• 제목/요약/키워드: Tobit Regression Analysis

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Random Effects Tobit 회귀모형을 이용한 교차로 교통사고 요인 분석 (An Analysis on Vehicle Accident Factors of Intersections using Random Effects Tobit Regression Model)

  • 이상혁;이정범
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.26-37
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 random effects Tobit 회귀모형을 이용하여 도심지 교차로에 대한 교통사고모형을 개발하여 교통사고와 요인간의 상관관계를 파악하는 것이 목적이다. Random effects Tobit 회귀모형의 적용성을 비교 분석하기 위하여 fixed effect Tobit 회귀모형을 산정하였다. 산정결과, 교통량, 제한속도, 차로수, 토지이용, 우회전차로, 전방신호등이 유효한 변수로 나타났으며, 총 교통사고율에 대한 random effects 모형의 모형 적합도(결정계수: 0.418, 로그-우도함수값: -3210.103, 우도비: 0.056)와 모형 설명력(MAD: 19.533, MAPE: 75.725, RMSE: 26.886)은 fixed effects 모형의 모형 적합도 (결정계수: 0.298, 로그-우도함수값: -3276.138, 우도비: 0.037)와 모형 설명력(MAD: 20.725, MAPE: 82.473, RMSE: 27.267)보다 우수한 것으로 나타났으며, 부상교통사고율에 대한 교통사고모형에서도 총 교통사고율의 산정결과와 동일하게 나타나 두 모형에서 random effects Tobit 회귀모형이 다소 우수한 것으로 분석되었다.

장미농가의 생산효율성 분석: DEA와 SFA 기법 비교를 중심으로 (Productive Efficiency of the Rose Farming Business: A Comparison of DEA and SFA)

  • 김기태;김원경;정지영
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.8719-8727
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 장미농가의 생산효율성을 측정하고, 경영의 비효율성에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악하기 위한 연구이다. SFA(Stochastic Frontier Analysis) 기법과 DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) 기법을 사용하여 생산효율성을 측정하였으며, 효율성에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하기 위하여 Tobit 회귀 분석을 실시하였다. 먼저, SFA 방법을 통한 생산효율성은 88.4%으로 측정되었으며, DEA 방법에서 불변규모수익(CRS) 모형과 변동수익규모(VRS) 모형을 통해서는 생산효율성이 각각 78.5%와 85.2%로 측정되었다. 특히 두 가지 방법의 생산효율성 측정결과는 각 경영체의 효율성 순위를 동일하게 설명하고 있어 상호보완적이다. 다음으로 Tobit 분석 결과, 투입한 6개의 변수가 모두 효율성에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 종묘비와 제재료비는 (+) 부호를 나타냄과 동시에 회귀계수가 가장 크게 나타나 효율성에 미치는 영향력이 가장 큰 경영 항목으로 분석되었다. 이러한 결과는 장미농가는 종묘비와 제재료비의 투입을 증대시켜 더욱 높은 소득을 창출하는 방식으로 경영 효율성을 증대시켜야 함을 시사한다.

DEA 모형을 활용한 소매점의 효율성 및 결정요인 분석 (The Analyses of the Operational Efficiency and Efficiency Factors of Retail Stores Using DEA Model)

  • 고경완;김대철
    • 경영과학
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the operational efficiency of 91 individual retail stores in Seoul by a two-step procedure. In the first step, a data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is used to identify the efficiency scores. Three inputs (store size, number of items, and number of employees) and two outputs (sales and number of customers) are used for the efficiency measurement. In the second step, a Tobit regression model is used to identify the drivers of efficiency. DEA efficiency scores are used to test hypotheses on the impact of five independent variables, namely store age, number of items per store size, number of items per employee, trade area index, and number of competitors. Results of the Tobit analysis show that number of items per store size, number of items per employee, and number of competitors play a significant role in influencing the operational efficiency of retail stores. Managerial implications of the study are discussed.

국가 위암검진 수검률의 지역 간 변이 (Regional Variation in National Gastric Cancer Screening Rate in Korea)

  • 박주현;최소영;이광수
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.296-303
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    • 2017
  • Background: This study purposed to analyze regional factors related to gastric cancer screening rate provided by national cancer screening program in Korea. Methods: The unit of analysis was administrative districts of si gun gu level. Dependent variable was regional gastric cancer screening rate provided by national cancer screening program, and regional variables were selected to represent the regional characteristics such as demographic, health behavior and status, socioeconomic, and health resource. Tobit regression was applied for the analysis. Results: Analysis results showed that gastric cancer screening rate was varied depending on regions from 47.8% to 69.1%. Tobit regression showed that gastric cancer screening rate had negative relationships with smoking rate, financial independence rate, and National Health Insurance premium per capita. And regional gastric cancer screening rate had positive relationships with sex ratio and number of gastric cancer screening center. Conclusion: Regional characteristics should be considered in establishing regional policies for increasing the gastric cancer screening rate.

Analysis of Bank Efficiency Between Conventional Banks and Regional Development Banks in Indonesia

  • ABIDIN, Zaenal;PRABANTARIKSO, R.Mahelan;WARDHANI, Rhisya Ayu;ENDRI, Endri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.741-750
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    • 2021
  • The research aims to analyze the level of efficiency by grouping banks during the period 2017 - 2018 into category 1 and category 2 banks and then dividing them as Regional Development Banks (BPD) and Non-BPD Conventional Commercial Banks (BUK) within each category. The research objects are banks within the categories BPD and BUK comprised 18 BPDs and 35 BUKs. The research methodology uses 3 stages, first, using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) we measure the level of bank efficiency; second, using the Tobit regression model we evaluate the effect of financial performance on DEA efficiency, and third, using the Mann-Whitney test we determine whether there is a difference in the efficiency of category 1 and 2 banks. The results showed that there was a decrease in the efficiency of category 1 and 2 banks but on average, the efficiency of category 1 banks is higher than category 2 banks. The estimation results of the Tobit regression model show that only the ROA variable affects the efficiency level of category 1 banks, while category 2 banks are influenced by NPL and ROA variables. In the Mann-Whitney test, it was proven that there were differences in efficiency between BUK and BPD in category 1 and 2 banks.

Using Tobit Regression Analysis to Further Understand the Association of Youth Alcohol Problems with Depression and Parental Factors among Korean Adolescent Females

  • Delva, Jorge;Grogan-Kaylor, Andrew;Steinhoff, Emily;Shin, Dong-Eok;Siefert, Kristine
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : This study characterized the extent to which youth depressive symptoms, parental alcohol problems, and parental drinking account for differences in alcohol-related problems among a large sample of adolescent females. Methods : The stratified sample consists of 2077 adolescent females from twelve female-only high schools located in a large metropolitan city in the Republic of Korea. Students completed a questionnaire about alcohol use and alcohol problems, their parents' alcohol problems, and a number of risk and protective factors. Data were analyzed using tobit regression analyses to better characterize the associations among variables. Results : Almost two-thirds of students who consume alcohol had experienced at least one to two alcohol-related problems in their lives and 54.6% reported at least one current symptom of depression, with nearly one-third reporting two depressive symptoms. Two-thirds of the students indicated that at least one parent had an alcohol-related problem, and that approximately 29% had experienced several problems. Results of tobit regression analyses indicate that youth alcohol-related problems are positively associated with depressive symptoms (p<0.01) and parent drinking problems (p<0.05). Parental drinking is no longer significant when the variable parental attention is added to the model. Decomposition of the tobit parameters shows that for every unit of increase in depressive symptoms and in parent drinking problems, the probability of a youth experiencing alcohol problems increases by 6% and 1%, respectively. For every unit of increase in parental attention, the probability of youth experiencing drinking problems decreases by 5%. Conclusions : This study presents evidence that alcohol-related problems and depressive symptoms are highly prevalent among adolescent females. Although a comprehensive public health approach is needed to address drinking and mental health problems, different interventions are needed to target factors associated with initiation of alcohol problems and those associated with increased alcohol problems among those who already began experiencing such problems.

자료포락분석(DEA)를 이용한 우리나라 서비스산업의 효율성과 결정요인 분석 (A Study on the Efficiency and Its Determinants in Korea's Service Sectors Using DEA)

  • 배세영
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권10호
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 2010년부터 2019년까지 우리나라 10개의 서비스산업을 중심으로 자료포락분석 (DEA)을 이용하여 생산효율성을 측정하고 단절토빗회귀모형과 중도절단토빗회귀모형을 이용하여 그 결정요인을 분석하는 것이다. 분석결과, 첫째, 추정된 서비스산업의 효율성은 대체적으로 매우 낮았고 양극화되어 있었으며, '하수·폐기물 처리, 원료재생업'의 경우 기술적 비효율성이 규모의 비효율성에 기인하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 둘째, 결정요인 분석에서는 투자와 연구개발비는 기술효율성에 정(+)의 관계에 있고, 해외직접투자와 접대비는 부(-)의 영향을 주는 것으로 측정되었다. 또한, 규모가 큰 산업일수록 효율성도 높은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 우리나라 미래의 산업인 서비스산업의 발전을 위한 정부의 경제정책은 투자와 연구개발활동을 통한 거시정책과 해외직접투자와 인적자본의 융합 등 미시적인 부문이 동시에 고려되는 보다 융합적 정책이 필요하다.

DEA와 Tobit 모형을 이용한 철도산업 효율성 결정요인 분석 (Analyzing the Influence Factors on Efficiency of Railway Transport using DEA and Tobit Model)

  • 이윤미;유재균
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.1030-1036
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 철도산업의 효율성을 측정하는데 있어 내부요인인 운영기관의 생산활동 뿐만 아니라 구조개혁으로 인한 조직유형, 사회경제적 관점에서 통제 불가능한 환경요인 등이 철도산업 효율성을 결정짓는데 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 분석하였다. 우리나라를 비롯하여 1990년 이후 구조개혁이 활발히 진행된 유럽국가와 일본을 대상으로, 철도산업 효율성 측정에 적합한 DEA방법을 이용하여 1990년~2006년까지의 효율성 값을 구하였다. 그 결과 우리나라는 모든 연도에 걸쳐 상대적으로 효율적으로 추정되었고, 전반적으로 평가대상국들의 효율성이 시간이 지남에 따라 향상되었음을 나타내었다. 또한 효율성 결정요인을 분석하고자 DEA방법으로 추정된 효율성 값을 종속변수로 하고, 구조개혁으로 인한 조직유형, 사회경제적 환경요인을 독립변수로 한 Tobit 분석에서는 시설과 운영을 분리하는 수직적 분리와 화물과 여객을 분리하는 수평적 분리가 효율성에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 철도산업의 경쟁력 강화와 경영효율성을 제고하기 위한 구조개혁은 그 과정과 결과에 대한 신중한 검토 및 평가가 이루어져야 함을 시사하였다.

Tobit 모형을 이용한 간선도로 사고 요인 분석 (Analysis of Accident Factors at Arterial Roads Using Tobit Model)

  • 김경환;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : The intents of the study are to identify the accident factors and to demonstrate the potentials of tobit model as a tool to study the number of accidents on arterial roads segments. METHODS : This paper uses a tobit regression as a methodology to analyze the factors affecting the number of accidents. In pursuing the above goal, this study gives particular attentions to analyzing the data of 2,446 accidents (1,610 in major arterial roads and 836 in minor arterial roads) occurred on arterial roads in 2007 to 2010. RESULTS : First, 3 accident models which were classified by total arterial roads, major arterial roads and minor arterial roads, and were all statistically significant were developed. Second, the exclusive right-turn lane as common variable, and the number of accident, traffic volume, number of lanes, link length, rate of median, number of entrances, number of pedestrian crossings, number of curves, number of bus stops and exclusive left-turn as specific variables of the models were selected. Finally, the paired sample t-test could not be rejected the null hypotheses of three types of models. CONCLUSIONS : Using data from vehicle accidents on arterial roads, the estimation results show that many factors related to roadway geometrics and traffic characteristics significantly affect to the number of accidents.

DEA모형을 이용한 종합병원의 효율성 측정과 영향요인 (An Investigation of Factors Affecting Management Efficiency in Korean General Hospitals Using DEA Model)

  • 안인환;양동현
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.71-92
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the efficiency in management of general hospitals and investigate the major factors on efficiency. Specifically, the management of each general hospital is evaluated by using Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) technique which is a nonparametric statistical method for measurement of efficiency. Then, the influencing factors are investigated through analyses of Decision-Tree Model and Tobit Regression. The target hospitals were general hospitals in which bed sizes are between 200 and 500 among a total of 276 general hospitals. The main data of financial indicators were collected from 48 hospitals, and it was analyzed by using two statistical models. For Model I, three input and two output variables were used for efficiency evaluation. In particular, three input variables were the number of medical doctors, the number of paramedical personnel, and the bed size. And, two output variables were the numbers of inpatients and outpatients per year, adjusted by bed-size. The results of DEA analysis showed that only seven out of 48 hospitals(15%) turned out to be efficient. The decision-tree analysis also showed that there were six significant influencing factors for Model I. Six factors for Model I were Bed Occupancy Rate, Cost per Adjusted Inpatient, New Visit Ratio of Outpatients, Retired Ratio, Net Profit to Gross Revenues, Net Profit to Total Assets. In addition, the management efficiency of hospital is proved to increase as profit and patient-induced indicators increase and cost-related indicators decrease, by the Tobit regression model of independent variables derived from the decision-tree analysis. This study may be contributable to the development of analytic methodology regarding the efficiency of hospital management in that it suggests the synthetic measures by utilizing DEA model instead of suggesting simple ratio-analyzing results.

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