• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertain Process

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A study on developing information and communications technology roadmap through statistical meta analysis (통계적 메타분석을 응용한 미래기술개발로드맵 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Young-Sang;Park, Jeong-Seok;Jeong, Nae-Yang;Park, Chan-Keun;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.98-107
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    • 2008
  • As the information and communications market goes more uncertain, foresight activities becomes more important. A number of foresight activities, such as trend analysis, have been used to predict customer needs. However previous studies tend to lack objectivity and systematization. In this study, we suggest a meta analysis methodology which combines both top-down and bottom-up approach in order to systematize the analysis process. Secondly, we applied this approach to ICT market to identify essential future technologies. Based on the result from the meta analysis, we have constructed the future technology roadmap.

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An Assessment on the Containment Integrity of Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plants Against Direct Containment Heating Loads

  • Seo, Kyung-Woo;Kim, Moo-Hwan;Lee, Byung-Chul;Jeun, Gyoo-Dong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.468-482
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    • 2001
  • As a process of Direct Containment Heating (DCH) issue resolution for Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plants (KSNPs), a containment load/strength assessment with two different approaches, the probabilistic and the deterministic, was performed with all plant-specific and phenomena-specific data. In case of the probabilistic approach, the framework developed to support the Zion DCH study, Two-Cell Equilibrium (TCE) coupled with Latin Hypercubic Sampling (LHS), provided a very efficient tool to resolve DCH issue. In case of the deterministic approach, the evaluation methodology using the sophisticated mechanistic computer code, CONTAIN 2.0 was developed, based on findings from DCH-related experiments or analyses. For three bounding scenarios designated as Scenarios V, Va, and VI, the calculation results of TCE/LHS and CONTAIN 2.0 with the conservatism or typical estimation for uncertain parameters, showed that the containment failure resulted from DCH loads was not likely to occur. To verify that these two approaches might be conservative , the containment loads resulting from typical high-pressure accident scenarios (SBO and SBLOCA) for KSNPs were also predicted. The CONTAIN 2.0 calculations with boundary and initial conditions from the MAAP4 predictions, including the sensitivity calculations for DCH phenomenological parameters, have confirmed that the predicted containment pressure and temperature were much below those from these two approaches, and, therefore, DCH issue for KSNPS might be not a problem.

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Prediction on the Proportioning of Concrete Mixes Using Neural Network (신경망기법을 사용한 콘크리트의 배합요소 추정)

  • Kim, Jong-In;Choi, Young-Wha;Kim, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.419-426
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    • 2001
  • Concrete mix proportioning is a process of selecting the right combination of many materials such as cement, fine aggregates, coarse aggregates, water, and admixtures to make concrete satisfying for specification and cost. In determining proportioning of concrete mixes, code information, specification, and the experience of experts are needed. However, all factors regarding mix proportioning factor cannot be considered. Therefore, the final acceptance depends on concrete quality control test results. The proportioning of concrete mixes and the adjustments are somewhat complicated, time-consuming, and uncertain tasks. In this paper, as a tool to predict the factor of the proportioning of concrete mixes, an artificial neural network is used. To consider the varieties of material properties, the standard mixed table of two companies of ready mixed concrete are used. The results show that neural net works is successfully applied to the prediction of concrete mix proportioning factor.

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Stochastic analysis of external and parametric dynamical systems under sub-Gaussian Levy white-noise

  • Di Paola, Mario;Pirrotta, Antonina;Zingales, Massimiliano
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.373-386
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    • 2008
  • In this study stochastic analysis of non-linear dynamical systems under ${\alpha}$-stable, multiplicative white noise has been conducted. The analysis has dealt with a special class of ${\alpha}$-stable stochastic processes namely sub-Gaussian white noises. In this setting the governing equation either of the probability density function or of the characteristic function of the dynamical response may be obtained considering the dynamical system forced by a Gaussian white noise with an uncertain factor with ${\alpha}/2$- stable distribution. This consideration yields the probability density function or the characteristic function of the response by means of a simple integral involving the probability density function of the system under Gaussian white noise and the probability density function of the ${\alpha}/2$-stable random parameter. Some numerical applications have been reported assessing the reliability of the proposed formulation. Moreover a proper way to perform digital simulation of the sub-Gaussian ${\alpha}$-stable random process preventing dynamical systems from numerical overflows has been reported and discussed in detail.

A Study on Adaptive-Sliding Mode Control of SCARA Robot (스카라로보트의 적응-슬라이딩모드 제어에 관한 연구)

  • 윤대식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.148-153
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, it is proposed the adaptive-sliding mode control technique which is new approach to implement the robust control of industrial robot manipulator with external disturbances and parameter uncertainties. Over the past decade, the design of advanced control systems for industrial robotic manipulators has been a very active area of research and two major design categories have emerged. Sliding mode control is a well-known technique for robust control of uncertain nonlinear systems. The robustness of sliding model controllers can be shown in continuous time, but digital implementation may not preserve robustness properties because the sampling process limits the existence of a true sliding mode. Adaptive control algorithm is designed by using the principle of the model reference adaptive control method based upon the hyperstability theory. The proposed control scheme has a simple structure is computationally fast and does not require knowledge of the complex dynamic model or the parameter values of the manipulator or the payload. Simulation results how that the proposed method not only improves the performance of the system but also reduces the chattering problem of sliding mode control. Consequently, it is expected that the new adaptive sliding mode control algorithm will be suited for various practical applications of industrial robot control system.

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Analysis on the Wartime Airlift Capability of Strategic Materials (전시 전략물자 항공수송 능력분석)

  • Lee, Myung-Wo;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.36-50
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    • 2006
  • It is required to transport a considerable amount of wartime strategic materials from US to Korea via airlift operation. This study attempts to formulate the wartime airlift operation model and evaluate the airlift capability of mobilized resources, including civil aircrafts. Although an airlift plan has been annually updated by the Korea Transportation Command, it is necessary to evaluate the feasibility through simulation due to uncertainties in the process of airlift operation. Uncertain parameters are as follows; the inter-arrival time of materials in the US airfields, loading and unloading times, the distribution of aircraft's initial location at the time of mobilization order. The simulation is executed under two scenarios and the results are analyzed through a sensitivity analysis. Simulation result shows that the irregularity of inter-arrival time and the number of mobilized civil aircrafts are the most critical factors in influencing airlift capability.

Fuzzy Model Identification using a mGA Hybrid Schemes (mGA의 혼합된 구조를 사용한 퍼지 모델 동정)

  • Ju, Yeong-Hun;Lee, Yeon-U;Park, Jin-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.49 no.8
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    • pp.423-431
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a systematic approach to the input-output data-based fuzzy modeling for the complex and uncertain nonlinear systems, in which the conventional mathematical models may fail to give the satisfying results. To do this, we propose a new method that can yield a successful fuzzy model using a mGA hybrid schemes with a fine-tuning method. We also propose a new coding method fo chromosome for applying the mGA to the structure and parameter identifications of fuzzy model simultaneously. During mGA search, multi-purpose fitness function with a penalty process is proposed and adapted to guarantee the accurate and valid fuzzy modes. This coding scheme can effectively represent the zero-order Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model. The proposed mGA hybrid schemes can coarsely optimize the structure and the parameters of the fuzzy inference system, and then fine tune the identified fuzzy model by using the gradient descent method. In order to demonstrate the superiority and efficiency of the proposed scheme, we finally show its applications to two nonlinear systems.

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TOLERANT FUZZY PATTERN MATCHING : AN INTRODUCTION

  • DUBOIS, DIDIER;PRADE, HENRI
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 1993
  • The fuzzy pattern matching technique has been developed in the framework of fuzzy set and possibility theory in order to take into account the imprecision and the uncertainty pervading values which have to be compared to requirements (which may be fuzzy) in a pattern matching process. This paper restates the basic principles and extends them to situations where (sub)patterns are only required to be satisfied up to a given tolerance (which may be fuzzy), or where the different subparts of a compound pattern may have various levels of importance. Both cases correspond to a weakening of elementary patterns. which can be expressed by a fuzzy relations modelling an approximate equality or an uncertain strict equality respectively. We also study the more sophisticated case where some elementary patterns have not to be satisfied with the highest priority provided that weaker requirements remain satisfied. The fuzzy pattern matching technique applies in a variety of problems including the evaluation of soft queries with respect to a fuzzy database, the evaluation of the fuzzy condition parts of rules in approximate reasoning, or the evaluation of the belonging of an ill-known object to a flexible class in classification problems.

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Robust Fuzzy Observer-Based Output-Feedback Controller for Networked Control Systems (네트워크 제어 시스템의 강인 퍼지 관측기 기반 출력궤환 제어기)

  • Jee, Sung-Chul;Lee, Ho-Jae;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.464-469
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    • 2009
  • This paper discusses a robust observer-based output-feedback stabilization of an uncertain Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy system in a network. In the networked control system, the input delay occurs inevitably and it is expressed by the Markovian stochastic process. To design robust sampled-data observer-based output-feedback controller, we discretize the T-S fuzzy system and represent as a jump system. Stochastic robust stabilization condition is formulated in terms of linear matrix inequalities.

A Study on the Uncertainty of the Classification of Rook Mass Rating (RMR 암반분류법의 불확정성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Sang-Eun;Jun Sung-Kwon;Kang Sang-Jin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.15 no.6 s.59
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    • pp.441-451
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    • 2005
  • It is the unavoidable problem that the RMR rock classification method has the uncertainty resulted from uncertain definition of measured value in RMR grade table, hence in this paper, the estimation of probability density function$(p{\cdot}d{\cdot}f)$ graph with the evaluation of continuos RMR and the Monte Carlo Simulation and statistic reasoning were carried out to evaluate the uncertainty quantitatively. Also, the modified RMR rock classification table was presented in order to apply the uncertainty of RMR to the practice, and then the design process of standard support pattern and the tunnel support material was proposed.