• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trading rules

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A Study to Improve the Return of Stock Investment Using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 주식투자 수익률 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Cho He Youn;Kim Young Min
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2003
  • This paper deals with the application of the genetic algorithm to the technical trading rule of the stock market. MACD(Moving Average Convergence & Divergence) and the Stochastic techniques are widely used technical trading rules in the financial markets. But, it is necessary to determine the parameters of these trading rules in order to use the trading rules. We use the genetic algorithm to obtain the appropriate values of the parameters. We use the daily KOSPI data of eight years during January 1995 and October 2002 as the experimental data. We divide the total experimental period into learning period and testing period. The genetic algorithm determines the values of parameters for the trading rules during the teaming period and we test the performance of the algorithm during the testing period with the determined parameters. Also, we compare the return of the genetic algorithm with the returns of buy-hold strategy and risk-free asset. From the experiment, we can see that the genetic algorithm outperforms the other strategies. Thus, we can conclude that genetic algorithm can be used successfully to the technical trading rule.

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Developing Pairs Trading Rules for Arbitrage Investment Strategy based on the Price Ratios of Stock Index Futures (주가지수 선물의 가격 비율에 기반한 차익거래 투자전략을 위한 페어트레이딩 규칙 개발)

  • Kim, Young-Min;Kim, Jungsu;Lee, Suk-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.202-211
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    • 2014
  • Pairs trading is a type of arbitrage investment strategy that buys an underpriced security and simultaneously sells an overpriced security. Since the 1980s, investors have recognized pairs trading as a promising arbitrage strategy that pursues absolute returns rather than relative profits. Thus, individual and institutional traders, as well as hedge fund traders in the financial markets, have an interest in developing a pairs trading strategy. This study proposes pairs trading rules (PTRs) created from a price ratio between securities (i.e., stock index futures) using rough set analysis. The price ratio involves calculating the closing price of one security and dividing it by the closing price of another security and generating Buy or Sell signals according to whether the ratio is increasing or decreasing. In this empirical study, we generate PTRs through rough set analysis applied to various technical indicators derived from the price ratio between KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 index futures. The proposed trading rules for pairs trading indicate high profits in the futures market.

Technical Trading Rules for Bitcoin Futures (비트코인 선물의 기술적 거래 규칙)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.94-103
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to propose technical trading rules for Bitcoin futures and empirically analyze investment performance. Investment strategies include standard trading rules such as VMA, TRB, FR, MACD, RSI, BB, using Bitcoin futures daily data from December 18, 2017 to March 31, 2021. The trend-following rules showed higher investment performance than the comparative strategy B&H. Compared to KOSPI200 index futures, Bitcoin futures investment performance was higher. In particular, the investment performance has increased significantly in Sortino Ratio, which reflects downside risk. This study can find academic significance in that it is the first attempt to systematically analyze the investment performance of standard technical trading rules of Bitcoin futures. In future research, it is necessary to improve investment performance through the use of deep learning models or machine learning models to predict the price of Bitcoin futures.

Trading rule extraction in stock market using the rough set approach

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae;Huh, Jin-nyoung;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose the rough set approach to extract trading rules able to discriminate between bullish and bearish markets in stock market. The rough set approach is very valuable to extract trading rules. First, it does not make any assumption about the distribution of the data. Second, it not only handles noise well, but also eliminates irrelevant factors. In addition, the rough set approach appropriate for detecting stock market timing because this approach does not generate the signal for trade when the pattern of market is uncertain. The experimental results are encouraging and prove the usefulness of the rough set approach for stock market analysis with respect to profitability.

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Bitcoin Algorithm Trading using Genetic Programming

  • Monira Essa Aloud
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.210-218
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    • 2023
  • The author presents a simple data-driven intraday technical indicator trading approach based on Genetic Programming (GP) for return forecasting in the Bitcoin market. We use five trend-following technical indicators as input to GP for developing trading rules. Using data on daily Bitcoin historical prices from January 2017 to February 2020, our principal results show that the combination of technical analysis indicators and Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, primarily GP, is a potential forecasting tool for Bitcoin prices, even outperforming the buy-and-hold strategy. Sensitivity analysis is employed to adjust the number and values of variables, activation functions, and fitness functions of the GP-based system to verify our approach's robustness.

A Comparative Study on the International Arbitration Rules of KCAB and Arbitration Rules of CIETAC (KCAB 국제중재규칙과 CIETAC 중재규칙의 비교연구)

  • Shin, Koon-Jae
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.33-54
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    • 2008
  • The KCAB enacted their new international arbitration rules(the KCAB rules) in 2007 wheres The CIETAC revised their arbitration rules(the CIETAC new rules) in 2005. This article investigates some practical problems on both rules respectively and helps trading companies to proceed arbitration by these rules. This study finds some problems as follows. There are the following problems in KCAB rules. First, application fee is too expensive fee. So KCAB should cut down their application fee. Second, if there is no agreement on number of arbitrators, the arbitration is processed by sole arbitrator. But it is very difficult for sole arbitrator to process international arbitration due to characteristics of international arbitration such as complexity of case and a large sum of claim. Third, a period of selection of arbitrator is long. In view of developing of communication means, this period is needed more short. In the meantimes, there are the following problems in CIETAC rules. First, though the CIETAC new rules enlarges the right of parties autonomy such as selection of arbitration rules or revise of it, China arbitration Act stipulates a institute arbitration which restrict partie's autonomy. Second, if there is no agreement on arbitrators, the CIETAC appoints chair of tribural in three arbitrators ion or sole arbitrators. is processed by sole arbitrator. Third, a draft of arbitral award is checked by the CIETAC in advance. Especially, the two latter problems is possible for foreigners to have doubts of fairness of CIETAC arbitration. Becuase the CIETAC is not a complete independent private institution. Consequently, I suggest that Korean trading companies should examine problems of these two arbitration rules carefully, and select a most appropriate rules for settlement of their disputes with Chines companies.

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A Study on the Reasonable Objectiveness of Trading Area of the Korea Ship Safety Act (선박안전법상 항해구역의 합목적성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Yong-Sub;Park, Jin-Soo;Lee, Yun-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.61-86
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    • 1991
  • This paper aims to investigated the reasonable objectiveness of trading areas on the Korea Ship Safety Act and to make a regulated proposal of trading areas. To achieve the above mentioned object, we analyzed the existing rules and other related circumstances of maritime fields. On the basis of this viewpoint, this paper was focused on three topics of concern : (1) the relationship between the ship Safety Act and other Maritime Acts. (2) the legislative examples of foreign countries, (3) the reasonable revised reasons of trading areas. In this paper, we proposed following four matters such as (1) the modification of ship's length and speed which are the designative basis of trading areas, (2) the extension of the smooth sea area to limit of territorial seas (3) the extension of the near-coastal area to the coasts of the P.R.C., Japan, the U.S.S.R and the R.O.C ., and rename of its area into the near & greater coastal area, (4) the annulment of greater-coastal area.

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FOREX Web-Based Trading Platform with E-Learning Features

  • Yong, Yoke Leng;Lieu, Shang Qin;Ngo, David;Lee, Yunli
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.271-278
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    • 2017
  • There has been an influx of traders and researchers eager to gain a better understanding of the market due to the rapid growth of the FOREX market. Traders with varying degree of experience are also often inundated with information, analysis methods as well as trading rules when making a trading decision on buying/selling a currency exchange pair. Thus, this paper reviews the current computational tools and analysis methods used within the FOREX trading community and proposes the development of a web-based trading platform with e-learning features to support beginners. Novice traders could also benefit from the use of the proposed e-learning trading platform as it helps them gain valuable knowledge and navigate the FOREX market in real-time. Even experienced traders would find it useful as the platform could be used for actual trading and acts as a reference point to understand the reasoning behind the certain technical analysis implementation that are still unclear to them.

A Study on Problems and Attentive of Incoterms$^{(R)}$ 2010 Rules (Incoterms$^{(R)}$ 2010 Rules의 문제점과 대안)

  • Oh, Se-Chang
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.51
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    • pp.3-54
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    • 2011
  • The important and main purpose of revision of Incoterms rules are to adapt it to contemporary commercial practice in world trade, and to contribute to great service to foreign trade. Incoterms$^{(R)}$ 2010 revision basically focuses on trade terms to be used for any mode or modes of transport at compared Incoterms 2000 gouping in four basically different categories, and presents trade terms to be used for traditionally seaborn trade. Therefore the former is for trading in manufactured goods involved in containerization, the latter is for trading in community. This study focuses on a motive of revisions and main features of the Incoterms$^{(R)}$ 2010 rules, an outline, the problems and alternative of them. In conclusion, I would like present as follows; (1) Although they only concerned the models of delivery and critical point, they only say a few of the many factors of a sale contract, that is to say for the devision of fuctions, costs and risks between the contracting parties as supplement law, but the guestion of the legal position of Incoterms rules is various in different countries and scholars. in spite of that, it must focus on the practical application and the wide acceptance of Incoterms rules in world trade. (2) Although they present more simple and clear, unfricative, than Incoterms 2000 rules, in order to help users, the need to unify consistently and fully explanate in contents and expression. (3) Introduction and guidance note of Incoterms$^{(R)}$ 2010 rules basically focuses on the understanding of a motive of revisions as compared Incoterms 2000 rules. But it is well advised to do this on the assumption of understanding the various basic meaning of terms. (4) finally, trade concerned regulations take account of the reflection for the application to domestic and international trade according to formally reconization of availability for both trade.

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A Study on Problems and Solutions for Trading System of Fishery Products Wholesale Market in Korea (수산물 도매시장 거래제도의 문제점과 개선방안)

  • Kang, Jong-Ho
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.79-93
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    • 2014
  • The Act on Distribution and Price Stabilization of Agricultural and Fisheries Product, which specifies rules and regulations on the trading system of fishery products wholesales markets, has been revised several times, mainly in order to improve the trading system. However, there is still a huge gap between the reality and law when it comes to the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market. This study aims to analyze the problems of the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market and to suggest ways to make improvement. The main problem facing the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market is sales on consignment by intermediate wholesalers, and this paper suggests two alternatives to solve the problem. First, intermediate wholesaler can be converted to market wholesalers, but it also entails other problems. The market wholesaler system has never been successfully adopted in the agricultural and fishery products wholesale market, and it is not clear which system is better between the wholesale market corporation and the market wholesaler system. Second, sales on consignment by intermediate wholesalers can be adopted with a positive view toward it. Negotiation transaction can be carried out for sales on consignment as a transaction method under the current Act on Distribution and Price Stabilization of Agricultural and Fisheries Products. However, since the act cannot provide a solution for listing, it is necessary to introduce Japan's negotiated transaction in advance system as a negotiation transaction method.