• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic accident

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On the Seasonal Prediction of Traffic Accidents in Relation to the Weather Elements in Pusan Area (기상요소에 따른 부산지역 계절별 교통사고 변화와 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이동인;이문철;유철환;이상구;이철기
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.469-474
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    • 2000
  • The traffic accidents in large cities such as Pusan metropolitan city have been increased every year due to increasing of vehicles numbers as well as the gravitation of the population. In addition to the carelessness of drivers, many meteorological factors have a great influence on the traffic accidents. Especially, the number of traffic accidents is governed by precipitation, visibility, cloud amounts temperature, etc. In this study, we have analyzed various data of meteorological factors from 1992 to 1997 and determined the standardized values for contributing to each traffic accident. Using the relationship between meteorological factors(visibility, precipitation, relative humidity and cloud amounts) and the total automobile mishaps, and experimental prediction formula for their traffic accident rates was seasonally obtained at Pusan city in 1997. Therefore, these prediction formulas at each meteorological factor may by used to predict the seasonal traffic accident numbers and contributed to estimate the variation of its value according to the weather condition it Pusan city.

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A Study on the Forecasing Modeles of Traffic Accident by Region (지역별 교통사고 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • 박병호
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1995
  • This paper deals with the forecasting models for traffic accident by region. Its objectives are to develop the appropriate model for projecting the accident and to analyze the regional characteristics of the accident model. The main results are as follow. First, the literature review, statistical tests and sensitivity analyses show that the joint model combined both PTM and Exponential functions is appropriate to project the traffic accidents by region. Second, the statistical analyses by region. Second, the statistical analyses on the regional accident models indicate that the levels of significance in terms of t-value, $R^2$ and F-value are very high. Finally, the comparative analyses among regions show that the regional differences on the accident patterns can be explained by the joint models and the accident indices (parameters, $P_{max}$, 1/b, $\eta$ etc.) of each region.

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Estimation of Freeway Accident Likelihood using Real-time Traffic Data (실시간 교통자료 기반 고속도로 교통사고 발생 가능성 추정 모형)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Oh, Cheol;NamKoong, Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 2008
  • This study proposed a model to estimate traffic accident likelihood using real-time traffic data obtained from freeway traffic surveillance systems. Traffic variables representing spatio-temporal variations of traffic conditions were utilized as independent variables in the proposed models. Binary logistics regression modelings were conducted to correlate traffic variables and accident data that were collected from the Seohaean freeway during recent three years, from 2004 to 2006. To apply more reliable traffic variables, outlier filtering and data imputation were also performed. The outcomes of the model that are actually probabilistic measures of accident occurrence would be effectively utilized not only in designing warning information systems but also in evaluating the effectiveness of various traffic operations strategies in terms of traffic safety.

Proposed TATI Model for Predicting the Traffic Accident Severity (교통사고 심각 정도 예측을 위한 TATI 모델 제안)

  • Choo, Min-Ji;Park, So-Hyun;Park, Young-Ho
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.301-310
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    • 2021
  • The TATI model is a Traffic Accident Text to RGB Image model, which is a methodology proposed in this paper for predicting the severity of traffic accidents. Traffic fatalities are decreasing every year, but they are among the low in the OECD members. Many studies have been conducted to reduce the death rate of traffic accidents, and among them, studies have been steadily conducted to reduce the incidence and mortality rate by predicting the severity of traffic accidents. In this regard, research has recently been active to predict the severity of traffic accidents by utilizing statistical models and deep learning models. In this paper, traffic accident dataset is converted to color images to predict the severity of traffic accidents, and this is done via CNN models. For performance comparison, we experiment that train the same data and compare the prediction results with the proposed model and other models. Through 10 experiments, we compare the accuracy and error range of four deep learning models. Experimental results show that the accuracy of the proposed model was the highest at 0.85, and the second lowest error range at 0.03 was shown to confirm the superiority of the performance.

A Single-Center Retrospective Study on the Effects of Korean Medicine in 342 Traffic Accident Cases

  • Jeong, Jin-Ho;Ku, Jaseung;Hwang, Ji Hye
    • Journal of Pharmacopuncture
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.122-137
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: In South Korea, traffic accident victims can be treated under automobile insurance coverage. Korean medicine (KM) clinics have reported the largest number of automobile insurance fee claims among medical institutions. This study investigated the status of the KM automobile insurance system in a single KM clinic. Methods: We retrospectively surveyed the medical charts of 342 traffic accident patients treated at the Jisung KM clinic between January 2009 and June 2017. Results: Most of the patients were men and in their 30s. The most common method of locating the clinic was an internet search. The most common traffic accident type was collision between vehicles (83.63%), with 70.76% of patients visiting during the most acute phase. The major disease codes included S434, M4836, F072, S0600, and S3350. The most frequent treatment period was within 1 month of the accident, and most patients received 10 or fewer treatments. The mean treatment duration and number of treatments were 37.68 ± 45.11 days and 11.68 ± 10.63 treatments, respectively. The initial pain numerical rating scale (NRS), 7.32 ± 0.96, decreased to 3.57 ± 1.40 at the end of treatment, with a symptom improvement score of 1.87 ± 0.60. Regarding sex, age, disease duration, location at the time of the accident, presence of additional and psychological symptoms, and chuna, there were statistically significant differences in treatment duration and number of treatments. A higher number of treatments and the longer treatment duration was associated with a higher initial NRS, lower post-treatment NRS, and better improvement score. Since the introduction of traffic accident (TA) pharmacopuncture, the rate of use of a single type of pharmacopuncture increased; however, no significant differences in treatment duration and number, NRS before and after treatment, and improvement score were observed between treatment groups before and after TA pharmacopuncture. No adverse reactions were observed for any treatment. Conclusion: This study confirmed the previous findings of a high treatment effect of KM under automobile insurance. We also observed significant correlations based on a detailed medical status, which may explain the increasing use of KM in the automobile insurance system. Additional multi-center studies in different regions are needed.

Regional Traffic Safety Evalution and Identifying Driver Violations to Be Controlled by Priority (지역별 교통안전도 평가와 중점관리 법규위반사항 적출)

  • 김경환
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.5-24
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is to develop an accident hazard index model in order to be used for the evaluation of regional traffic safety and to develop a driver violation index model in order to identify the primary causes of traffic accidents. The accident hazard index model was developed considering the accident rates based on population and the vehicle registration. The driver violation index model was developed considering the accident rates of each item of driver violation. Using the models developed in this study, it is identified that in the provincial level analysis the degree of the traffic safety of Chungbuk, Chungnam, and Kyungbuk Province are evaluated to be low. In the county level analysis of Kyungnam Province, the degree of the traffic safety of Yangsan, Euirung, Haman, Sachun and Tongyung County are evaluated to be low. Also, it is found that the major driver violations causing accidents in the nation are driving by unlicensed drives, improper passing, and improper railroad crossing : in Kyungnam Province, improper passing is the most driver violation.

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Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on Freeway Climbing Lanes (고속도로 오르막차로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Youn, Seokmin;Joo, Shinhye;Lee, Seolyoung;Oh, Cheol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to analyze factors affecting traffic accident severity for determining countermeasures on freeway climbing lanes. METHODS : In this study, an ordered probit model, which is a widely used discrete choice model for categorizing crash severity, was employed. RESULTS : Results suggest that factors affecting traffic accident severity on climbing lanes include speed, drowsy driving, grade of uphill 3%, gender (male offender and male victim), and cloud weather. CONCLUSIONS : Several countermeasures are proposed for improving traffic safety on freeway climbing lanes based on the analysis of crash severity. More extensive analysis with a larger data set and various modeling techniques are required for generalizing the results.

Traffic Accident Models of 3-Legged Signalized Intersections in the Case of Cheongju (3지 신호교차로의 교통사고 발생모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Uk;Kim, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents at the 3-legged signalized intersections in Cheongu. The goals are to analyze the geometric, traffic and operational conditions of intersections and to develop a various functional forms that predict the accidents. The models are developed through the correlation analysis, the multiple linear, the multiple nonlinear, Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. In this study, two multiple linear, two multiple nonlinear and two negative binomial regression models were calibrated. These models were all analyzed to be statistically significant. All the models include 2 common variables(traffic volume and lane width) and model-specific variables. These variables are, therefore, evaluated to be critical to the accident reduction of Cheongju.

Accident Analysis of 3-legged and 4-legged Roundabouts (3지와 4지 회전교차로의 사고분석)

  • Park, Min-Kyu;Park, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the accident of roundabout. The objective is to analyze the traffic accidents occurred in 3-legged and 4-legged roundabouts through the developed models. In developing the multiple linear regression models, this study uses the number of traffic accidents as a dependent variable and such the variables as geometric structures, traffic characters and others as the independent variables. The correlation and multicollinearity of variables were analyzed using SPSS17.0. The main results are as follows. First, R-square value of developed models were analyzed to be 0.851(3-leg) and 0.689(4-leg), respectively. Second, the independent variables in the 3-legged roundabout accident model were analyzed to be the traffic volume and number of crosswalk, and the variables in the 4-legged roundabouts were evaluated to be the traffic volume and signal. Finally, the paired t-test shows that the predicted values and observed values are not statistically different.

The Analysis of Maritime Traffic Environments in Saigon Fairway

  • Nguyen, Thanh Nhat Lai;Jeong, Jae-Yong;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.234-236
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    • 2011
  • Saigon Port within the port system of the Vietnam Maritime sector is one of the port having highest throughput and productivity in the country. The marine traffic of Saigon water ways is the heaviest in Vietnam and the number of marine accidents in this area are much higher than the others area in Vietnam. In order to reduce the risk of the accident in Saigon fairway, this paper concentrates on marine accident frequency in this area. The marine traffic and the marine accident were analyzed to find out the probability of vessel collision and the marine traffic risk. It follows that the main shipping route through Saigon fairway has the high risk of ship-ship collision.

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