• 제목/요약/키워드: Type III 극치분포

검색결과 12건 처리시간 0.016초

한반도에 내습한 태풍의 확률강우 및 풍속의 시공적 분포 특성 (Time and Spatial Distribution of Probabilistic Typhoon Storms and Winds in Korean Peninsula)

  • 윤경덕;서승덕
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.122-134
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    • 1994
  • The objective of this study is to provide with the hydrometeological and probabilistic characteristics of the storms and winds of typhoons that have been passed through the Korea peninsula during the last twenty-three years since 1961. The paths and intensities of the typhoons were analyzed. Fifty weather stations were selected and the rainfall and wind data during typhoon periods were collected. Rainfall data were analyzed for the patterns and probabilistic distributions. The results were presented to describe the areal distributions of probabilistic characteristics. Wind data were also analysed for their probabilistic distributions. The results obtained from this study can be summarized as follows: 1. The most frequent typhoon path that have passed through the Korean peninsula was type E, which was followed by types CWE, W, WE, and S. The most frequent typhoon intensity was type B, that was followed by A, super A, and C types, respectively. 2. The third quartile typhoon rainfall patterns appear most frequently followed by the second, first, and quartiles, respectively, in Seoul, Pusan, Taegu, Kwangju and Taejon. The single typhoon rainfalls with long rainfall durations tended to show delayed type rainfall patterns predominantly compared to the single rainfalls with short rainfall durations. 3. The most frequent probabilistic distribution for typhoon rainfall event is Pearson type-III, followed by Two-parameter lognormal distribution, and Type-I extremal distribution. 4. The most frequent probability distribution model of seashore location was Pearson type-III distribution. The most frequent probability distribution model of inland location was two parameter lognormal distribution. 5. The most frequent probabilistic distribution for typhoon wind events was Type-I xtremal distribution, followed by Two-parameter lognormal distribution, and Normal distribution.

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L-모멘트법을 이용한 지역홍수빈도분석을 통한 금강유역 미계측 유역의 설계홍수량 산정 (Estimating design floods for ungauged basins in the geum-river basin through regional flood frequency analysis using L-moments method)

  • 이진영;박동혁;신지예;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권8호
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    • pp.645-656
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 금강유역에 대한 지역홍수빈도분석을 실시하고 재현기간에 따른 홍수량을 추정하는 관계식을 제안하였다. 유역 내 유량자료의 수문학적 독립성과 동질성에 대한 검증을 위하여 Lag-1 자기상관성 분석, 동질성 검정, 이상치 검정, 불일치척도 검정을 수행하였다. 검정 결과, 금강유역의 대상 관측소들은 시간에 대하여 독립적이고 동질적 모집단에 속하며 이상치는 없었다. 일반 극치 분포(GEV), 3변수 대수정규 분포(LN-III), 피어슨-III 분포(P-III), 일반 로지스틱 분포(GLO), 일반 파레토 분포(GPA) 등 5개의 3변수 확률분포함수에 대한 L-모멘트비도와 평균가중거리(AWD), 그리고 $Z^{DIST}$ 적합도 산정 결과, GLO 분포함수가 금강유역의 최적 확률분포형으로 선정되었다. GLO 분포를 바탕으로 지역홍수빈도를 추정하는 회귀모형을 제안하였고, 강경 관측소의 관측 유량을 이용하여 회귀모형의 적용성을 검증하였다.