• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.139-147
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• 2020

우리나라 어린이 교통사고 사망자 수는 현재 OECD 회원국 평균 수치 보다 높게 나타나고 있으며 이에 어린이 보호구역 사고율을 감소시키기 위해 주의를 기울일 필요가 있다. 교통사고분석시스템 TAAS 통계에 따르면 2015년 ~ 2019년 어린이(12세이하) 교통사고 통계자료에서 보이는 바와 같이 최근 우리나라 어린이 교통사고 사망자 수는 꾸준히 감소하고 있으나 사고건 수와 부상자 수는 지속적으로 증가, 감소를 반복하고 있다. 우리나라 어린이 교통사고의 사고건 수와 부상자 수가 증감을 지속적으로 반복하고 있는 상황에서 위의 통계와 동일하게 어린이 보호구역 내 어린이(12세이하) 교통사고 사고건 수와 사망자 수, 부상자 수 또한 2019년도부터 크게 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 따라서 본 연구는 선행연구(어린이 보호구역 사고위험도 실태조사를 통한 개선방안에 관한 연구, 시뮬레이션 프로그램을 통한 어린이 교통안전시설 개선방안에 관한 연구)와 달리 어린이 교통사고 중 가장 높은 사고율을 보이고 있는 어린이 보호구역 내 어린이 교통사고를 예방하기 위해 교통안전시설물 실태조사와 더불어 운전자의 안전의식에 관한 설문조사를 통해 연구를 진행한 후, 이를 통해 문제점을 분석하여 어린이 보호구역 내의 교통 안전성 향상 및 운전자의 안전의식 개선을 위한 방안을 제시하고자한다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.55-72
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• 1987

The work analyzes the existing situation and defines special problems concerning traffic accidents in the two countries. The report is divided into three parts: 1) Using the global approach of SMEED, the data were evaluated using multiple regression analysis, and homogeneous groups of countries were defined by cluster analysis. In the global approach, the linear model is better than SMEED's non-linear model in explaining the number of fatalities. Among the different groups of countries, the linear approach was found to be better suited for industrialized countries and the non-linear approach better for the developing countries. T도 comparison of traffic fatality data for the Federal Republic the developing countries. The comparison of traffic fatality data for the Federal Republic of Germany and the Republic of Korea showed different regression equations during the same time period. 2) The BOX/JENKINS time series analysis on a monthly basis points out clearly similar seasonal patterns for the two countries over the years studied. The decrease in traffic accidents following the intensification of the safety belt requirement was proved in the ARIMA model. It amounts to 7 to 8 percent fewer personal injury accidents and fatal accidents. The identified increase in safety in the Federal Republic of Germany since the 1970s is mainly due to the reduction of accident severity in residential areas. 3) Speeds and headways on motorways in th3e two countries were also compared. The measurements point out that German road users drive faster, take more risks, and accept shorter time gaps than Korean road users. However, the accident statistics show accident rates for Korea that are several times higher than those in the Federal Republic of Germany.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1997년도 제32회 학술발표회
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• pp.33-69
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• 1997

This study was conducted to develop a methodology to predict utility pole accident rates and to evaluate cost-effectiveness for safety improvement for utility pole accidents. The utility pole accident rate prediction model was based on the encroachment rate approach introduced in the Transportation Research Board Special Report 214. The utility pole accident rate on a section of highway depends on the roadside encroachment rate and the lateral extent of encroachment. The encroachment rate is influenced by the horizontal and vertical alignment of the highway as well as traffic volume and mean speed. The lateral extent of encroachment is affected by the horizontal and vertical alignment, the mean speed and the roadside slope. An analytical method to generate the probability distribution function for the lateral extent of encroachment was developed for six kinds of encroachment types by the horizontal alignment and encroachment direction. The encroachment rate was calibrated with the information on highway and roadside conditions and the utility pole accident records collected on the sections of 55mph speed limit of the State Trunk Highway 12 in Wisconsin. The encroachment rate on a tangent segment was calibrated as a function of traffic volume with the actual average utility pole accident rates by traffic volume strategies. The adjustment factors for horizontal and vertical alignment were then derived by comparing the actual average utility pole accident rates to the estimations from the model calibrated for tangent and level sections. A computerized benefit-cost analysis procedure was then developed as a means of evaluating alternative countermeasures. The program calculates the benefit-cost ratio and the percent of reduction of utility pole accidents resulting from the implementation of a safety improvement. This program can be used to develop safety improvement: alternatives for utility pole accidents when a predetermined performance level is specified.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1997년도 제32회 학술발표회
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• pp.35-72
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• 1997

This study was conducted to develop a methodology to predict utility pole accident rates and to evaluate cost-effectiveness for safety improvement for utility pole accidents. The utility pole accident rate prediction model was based on the encroachment rate approach introduced in the Transportation Research Board special Report 214. The utility pole accident rate on a section of highway depends on the roadside encroachment rate and the lateral extent of encroachment. The encroachment rate is influenced by the horizontal and vertical alignment of the highway as well as traffic volume and mean speed. The lateral extent of encroachment is affected by the horizontal and vertical alignment, the mean speed and the roadside slope. An analytical method to generate the probability distribution function for the lateral extent of encroachment was developed for six kinds of encroachment types by the horizontal alignment and encroachment direction. The encroachment rate was calibrated with the information on highway and roadside conditions and the utility pole accident records collected on the sections of 55mph speed limit of the State Trunk Highway 12 in Wisconsin. The encroachment rate on tangent segment was calibrated as a function of traffic volume with the actual average utility pole accident rates by traffic volume strategies. The adjustment factors for horizontal and vertical alignment were when derived by comparing the actual average utility pole accident rates to the estimations from the model calibrated for tangent and level sections. A computerized benefit-cost analysis procedure was then developed as a means of evaluating alternative countermeasures. The program calculates the benefit-cost ratio and the percent of reduction of utility pole accidents resulting from the implementation of a safety improvement. This program can be used to develop safety improvement alternatives for utility pole accidents when a predetermined performance level is specified.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.131-136
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• 2010

This study deals with the accident models of arterial link sections by vehicle type. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of accidents, and to develop the models by type. In pursuing the above, this study uses the data of 414 accidents occurred on 24 major arterial links in 2007. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the number of accidents is analyzed to account for about 47% in passenger car, 15% in SUV and 10% in trucks. Second, 3 Poisson regression models which are all statistically significant are developed using passenger car, SUV and truck as dependant variables. Finally, AADT and the number of traffic islands as common variables, and the number of pedestrian crossings, lanes, connecting roads, intersections(4-Leg), rate of medians and the number of bus stops as specific variables of the models are selected.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.87-96
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• 2010

국내에서 차대 자전거사고 분석시 사용되는 충돌속도 예측모형은 외국의 연구결과를 그대로 인용하여 사용하고 있다. 그러나 이러한 결과는 제한된 실험조건 하에서 인체모형을 이용하여 도출되었고, 국내 도로 환경 및 자동차의 특성을 반영하지 못하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내사고 자료를 이용하여 차대자전거 사고시 충돌속도를 예측하는 모형을 개발하였다. 이를 위하여 충돌속도와 자전거 전도거리가 정확하게 확인된 23건의 사고 자료를 수집하여 자전거 전도거리와 충돌속도의 상관관계를 선형 회귀모형으로 도출하고 모형의 변수들에 대한 통계적인 검증을 실시하였다. 그리고 개발된 모형의 실제적인 검증을 위하여 2건의 실제 사고 자료와 비교 분석한 결과, 제시된 모형이 실제 충돌속도와 약 3%이내의 오차를 갖는 매우 유사한 결과를 나타내었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시된 모형은 향후 국내 차대자전거사고를 재현 및 분석하는 과정에 매우 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.71-76
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• 2007

The fatalities of pedestrian account for about 40.0% of all fatalities in Korea 2005. Vehicle-Pedestrian accident generates trajectory of pedestrian. In pedestrian involved accident, the most important data to inspect accident is throw distance of pedestrian. The throw distance of pedestrian can be influenced by many variables. The variables that influence trajectory of pedestrian can be classified into vehicular factors, pedestrian factors, and road factors. Vehicular factors are the frontal shape of vehicle, impact speed of vehicle, the offset of impact point. Many studies have been done about the relation between impact speed and throw distance of pedestrian. But the influence of the offset of impact point was neglected. The influence of the offset of impact point was analyzed by Working Model, and the trajectory of pedestrian, dynamic characteristics of multi-body were analyzed by PC-CRASH, a kinetic analysis program for a traffic accident. Based on the results, the increase of offset reduced the throw distance of pedestrian. However box type vehicle just like bus, the offset of impact point did not influence the throw distance of pedestrian considerably.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.131-138
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• 2013

PURPOSES : The intents of the study are to identify the accident factors and to demonstrate the potentials of tobit model as a tool to study the number of accidents on arterial roads segments. METHODS : This paper uses a tobit regression as a methodology to analyze the factors affecting the number of accidents. In pursuing the above goal, this study gives particular attentions to analyzing the data of 2,446 accidents (1,610 in major arterial roads and 836 in minor arterial roads) occurred on arterial roads in 2007 to 2010. RESULTS : First, 3 accident models which were classified by total arterial roads, major arterial roads and minor arterial roads, and were all statistically significant were developed. Second, the exclusive right-turn lane as common variable, and the number of accident, traffic volume, number of lanes, link length, rate of median, number of entrances, number of pedestrian crossings, number of curves, number of bus stops and exclusive left-turn as specific variables of the models were selected. Finally, the paired sample t-test could not be rejected the null hypotheses of three types of models. CONCLUSIONS : Using data from vehicle accidents on arterial roads, the estimation results show that many factors related to roadway geometrics and traffic characteristics significantly affect to the number of accidents.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.19-29
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• 2023

우리나라 도로 사고원단위는 도로 종류와 차로 수에 따라 단순 구분하고 있으나, 국외는 사고에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요소를 적용하고 있다. 본 논문은 TAAS(Traffic Accident Analysis System)의 사고 자료를 이용하여 일반국도 사고원단위를 도시부, 지방부, Older, 및 Modern 도로로 세분하였으며, 사고절감비용 산정 모형을 제시하였다. 국도 1,416.2km의 표본을 토대로 분석된 사망원단위(인/억대·km)는 도시부-Older 4.21, 도시부-Modern 1.37, 지방부-Older 2.18 및 지방부-Modern 0.99로 Older가 Modern 도로보다 높고, 도시부가 지방부보다 높게 분석되었다. 부상원단위(인/억대·km)는 도시부-Older 182.63, 도시부-Modern 103.42, 지방부-Older 67.44 및 지방부-Modern 42.96으로 사망원단위와 유사한 패턴으로 분석되었다. Modern 도로의 경우 KDI 지침의 사고원단위보다 매우 낮은 수준이다. 본 연구의 사고원단위를 적용하여 편익을 산정한 결과 사고비용절감편익 비율이 0.6%에서 14.1%로 증가하였으며, B/C는 0.626에서 0.724로 개선되었다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.42-50
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• 2021

Introduction: Despite huge investments in new technology and transportation infrastructure, terrible accidents still remain a reality of traffic. Methods: Severe traffic accidents were analyzed from four prevailing modes of today's transportations: sea, air, railway, and road. Main root causes of all four accidents were defined with implementation of the approach, based on Flanagan's critical incident technique. In accordance with Molan's Availability Humanization model (AH model), possible preventive or humanization interventions were defined with the focus on technology, environment, organization, and human factors. Results: According to our analyses, there are significant similarities between accidents. Root causes of accidents, human behavioral patterns, and possible humanization measures were presented with rooted graphs. It is possible to create a generalized model graph, which is similar to rooted graphs, for identification of possible humanization measures, intended to prevent similar accidents in the future. Majority of proposed humanization interventions are focused on organization. Organizational interventions are effective in assurance of adequate and safe behavior. Conclusions: Formalization of root cause analysis with rooted graphs in a model offers possibility for implementation of presented methods in analysis of particular events. Implementation of proposed humanization measures in a particular analyzed situation is the basis for creation of safety culture.