• 제목/요약/키워드: Time zero

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조건부 포아송 및 음이항 분포를 이용한 영-과잉 INGARCH 자료 분석 (Zero-Inflated INGARCH Using Conditional Poisson and Negative Binomial: Data Application)

  • 윤재은;황선영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.583-592
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    • 2015
  • 영-과잉(zero-inflation) 현상은 최근 계수(count) 시계열 분석의 주요토픽으로 다루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 영-과잉 계수 시계열의 변동성을 연구하고 있다. 기존의 정수형 모형인 INGARCH(integer valued GRACH) 모형에 조건부 포아송 및 조건부 음이항 분포를 사용하여 변동성에 영-과잉 현상을 추가하였다. 모수 추정 방법으로 EM알고리즘을 사용하였으며 국내 콜레라 발생건수에 적용시켜 보았다.

스마트공장을 위한 IT 융합 표준화 동향 분석과 시스템 구조 (The System Architecture and Standardzation of Production IT Convergence for Smart Factory)

  • 차석근;윤재영;홍정기;강현구;조현찬
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2015
  • Smart factory requires 4 Zero factors including Zero Waiting-time, Zero Inventory, Zero Defect, Zero Down-time) that needs IT convergence for production resources of 4M1E(Man, Machine, Material, Method, Energy) in real time and event processing in all type of manufacturing enterprises. This paper will be explaining about core emerging production IT convergence technologies including cyber device security, 4M1E integration, real time event driven architecture, common platform of manufacturing standard applications, smart factory to-be model for small and medium manufacturing enterprises.

원점이 이동한 비대칭-변동성 모형의 제안 및 응용 (Asymmetric volatility models with non-zero origin shifted from zero : Proposal and application)

  • 이예진;황선영;이성덕
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 비대칭 변동성을 다루고 있다. 대표적인 비대칭 모형인 분계점-ARCH에서 원점이 영(zero)에서 이동한 모형을 제안하고 있다. 제안된 모형은 변동성의 최소값이 비-영(non-zero)에서 생기는 특수한 구조의 비대칭 모형이며 AIC 등의 모형선택기준과 더불어 모수적-붓스트랩을 통한 예측분포를 이용하여 원점으로부터의 이동량을 결정할 수 있다. 팬데믹 기간의 국내 종합주가지수(KOSPI) 자료 분석을 통해 모형의 응용 절차를 예시하였다.

계수 시계열을 위한 정수값 GARCH 모델링: 사례분석 (Integer-Valued GARCH Models for Count Time Series: Case Study)

  • 윤재은;황선영
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 정수값을 갖는 계수 시계열의 조건부 이차적률인 변동성(volatility)을 다루고 있다. 여러 가지 정수값 GARCH, 즉, INGARCH 모형들을 소개하고 계수 시계열인 국내 풍진발생건수에 적용시켜 보았다. 과산포(over-dispersion)와 영과잉(zero-inflation)현상을 계수 시계열의 변동성 분석 입장에서 살펴보았고 향후 분석 모형으로서 영과잉(zero-inflation) INGARCH 모형인 ZI-INGARCH 모형을 살펴보았다.

사고기록장치의 기록 시점에 대한 사례연구 (Case Study on the Time Zero (T0) of Event Data Recorder)

  • 박종진;박정만;박정우;인병덕
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2023
  • On December 19, 2015, as Article 29-3 (Installation of Accident Recording Devices and Provision of Information) of Motor Vehicle Management Act came into force, In Korea, the EDR (Event Data Recorder) reports are often used for the analysis of various traffic accident cases such as multiple collisions, traffic insurance crimes, and sudden unintended acceleration (SUA), and the others. So many investigators have analyzed the driver's behavior and vehicle situation by comparing the time zero in the EDR report to the actual crash time in dash-cam (or CCTV). Time zero (T0) is defined as the reference time for the record interval or time interval when recording an accident in Article 56-2, Enforcement rule of Performance and Standard for Automobile and Automotive parts. Also in the EDR report, time zero (T0) is defined as whichever of the following occurs first; 1. "wake-up" by an air-bag control system, 2. Continuously running algorithms (by monitoring of longitudinal or lateral delta-V), 3. Deployment of a non-reversible deployment restraint. We have already proposed the "Flowchart & Checklist" to adopt the EDR report for traffic accident investigation and the necessity of specialized institutions or courses to systematically educate or analyze the EDR data. Therefore, in this paper, we report to traffic accident investigators notable points and analysis methods based on some real-world traffic accidents that can be misjudged in specifying time zero (T0).

Z-source 직류 차단기의 기계식 스위치 적용을 위한 최적화 설계 (Optimization Design for the Use of Mechanical Switch in Z-source DC Circuit Breaker)

  • 이현승;이건아
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2022
  • Circuit breakers are a crucial factor in ensuring the safety of a Direct Current (DC) grid. One type of DC circuit breaker, the Z-source DC circuit breaker (ZCB), uses a thyristor, which is a type of semiconductor switch. In the event of a fault in the circuit, the ZCB isolates the fault by generating a zero crossing current in the thyristor. The thyristor quickly and actively isolates the fault while generating a zero crossing current, but thyristor switch cannot control turn-off and the allowable current is lower than the current of the mechanical switch. Therefore, it is best to use a mechanical switch with a high allowable current capacity that is capable of on/off control. Due to the slow reaction time of mechanical switches, they may not isolate the fault during the zero crossing current time interval created by the existing circuit. In this case, the zero crossing current time can be increased by using the property that hinders the rapid change in the current of the inductor. This paper will explore whether adding system inductance to increase the zero crossing current time interval is a solution to this problem. The simulation of changing inductor and capacitor (LC) of the circuit is repeated to find an optimal change in the zero crossing current time according to the LC change and provides an inductor and capacitor range optimized for a specific load. The inductor and capacitor range are expected to provide optimization information in the form LC values for future applications of ZCB's using a mechanical switch.

Estimation for the Time-t Discounted Price of Multiple Defaultable Zero Coupon Bond

  • Park, Heung-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2009
  • We consider a multiple defaultable zero coupon bond. Assuming defaults occur according to a marked point process, we explain how to estimate the time-t discounted price of zero coupon bond by simulation. For the special case of a given specific random face value, we show that the real probability measure is the risk neutral probability measure. In this case the time-t discounted conditional price can be obtained by observing a single sample path upto the time t in the real world. Furthermore the time-t discounted price can be estimated by observing real situations or by simulation under the real probability measure.

음성신호의 실시간 처리기법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Real Time Processing Technique of speech Signal)

  • 이택수;안창;김성락;이상범
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1987년도 전기.전자공학 학술대회 논문집(II)
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    • pp.1094-1096
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    • 1987
  • Zero-crossing analysis techniques have been applied to speech recognition. Zero-crossing rate, level-crossing rate and differentiated zero-crossing rate in time domain we used in analyzing speech signals. Speech samples could be stored in memory buffer in real time.

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아크지속시간 측정을 통한 나선형 VI 전극의 전극배치에 따른 아크제어 성능비교 (Comparison of Arc Control Ability as a Function of Configuration of Spiral Type VI Contacts by Measuring Arcing Time)

  • 김병철;박홍태;오일성;임기조
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.184-190
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    • 2009
  • One of the purposes of arc control is to change its state to the diffuse state before current zero as soon as possible. This can provide optimal conditions for full extinction of arc by minimizing the quantity of residual plasma between contacts near current zero. TRV(transient recovery voltage) occurs at current zero at the same time with current interruption. If there is substantial residual plasma near current zero it can cause 'post arc current' by the interaction of its conductance with TRV. In this paper, arc control ability as a function of configuration of spiral type VI contacts was compared on the criteria of the time taken for arc to reach to the diffuse state.

Evaluation of Muscular Atrophy and Fatty Infiltration Using Time-zero Magnetic Resonance Imaging as Baseline Data, After Rotator Cuff Repair

  • Kim, Hyoung Bok;Yoo, Jae Chul;Jeong, Jeung Yeol
    • Clinics in Shoulder and Elbow
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.70-78
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    • 2019
  • Background: This study evaluated postoperative changes in the supraspinatus from time-zero to 6 months, using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). We hypothesized that restoration of the musculotendinous unit of the rotator cuff by tendon repair immediately improves the rotator cuff muscle status, and maintains it months after surgery. Methods: Totally, 76 patients (29 men, 47 women) with rotator cuff tears involving the supraspinatus tendon who underwent arthroscopic rotator cuff repairs were examined. MRI evaluation showed complete repair with intact integrity of the torn tendon at both time-zero and at 6 months follow-up. All patients underwent standardized MRI at our institution preoperatively, at 1 or 2 days postoperative, and at 6 months after surgery. Supraspinatus muscular (SSP) atrophy (Thomazeau grade) and fatty infiltrations (Goutallier stage) were evaluated by MRI. The cross-sectional area of SSP in the fossa was also measured. Results: As determined by MRI, the cross-sectional area of SSP significantly decreased 11.41% from time-zero (immediate repair) to 6 months post-surgery, whereas the Goutallier stage and Thomazeau grade showed no significant changes (p<0.01). Furthermore, compared to the preoperative MRI, the postoperative MRI at 6 months showed a no statistically significant increase of 8.03% in the cross-sectional area. In addition, morphological improvements were observed in patients with high grade Goutallier and Thomazeau at time-zero, whereas morphology of patients with low grade factors were almost similar to before surgery. Conclusions: Our results indicate that cross-sectional area of the initial repair appears to decrease after a few months postoperatively, possibly due to medial retraction or strained muscle.