• 제목/요약/키워드: Threshold model

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기후변화로 인한 고온의 미래 사망부담 추정 (Estimation of Future Death Burden of High Temperatures from Climate Change)

  • 양지훈;하종식
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Elevated temperatures during summer months have been reported since the early 20th century to be associated with increased daily mortality. However, future death impacts of high temperatures resulting from climate change could be variously estimated in consideration of the future changes in historical temperature-mortality relationships, mortality, and population. This study examined the future death burden of high temperatures resulting from climate change in Seoul over the period of 2001-2040. Methods: We calculated yearly death burden attributable to high temperatures stemming from climate change in Seoul from 2001-2040. These future death burdens from high temperature were computed by multiplying relative risk, temperature, mortality, and population at any future point. To incorporate adaptation, we assumed future changes in temperature-mortality relationships (i.e. threshold temperatures and slopes), which were estimated as short-term temperature effects using a Poisson regression model. Results: The results show that climate change will lead to a substantial increase in summer high temperature-related death burden in the future, even considering adaptation by the population group. The yearly death burden attributable to elevated temperatures ranged from approximately 0.7 deaths per 100,000 people in 2001-2010 to about 1.5 deaths per 100,000 people in Seoul in 2036-2040. Conclusions: This study suggests that adaptation strategies and communication regarding future health risks stemming from climate change are necessary for the public and for the political leadership of South Korea.

적응형 구조를 갖는 이동통신망에서 호 저하 시간 비율 추정 (Estimation of Degradation Period Ratio for Adaptive Framework in Mobile Cellular Networks)

  • 정성환;이세진;홍정완;이창훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.312-320
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    • 2003
  • Recently there is a growing interest in mobile cellular network providing multimedia service. However, the link bandwidth of mobile cellular network is not sufficient enough to provide satisfactory services to users. To overcome this problem, an adaptive framework has been proposed. In this study, we propose a new method of estimating DPR(Degradation Period Ratio) in an adaptive multimedia network where the bandwidth of ongoing call can be dynamically adjusted during its lifetime. DPR is a QoS(Quality of Service) parameter which represents the ratio of allocated bandwidth below a pre-defined target to the whole service time of a call. We improve estimation method of DPR using DTMC(Discrete Time Markov Chain) model by calculate mean degradation period, degradation probability more precisely than in existing studies. Under Threshold CAC(Call Admission Control) algorithm, we present analytically how to guarantee QoS to users and illustrate the method by numerical examples. The proposed method is expected to be used as one of CAC schemes in guaranteeing predefined QoS level of DPR.

음성 및 데이터가 혼합된 CDMA 셀룰러 망에서의 트래픽 제어 분석 방법 (Analysis of traffic control policies in the voice-date integrated cellular CDMA mobile network)

  • 윤복식;이남준;이동기;이창훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.771-788
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    • 1996
  • A CDMA-based cellular mobile telecommunication system has already been developed and is expected to provide more stable mobile communication services for much more users than traditional analog mobile systems. As a natural course of development, the CDMA mobile system is expected to provide ISDN services in the near future. In this paper, we analyze several traffic control policies for the voice-data integrated traffic in the cellular CDMA system. We first select four admission control policies which take differences in traffic and QOS characteristics between voice and data into account, and then develop modelling and analysis techniques, which can be used directly to analyze the chosen control policies. Our approach is based on so-called threshold model. Numerical computation results obtained under the typical traffic situation are also given. Through these computation results we could tentatively conclude that the cutoff priority policy, which can provide the priority for handoff voice cells while effectively utilizing unused channels, seems to be most effective among the four policies.

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A Joint Timing Synchronization, Channel Estimation, and SFD Detection for IR-UWB Systems

  • Kwon, Soonkoo;Lee, Seongjoo;Kim, Jaeseok
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a joint timing synchronization, channel estimation, and data detection for the impulse radio ultra-wideband systems. The proposed timing synchronizer consists of coarse and fine timing estimation. The synchronizer discovers synchronization points in two stages and performs adaptive threshold based on the maximum pulse averaging and maximum (MAX-PA) method for more precise synchronization. Then, iterative channel estimation is performed based on the discovered synchronization points, and data are detected using the selective rake (S-RAKE) detector employing maximal ratio combining. The proposed synchronizer produces two signals-the start signal for channel estimation and the start signal for start frame delimiter (SFD) detection that detects the packet synchronization signal. With the proposed synchronization, channel estimation, and SFD detection, an S-RAKE receiver with binary pulse position modulation binary phase-shift keying modulation was constructed. In addition, an IEEE 802.15.4a channel model was used for performance comparison. The comparison results show that the constructed receiver yields high performance close to perfect synchronization.

Correlation between chloride-induced corrosion initiation and time to cover cracking in RC Structures

  • Hosseini, Seyed Abbas;Shabakhty, Naser;Mahini, Seyed Saeed
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.257-273
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    • 2015
  • Numerical value of correlation between effective parameters in the strength of a structure is as important as its stochastic properties in determining the safety of the structure. In this article investigation is made about the variation of coefficient of correlation between effective parameters in corrosion initiation time of reinforcement and the time of concrete cover cracking in reinforced concrete (RC) structures. Presence of many parameters and also error in measurement of these parameters results in uncertainty in determination of corrosion initiation and the time to crack initiation. In this paper, assuming diffusion process as chloride ingress mechanism in RC structures and considering random properties of effective parameters in this model, correlation between input parameters and predicted time to corrosion is calculated using the Monte Carlo (MC) random sampling. Results show the linear correlation between corrosion initiation time and effective input parameters increases with increasing uncertainty in the input parameters. Diffusion coefficient, concrete cover, surface chloride concentration and threshold chloride concentration have the highest correlation coefficient respectively. Also the uncertainty in the concrete cover has the greatest impact on the coefficient of correlation of corrosion initiation time and the time of crack initiation due to the corrosion phenomenon.

The Contribution of External Debt to Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation in Indonesia

  • SUIDARMA, I Made;YASA, I Nyoman Arta
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권10호
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to know the contribution of external debt to Indonesia's economic growth. The data used a source from the Central Bank of Indonesia from 2011 to 2020. This empirical study uses a quantitative approach with Error Correction Model as the regression method. Government expenditure, government revenue, export, import, inflation, and exchange rate are control variables. The result of the descriptive statistic shows economic growth in Indonesia increased gradually from 2011 to 2020. The increase in economic growth occurred regardless of the contribution of external debt. It does, however, inform the public that Indonesia's economic system has seen successful investments. The result of the study is classified into long-term and short-term. External debt contributes to growth in the long term and has a significant impact. The study's findings will give Indonesia optimism that it can manage external debt as a source of domestic investment. This research may also persuade Indonesia to maintain its economic potency in the future. In the future, this research can be perfected, by adding a threshold level on the amount of Indonesia's external debt.

A QoS-aware Adaptive Coloring Scheduling Algorithm for Co-located WBANs

  • Wang, Jingxian;Sun, Yongmei;Luo, Shuyun;Ji, Yuefeng
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.5800-5818
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    • 2018
  • Interference may occur when several co-located wireless body area networks (WBANs) share the same channel simultaneously, which is compressed by resource scheduling generally. In this paper, a QoS-aware Adaptive Coloring (QAC) scheduling algorithm is proposed, which contains two components: interference sets determination and time slots assignment. The highlight of QAC is to determine the interference graph based on the relay scheme and adapted to the network QoS by multi-coloring approach. However, the frequent resource assignment brings in extra energy consumption and packet loss. Thus we come up with a launch condition for the QAC scheduling algorithm, that is if the interference duration is longer than a threshold predetermined, time slots rescheduling is activated. Furthermore, based on the relative distance and moving speed between WBANs, a prediction model for interference duration is proposed. The simulation results show that compared with the state-of-the-art approaches, the QAC scheduling algorithm has better performance in terms of network capacity, average delay and resource utility.

The onset of extreme fire behaviour in a mine drift

  • Hansen, Rickard
    • Geosystem Engineering
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.282-290
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    • 2018
  • The onset of extreme fire behaviour in a mine drift with longitudinal ventilation was analysed. A fire in a mine drift with continuous fuel load, involving several separate fires may lead to flames tilted horizontally and filling up the entire cross section. This will lead to earlier ignition, higher fire growth rate, higher fire spread rate and a severe fire behaviour. The focus has been on what changes take place at the onset and signs of the impending phenomenon. It was found that the fire gas temperature at the ceiling level provided a poor indicator. At the downstream far-field region of the fire, the sudden temperature increase at the lowest levels of the cross section and the sudden increase in flow velocities would provide signs of extreme fire behaviour. The corresponding full-scale heat release rates of the experiments at the onset of extreme fire behaviour were found to be very high for mining applications but not necessarily for tunnel fires. The heat release rate threshold for a mine drift with smaller cross-sectional dimensions would decrease considerably, increasing the likelihood of occurrence. The distance between the fuel items will play an important role during the initiation of horizontal flames.

IEEE 802.15.3 High Rate WPAN을 위한 분산된 인종기관을 가지는 PKI 메커니즘 연구 (A Study on PKI Mechanisms with distributed CA for IEEE 802.15.3 High Rate WPAN)

  • 박정우;양대헌;송주석
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2004
  • IEEE 802.15.3 High Rate WPAN(Wireless Personal Area Network, 이하 HR-WPAN)은 홈네트워크와 같은 개민 용도의 장치들 사이의 빠른 무선 연결을 지원하기 위해 연구되어 왔다. 장치들의 안전한 사용을 위한 보안 요구에 따라 MAC 계층에서의 대칭키 암호 시스템을 채택하고 있지만, 키를 안전하게 교환하는 방법에 대해서는 언급하고 있지않다. 또한 앞으로 도래할 유비쿼터스(Ubiquitous) 컴퓨팅 환경의 핵심 기반 기술이 된다는 점에서 하나의 Piconet으로만 구성된 단순한 토폴로지를 벗어나 Child Piconet이 복잡하게 연결된 토폴로지 상에서 같은 Piconet에 속하지 않는 DEV들 간의 Secure Relationship을 맺는 과정에 대한 연구도 필요하다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 공개키 기반 구조를 사용하여 안전한 키 교환을 통한 Secure Membership을 맺는 과정을 연구하였으며, 또한 Child Piconet이 복잡하게 연결된 토폴로지에서 DEV들 간의 Secure Relationship을 맺기 위하여 공개키 기반 구조에 계층 구조를 추가한 프로토콜을 제안하였다.

Effective Pre-rating Method Based on Users' Dichotomous Preferences and Average Ratings Fusion for Recommender Systems

  • Cheng, Shulin;Wang, Wanyan;Yang, Shan;Cheng, Xiufang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.462-472
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    • 2021
  • With an increase in the scale of recommender systems, users' rating data tend to be extremely sparse. Some methods have been utilized to alleviate this problem; nevertheless, it has not been satisfactorily solved yet. Therefore, we propose an effective pre-rating method based on users' dichotomous preferences and average ratings fusion. First, based on a user-item ratings matrix, a new user-item preference matrix was constructed to analyze and model user preferences. The items were then divided into two categories based on a parameterized dynamic threshold. The missing ratings for items that the user was not interested in were directly filled with the lowest user rating; otherwise, fusion ratings were utilized to fill the missing ratings. Further, an optimized parameter λ was introduced to adjust their weights. Finally, we verified our method on a standard dataset. The experimental results show that our method can effectively reduce the prediction error and improve the recommendation quality. As for its application, our method is effective, but not complicated.