• Title/Summary/Keyword: Thunderstorm

Search Result 53, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Estimating quantiles of extreme wind speed using generalized extreme value distribution fitted based on the order statistics

  • Liu, Y.X.;Hong, H.P.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.469-482
    • /
    • 2022
  • The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

A Study on Electrostatic Discharging in Ultrapure and Electrolyzed Waters Using Kelvin's Thunderstorm Effect (캘빈방전 효과를 이용한 초순수 및 전해이온수의 정전기 방전 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-won;Jung, Youn-won;Choi, In-sik;Choi, Byung-sun;Choi, Donghyeon;Ryoo, Kun-kul
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.5-11
    • /
    • 2022
  • Despite the increasing importance of manufacturing and application R&D for ultrapure deionized water and electrolyzed ion water, various and systematic studies have not been conducted until now. In this study, the electrostatic discharge (ESD) behavior of electrolyzed ion water using a proton exchange membrane(PEM) was evaluated according to the type, flow rate, and bubble of electrolyzed ion water. In addition, by observing that Oxidation Reduction Potential (ORP) value returns to the unique value of electrolyzed ion water after electrostatic discharge, the possibility of two types of ions participating in electrostatic discharge ((H2O)n+ (assumed)) and ions for maintaining the characteristics of electrolyzed water could be inferred. In order to confirm the chemical structure and characteristics of the cations, in-depth research related to water molecular orbital energy or band gap should be followed.

A Study of the "erlaubtes Risiko" in Aviation (항공 운항에서의 허용된 위험 법리에 대한 연구)

  • Ham, Se-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.201-230
    • /
    • 2010
  • With starting the industry of automobiles, railroads and mining, the legal principle of "erlaubtes Risiko" that began as a means of maintaining the revitalized world for the cause of social utility has interpreted as a system of negligence theory in the precedent while it has gained academic recognition. Yet in aircraft operation, which is one area of high technology, CAT which can be the cause of some accidents or events or thunderstorm with turbulence is an abnormal meteorological phenomenon with frequent change that cannot be monitored perfectly just as some patient with unstable condition and that cannot be ascertained about not only the possibility of its happening but also the degree of how big the accident is. Yet the use of jet current which has the possibility of CAT can be an act of high social utility where we not only drastically cut down on time fuel also guarantee the arrival and departure on schedule when landing in airports that have thunderstorm which does not appear as fatal risk. Although we could take some measures where we can predict and avoid the potential risk, easing the regular duty of care is necessary by applying the legal principles of permitted risk concerning the incidents and accidents caused by operating in areas with the risk of turbulence or CAT with the low probability by the reason of social utility.

  • PDF

A Study on the Characteristics of Convective Activities related to Atmospheric Stability Index and Thunderstorms over the Naro Space Center (나로우주센터 상공의 대기 안정도지수 및 뇌운관련 대류활동 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Il;Choi, Eun-Ho;Seo, Seong-Gyu
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.28 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1133-1145
    • /
    • 2019
  • Successful launch requires state-of-the-art launch vehicle technology and constant test operations, However, the meteorological threat to the launch vehicle flight trajectory is also an important factor for launch success. Atmospheric stability above the Naro Space Center at the this time is very important, especially because the initial flight operation can determine the success of the launch. Moreover, during the flight of launch vehicle with rapid pressure and thrust into the atmosphere, convection activity in the atmosphere may create environmental conditions that cause severe weather threats such as thunderstorms. Hence, studies of atmospheric instability characteristics over the Naro Space Center are a necessary part of successful launch missions. Therefore, the main aims of this study were to (1) verify the atmospheric stability index and convection activity characteristics over the Naro Space Center using radiosonde data observed from 2007 to 2018 by the Naro Space Center, (2) analyze changes in the atmospheric stability index according to monthly and seasonal changes, and (3) assess how the calculated atmospheric stability index is related to actual thunderstorm occurrence using statistical analysis. Additionally, we aimed to investigate the atmospheric characteristics above the Naro Space Center through the distribution chart of the atmospheric stability index during summer, when convection activity is highest. Finally, we assessed the relationship between lightning occurrence and unstable atmospheric conditions, through predictability analysis performed using the lightning observation data of the Korea Meteorological Administration.

A Numerical Simulation Study of a Heavy Rainfall Event over Daegwallyeong on 31 July 2014 (2014년 7월 31일 대관령에서 발생한 집중호우에 관한 수치모의 연구)

  • Choi, Seung-Bo;Lee, Jae Gyoo
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.159-183
    • /
    • 2016
  • On 31 July 2014, there was a localized torrential rainfall ($58.5mm\;hr^{-1}$) caused by a strong convective cell with thunder showers over Daegwallyeong. In the surface synoptic chart, a typhoon was positioned in the East China Sea and the subtropical high was expanded to the Korean peninsula. A WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) numerical simulation with a resolution of 1 km was performed for a detailed analysis. The simulation result showed a similar pattern in a reflectivity distribution particularly over the Gangwon-do region, compared with the radar reflectivity. According to the results of the WRF simulation, the process and mechanism of the localized heavy rainfall over Daegwallyeong are as follows: (1) a convective instability over the middle part of the Korean peninsula was enhanced due to the low level advection of warm and humid air from the North Pacific high. (2) There was easterly flow from the coast to the mountainous regions around Daegwallyeong, which was generated by the differential heating of the insolation among Daegwallyeong and the Yeongdong coastal plain, and nearby coastal waters. (3) In addition, westerly flow from the western part of Daegwallyeong caused a strong convergence in this region, generating a strong upward motion combined by an orographic effect. (4) This brought about a new convective cell over Daegwallyeong. And this cell was more developed by the outflow from another thunderstorm cell to the south, and finally these two cells were merged to develop as a strong convective cell with thunder showers, leading to the record breaking maximum rainfall per hour ($58.5mm\;hr^{-1}$) in July.

The Characteristics of Winter Lightning Observed in the Mid-western Part of Japan (일본 중서부지방에서 발생하는 동계 뇌 방전의 특징)

  • Lee, Jong-Ho;Kawasaki, Z.;Ryu, Chan-Su
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.181-189
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study analyzes the results of thunderstorm data observed in the mid-western part of Japan during the winter of 1996-1997. There were 35 instances of thunderstorms with 4,426 instances of lightning detected during the observation period. This study estimates the frequency of lightning occurrence through classification of detected lightning into two types, and analyzes the relationship between lightning types and synoptic pattern. According to the analyzed results, cloud-to-cloud discharge and positive polarity occupied 78% and 42.3% of total discharge, respectively. It is rare for lightning to occur in the winter season, usually occuring during the night (midnight to 5 a.m.). Lightning frequently occurs when there is a prevailing synoptic wind from the norhwest. According to the analyzed results of multiplicity and multi-point lightning, the mean values of multiplicity and multi-point lightning are 1.4 and 1.2, respectively.

Wind velocity field during thunderstorms

  • Ponte, Jacinto Jr.;Riera, Jorge D.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.287-300
    • /
    • 2007
  • Wind action is a factor of fundamental importance in the structural design of light or slender constructions. Codes for structural design usually assume that the incident mean wind velocity is parallel to the ground, which constitutes a valid simplification for frequent winds caused by meteorological phenomena such as Extratropical Storms (EPS) or Tropical Storms. Wind effects due to other phenomena, such as thunderstorms, and its combination with EPS winds in so-called squall lines, are simply neglected. In this paper a model that describes the three-dimensional wind velocity field originated from a downburst in a thunderstorm (TS) is proposed. The model is based on a semi empirical representation of an axially-symmetrical flow line pattern that describes a stationary field, modulated by a function that accounts for the evolution of the wind velocity with time. The model allows the generation of a spatially and temporally variable velocity field, which also includes a fluctuating component of the velocity. All parameters employed in the model are related to meteorological variables, which are susceptible of statistical assessment. A background wind is also considered, in order to account for the translational velocity of the thunderstorm, normally due to local wind conditions. When the translation of the TS is caused by an EPS, a squall line is produced, causing the highest wind velocities associated with TS events. The resulting vertical velocity profiles were also studied and compared with existing models, such as the profiles proposed by Vicroy, et al. (1992) and Wood and Kwok (1998). The present model predicts horizontal velocity profiles that depend on the distance to the storm center, effect not considered by previous models, although the various proposals are globally compatible. The model can be applied in any region of interest, once the relevant meteorological variables are known, to simulate the excitation due to TS winds in the design of transmission lines, long-span crossings, cable-stayed bridges, towers or similar structures.

A case of clomipramine and alprazolam on behavioral modification for the treatment of storm phobia in a Maltese (말티즈에서 폭풍공포증 치료를 위한 클로미프라민, 알프라졸람의 투여가 행동 수정에 미치는 임상 1례)

  • Sei-Myoung Han;Jae-Hyeon Cho;Chung-Hui Kim
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Service
    • /
    • v.46 no.2
    • /
    • pp.167-173
    • /
    • 2023
  • An 8-year-old female neutered Maltese dog exhibited signs of serious thunderstorm phobia including panting, wandering, shivering, hiding, crying or whining, or trying to escape from the house. In this study, we administered clomipramine and alprazolam and observed behavioral improvement for 3 years. Clinical symptoms measured according to the storm phobia assessment (SPA) were significantly high with an initial total score of 19 points. However, it improved to a total score of 8 on day 176 after drugs administration and returned to the normal level with the total score of 5 points on the 983 days. When the symptoms for the first 4 treatments and the last 4 treatments were compared in 2 groups, the total score of all clinical symptoms decreased to -62.83% in the last 4 treatments. This study found that treatment with alprazolam and clomipramine was associated with a decrease in clinical signs of storm anxiety, suggesting that two drugs would be effective in reducing symptoms caused by anxiety, thunderstorm phobia, and noise phobia. In this follow up study, we hope that more studies would be conducted on behavior modification for treatment of storm phobia in veterinary medicine.

A forensic study of the Lubbock-Reese downdraft of 2002

  • Holmes, J.D.;Hangan, H.M.;Schroeder, J.L.;Letchford, C.W.;Orwig, K.D.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.137-152
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper discusses engineering aspects of the rear-flank downdraft that was recorded near Lubbock, Texas on 4 June 2002, and produced a gust wind speed nearly equal to the design value (50-year return period) for the region. The general characteristics of the storm, and the decomposition of the time histories into deterministic 'running mean' and random turbulence components are discussed. The fluctuating wind speeds generated by the event can be represented as a dominant low-frequency 'running mean' with superimposed random turbulence of higher frequencies. Spectral and correlation characteristics of the residual turbulence are found to be similar to those of high-frequency turbulence in boundary-layer winds. However, the low-frequency components in the running-mean wind speeds are spatially homogeneous, in contrast to the low-frequency turbulence found in synoptic boundary-layer winds. With respect to transmission line design, this results in significantly higher 'span reduction factors'.

Meteorological events causing extreme winds in Brazil

  • Loredo-Souza, Acir M.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.177-188
    • /
    • 2012
  • The meteorological events that cause most strong winds in Brazil are extra-tropical cyclones, downbursts and tornadoes. However, one hurricane formed off the coastline of southern Brazil in 2005, a tropical storm formed in 2010 and there are predictions that others may form again. Events such as those described in the paper and which have occurred before 1987, generate data for the wind map presented in the Brazilian wind loading code NBR-6123. This wind map presents the reference wind speeds based on 3-second gust wind speed at 10 m height in open terrain, with 50-year return period, varying from 30 m/s (north half of country) to 50 m/s (extreme south). There is not a separation of the type of climatological event which generated each registered velocity. Therefore, a thunderstorm (TS), an extra-tropical pressure system (EPS) or even a tropical cyclone (TC) are treated the same and its resulting velocities absorbed without differentiation. Since the flow fields generated by each type of meteorological event may be distinct, the indiscriminate combination of the highest wind velocities with aerodynamic coefficients from boundary layer wind tunnels may lead to erroneous loading in buildings.