• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertain systems

검색결과 1,027건 처리시간 0.034초

Safety Assessment on Long-term Radiological Impact of the Improved KAERI Reference Disposal System (the KRS+)

  • Ju, Heejae;Kim, In-Young;Lee, Youn-Myoung;Kim, Jung-Woo;Hwang, Yongsoo;Choi, Heui-joo;Cho, Dong-Keun
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제18권spc호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2020
  • The Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) has developed geological repository systems for the disposal of high-level wastes and spent nuclear fuels (SNFs) in South Korea. The purpose of the most recently developed system, the improved KAERI Reference Disposal System Plus (KRS+), is to dispose of all SNFs in Korea with improved disposal area efficiency. In this paper, a system-level safety assessment model for the KRS+ is presented with long-term assessment results. A system-level model is used to evaluate the overall performance of the disposal system rather than simulating a single component. Because a repository site in Korea has yet to be selected, a conceptual model is used to describe the proposed disposal system. Some uncertain parameters are incorporated into the model for the future site selection process. These parameters include options for a fractured pathway in a geosphere, parameters for radionuclide migration, and repository design dimensions. Two types of SNF, PULS7 from a pressurized water reactor and Canada Deuterium Uranium from a heavy water reactor, were selected as a reference inventory considering the future cumulative stock of SNFs in Korea. The highest peak radiological dose to a representative public was estimated to be 8.19×10-4 mSv·yr-1, primarily from 129I. The proposed KRS+ design is expected to have a high safety margin that is on the order of two times lower than the dose limit criterion of 0.1 mSv·yr-1.

Cognitive Radio 시스템에서 불확실한 잡음 전력을 고려한 슬라이딩 윈도우 기반 에너지 검출 기법 (A Sliding Window-Based Energy Detection Method under Noise Uncertainty for Cognitive Radio Systems)

  • 김영민;손성환;김재명
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제33권11A호
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    • pp.1105-1116
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    • 2008
  • Cognitive Radio(CR)는 실제로 사용하지 않는 주파수 대역을 스스로 찾아서 이용함으로써 스펙트럼 효율을 향상시킬 수 있는 기술이다. 현재 사용되지 않는 스펙트럼 대역과 우선사용자(primary user)에 의해 점유되는 대역들을 찾기 위한 스펙트럼 센싱(spectrum sensing)은 CR 시스템에서 중요한 기술의 하나라고 말할 수 있다. 지금가지 연구된 스펙트럼 센싱 방법 중 에너지 검출 방식은 계산의 복잡도가 낮고 비교적 쉽게 구현 할 수 있어서 일반적으로 널리 사용되는 방식이지만 몇 가지 문제점들을 가지고 있다. 특히 불확실한 잡음 전력이 존재하는 환경에서는 에너지 검출기의 성능이 감쇠되기 때문에 이를 해결하기 위해 슬라이딩 윈도우 기반 에너지 검출 기법을 제안하였다. 이 방식은 슬라이딩 윈도우를 이용하여 관심대역에서 신호와 잡음이 가진 에너지를 분리하고 잡음을 제외한 신호의 에너지를 계산해서 우선사용자 신호의 존재 여부를 판단한다. 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 결과를 통해 제안하는 에너지 검출 기법이 기존의 에너지 검출 방식 보다 우수한 성능을 지닌 다는 것을 확인하였다.

Goal-oriented Geometric Model Based Intelligent System Architecture for Adaptive Robotic Motion Generation in Dynamic Environment

  • Lee, Dong-Hun;Hwang, Kyung-Hun;Chung, Chae-Wook;Kuc, Tae-Yong
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.2568-2574
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    • 2005
  • Control architecture of the action based robot engineering can be divided into two types of deliberate type - and reactive type- controller. Typical deliberate type, slow in reaction speed, is well suited for the realization of the higher intelligence with its capability to forecast on the basis of environmental model according to time flow, while reactive type is suitable for the lower intelligence as it fits to the realization of speedy reactive action by inputting the sensor without a complete environmental model. Looking at the environments in the application areas in which robots are actually used, we can see that they have been mostly covered by the uncertain and unknown dynamic changes depending on time and place, the previously known knowledge being existed though. It may cause, therefore, any deterioration of the robot performance as well as further happen such cases as the robots can not carry out their desired performances, when any one of these two types is solely engaged. Accordingly this paper aims at suggesting Goal-oriented Geometric Model(GGM) Based Intelligent System Architecture which leads the actions of the robots to perform their jobs under variously changing environment and applying the suggested system structure to the navigation issues of the robots. When the robots do perform navigation in human life changing in a various manner with time, they can appropriately respond to the changing environment by doing the action with the recognition of the state. Extending this concept to cover the highest hierarchy without sticking only to the actions of the robots can lead us to apply to the algorithm to perform various small jobs required for the carrying-out of a large main job.

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Online Automatic Gauge Controller Tuning Method by using Neuro-Fuzzy Model in a Hot Rolling Plant

  • Choi, Sung-Hoo;Lee, Young-Kow;Kim, Sang-Woo;Hong, Sung-Chul
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1539-1544
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    • 2005
  • The gauge control of the fishing mill is very important because more and more accurately sized hot rolled coils are demanded by customers recently. Because the mill constant and the plasticity coefficient vary with the specifications of the mill, the classification of steel, the strip width, the strip thickness and the slab temperature, the variation of these parameters should be considered in the automatic gauge control system(AGC). Generally, the AGC gain is used to minimize the effect of the uncertain parameters. In a practical field, operators set the AGC gain as a constant value calculated by FSU (Finishing-mill Set-Up model) and it is not changed during the operating time. In this paper, the thickness data signals that occupy different frequency bands are respectively extracted by adaptive filters and then the main cause of the thickness variation is analyzed. Additionally, the AGC gain is adaptively tuned to reduce this variation using the online tuning model. Especially ANFIS(Adaptive-Neuro-based Fuzzy Interface System) which unifies both fuzzy logics and neural networks, is used for this gain adjustment system because fuzzy logics use the professionals' experiences about the uncertainty and the nonlinearity of the system. Simulation is performed by using POSCO's data and the results show that proposed on-line gain adjustment algorithm has a good performance.

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주가지수의 예측에 있어 Fuzzy Delphi 방법의 적용 (The Application of Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting of the price index of stocks)

  • 김태호;강경식;김창은;박윤선;현광남
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제15권26호
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 1992
  • In the stock marketing. investor needs speedy and accurate decision making for the investment. A stock exchange index provides the important index of the early of 1993 in Korea using Fuzzy Delphi Method(F. D. M) which is widely used to a mid and long range forecasting in decision making problem. In the Fuzzy Delphi method, considerably qualified experts an first requested to give their opinion seperately and without intercommunication. The forecasting data of experts consist of Triangular Fuzzy Number (T.F.N) which represents the pessimistic, moderate, and optimistic forecast of a stock exchange index. A statistical analysis and dissemblance index are then made of these subject data. These new information are then transmitted to the experts once again, and the process of reestimation is continued until the process converges to a reasonable stable forecast of stock exchange index. The goal of this research is to forecast the stock exchange index using F.D.M. in which subjective data of experts are transformed into quasi -objective data index by some statistical analysis and fuzzy operations. (a) A long range forecasting problem must be considered as an uncertain but not random problem. The direct use of fuzzy numbers and fuzzy methods seems to be more compatible and well suited. (b) The experts use their individual competency and subjectivity and this is the very reason why we propose the use of fuzzy concepts. (c) If you ask an expert the following question: Consider the forecasting of the price index of stocks in the near future. This experts wi11 certainly be more comfortable giving an answer to this question using three types of values: the maximum value, the proper value, and the minimum value rather than an answer in terms of the probability.

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Blu-ray 디스크 드라이브 시스템 트래킹 서보시스템에 대한 견실비약성 $H^{\infty}$ 상태궤환 제어기 설계 (Robust and Non-fragile $H^{\infty}$ Controller Design for Tracking Servo of Blu-ray disc Drive System)

  • 이형호;김준기;김원기;조상우;박홍배
    • 전자공학회논문지SC
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 blu-ray 디스크 드라이버의 트랙킹 서보시스템에 대하여 플랜트와 제어기의 불확실성을 보상하는 견실비약성 $H^{\infty}$ 상태궤환 제어기 설계방법을 제안한다. 플랜트와 제어기의 불확실성을 매개변수화 선형행렬부등식(PLMI: parameterized linear matrix inequality)을 이용하여 구조화된 불확실성의 형태로 표현하며, Lyapunov 함수를 이용하여 구조적인 제어기의 이득섭동을 고려한 견실비약성 $H^{\infty}$ 상태궤환 제어기가 존재할 충분조건 및 제어기 설계방법을 PLMI의 형태로 제안한다. 또한, 완화기법(relaxation technique)을 통하여 PLMI를 유한개의 LMI의 형태로 변환하여 견실하고 최적화된 제어기 이득과 제어기 섭동 범위를 계산하고, 모의실험을 통해서 제시된 제어기의 타당성 및 견실성(robustness)과 비약성(non-fragility)을 검증한다.

Risk Critical Point (RCP): A Quantifying Safety-Based Method Developed to Screen Construction Safety Risks

  • Soltanmohammadi, Mehdi;Saberi, Morteza;Yoon, Jin Hee;Soltanmohammadi, Khatereh;Pazhoheshfar, Peiman
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2015
  • Risk assessment is an important phase of risk management. It is the stage in which risk is measured thoroughly to achieve effective management. Some factors such as probability and impact of risk have been used in the literature related to construction projects. Because in high-rise projects safety issues are paramount, this study has tried to develop a quantifying technique that takes into account three factors: probability, impact and Safety Performance Index (SPI) where the SPI is defined as the capability of an appropriate response to reduce or limit the effect of an event after its occurrence with regard to safety pertaining to a project. Regarding risk-related literatures which cover an uncertain subject, the proposed method developed in this research is based on a fuzzy logic approach. This approach entails a questionnaire in which the subjectivity and vagueness of responses is dealt with by using triangular fuzzy numbers instead of linguistic terms. This method returns a Risk Critical Point (RCP) on a zoning chart that places risks under categories: critical, critical-probability, critical-impact, and non-critical. The high-rise project in the execution phase has been taken as a case study to confirm the applicability of the proposed method. The monitoring results showed that the RCP method has the inherent ability to be extended to subsequent applications in the phases of risk response and control.

NATM 터널 설계/시공을 위한 새로운 가이드라인 고찰 (New guideline for geomechanical design/construction of conventional NATM tunnels)

  • 김창용;홍성완;김광염;백승한;배규진
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문에서는 현재 암반 지하 구조물의 설계에 있어 사용되고 있는 접근법인 정량적 암반분류시스템, 시공중 암반 거동에 근거한 분류시스템 그리고 일반적인 정성적 설계 절차의 특징 및 장단점을 살펴보았으며, 이러한 설계 기법의 단점을 해결하기 위하여 제안된 오스트리아 터널 설계 가이드라인을 소개하고 국내의 경우와 비교하였다. 그 결과 기술적으로 안전하고 경제적인 터널 건설을 위해서는 불확실한 지반조건 및 환경조건에 매우 유연하게 대처할 수 있는 설계 및 시공 기술이 필요하다고 판단되며, 오스트리아 터널 설계 가이드라인에서 이와 관련된 기준을 제시하고 있다. 따라서 국내에서도 안전하고 경제적인 터널 건설을 위하여 시공중 계측 자료를 충분히 활용하여 실제 지반 조건을 예측하고 불확실한 지반 조건에 유연하게 대처할 수 있는 설계 및 시공 기술을 적용하는 것이 바람직하다고 사료된다.

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도시개발 행정계획의 전략환경평가 모델개발 - 광역도시계획에의 사례적용 - (Development of Strategic Environment Assessment Model in Urban Development Plan - In case of Metropolitan Plan -)

  • 최희선;송영일
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.381-396
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    • 2010
  • It is essential to consider strategies, spatial planning, and reflection of sustainability for the creation of sound urban spaces. To this end, there is a need for plans that can secure better sustainability through strategic environmental assessment (SEA) of plans. This study examined the literature and available precedent to develop a SEA model for administrative plans for urban development including metropolitan plans, urban master plans and urban management plans. In the course of development of the model, environmental issues associated with the urban plans were analyzed by classifying them into ten categories, including "spatial planning," "conservation planning," "greenbelt systems," "habitats." and etc. according to their rank. Furthermore, those issues were reflected on the development of environmental evaluation indices for the plans. Overall and detailed environmental indices that can be applied to the administrative plans for urban development including metropolitan plans, urban master plans and urban management plans were devised for five stages: (1) Establishment of development goals and strategy, (2) Analysis of current status and characteristics, (3) Conceptualization of spatial structure, (4) Planning for each department, and (5) Execution and management. Sub plans are more detailed and concrete. Criteria based on the evaluation indices, when performing evaluations on plans based on each environmental assessment index in reference to experts and the literature, were used to forecast their effects, i.e. whether they had a positive, negative, or no effect or relationship, or whether their effects was uncertain. Based on the forecasts, this study then presents means to establish more improvable plans. Furthermore, by synthesis of the effects according to each index and integration of the process, plans were analyzed overall. This study reflects the characteristics of the present time period based on issues in the SEA process and techniques in upper level administrative plans being newly established, and presents them according to the stage of each plan. Furthermore, by forecasting the effect of plans by stage, this study presents proposals for improvement, and in this aspect, can be meaningful in promoting plan improvements through SEA.

RFID와 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 제품추적 MES (MES for the Product Tracking using RFID and Bayesian network)

  • 김봉석;이홍철;천현재
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2006
  • MES는 산업전반에서 시스템의 정보를 빠르게 공유하고 의사결정에 도움을 주며, 생산현장에서의 신속한 정보 획득과 처리를 하여, 종합적 정보 관리를 효율적으로 할 수 있다. 실시간 정보처리를 위한 MES는 최근 많은 관심을 가지고 있는 RFID의 Data를 모델링하고, 제조부터 판매까지 각 프로세스 내의 제품을 모니터링 하는 기능이 필요하다. 그러나, RFID가 부착된 제품이 프로세스 과정에 있어서, tag, reader의 오작동, 고의적 파손, 분실, 주변 영향으로 인해, 리더기가 tag를 읽지 못하는 경우, 제품의 위치를 모니터링 할 수 없다. 이러한 경우, 불확실한 정보를 가지고 제품의 경로를 추적하여야만 한다. 본 논문은 신속하게 제품을 찾기 위해, RFID와 Bayesian Network을 이용한 MES를 제안하고 성능을 평가하였다.

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