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Development of the Prediction Method for Hospital Bankruptcy using a Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model(HGIM) (HGLM을 적용한 병원 도산 예측방법의 개발)

  • Noh, Maeng-Seok;Chang, Hye-Jung;Lee, Young-Jo
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.22-36
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    • 2001
  • The hospital bankruptcy rate is increasing, therefore it is very important to predict the bankruptcy using the existing hospital management information. The hospital bankruptcy is often measured in year intervals, called grouped duration data, not by the continuous time elapsed to the bankruptcy. This study introduces a hierarchical generalized linear model(HGLM) for analysis of hospital bankruptcy data. The hazard function for each hospital may be influenced by unobservable latent variables, and these unknown variables are usually termed as random effects or frailties which explain correlations among repeated measures of the same hospital and describe individual heterogeneities of hospitals. Practically, the data of twenty bankrupt and sixty profitable hospitals were collected for five years, and were fitted to HGLM. The results were compared with those of the logit model. While the logit model resulted only in the effects of explanatory variables on the bankruptcy status at specific period, the HGLM showed variables with significant effects over all observed years. It is concluded that the HGLM with a fixed ratio and a period of total asset turnrounds was justified, and could find significant within and between hospital variations.

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Quantitative Analysis of Poverty Indicators: The Case of Khon Kaen Province, Thailand

  • PIENKHUNTOD, Ajirapa;AMORNBUNCHORNVEI, Chainarong;NANTHARATH, Phouthakannha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the poverty indicators in Northeast region of Thailand by adopting the global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) methodology and the national survey of Minimum Basic Needs (MBN) of Thailand. Data are collected from three different districts in Khon Kaen province namely: Khok Po Chai, Sam Sung, and Nam Pong. The sample size is 187 households. Data analysis uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression approach and includes 7 dimensions of poverty (health, environment, education, economy, Thai value, asset? empowerment, and digital literacy) with a total of 41 indicators. This study has found that poverty indicators in Khon Kaen province remains centered around the aspects of health and employment dimensions. While a change of family structure in the Thai society since 1960s reduces the family size, household saving substantially increases over the years. The effects of health dimension in poverty, on the other hand, appears on the other poverty dimension of Thai value, which include (1) a bad living habit of head of household (smoke or alcohol consumption) that links with illness and disease, (2) religious practice, and (3) chronic illness. Lastly, there are income gaps of different careers in the area, which suggests the issue of income inequality.

A Study on the Relationship Between Multinationality and Performance: Evidence from China's Firms

  • WU, Renhong;HE, Yugang
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - Economic globalization provides firms with a new channel to gain benefits from foreign countries. Therefore, using the real MNEs, this paper set China's firms as an example to explore the relationship between multinationality and performance. Research design, data, and methodology - Panel data from 2008 to 2017 was used and 390 multinational firms listed in China's A-share market was selected. Additionally, related econometric methods were employed to analyze the relationship between multinationality and performance in this study. The return on assets was treated as a dependent variable, and the sales of a firm, the firm age, the debt asset ratio of a firm, the ratio of foreign sales to total sales and the enterprise properties were treated as independent variables. All of these factors were used to conduct an empirical analysis. Results - The empirical findings in this study revealed that there is a linear relationship between multinationality and performance, as well as that non state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs) have a greater effect on the relationship between multinationality and performance than that of the state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Conclusions - On the basis of evidences this paper provided, China's government should take measures in the future to help China's firms when they fulfil international economic activities.

The Interaction Between Debt Policy, Dividend Policy, Firm Growth, and Firm Value

  • AKHMADI, Akhmadi;ROBIYANTO, Robiyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.699-705
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to examine the antecedent factors of debt policy on the influence of firm growth on firm value. There was a total of 19 companies involved accounting for 95 observational data from a population of 169 companies listed on the Kompas 100 Index of the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018. The data were analyzed through descriptive statistics, classic assumption tests, multiple regression, and hypothesis testing. The results prove that the firm growth, proxied by asset growth or sales growth, did not have a significant influence on the debt policy. Further, there was no significant influence of debt policy on firm value when using debt ratio and also dividend policy as a control variable. In contrast, there was a positive and significant influence on the firm value when using debt to equity ratio proxy, both with or without using the control variable. Therefore, the debt policy was not proven as an antecedent on the influence of firm growth on firm value. This finding implies that there was a tendency for the company management to adopt the policy, which would increase the debt ratio to increase the investors' confidence in the stock market and investors neglect the company's dividend policy.

Private Education Expenditure for Children and Economic Well-being of Household (가계의 사교육비 지출과 경제적 복지)

  • 이승신
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2002
  • The issue of children′s education is the most important issue for all households in Korea. It is certain that the issue of private education for children is the first issue among household′s issues. This study is to recognize the current pictures of household primate education of Korean households. Also, whether the expenditure of private education effect the economic will-being of household. The data for this study was"the 3th Korean Labor Panal", conducted by Lobor in Korea. The sample was 1950 households from the panel data. The results of this study was as following: 1. The mean of monthly private education expenditure was 149273won for all households and 217,100won for households with high school students. 2. Almost 70% households had economic burden for private education expenditure. 0% households had no economic burden. 3. The factors of influencing the level of economic burden for private education were mother′s education level, mother′s job, the number of children, living location, monthly income, total asset of household′s. The factors of influencing the amount of monthly private education expenditure positively were living in 4. The economic well-being of household was analyzed by socio-economic variables, household′s financial variables, monthly private education expenditure, the level of economic burden of private education. The economic well-being were sub-categorized 4 divisions; the level of economic problem, the level of satisfaction for household′s income, the level of satisfaction for general living, the level of subject economic condition)

Determinants of Stock Market Participation Decision: The Case of Korean Households (한국 가계의 주식시장 참가 결정요인 분석)

  • Lim, Kyung-Mook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.35-69
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    • 2004
  • Using household survey data set during 1993~1998 period, this paper analyzes patterns and determinants of household stock market participation. The results shows that the age profile of stock market participation in Korean household is humped-shaped as in other developed countries. Also, households with a higher level and lower variability of income, bigger financial asset, and higher education level are more likely to be stockholders. The stock market participation rate of the self-employed is substantially lower than that of the employed. In Korea, the high proportion of self-employed among total labor force seems to lower the stock market participation rate.

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The Method of Orthoimage Generation for the Application of Single Photo (단사진 활용성 제고를 위한 정사영상 생성 기법)

  • 강준묵;배상호;주영은
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2002
  • In a different way of satellite image or aerial photo, the image acquired by terrestrial photogrammetry has to go through complicated management according to the desired precision and analysis range. In this study, digital surface model and ortho image for cultural asset, terrestrial structures, were made by reflectorless total station in order to increase the application of single photo, and that was analyzed and compared with the method using stereo image. Single photo is expected to be utilized as the measuring method for drawing cultural assets or examining the stability of slope in which high precision doesn't need by performing the various geometric and visual analysis using ortho image made by excluding the difficulties of acquisition and plotting of stereo image.

A Case Study on the Risk Assessment for Offshore Plant Solid Desiccant Dehydration Package by using HAZOP (HAZOP을 통한 해양플랜트 흡착식 탈수공정 패키지의 위험성평가 및 안전도 향상 방안)

  • Noh, Hyonjeong;Park, SangHyun;Cho, Su-gil;Kang, Kwangu;Kim, Hyungwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.23 no.4_2
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    • pp.569-581
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    • 2020
  • Since the dehydration packages of offshore plant deal directly with oil & gas, there is a great risk of fire and explosion during operation. Therefore, this study performed risk assessment through HAZard & OPerability (HAZOP) for solid desiccant dehydration package that can remove water component of natural gas in offshore floating liquefied natural gas (LNG) production facilities below 0.1 ppmv. The risk matrix was determined by dividing the likelihood and the severity into five levels separately by asset, life, environment and reputation. The piping & instrumentation diagram (P&ID) of the dehydration package was divided into 9 nodes. Total 22 deviations were assessed in consideration of the adsorption and desorption conversion cycle. A risk assessment based on deviations revealed 14 major hazards. Three representative types of hazards were open/close failure of the control valve, control failure of the heater, and abnormal operation of the regeneration gas cooler. Finally, we proposed the installation of additional safety devices to improve safety against these major hazards, such as safety instrumented functions, alarms, etc.

The Effect of Liquidity Creation on Bank Capital: A Case Study in Indonesia

  • FUAD, Ahmad;DISMAN, Disman;NUGRAHA, Nugraha;MAYASARI, Mayasari;FUAD, Ahmad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.649-656
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to examine the moderating role of bank competition on the effect of liquidity creation on bank capital. We measure bank competition using the Lerner index approach, liquidity creation using the Catfat approach, and bank capital using the capital to total asset ratio approach. This test also considers control variables from bank-specific factors such as Return on Assets, Loan to Deposit Ratio, and Non-Performance Loans as well as macroeconomic factors such as Gross Domestic Product, inflation, and Bank Indonesia interest rates. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling. The data sample obtained was 96 banks from a population of 114 banks in Indonesia which consistently operated during the period 2008-2018. Hypothesis testing uses panel data regression analysis techniques through the first model of the Hayes method. The results show that the negative effect of liquidity creation on bank capital depends on competition. We found that bank competition at any level (low, medium, high) negatively moderates (weakens) the effect of liquidity creation on bank capital in all banks. This finding is consistent with the view that banks may strengthen their capital in response to bank competition which may decrease the level of bank liquidity creation.

Multimarket Contact and Risk-Adjusted Profitability in the Banking Sector: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • DAO, Oanh Le Kieu;HO, Tuyen Thi Ngoc;LE, Hac Dinh;DUONG, Nga Quynh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the impact of the multimarket contract on risk-adjusted profitability. Risk-adjusted profitability is measured in terms of risk-adjusted return on assets. This study employs dynamic panel data of 27 commercial banks in Vietnam using the GMM estimator to test the multimarket contact hypothesis in the Vietnamese banking sector. The results show that there is a negative impact of multimarket contact on the profitability of banks. Multimarket contact, deposit to asset ratio, non-interest income to total income, GDP growth rate, Worldwide Governance Indicator (WGI), and operating cost to assets are the major determinants of risk-adjusted profitability of commercial banks. Our main findings show that Vietnamese banks' focus to increase the multimarket contact may lead to lower profitability and there is evidence that supports theory predictions, since the average number of contacts among banks, bank size, and capitalization are positively related to risk-adjusted profitability. The study has policy implications for commercial banks in that they should not only focus on interest as a source of income and diversify their income source from non-interest income as well since it helps to improve risk-adjusted profitability for them.