• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.167-183
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• 2022

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to show the need to use the past long-term returns for investment decisions in U.S. equity funds and to suggest an investment strategy using long-term returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study solves the problem of high return volatility in long-term returns and proposes new investment portfolios based on the behavior of fund investors according to past returns. For the investment portfolio of this study, 60 months are divided into several periods and the average of the performance ranks for each period is used. Findings - First, funds with high average returns over multiple periods have lower future outflows and higher future returns than funds with high 60-month cumulative returns. Second, funds with low average returns over multiple periods have lower future inflows and lower future returns than funds with low 60-month cumulative returns. The findings mean that when making decisions based on past long-term returns, it is a smarter investment choice to buy funds with high average returns over multiple periods and sell funds with low average returns over multiple periods. Research implications or Originality - This study shows that it is necessary to use long-term returns in fund investment by analyzing the characteristics of the portfolio based on past returns. In addition, the study is meaningful in that it suggests a way to use long-term returns more efficiently based on the behavior of fund investors and shows that such investments lead to higher returns in the future.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제20권9호
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• pp.83-95
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• 2022

Purpose: This study aims to explore an ability to time market-wide investor sentiment of mutual fund managers in an emerging market. Research design, data, and methodology: Based on data of Thai mutual fund market over the period of 2000-2019, our sample includes 283 equity funds, consisting of 204 bank-related funds and 79 nonbank-related funds. We perform our regression analyses at the aggregate and portfolio levels. Results: Under the non-normal distribution of return, we find different behaviors between the best- and worst-performing funds in an ability to time market-wide investor sentiment in Thailand, which is dissimilar to the findings in the U.S. Bottom fund managers act as sentiment hedgers, who decrease (increase) an exposure of investment portfolios when the investor sentiment is high (low). Oppositely, top fund managers are likely to chase investor sentiment. Conclusion: We find that only the worst-performing fund managers, especially for bank-related funds are able to time the market-wide investor sentiment. An advantage of gaining information from their bank's clients is a key success. A competition in the mutual fund industry, an ability to predict fundamentals, and financial literacy are possible reasons to explain the main findings found in this study.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제15권12호
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• pp.541-549
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• 2015

미국과 유럽 국가들에 대한 연구결과에 의하면, 순 고용을 창출하는 기업은 창업기업과 신생기업들이며, 실업률 감소와 경제 성장을 위해서는 창업기업의 수를 늘리고 창업기업의 생존율과 성장률을 높여주는 것이다. 자금조달은 창업과 신생기업 성장을 위해서 가장 중요한 요인이며, 특히 신생기업은 성장을 위한 자금조달능력에 따라 기업의 생존이 결정 될 수 있다. 주식형 크라우드 펀딩은 영업을 위한 효율적이고 혁신적인 자금조달 수단이며, 신생 기업이 온라인으로 수많은 대중들과 소통하게 하는 특성을 가지고 있기 때문에, 영업의 성공률과 성장률, 그리고 투자 수익성을 높여줌으로서 벤처캐피탈과 엔젤 투자가들의 투자를 유인하는 역할을 한다. 우리나라는 창업과 벤처기업의 생존율과 생존 기업들의 성장률이 미국과 다른 국가들의 신생기업 생존율과 성장률에 비하여 매우 낮은데, 그 원인은 창업 및 초기성장을 위한 자금 부족이 중요한 요인이 될 수 있다. 따라서 우리나라에서도 주식형 크라우드 펀딩이 벤처기업과 신생기업의 새로운 자금원이 되어 창업율과 창업기업의 생존율, 그리고 생존기업의 성장률을 증가시킴으로서 순고용 증가에 기여할 것이다. 우리나라는 2016년부터 주식형 크라우드 펀딩이 허용됨으로 고용창출에 미치는 확실한 효과는 향후 더 많은 연구가 필요한 분야일 것이다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제13권9호
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• pp.47-57
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• 2015

Purpose - The aim of this paper is to investigate the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory (the cost of financing increases with asymmetric information) among Korean retail firms from the perspective of debt capacity. According to the Pecking-order theory, a firm's first preference is to use internal funds for its capital needs, its next preference is the issuance of debt, and its last preference is the issuance of equity; this is due to the information asymmetry problem between existing shareholders and investors. However, prior empirical studies, such as Lemmon and Zender (2010), argue that the entire sample test for the Pecking-order theory could be misleading due to the different levels of debt issuance capability of each of the individual firms; in fact, they confirm that the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory improves after taking into account the differences in debt capacity of the U.S. firms they examined. This paper implements a case study approach among Korean retail firms to examine the relationship between debt capacity and the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - This study uses the sample of public retail firms on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) from the time period of 1990 to 2013. We gather related financial and accounting statements from the financial information firm WISEfn. Credit rating information is provided by the Korea Investor Service. We employ the models of Lemmon and Zender (2010) and Son and Kim (2013) to measure a firm's debt capacity. Their logit models use the rating dummy variable as a dependent variable and incorporate other firm characteristics as independent variables to estimate debt capacity. To test the Pecking-order theory, we adopt variants of the financing deficit model of Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). In the test of the Pecking-order theory, we consider all of the changes in total debt obligations, current debt obligations, and long-term debt obligations. Results - Our main contribution to the literature is our confirmation of the predicted relationship between debt capacity and the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory among Korean retail firms. The coefficients on financing deficits become greater as a firm's debt capacity improves. This is consistent with the results of Lemmon and Zender (2010). The coefficients on the square of the financing deficits are also negative for the firms in the largest debt capacity group, which is also consistent with the predictions in prior literature. Conclusions - This study takes a case study approach by examining Korean retail firms. We confirm that the Pecking-order theory explains the capital structure of retail firms more appropriately, after taking into account the debt capacity of each firm. This result suggests the importance of debt capacity consideration in the testing of the Pecking-order theory. Our result also implies that there has been a potential underestimation of the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory in existing studies.