• 무역학회지
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.1-24
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• 2021

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is designed to intensify bilateral trade between China and the BRI countries through the improvement of transportation connections. However, little research has empirically investigated the impacts of this policies on the trade patterns. This paper attempts to evaluate the impacts of BRI on the trade patterns of Tanzania. Our study extends the original gravity model of bilateral trade by adding GDP per capita, population and proximity as the explanatory variables. According to our research, we observed that the BRI significantly impacted the Tanzania's trade patterns, as it led to the increase of bilateral trade flow between Tanzania and China more importantly between Tanzania and its adjacent countries. It indicates that the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has boosted Tanzania's trade exclusively, hence the Tanzania's export sector earns greater trading potential with the adjacent countries.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제49권
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• pp.461-490
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to examine which factors are encouraging SMEs to participate in uTradeHub(focused on the uTrade search service) in terms of product characteristics and sourcing patterns. The three factors encouraging Trade e-Marketplaces are identified in this study. First, internal factors include the support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure. Second, external factors include the pressure of industry, industry competition, dependence of trading partners. Third perception factors are perceived Usefulness, perceived easy of use. The empirical analysis had the following results. First, it reveals that support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure, industry competition have significant influence upon uTrade Search Services. On the other hand, pressure of industry, dependence of trading partners, Perceived relative benefits are not significant variable of the participation in uTrade Search Services. Second, the factors affecting the participation in uTrade Search Services are differentiated in terms of product characteristics and sourcing patterns. And the support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure, Perceived relative benefits are emphasized very important factors affecting the participation of uTrade Search Services in SMEs. The industry competition is recognized as more important factor in horizontal market in which Spot sourcing just like Operating products is trading. On the other hands, the dependence of trading partners are significant factor in vertical market in which Systemic sourcing just like Manufacturing products is trading.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제13권
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• pp.681-698
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• 2000

As volume of international trade is growing importance for service business and service trade are also increasing. Increasing importance of service trade in Korea is also a reflection of such international trading. In this treatise this writer did not address various topics in relation to international trade arising from service trade. But confined the topic to study of concept of service and concept and patterns of service trade. Depending on scholars concept of service may be varied and this holds true also with concept of service trade which also lends itself to various classification. Among them if the focus is concentrated to tax standard in international trade then it can be classified into service transaction. In other words classification can be made according to service trade separated from commodities transaction with embodiment of service and service trade accompanying commodities transaction. In this treatise this writer confined the topic to introduction of international service trade but issues arising in relation to such trade internationally are varied. For this reason more study on such topics will be required in future.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.35-51
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• 2000

국제교역흐름은 경제적 요인들 뿐 만 아니라 세계의 사회, 정치, 문화적 환경에 의하여 결정되어 왔다. 세계화와 더불어 국제교역환경도 빠르게 변화하고 있으며, 이러한 변화는 국제교역의 흐름에 상당한 변화를 주고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 경제의 세계화가 국제교역의 흐름에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 하는 것이다. 우선 국제교역에 나타나는 변화를 특히 경제적, 사회적, 정치적으로 국제적 연계가 강화되면서 나타나는 경제적 결합에 초점을 두어 산업 입지와 투자, 그리고 그 밖의 교역환경들과 연결하여 종합적으로 파악해 보았다. 특히 산업 입지에 변화를 주어 상품의 수요와 공급의 공간적 분포를 재편하는 역할과 함께 기업내 교역흐름을 확장시켜 결과적으로 국제교역패턴에 영향을 끼치고 있는 다국적 기업들에 의한 해외직접투자의 영향을 분석하였다. 기업내 교역은 해외직접투자의 흐름에 의해 결정되므로 본 연구에서는 해외직접투자의 기원지와 대상지의 지리적 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 해외직접투자와 기업내 교역의 공간적 분포에 나타나는 변화를 분석하였다.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.44-51
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• 2019

This study analyzes the trade patterns that occur between Korea and ASEAN countries through air transport, one of Korea's trade transport methods. In order to understand the detailed characteristics of the air transport sector, the dependent variables were analyzed by dividing them into amount and weight. As a result, the amount of exports, imports, and trade was proportional to GDP per capita representing income level, and inversely proportional to GDP representing national economic power. In terms of air transport weight, exports, imports and trade were all proportional to GDP representing economic power and inversely proportional to GDP per capita representing income levels. In addition, the national area acted as a factor to reduce the trade volume, and the number of airports and inland countries did not show any significant results.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권7호
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• pp.403-411
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• 2021

This study discusses the influence of economic factors on the clothing exports from China and 15 South and Southeast Asian countries to the United States. A basic gravity trade model with three predictors, including the GDP value produced by exporting and importing countries and their geographical distance was established to explain the bilateral trade patterns. The conventional approach of multiple regression and the novel approach of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) were developed based on the value of clothing exports from 2012 to 2018 and applied to the trade pattern prediction of 2019. The results showed that ANNs can achieve a more accurate prediction in bilateral trade patterns than the commonly-used econometric analysis of the basic gravity trade model. Future studies can examine the predictive power of ANNs on an extended gravity model of trade that includes explanatory variables in social and environmental areas, such as policy, initiative, agreement, and infrastructure for trade facilitation, which are crucial for policymaking and managerial consideration. More research should be conducted for the examination of the balance between developing countries' economic growth and their social and environmental sustainability and for the application of more advanced machine-learning algorithms of global trade flow examination.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.157-168
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• 2020

Since the economic crisis sweeps across the world in 2008, the foreign direct investment of various countries has been greatly impacted. Therefore, this paper regards China as an example to analyze China's outward foreign direct investment patterns in terms of Asian financial markets with a panel data over the period 2003-2017. We mainly focus on the money market oriented outward foreign direct investment and foreign exchange market oriented outward foreign direct investment. Using the individual fixed effect model to conduct empirical analyses, the empirical findings indicate that China will reduce its foreign direct investment amount to a country with large money supply and China will increase its foreign direct investment amount to a country with large foreign exchange reserves. Furthermore, when a country has signed Free Trade Agreement with China, China will increase more foreign direct investment amount to these countries than that of a country who has not signed Free Trade Agreement with China. Moreover, the empirical findings indicate that no matter what the money market oriented outward foreign direct investment or foreign market oriented outward foreign direct investment, China will reduce its foreign direct investment amount to these Asian countries due to the global economic crisis.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.139-158
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• 2023

Purpose - The study of co-movements between stock markets is a crucial area of finance and has recently received much interest in a variety of studies, especially in international finance. Stock market co-movements are a major phenomenon in financial markets, but they are not necessarily independent of the real market. Several studies support the idea that bilateral trade linkages significantly impact stock market correlations. Motivated by this perspective, this study investigates whether real market integration due to trade agreements brings about financial market integration in terms of stock market co-movement. Design/methodology - Over the 10 free trade agreements (FTAs) signed by the United States, using a dynamic conditional correlations (DCC) multivariate GARCH (MGRACH) model, we empirically measure the degree of integration by finding DCCs between the US market and the partner country's market. We then track how these correlations evolve over time and compare the results before and after trade agreements. Findings - According to the empirical results, there are positive return spillover effects from the US market to eight counterpart equity markets, except Jordan, Morocco, and Singapore. Especially Mexico, Canada, and Chile have large return spillover effects at the 1% significance level. All partner countries of FTAs generally have positive correlations with the US over the entire period, but the size and variance are somewhat different by country. Meanwhile, not all countries that signed trade agreements with the United States showed the same pattern of stock market co-movement after the agreement. Korea, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Singapore show increasing DCC patterns after trade agreements with the US. However, Canada, Australia, Bahrain, Jordan, and Morocco do not show different patterns before and after trade agreements in DCCs. These countries generally have the characteristic of relatively lower or higher co-movements in stock markets with the US before the signing of the FTAs. Originality/value - To our knowledge, few studies have directly examined the linkages between trade agreements and stock markets. Our approach is novel as it considers the problem of conditional heteroscedasticity and visualizes the change of correlations with time variations. Moreover, analyzing several trade agreements based on the United States enables the results of cross-country pairs to be compared. Hence, this study provides information on the degree of stock market integration with countries with which the United States has trade agreements, while simultaneously allowing us to track whether there have been changes in stock market integration patterns before and after trade agreements.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.255-267
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• 2011

국내 정치적 사회적 경제적 요인 및 국제 정치 상황, 해외 경제 동향 등의 요인들을 비롯한 IMF이후의 금융시장 개방에 따른 외국투자자본의 유출입으로 인하여 한국 금융시장의 불확실성은 더욱 증가되었다. 특히 투자자들은 의사결정에 더 많은 혼돈을 겪게 되었고 투자 시 도움을 줄 수 있는 보다 유용한 도구들을 필요로 하게 되었다. 본 연구는 시스템 트레이딩을 이용하여 선물시장에서 거래 할 때 최적의 매매 타이밍을 알아보고 이에 적합한 전략을 알아보는 것이 목적이다. 패턴인식 알고리즘인 동적 시간 와핑 (DTW; Dynamic Time Warping) 알고리즘을 이용하여 빈도별 (10분, 30분, 60분, 일 별) 유사 패턴을 찾아내고 최적의 매매 타이밍을 분석한다. 이를 위해 주식시장의 대표적인 패턴들을 알아보고, 유사한 패턴을 보이는 기간을 DTW를 이용하여 빈도별로 분석한다. 유사한 패턴들의 검증을 위해 기술적 지표들의 개별 전략을 적용한 거래 시뮬레이션을 실시한다. 시뮬레이션 결과 대부분 30분 데이터에 적용된 전략들이 높은 수익률을 가져왔다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권11호
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• pp.107-120
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• 2021

The development of the ethnic minorities and mountainous areas (EMMA) is currently receiving the attention of countries around the world. This is demonstrated through a large number of studies, in many respects, in many different countries. The objective of the study is to find out the current situation of the commodity market in the ethnic minorities and mountainous areas (EMMA) of Vietnam. In particular, the authors will study whether there is a link between the ability to access governmental policies and the characteristics of this commodity market. To achieve the goal, the authors employed the secondary data collection method to gather the relevant information on government policies for EMMA and conducted an interview of seventy (70) enterprises in the Northern midlands and mountainous regions and the Central Coast to clarify the characteristics of commodity market. By Levene's test, the results showed that the accessibility to governmental policies has a certain influence on the development of the commodity market patterns in the EMMA in terms of diversification of distribution forms and sales method of the business. These findings brought some basic solutions to further enhance the role of the government in developing commodity markets in the EMMA of Vietnam.