• 제목/요약/키워드: TimeSeries Data

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컨벌루션 신경망과 변종데이터를 이용한 시계열 패턴 인식 (Convolutional Neural Network and Data Mutation for Time Series Pattern Recognition)

  • 안명호;류미현
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2016년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.727-730
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    • 2016
  • TSC(Time Series Classification)은 시계열데이터를 패턴에 따라 분류하는 것으로, 시계열이 매우 흔한 데이터형태이고, 또한 활용도가 높기 때문에 오랜 시간동안 Data Mining 과 Machine Learning 분야의 주요한 이슈였다. 전통적인 방법에서는 Distance와 Dictionary 기반의 방법들을 많이 활용하였으나, Time Scale과 Random Noise의 문제로 인해 분류의 정확도가 제한되었다. 본 논문에서는 Deep Learning의 CNN(Convolutional Neural Network)과 변종데이터(Data Mutation)을 이용해 정확도를 향상시킨 방법을 제시한다. CNN은 이미지분야에서 이미 검증된 신경망 모델로써 시계열데이터의 특성을 나타내는 Feature를 인식하는데 효과적으로 활용할 수 있고, 변종데이터는 하나의 데이터를 다양한 방식으로 변종을 만들어 CNN이 특정 패턴의 가능한 변형에 대해서도 학습할 수 있도록 데이터를 제공한다. 제시한 방식은 기존의 방식보다 우수한 정확도를 보여준다.

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시계열 데이터 결측치 처리 기술 동향 (Technical Trends of Time-Series Data Imputation)

  • 김에덴;고석갑;손승철;이병탁
    • 전자통신동향분석
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2021
  • Data imputation is a crucial issue in data analysis because quality data are highly correlated with the performance of AI models. Particularly, it is difficult to collect quality time-series data for uncertain situations (for example, electricity blackout, delays for network conditions). Thus, it is necessary to research effective methods of time-series data imputation. Many studies on time-series data imputation can be divided into 5 parts, including statistical based, matrix-based, regression-based, deep learning (RNN and GAN) based methodologies. This study reviews and organizes these methodologies. Recently, deep learning-based imputation methods are developed and show excellent performance. However, it is associated to some computational problems that make it difficult to use in real-time system. Thus, the direction of future work is to develop low computational but high-performance imputation methods for application in the real field.

일별 시계열을 이용한 월별 시계열의 계절조정 (Seasonal adjustment for monthly time series based on daily time series)

  • 이긍희
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.457-471
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    • 2023
  • 월별 시계열은 일별 시계열의 월별 합이지만, 일별 시계열을 대체로 관측할 수 없어서 요일구성변동, 명절·공휴일변동 등 달력변동을 가상적으로 가정한 가변수를 포함한 RegARIMIA 모형을 이용하여 추정하고 있다. 일별 시계열을 관측할 수 있다면 요일구성변동, 명절·공휴일변동 등 달력변동을 일별 시계열을 바탕으로 추정할 수 있고 이를 이용하여 월별 시계열의 계절조정을 개선할 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 일별 시계열의 달력변동 추정을 이용하여 월별 시계열의 계절조정을 개선하는 방법을 제안하고, 이 방법을 적용하여 3개의 월별 시계열을 계절조정하고 기존의 X-13ARIMA-SEATS를 이용한 계절조정과 비교하였다.

FINANCIAL TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING FUZZY REARRANGED INTERVALS

  • Jung, Hye-Young;Yoon, Jin-Hee;Choi, Seung-Hoe
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2012
  • The fuzzy time series is introduced by Song and Chissom([8]) to construct a pattern for time series with vague or linguistic value. Many methods using the interval and fuzzy logical relationship related with historical data have been suggested to enhance the forecasting accuracy. But they do not fully reflect the fluctuation of historical data. Therefore, we propose the interval rearranged method to reflect the fluctuation of historical data and to improve the forecasting accuracy of fuzzy time series. Using the well-known enrollment, the proposed method is discussed and the forecasting accuracy is evaluated. Empirical studies show that the proposed method in forecasting accuracy is superior to existing methods and it fully reflects the fluctuation of historical data.

Vegetation Classification from Time Series NOAA/AVHRR Data

  • Yasuoka, Yoshifumi;Nakagawa, Ai;Kokubu, Keiko;Pahari, Krishna;Sugita, Mikio;Tamura, Masayuki
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1999년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.429-432
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    • 1999
  • Vegetation cover classification is examined based on a time series NOAA/AVHRR data. Time series data analysis methods including Fourier transform, Auto-Regressive (AR) model and temporal signature similarity matching are developed to extract phenological features of vegetation from a time series NDVI data from NOAA/AVHRR and to classify vegetation types. In the Fourier transform method, typical three spectral components expressing the phenological features of vegetation are selected for classification, and also in the AR model method AR coefficients are selected. In the temporal signature similarity matching method a new index evaluating the similarity of temporal pattern of the NDVI is introduced for classification.

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머신러닝 기법을 활용한 대용량 시계열 데이터 이상 시점탐지 방법론 : 발전기 부품신호 사례 중심 (Anomaly Detection of Big Time Series Data Using Machine Learning)

  • 권세혁
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2020
  • Anomaly detection of Machine Learning such as PCA anomaly detection and CNN image classification has been focused on cross-sectional data. In this paper, two approaches has been suggested to apply ML techniques for identifying the failure time of big time series data. PCA anomaly detection to identify time rows as normal or abnormal was suggested by converting subjects identification problem to time domain. CNN image classification was suggested to identify the failure time by re-structuring of time series data, which computed the correlation matrix of one minute data and converted to tiff image format. Also, LASSO, one of feature selection methods, was applied to select the most affecting variables which could identify the failure status. For the empirical study, time series data was collected in seconds from a power generator of 214 components for 25 minutes including 20 minutes before the failure time. The failure time was predicted and detected 9 minutes 17 seconds before the failure time by PCA anomaly detection, but was not detected by the combination of LASSO and PCA because the target variable was binary variable which was assigned on the base of the failure time. CNN image classification with the train data of 10 normal status image and 5 failure status images detected just one minute before.

TIME SERIES PREDICTION USING INCREMENTAL REGRESSION

  • Kim, Sung-Hyun;Lee, Yong-Mi;Jin, Long;Chai, Duck-Jin;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.635-638
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    • 2006
  • Regression of conventional prediction techniques in data mining uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to time series, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an incremental regression for time series prediction like typhoon track prediction. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of typhoon track prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMLR(Incremental Multiple Linear Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

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Evolvable Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction with Adaptive Learning Interval

  • Seo, Sang-Wook;Lee, Dong-Wook;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents adaptive learning data of evolvable neural networks (ENNs) for time series prediction of nonlinear dynamic systems. ENNs are a special class of neural networks that adopt the concept of biological evolution as a mechanism of adaptation or learning. ENNs can adapt to an environment as well as changes in the enviromuent. ENNs used in this paper are L-system and DNA coding based ENNs. The ENNs adopt the evolution of simultaneous network architecture and weights using indirect encoding. In general just previous data are used for training the predictor that predicts future data. However the characteristics of data and appropriate size of learning data are usually unknown. Therefore we propose adaptive change of learning data size to predict the future data effectively. In order to verify the effectiveness of our scheme, we apply it to chaotic time series predictions of Mackey-Glass data.

Evolvable Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction with Adaptive Learning Interval

  • Lee, Dong-Wook;Kong, Seong-G;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.920-924
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents adaptive learning data of evolvable neural networks (ENNs) for time series prediction of nonlinear dynamic systems. ENNs are a special class of neural networks that adopt the concept of biological evolution as a mechanism of adaptation or learning. ENNs can adapt to an environment as well as changes in the environment. ENNs used in this paper are L-system and DNA coding based ENNs. The ENNs adopt the evolution of simultaneous network architecture and weights using indirect encoding. In general just previous data are used for training the predictor that predicts future data. However the characteristics of data and appropriate size of learning data are usually unknown. Therefore we propose adaptive change of learning data size to predict the future data effectively. In order to verify the effectiveness of our scheme, we apply it to chaotic time series predictions of Mackey-Glass data.

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인공신경망 기초 의사결정트리 분류기에 의한 시계열모형화에 관한 연구 (A Neural Network-Driven Decision Tree Classifier Approach to Time Series Identification)

  • 오상봉
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1996
  • We propose a new approach to classifying a time series data into one of the autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models. It is bases on two pattern recognition concepts for solving time series identification. The one is an extended sample autocorrelation function (ESACF). The other is a neural network-driven decision tree classifier(NNDTC) in which two pattern recognition techniques are tightly coupled : neural network and decision tree classfier. NNDTc consists of a set of nodes at which neural network-driven decision making is made whether the connecting subtrees should be pruned or not. Therefore, time series identification problem can be stated as solving a set of local decisions at nodes. The decision values of the nodes are provided by neural network functions attached to the corresponding nodes. Experimental results with a set of test data and real time series data show that the proposed approach can efficiently identify the time seires patterns with high precision compared to the previous approaches.

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