• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time prediction

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Effects of Environmental Factors on the Stability and Vegetation Survival in Cutting Slope of Forest Roads (임도 절토 비탈면의 안정과 식생활착에 미치는 환경인자의 영향)

  • Jung, Won-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.74-83
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was investigate to the influence of forest roads characteristics and environment factors on the soil erosion, stability and vegetation survival of cut slope in forest roads. The results obtained could be summarized as follows; 1. The correlated factors between slope erosion and variables in cut slope were altitude, convex, degree of slope, length of slope and soil depth. In the stepwise regression analysis, length of slope and soil hardness was a high significant and its regression equation was given by -89.6136 + 15.0667X14 + 16.6713X15($R^2$ = 0.6712). 2. The main factors influencing the stability of cut slope were significant in order of coverage, middle, convex, length of slope and north, and its discriminant equation was given by -1.019 + 0.064X22 - 0.808X8 - 0.622X24 + 0.742X11 - 0.172X14 - 0.545X6 ($R^2$ = 0.793). 3. The centroids value of discriminant function in the stability and unstability estimated to 1.244 and -1.348, respectively. The boundary value between two groups related to slope stability was -0.1038. The prediction rate of discriminant function for stability evaluation of was as high as 91.3%. 4. The dominant species of invasion vegetation on the cut slope consist with Carex humilis, Agropyron tsukushiense var. transiens, Calamagrostis arundinacea, Miscanthus sinensis var. purpurascens, and Ixeris dentata in survey area. The rate of vegetation invasion more increased by time passed. 5. The life form of invasion vegetation in cut slop showed to $H-D_1-R_{2,3}-e$ type of the hemicryptophyte of dormancy form, dissem inated widely by wind and water of dissminule type, moderate extent and narrowest extent of radicoid type, erect form of growth form. 6. The correlated factors between forest enviroment and coverage appeared north, passage years and middle position of slope at 5% level. The forest environment factors influencing the invasion plants in survey area were shown in order to altitude, passage years, rock(none), forest type(mixed) and stone amount. The regression equation was given by 17.5228 - 0.0911X3 + 3.6189X28 15.8493X22 19.8544X25 + 0.3558X26 ($R^2$ = 0.4026).

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Characteristics of Heavy Metal Releases from the Abandoned Dogog Mine Tailing in Korea (도곡광산 광미의 중금속 용출 특성)

  • Park, Chang-Jin;Kim, Won-Il;Jeong, Goo-Bok;Lee, Jong-Sik;Ryu, Jong-Su;Yang, Jae-E.
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.316-322
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    • 2006
  • Objective of this research was to assess the release characteristics of metals from the mine tailing to base the prediction of metal load potential from tailing to soils. Water-soluble concentrations of Cd, Cu, Pb and Zn released from mine tailing after 2 hrs were 2.31, 129.38, 17.17, and 287.53 mg/kg, respectively, as compared to 1.6, 128, 108, and 142 mg/kg that were extractable by 0.1 M HCl. Kinetics of metal releases followed the power function model significantly indicating that more of water soluble fractions of those metals released at the initial short time, followed by a slow increase. Concentrations of metals released from tailing by water and 0.1 M HCl were in the orders of Zn > Cu > Pb > Cd. The breakthrough curve from the column experiment showed that concentrations of Cd, Cu, and Zn reached at highest after one pore volume, but that of Pb reached highest after five pore volumes when 0.1 M HCl was used as eluent. The release rate of Cd from mine tailing was the fastest but Pb was the slowest. The cumulative mass of metal released by 0.1 M HCl was in the order of Zn > Cu > Pb > Cd after nine pore volume elution.

A Study on the Conformity Assessment of Type Curve Models to Predict Production Performance in Coalbed Methane Reservoirs (CBM 저류층의 생산성 예측을 위한 표준곡선 모델의 적합성 평가 연구)

  • Kim, Changkyun;Lee, Jeonghwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2018
  • The cleat system in coalbed methane (CBM) reservoirs is generally occupied by water which liberated during the coalification process, and behavior of water have influence on CBM production performance. Therefore, it is essential to investigate the effect of the water saturation to operate the degasification process and predict the CBM production performance properly. In this study, type curve analyses were performed on CBM reservoirs under various water saturation to improve the prediction of production performance. A CBM reservoir models with fully-, modestly-, and undersaturated reservoir were built to get production data using GEM by CMG Ltd., and the data were matched with Fetkovich, Palacio-Blasingame(P-B), and Agarwal-Gardner (A-G) type curve. The results showed that undersaturated reservoir was successfully matched by A-G type curve, while the Fetkovich type curve was inappropriate for matching in the late time. The modestly saturated model could be almost corresponded with all the type curve methods at late production period. For the fully saturated model, after peak production had been reached, both P-B and A-G methods showed a proper match to the reservoir production data without long-term production period. Based on the results, merit and demerit of each type curve under specific water saturation were analyzed and listed. Therefore, it is believed that the production data analysis with proper type curve model considering water saturation can be performed to predict accurate production performance.

A Study of Predictive Factors of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Microcarcinoma(PMC) of Thyroid Gland (갑상선 미세유두암에서 경부림프절 전이의 예측인자에 대한 연구)

  • Yu, Hye-Mi;Ha, Tae-Kwun;Ryu, Sung-Mock;Kim, Woon-Won;Kim, Sang-Hyo
    • Korean Journal of Head & Neck Oncology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2010
  • Background : Though papillary microcarcinoma(PMC) of thyroid gland is known to have very favorable long-term prognosis, the recurrence in the neck and distant metastasis have been often reported. The predictive factors of node metastasis and tumor recurrence in clinical course were investigated to define surgical decision or guidelines in surgery of papillary microcarcinoma. Methods : The authors conducted a retrospective analysis of 216 patients of PMC treated with surgery at Department of Surgery, Busan Paik Hospital for the period from 1997 to 2007. Of these patients, 58 cases showing cervical lymph node metastasis at initial surgery were studied. Results : In overall 216 patients, the sex ratio of male to female was 1 : 9.3(male 21, female 195 cases), the mean age at the time of diagnosis was 44.7 years and the median tumor size was 6.61mm. Neck lymph node metastasis was found in 58 patients(26.9%), thyroid capsular invasion was 56 cases(25.9%), multifocality and bilaterality were found in 32(14.8%) and 29 cases(13.4%), respectively. Through statistical analysis, sex, capsular invasion, ETE, and tumor size(>5mm) were considered to be predictive factors of cervical lymph nodes metastasis. Of them, capsular invasion was the most predictive indicator of cervical lymph node metastasis on multivariate analysis. Nodal recurrence was observed in 6 of 58 patients of node positive at initial surgery. Conclusion : The cervical lymph node metastasis is known to be a risk factor of prognosis in PMC of thyroid gland. The results of this study showed four statistically significant independent predictive factors of cervical lymph node metastasis in PMC : capsular invasion, tumor size(>5mm), ETE, and sex. On multivariate analysis, capsular invasion was a great influencing factor in prediction of lymph node metastasis. Basically, patients who has predictive factors of cervical lymph node metastasis should have a thorough investigation, and close surveillance for nodal status is required in follow-up.

Design and Implementation of a Web Server Using a Learning-based Dynamic Thread Pool Scheme (학습 기반의 동적 쓰레드 풀 기법을 적용한 웹 서버의 설계 및 구현)

  • Yoo, Seo-Hee;Kang, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Kwon-Yong;Park, Sung-Yong
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2010
  • As the number of user increases according to the improvement of the network, the multi-thread schemes are used to process the service requests of several users who are connected simultaneously. The static thread pool scheme has the problem of occupying a static amount of system resources. On the other hand, the dynamic thread pool scheme can control the number of threads according to the users' requests. However, it has disadvantage that this scheme cannot react to the requests which are larger than the maximum value assigned. In this paper, a web server using a learning-based dynamic thread pool scheme is suggested, which will be running on a server programming of a multi-thread environment. The suggested scheme adds the creation of the threads through the prediction of the next number of periodic requests using Auto Regressive scheme with the web server apache worker MPM (Multi-processing Module). Unlike previous schemes, in order to set the exact number of the necessary threads during the unchanged number of work requests in a certain period, K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm is used to learn the number of threads in advance according to the number of requests. The required number of threads is set by comparing with the previously learned objects. Then, the similar objects are selected to decide the number of the threads according to the request, and they create the threads. In this paper, the response time has decreased by modifying the number of threads dynamically, and the system resources can be used more efficiently by managing the number of threads according to the requests.

3D analysis of fracture zones ahead of tunnel face using seismic reflection (반사 탄성파를 이용한 터널막장 전방 파쇄대의 3차원적 예측)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Choi, Sang-Soon;Kim, Si-Tak;Kim, Chang-Ki;Jun, Jea-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.301-317
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    • 2002
  • Recently, a geophysical exploration technology is frequently utilized in the civil engineering field as well as in the resource exploration. It might be important for civil engineers to understand the fundamental theory of seismic survey and limitation of the technique when utilizing these techniques in the civil engineering field. A 3-dimensional migration technique based on the principle of ellipsoid to predict the fractured zone ahead of tunnel face utilizing the tunnel seismic survey was proposed so that the geometry of the fractured zone can be estimated, i.e. the angle between tunnel axis and discontinuity zone, and the dip. Moreover, a numerical analysis technique to simulate the TSP (Tunnel Seismic Prediction) test was proposed in this paper. Based on parametric studies, the best element size, the analysis time step, and the dynamic characteristics of pressure source were suggested to guarantee the stability and accuracy of numerical solution. Example problems on a hypothetical site showed the possibility that the 3-dimensional migration technique proposed in this paper appropriately estimate the 3D-geometry of fractures ahead of tunnel face.

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Feasibility of Stochastic Weather Data as an Input to Plant Phenology Models (식물계절모형 입력자료로서 확률추정 기상자료의 이용 가능성)

  • Kim, Dae-Jun;Chung, U-Ran;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2012
  • Daily temperature data produced by harmonic analysis of monthly climate summary have been used as an input to plant phenology model. This study was carried out to evaluate the performance of the harmonic based daily temperature data in prediction of major phenological developments and to apply the results in improving decision support for agricultural production in relation to the climate change scenarios. Daily maximum and minimum temperature data for a climatological normal year (Jan. 1 to Dec. 31, 1971-2000) were produced by harmonic analysis of the monthly climate means for Seoul weather station. The data were used as inputs to a thermal time - based phenology model to predict dormancy, budburst, and flowering of Japanese cherry in Seoul. Daily temperature measurements at Seoul station from 1971 to 2000 were used to run the same model and the results were compared with the harmonic data case. Leaving no information on annual variation aside, the harmonic based simulation showed 25 days earlier release from endodormancy, 57 days longer period for maximum cold tolerance, delayed budburst and flowering by 14 and 13 days, respectively, compared with the simulation based on the observed data. As an alternative to the harmonic data, 30 years daily temperature data were generated by a stochastic process (SIMMETEO + WGEN) using climatic summary of Seoul station for 1971-2000. When these data were used to simulate major phenology of Japanese cherry for 30 years, deviations from the results using observed data were much less than the harmonic data case: 6 days earlier dormancy release, 10 days reduction in maximum cold tolerance period, only 3 and 2 days delay in budburst and flowering, respectively. Inter-annual variation in phenological developments was also in accordance with the observed data. If stochastically generated temperature data could be used in agroclimatic mapping and zoning, more reliable and practical aids will be available to climate change adaptation policy or decision makers.

STUDIES ON THE MATHEMATICAL KINETICS FOR THE REMOVABLE MOVING SCREEN MEDIA-ACTIVATED SLUDGE PROCESS (회전형 반고정망 활성슬럿지 공법의 수학적 해석에 관한 연구 2. 슬럿지 생산량 및 축적과정과 유출수의 수질에 대하여)

  • HAN Ung-Jun;HAN Yeong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.175-179
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    • 1979
  • One of the major problems in tile activated sludge system has been difficulty in separating the microbial solids from the treated effluent and in returning them to the aeration tank. Another problem has been the digestion of the excess activated sludge. In constrast, it has not been difficult to separate the microbial solids from the treated effluent from the biological fixed-film systems(RBC process, Trickling Filter, FAST process). These systems have also featured less sludge production. Recently, it was proposed to experiment with the RESMAS process in order to eliminate the settling tank and sludge concentration facilities and to reduce the quantity of excess sludge for final disposal. The effluent quality could be predicted by .the concept of the maximum accumulation capacity. However, the hydraulic characteristics of the screen media in the RESMAS reactor were not dynamic. The object of the present study is to evalute the sludge accumulation rate and effluent quality prediction in the REMSMAS process designed in the dynamic hydraulic structure. This process can eliminate the final sedimentation tank and sludge concentration tank needed in the RBC, CMAS, Trickling Filter and FAST processes. Also, the effluent quality is desirable to compare with other processes. It appeared that the value of the sludge holding capacity was higher than those of the RESMAS and FAST processes, and the periods of the critical operating time were proportional to the substrate hydraulic loadings.

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Prediction of Structural Performance of an Automotive Ball Joint (자동차용 볼조인트의 구조적 성능 예측)

  • Kim, Seong-Uk;Jeong, Gyeong-Il;Lee, Kwon-Hee;Lee, Dong-Jin;Lee, Myeong-Gon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.705-713
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    • 2018
  • An automotive ball joint connects the suspension system to the steering system and helps to enable rotational and linear motion between the two elements for steering. This study examines a ball joint used in medium and large-sized pickup trucks. Ball joints consist of a stud, socket, bearing, and plug. The main structural performance metrics of ball joints are the pull-out strength and push-out strength. These structural parameters must meet certain criteria to avoid serious accidents. Test and simulation methods are used to investigate the design requirements, but tests are time-consuming and costly. In this study, we modeled ball joints in SolidWorks and performed a finite element analysis in Abaqus to predict structural performance. The analysis was used to obtain the structural performance required for the static analysis of a 2D axisymmetric model. The uncertainties in the manufacturing of the ball joint were assumed to be the manufacturing tolerances, and the dimensional design variables were identified through case studies. The manufacturing tolerances at each level were defined, and the results were compared with experimental results.

Influence of Stress Coping Style, Relationship Ability and Self-Esteem on Smartphone Addiction in Nuring Student (간호학생의 스트레스 대처유형, 대인관계 능력, 자존감이 스마트폰 중독에 미치는 영향)

  • Seong, Mi-Hyeon;Nam, Hye-Ri
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of stress coping style, relationship ability, and self-esteem on smartphone addiction in nursing students and to provide data for the development of intervention programs for smartphone addiction. The data were collected from 169 nursing students and analyzed with t-test, ANOVA and multiple regression by using SPSS 21.0 program. The smartphone addiction risk was shown to be 32%. Significant risk factors for smartphone addiction were problem focused coping style ( =-3.278, p=.031), hopeful prediction ( =.117, p=.044), circles presence ( =2.744 p=.019), motive for smartphone usage ( =-1.122 p=.003), and average daily using time ( =2.975 p=.000). These factors explained 43.6% of the variance in smartphone addiction. In conclusion, the results from this study suggest the need for the development of an intervention program for smartphone addiction, with consideration to the factors affecting smartphone addiction outlined in this study