• Title/Summary/Keyword: Turning Points

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The Relationship Between Financial Condition and Business Cycle in Mongolia

  • Doojav, Gan-Ochir;Purevdorj, Munkhbayar
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the interactions between financial conditions and business cycles in Mongolia, a small open economy, heavily depending on commodity exports. We construct two financial conditions indexes based on the reduced form IS model and the vector autoregression (VAR) model as surveillance tools to quantify the degree of the financial conditions. We find that real short-term interest rate and real effective exchange rate gap get a higher weight in the FCIs. Both business and financial cycles are often more pronounced in Mongolia, and financial condition is dependent of the financial and monetary policies in place. The analysis of the predictive power of the FCIs for business cycles shows that they have predictive information for the near-term economic activities. FCIs are also helpful in signaling inflation turning points.

Editor's Note Response to Friedman's "The World Before Corona and the World After": A Perspective Raging From the Development of Civilization to the Harmony of East and West, and the Paradigm Shift

  • Park, Han Woo;Chung, Sae Won
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2020
  • Thomas L. Friedman's "Our New Historic Divide: B.C. and A.C. ― The World Before Corona and the World After" column is becoming the talk of the times. Whoever talks about the post-Corona world mentions "BC/AC" as a new concept. However, people seem to be overusing the term "BC/AC" while overlooking the specific context that Friedman emphasized. So, taking into account the cultural differences and contexts of the East and the West highlighted in Friedman's column, we devised the "BC/AC" ten-paradigm hypothesis. We hope these ten cultural shifts will be the first step in examining the post-Corona world.

An Analysis for the Structural Variation in the Unemployment Rate and the Test for the Turning Point (실업률 변동구조의 분석과 전환점 진단)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.253-269
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    • 2005
  • One of the basic assumptions of the regression models is that the parameter vector does not vary across sample observations. If the parameter vector is not constant for all observations in the sample, the statistical model is changed and the usual least squares estimators do not yield unbiased, consistent and efficient estimates. This study investigates the regression model with some or all parameters vary across partitions of the whole sample data when the model permits different response coefficients during unusual time periods. Since the usual test for overall homogeneity of regressions across partitions of the sample data does not explicitly identify the break points between the partitions, the testing the equality between subsets of coefficients in two or more linear regressions is generalized and combined with the test procedure to search the break point. The method is applied to find the possibility and the turning point of the structural change in the long-run unemployment rate in the usual static framework by using the regression model. The relationships between the variables included in the model are reexamined in the dynamic framework by using Vector Autoregression.

Kinematical Analysis of Basket with 1/2 Turn to Handstand on Parallel Bars (평행봉 Basket with 1/2 Turn to Handstand 기술 분석)

  • Back, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Chul;Lee, Yong-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2007
  • The subject of this study was male apparatus gymnastics athlete who had scored high points doing basket with 1/2 turn on parallel bars. Then 3D motion analysis were used to calculate & analyse kinematic variables of Basket with 1/2 turn to Handstand. 1. The total average time spent for Basket with 1/2 turn took $2.16{\pm}.08sec$, at the downward upward phase took $.58{\pm}0.00sec$, $.23{\pm}.00sec$, at flight phase took $.28{\pm}.01sec$, at connected area phase took $.72{\pm}0.21sec$, at rotation area phase took $.35{\pm}.14sec$. To have a successful performance, there should be faster speed and velocity to rotate at the downward upward phase, then the upward velocity and height must be used adequately. Moreover, the speed must be faster at the flight connect phase to stabilize Center of Mass(CM) for the body, and must secure more time at the rotation area to have more stable performance. 2. After handstand on parallel bars while moving CM to right hand side, and It must be performed with big and magnificent performance with putting both hand's center to far away from the parallel bars. 3. Furthermore, CM must be moved fast from downwards to right hand side, and CM must be moved fast in vertical movement at upward and flight phase to avoid CM from moving back and forth, and left and right. 4. At downwards, the subject must rotate as bis as possible using hip-joint as wide as possible and at upwards, must put his body to vertical to have stable performance. While rotating or turning, it is better to do with bigger shoulder angle and have to make sure that trunk angle must be not scattered. To perform better and more positive in basket with 1/2 turn on parallel bars, the centrifugal force must be used big and fast at downward, and at upward and flight phase, downward movement must change to vertical movement as soon as possible while turning movement must happen at handstand position. Time spent must be shorten at connected area to stabilize CM and turning must be natural as possible while securing the necessary time of movement to well-balanced. Also, the body must be vertically closed from the ground.

A Study on Sleep in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients (류마티스 관절염 환자의 수면 및 관련 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Keum-Soon;Yoo Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.198-210
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    • 1999
  • This study is to investigate sleep patterns of rheumatoid arthritis patients through a survey research. The subjects for this study were 97 patients registered in Hanyang University Hospital Rheumatoid Arthritis Center, and the period of data collection was from July 15, 1998 to August 30, 1998. The research instruments used in this study were the measures of sleep, pain, and fatigue, and SPSSWIN 8.0 Program was used for data analysis. The research results are as follows ; The patients went to bed between 11 and 12 p.m., but many of them found difficulty in falling asleep within 5 minutes. They woke up quite early at around 4 to 6 o'clock in the morning and remained in bed about 1 hour. Only 39 percent of the subjects reported satisfaction with their sleep. Fifty six percent of the subjects took a nap, generally did in the afternoon and 22.7 percent of them napped for half an hour. They suffered sleep disturbance, but their sleep environments were calm and comfortable, and they turn off the light when they went to sleep. As for the quality of sleep, over 50 percent of the subjects reported not being able to sleep deeply, 30 percent of the subjects woke up frequently during sleep, 60 percent experienced frequent arousal after sleep onset. Over 90 subjects slept for 6 to 8 hours. This shows that even though they had rheumatoid arthritis, the patients remained in bed for a sufficient period of time. They also reported waking up or turning frequently during sleep. The sense of fatigue from sleep disturbance scored a relatively high 35.84 points on average against the possible score of 64 points. Behavior for sleep promotion was very active. Sleep disturbance occurred in proportion to the sense of fatigue and pain, and was negatively correlated with quality of sleep. The pain had positive correlations with the illness duration, sleep disturbance and had a negative correlation with the quality of sleep.

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A Comparative Study in the Cognitive Functions of Peritoneal Dialysis, Hemodialysis and Normal Kidney Function Groups (복막투석, 혈액투석 및 정상 신 기능 집단간의 인지기능 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Sook;Choi, Song-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.451-462
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to examine and compare the characteristics in the cognitive functions of peritoneal dialysis, hemodialysis and normal kidney function groups as basic data for effectively educating dialysis patients. The data were collected from May 10 to October 30. 2000, collected from each of 20 patients with peritoneal dialysis, hemodialysis and normal Kidney function and who registered for the dialysis room at a general hospital affiliated to a university in Seoul and sampled by age and educational level through personal interviews with the researchers of this study. As a measuring tool, MMSE developed by Folstein et al.(1975) to measure cognitive function disorder was used, slightly revised for hemodialysis patients. Collected data were processed into frequency, percentage, mean, and standard deviation by the use of SAS. The results of this study are as follows : 1. With a maximum of 30 points for cognitive function, the mean of the peritoneal dialysis patients was $27.06{\pm}2.06$, while that of the hemodialysis patients was $27.25{\pm}2.76$; that of the normal Kidney function patients was $27.85{\pm}2.00$, indicating no significant difference among those three groups. 2. As for the subjects who scored 23 points, the turning point of confirming the cognitive disorder, the percentage was 5% in the case of the peritoneal dialysis, 10% in the case of the hemodialysis and 5% in the case of the normal Kidney function group. 3. Differences between the peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis patients by gender, occupation, spouse, diabetes, hypertension, the period of dialysis, number of hospitalizations, and the use of erythropoietin were not significant in the scoring of cognitive function. 4. There was no significant correlation between the level of Hb, Hct, albumin, aluminium, PTH, BUN, Cr, dialysis adequacy and the cognitive function. Considering such results, it is clear that there is no significant difference in the cognitive functions of the sampled subjects. Therefore, the nurse in the dialysis room should continually carry out assessment and intervention against elements degrading the effect of patients' education to improve self- care.

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An Analysis for the Adjustment Process of Market Variations by the Formulation of Time tag Structure (시차구조의 설정에 따른 시장변동의 조정과정 분석)

  • 김태호;이청림
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2003
  • Most of statistical data are generated by a set of dynamic, stochastic, and simultaneous relations. An important question is how to specify statistical models so that they are consistent with the dynamic feature of those data. A general hypothesis is that the lagged effect of a change in an explanatory variable is not felt all at once at a single point in time, but The impact is distributed over a number of future points in time. In other words, current control variables are determined by a function that can be reduced to a distributed lag function of past observations. It is possible to explain the relationship between variables in different points of time and to estimate the long-run impacts of a change in a variable on another if time lag series of explanatory variables are incorporated in the model specification. In this study, distributed lag structure is applied to the domestic stock market model to capture the dynamic response of the market by exogenous shocks. The Domestic market is found more responsive to the changes in foreign market factors both in the short and the long run.

A Study on Creation of 3D Facial Model Using Facial Image (임의의 얼굴 이미지를 이용한 3D 얼굴모델 생성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hea-Jung;Joung, Suck-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.12 no.2 s.46
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2007
  • The facial modeling and animation technology had been studied in computer graphics field. The facial modeling technology is utilized much in virtual reality research purpose of MPEG-4 and so on and movie, advertisement, industry field of game and so on. Therefore, the development of 3D facial model that can do interaction with human is essential to little more realistic interface. We developed realistic and convenient 3D facial modeling system that using a optional facial image only. This system allows easily fitting to optional facial image by using the Korean standard facial model (generic model). So it generates intuitively 3D facial model as controling control points elastically after fitting control points on the generic model wire to the optional facial image. We can confirm and modify the 3D facial model by movement, magnify, reduce and turning. We experimented with 30 facial images of $630{\times}630$ sizes to verify usefulness of system that developed.

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Development of Autonomous Combine Using DGPS and Machine Vision (DGPS와 기계시각을 이용한 자율주행 콤바인의 개발)

  • Cho, S. I.;Park, Y. S.;Choi, C. H.;Hwang, H.;Kim, M. L.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2001
  • A navigation system was developed for autonomous guidance of a combine. It consisted of a DGPS, a machine vision system, a gyro sensor and an ultrasonic sensor. For an autonomous operation of the combine, target points were determined at first. Secondly, heading angle and offset were calculated by comparing current positions obtained from the DGPS with the target points. Thirdly, the fuzzy controller decided steering angle by the fuzzy inference that took 3 inputs of heading angle, offset and distance to the bank around the rice field. Finally, the hydraulic system was actuated for the combine steering. In the case of the misbehavior of the DGPS, the machine vision system found the desired travel path. In this way, the combine traveled straight paths to the traget point and then turned to the next target point. The gyro sensor was used to check the turning angle. The autonomous combine traveled within 31.11cm deviation(RMS) on the straight paths and harvested up to 96% of the whole rice field. The field experiments proved a possibility of autonomous harvesting. Improvement of the DGPS accuracy should be studied further by compensation variations of combines attitude due to unevenness of the rice field.

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A Study on the Development of Body Measuring Tool for Tight-fit Type Clothing Construction (타이트피트형 의복설계를 위한 계측기 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 조덕남;나미향;정복희
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.530-537
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the measuring tool that can grasp the relationship between body and pattern, the result can be directly digitalized and developed as the pattern as body form is. There are 6 measurements; 1) the width of front and rear neck 2) the slant degree of shoulder 3) the degree of protrusion of breasts and scapulae 4) the separation of front and rear board 5) space between body and clothes 6) vertical strand in the clothes Developed measuring tool is handy in un. in which points of body to be measured are small, and it has the capability of designing the high fitness for body. The measurer developed through this study is named as $\ulcorner$Somato-pattern Measurer$\lrcorner$, size paper is named$\ulcorner$Somato-pattern Paper$\lrcorner$and the pattern made by$\ulcorner$Somato-pattern Measurer$\lrcorner$is named$\ulcorner$Somato-pattern$\lrcorner$respectively by our team. The result of this study is thought to make a great contribution to solving the various problems which can be derived in the time of pattern design because of the difference of physical forms in the same size as well as the difference between the factor of size and that of form in body.

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