• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trade Gravity Model

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The Impact of Environmental TBTs on Exports of Korean Manufactures (환경 TBT가 국내 주요 제조업 수출에 미치는 영향)

  • Sun-Kyung Huh;Sul-Ki Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.193-213
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    • 2023
  • The impact of each country's environmental protection and climate change policies on trade is increasing. The strengthening of trade barrier resulted in an increase of Technical Barriers to Trade(TBTs). This international trend carries important implications for Korean manufacturers, which is highly dependent on trade. Discussions on the trade effects of TBT are still ongoing. This study that quantitatively analyzed the effect of TBT on trade have employed a gravity model. As a result of the analysis using the basic model, it was found that the effect of environmental TBT notifications on trade is positive(+) overall. However, the electrical machinery and equipment·electronics industries are negatively affected by environmental TBT. There is a pressing need to preemptively identify the impact of environmental TBT in major countries on the exports of Korean manufacturing industries in order to strengthen the competitiveness of domestic industries and pursue countermeasures.

A Study on Promoting the Intra-Regional Trade in Southeast Asia (동남아시아 역내교역 결정요인 분석 및 시사점)

  • Ra, Hee-Ryang
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.35-79
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    • 2014
  • This study examines the measures for the activation and the growth of intra-regional trade in Southeast Asia taking a look at the four dimensions of tariff rates, non-tariff barriers, trade facilitations, and trade infrastructures. Utilizing a gravity model, we performed empirical analysis and discussed the policy implications with the priorities to implement. To expand the intra-regional trade in Southeast Asia it would be necessary to enhance the level of trade facilitations and provide trade infrastructures, such as ports and airports as well as cutting the tariff rates and eliminating the non-trade barriers. In particular, in the case of exports of ASEAN6 to ASEAN6 the infrastructure is the important factor. Also, in the case of the exports of ASEAN6 to CLMV(Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam), it is expected that eliminating non-tariff barriers and enhancing trade facilitations may play important roles in the progress of intra-regional trade. These results may provide the important implications for Southeast Asian countries, which are trying to promote intra-regional trade ahead of the constitution of ASEAN Economic Community by 2015. Southeast Asian countries could be evaluated to achieve a certain level of trade liberalization and economic integration through the formation of AFTA. But in order for Southeast Asia to develop to advanced economic integrated region it requires mutual cooperations and policy harmonizations among regional countries. Also, for the elimination of non-tariff barriers, promoting trade facilitations, and providing infrastructures, the administrative, legal, and institutional measures would have to be fulfilled in advance. In addition, capital investment for constructing infrastructures would be necessary to realize the intra-regional trade expansion. However, to achieve the goal, it would require a large capital investment and highly mandated policy considerations and harmonizations among Southeast Asian countries in terms of further trade liberalization and economic integration.

A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Trade Efficiency for the Sino-Korea Trade

  • Gong, Wen-Chao;Li, Kan-Yong;Wang, Wen-Xia
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper intends to make theoretical analysis and empirical test on the factors influencing China's export to South Korea, and draw conclusions about China's export efficiency and trade potential. Based on the conclusions, the reasons for China's trade deficit with South Korea are found, and a solution is put forward for solving the problem of China's trade deficit with South Korea. Design/methodology - Based on the data of 2004-2017 years in China, this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to analyze the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, as well as the export efficiency of each province and the export potential that can be explored. Findings - First, in terms of the factors affecting China's export trade to South Korea, the GDP of the provinces and cities in China, the FDI of South Korea to the provinces and cities in China, the GDP of South Korea, the population and education level of provinces and cities in China can significantly promote the export scale of Chinese provinces and cities to South Korea. The distance between Chinese provincial capitals and the South Korean capital significantly hinders Chinese exports to South Korea; Second, in terms of export trade efficiency, the trade exchange rate of the economically developed cities along the eastern coast of China and several provinces that are close to South Korea is higher than that of the cities in the central and western regions; Third, economic globalization makes trade more convenient, the average export trade efficiency of China's exports to South Korea showed an upward trend. However, under the influence of the 2008 global financial crisis, the export trade efficiency declined from 2008 to 2009, indicating that the impact of the financial crisis on the trade efficiency cannot be ignored. Originality/value - This paper finds out the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, analyzes the export efficiency of different provinces and cities, excavates the export potential, and puts forward some suggestions for the balanced development of China and South Korea trade in the next step.

A Study on the Effect of Logistics Performance Index on Korea's Import and Export Cargo (물류성과지표가 우리나라 수출입 물동량에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Choong-Bae Lee;Young-Sin Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.197-213
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between cargo volume and logistics performance index published by World Bank which indicate countries' logistics performance. In this study, the results were derived through panel regression analysis consisting of variables such as gross domestic product, geographical distance, population, and LPI using container export/import volume and bulk export/import volume as dependent variables. As a result of the empirical analysis, it was found that Korea's container volume was affected by the overall level of logistics, in particular, was deeply related to the logistics infrastructure, while bulk volume was not related to the logistics level or was less influential.

An Empirical Study on the Characteristics of Korean B2C Exporters (우리나라 온라인 수출기업의 특성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chang, Sang-Sik;Park, Kwang-So;Nam, Kyung-Doo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 2016
  • As global online business expands, direct overseas sales, where company directly sells products to foreign consumers, has become a new trend. The purpose of this study is to find out the characteristics of B2C Korean online exporters. This study analyzes export companies, 45,267 doing offline business and 205 online, and the two findings drawn from the study are as follows: First, B2C online exporters shipped 4-5 times more products to 10-13 times more countries than offline exporters. It also showed higher rate of export persistency. Second, from using gravity model analysis, it was found that export through online sales removes distance barrier by 60% more than offline. In addition, Free Trade Agreement appears to help boost online overseas sales. This study has significance in that it is the first analysis on B2C online export using actual proof, and it can be differentiated by other researches in terms of identifying the traits of Korean online export.

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The Impact of Institutional Quality on FDI Inflows: The Evidence from Capital Outflow of Asian Economies

  • LE, Anh Hoang;KIM, Taegi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.335-343
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the effect of institutional quality on FDI inflows by using FDI outflows from Asian countries from 2009 to 2017. We used the FDI data from five major Asian economies, which are South Korea, China, Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong. The gravity model was used to examine the effect of institutional quality on FDI flows. The regression model considers several independent variables, and we select the most appropriate variables by using the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) estimator. We have shown that foreign direct investment from Asian countries depends on the size of home and the partner countries, geographical distance, trade interaction between two countries, economic freedom, labor supply, tariff rate, and capacity of the government. The results of different estimation techniques emphasize that multinational enterprises prefer to invest in those countries which have a higher income, which shows the evidence for Lucas's paradox. The results also show that economic freedom and control of corruption have a positive impact on FDI inwards. The regression results show that better institutional quality in host countries encourages more FDIs from Asian economies. It suggests that the state should control corruption and create a free economic environment to attract FDIs.

The Roles of the Exchange Rate and Labor Skill Composition on Vietnam's Trade Balance Vis-à-Vis Main Trading Partners (베트남 무역수지에서 환율 및 노동숙련도 간의 상관관계분석: 주요 무역 상대국 중심으로)

  • Tan, Yan;Uprasen, Utai
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.85-119
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    • 2018
  • This paper investigates the effects of exchange rate and labor skill composition on Vietnam's trade balance with her twenty main trading partners. Using balanced panel data from 2000 to 2016, the authors analyze Vietnam's total trade balance and the trade balance which is disaggregated based on labor skill sophistication. Three main findings are presented. Firstly, exchange rate has a positive effect on Vietnam's trade balance, but the small value of estimated coefficient indicates that its effect is limited. Secondly, Vietnam's trade balance of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skill white collar labor-produced goods is worsened when VND (Vietnamese Dong) depreciates. Thirdly, moving up the labor skill ladder and promoting the none-price competitiveness of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skilled white collar labor-produced goods can improve Vietnam's total trade balance, while promoting the low-skill labor-produced and medium-skill blue collar-labor produced goods can no longer contribute to Vietnam's total trade balance.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Bilateral Trade Flow: Evidence from China (환율 변동성과 양자 무역 흐름: 중국을 중심으로)

  • Li Qing;Sang-Whi Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2023
  • Our study aims to explore the impact of China's foreign trade policy measures on the real exchange rate movement. We seek to provide specific references for the formulation of exchange rate and trade-related strategies. Our results indicate that China's bilateral trade is significantly influenced by movements in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (RER). When analyzing the relationship between aggregated trade flow and exchange rate movements, this paper finds that the depreciation of the real exchange rate leads to an increase in China's export volume and a slight decrease in its import volume. Moreover, China's export volume exhibits higher sensitivity to exchange rate volatility compared to the exchange rate level. Furthermore, the empirical findings regarding disaggregated trade flow suggest that different goods are affected differently by exchange rate movements. Capital goods and consumer goods, being in different stages of processing, show no negative impact on their import and export due to exchange rate depreciation. Consequently, we recommend deepening the industry's reform by improving production efficiency and transitioning the industrial structure to a higher processing stage. This approach can effectively reduce the negative impact of exchange rate depreciation.

An Empirical Study of the Tradability caused by the Service Characteristics in Korea : Focusing on hard and soft service (한국의 서비스 특성에 따른 교역가능성에 관한 실증 연구 : 하드 서비스와 소프트 서비스의 비교를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Young Jun;Seok, Jun Ho;Hwang, Yoon Seop
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.109-130
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    • 2010
  • The service sector comprises two thirds of world GDP in 2005 and takes 20% of the world trade. As the technologies such as telecommunication technologies advance, the long-distance trades in services is expected to increase. But there are few empirical research on the flows of services between regions. This paper studies the pattern of flows of long-distance trades in services across the regions. Since it is very hard to collect reliable data on long-distance trade in services, we collect data from regional input-output tables of Korea. The results shows that the hard service which can be consumed spatially separated from production tends to have more long-distance trade than the soft service which is consumed simultaneously with production. It also shows that regional gross domestic production is important factor for the pattern of trades in services.

The Language Determinant Analysis of Investment Among APEC Member Economies (APEC국가간 언어의 투자 결정요인 분석)

  • Shen, Zhi-Feng;Kim, Tae-In
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to establish ways of how languages are used as determination factors for investment decisions among Asian countries where used languages are diversified. According to the analysis result, language segmentation of the investing country increases investment whereas the language segmentation of the invested countries is analyzed as the decreasing factor of investment. Also, it is analyzed that the further the linguistic distance between the investing country and the invested country the more investment increases. In the aspects of approached language distance and investment time selection, along with the increased linguistic distance, the elasticity to foreign direct investment is apprehended to be more flexible than other forms of investment. Such result shows the more segmented the languages of the targeted invested country the more investment cost will increase and therefore the results in linguistic distance can be explained as diversification of the invested country and the result to the forming of bridgehead at the invested area.

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