quantities and the uncertainty in the construction quality control. The result is expected to accomodate other important design parameter of high strength concrete design in treating reliability theory that practicing engineers, structural engineering often face.

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퍼지 집합 이론을 이용한 공급지장 기대치의 산정 (LOLE(Loss of Load Expctatiom) Evaluation using Fuzzy Set Theory)

  • 심재홍;정현수;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권9호
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    • pp.1055-1063
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    • 1999
  • This paper present a conceptual possibilistic approach using fuzzy set theory to manage the uncertainties in the given reliability input date of the practical power system. In this paper, an algorithm is introduced to calculate the possibilstic reliability indices according to the degree of uncertainty in the given data. The probability distribution function can be transformed into an appropriate possibilstic representation using the probability-Possibility Consistency principle(PPCP) algorithm. In this the algorithm, the transformation is performation by making a compromise between the transformation consistency and the human updating experience. Fuzzy classifcation theory is applied to reduced the number of load data. The fuzzy classification method determines the closeness of load data points by assigning them to various clusters and then determening the distance between the clusters. The IEEE-RTS with 32-generating units is used to demonstrate the capability of the proposed algorithm.

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A Novel Theory of Support in Social Media Discourse

  • Solomon, Bazil Stanley
    • 아시아태평양코퍼스연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.95-125
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to inform people how to support each other on social media. It alludes to an architecture for social media discourse and proposes a novel theory of support in social media discourse. It makes a methodological contribution. It combines predominately artificial intelligence with corpus linguistics analysis. It is on a large-scale dataset of anonymised diabetes-related user's posts from the Facebook platform. Log-likelihood and precision measures help with validation. A multi-method approach with Discourse Analysis helps in understanding any potential patterns. People living with Diabetes are found to employ sophisticated high-frequency patterns of device-enabled categories of purpose and content. It is with, for example, linguistic forms of Advice with stance-taking and targets such as Diabetes amongst other interactional ways. There can be uncertainty and variation of effect displayed when sharing information for support. The implications of the new theory aim at healthcare communicators, corpus linguists and with preliminary work for AI support-bots. These bots may be programmed to utilise the language patterns to support people who need them automatically.

Risk Assessment and Decision-Making of a Listed Enterprise's L/C Settlement Based on Fuzzy Probability and Bayesian Game Theory

  • Cheng, Zhang;Huang, Nanni
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.318-328
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    • 2020
  • Letter of Credit (L/C) is currently a very popular international settlement method frequently used in international trade processes amongst countries around the globe. Compared with other international settlement methods, however, L/C has some obvious shortcomings. Firstly, it is not easy to use due to the sophisticated processes its usage involves. Secondly, it is sometimes accompanied by a few risks and some uncertainty. Thus, highly efficient methods need to be used to assess and control these risks. To begin with, FAHP and KMV methods are used to resolve the problem of incomplete information associated with L/C and then, on this basis, Bayesian game theory is used in order to make more scientific and reasonable decisions with respect to international trade.

유전알고리즘을 이용한 $\mu$제어기 설계 ($\mu$-Controller Design using Genetic Algorithm)

  • 기용상;안병하
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1996년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.301-305
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    • 1996
  • $\mu$ theory can handle the parametric uncertainty and produces more non-conservative controller than H$_{\infty}$ control theory. However an existing solution of the theory, D-K iteration, creates a controller of huge order and cannot handle the real or mixed real-complex perturbation sets. In this paper, we use genetic algorithms to solve these problems of the D-K iteration method. The Youla parameterization is used to obtain all stabilizing controllers and the genetic algorithms determines the values of the state feedback gain, the observer gain, and Q parameter to minimize $\mu$, the structured singular value, of given system. From an example, we show that this method produces lower order controller which controls a real parameter-perturbed plant than D-K iteration method.

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데이터 융합과 Dempster-Shafer 이론을 이용한 유도전동기의 결함진단 (Application of data fusion and Dempster-Skater theory in fault diagnosis of induction motors)

  • 김광진;한천;양보석
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2003년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.549-555
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    • 2003
  • The technology of machine condition monitoring is used effectively to detect the machine faults at an early stage using different machine quantities, such as current, voltage, temperature and vibration. Induction motors are most widely used to drive pumps, compressors and fans in industrial drives. This paper presents approach to data fusion using Dempster-Shafer theory because only one technique has uncertainty. So we can obtain advanced accuracy of the machine fault diagnosis. Vibration and current quantities are applied to diagnose three-phase induction motor.

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QFT(Quantitative Feedback Theory)를 이용한 2 자유도 평행 링크 로봇의 위치 제어에 관한 연구 (Study for Position Control of Two-degree Parallel Link Robot Using QFT(Quantitative Feedback Theory))

  • 강민구;변기식;최연욱;황용연
    • 융합신호처리학회 학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신호처리시스템학회 2001년도 하계 학술대회 논문집(KISPS SUMMER CONFERENCE 2001
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문은 2자유도 평행링크 로봇의 고속궤적 추적시 링크간의 간섭을 최소화하고 시스템의 불확실성에도 불구하고 설계사양을 만족하는 제어기 설계방법을 소개한다. 이를 위해 ICD기법으로 평행링크 로봇의 채널을 분리하고 QFT를 이용해서 각 채널의 제어기를 설계한다. 마지막으로 시뮬레이션과 실험을 통해 QFT 제어기의 강인성과 우수성을 확인한다.

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시스템적 사고에 기반한 사회 시스템의 이해와 응용 : Cellular Automata를 이용한 협력모형을 중심으로 (Understanding and application of the social system based on the system thinking : Focus on the cooperation model using Cellular Automata)

  • 고길곤
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.133-157
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    • 2000
  • This paper deals with the social system from the point of system thinking consisting the fundamental construct of system dynamics. The Bertalanffy's general system theory, having been criticized because of its ambiguity, and the complex science theory, emerging system theory, are integrated by using the system thinking which is characterized with three concepts, 'feedback thinking', 'dynamic thinking', 'operational thinking'. In the integration, system thinking suggests the dynamic pattern of the social system have not only an equilibrium status but also complex status. The science of complexity gives an implication to system dynamics the important of the uncertainty and complexity if we interpret the social system as an open system. To show more concrete description, I simulate the cooperation model based on the iterated prisoner dilemma. The simulation results show the diverse patterns of cooperation and betrayal. Especially the sensitivity of initial payoff will cause the chaotic strategic landscapes as the game gose on. These results mean that we should not give the hasty prescription to control social system artificially. Because social system retains the self-organizing force in itself.

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대리문제가 자본구조에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Agency Problems in the Determination of Capital Structure)

  • 김형준;황동섭
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제18권36호
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 1995
  • In recent years, there have been attempts to explain firms' capital structure based upon the agency theory which considers agency problems arising due to ownership structure. Agency theory starts from the coctractual relationship (explicit or implicit) between principals and agents. Since uncertainty exists in real world and information is distributed asymmetrically, there are conflicts between principals and agents. The objectives of this study are to analyze, based upon agency theory, factors which are expected to affect firms' capital structure and to test empirically the relevance of agency cost hypothesis about the determination of capital structure, For these purposes, this paper carried out multiple regression in order to examine whether the factors of agency costs affect significantly the determination of capital structure. The results of empirical analysis are summarrized as follows; First, insider-equity ration has been negatively correlated with capital structure. Second, growth opportunity variabless has been insignificant coefficients with capital structure.

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