• 제목/요약/키워드: Three-country Model

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제도적 거리와 해외직접투자의 관계에 관한 연구: 중국을 중심으로 (A Study on the Relationship Between Institutional Distance and Outward Foreign Direct Investment: the Case of China)

  • 림아신;유천;황윤섭
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제48권4호
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 제도적 거리와 해외직접투자의 관계를 규명하기 위한 것으로 중국의 해외투자를 대상으로 수행한다. 중국과 투자 유치국 간의 제도적 거리는 세계은행에서 발표한 제도적 품질을 이용한다. 2008년부터 2019년까지 중국이 투자한 50개국의 패널 데이터를 수집하여 패널 GLS 방법론을 통해 해외직접투자에 영향을 미치는 요인을 제도적 관점에서 다음의 3가지를 검증한다. 첫째, 중국의 해외직접투자 전체 국가들을 대상으로 제도적 거리의 절대값이 중국의 OFDI에 미치는 영향이다. 두 번째는 중국과의 제도적 거리가 양(+)인 국가와 음(-)인 국가의 두 그룹으로 나눈 후 각 그룹에서의 제도적 거리와 OFDI의 관계이다. 마지막으로 제도적 거리와 중국의 OFDI 사이의 비선형 관계이다. 이를 위해 제도적 거리의 제곱항을 분석 모형에 추가한다. 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 제도적 거리는 중국의 OFDI와 정(+)의 관계가 확인된다. 중국보다 상대적으로 제도 품질이 높은 진출국 그룹에서는 제도적 거리와 OFDI는 역 U자형 관계가 나타나지만, 낮은 진출국 그룹에서는 정(+)의 관계가 나타난다. 또한, 중국의 OFDI는 제도적 요인과 경제적 요인의 복합적인 영향을 받는 것으로 확인된다. 본 연구의 결과는 FDI 유치국뿐만 아니라 다국적 기업의 FDI 진출국 선택에 있어서 시사점을 제공할 것이다.

대학생의 부모에 대한 심리적 애착과 진로미결정의 관계에서 사회부과적 완벽주의의 매개효과 (The mediating effect of socially imposed perfectionism in the relationship between parental attachment and career indecision in college students)

  • 민경인;조성심
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.89-101
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    • 2024
  • 본 연구의 목적은 대학생들의 부·모 애착과 진로미결정의 관계를 알아보고 부·모 애착과 진로미결정의 관계에서 사회부과적 완벽주의가 영향을 미치는 것으로 가정한 모형의 적합도 및 변인들의 영향력을 살펴보고 검증하는 것에 있다. 이를 위해 전국의 4년제에 재학중인 대학생 250명을 무선표집하여 온라인 설문을 실시했으며, 자료분석은 SPSS Win 25.0을 사용하여 3단 회귀 방식으로 매개분석 하였다. 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 부·모에 대한 심리적 애착이 진로미결정에 부적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타나, 부모와 안정적으로 애착관계를 잘 형성할수록 진로결정에 대한 어려움이 줄어든 다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 둘째, 부·모에 대한 심리적 애착과 진로미결정의 관계에서 사회부과적 완벽주의의 매개효과를 확인하였다. 이는 부와 모에 대한 심리적 애착이 안정적으로 잘 형성될수록 사회부과적 완벽주의와 진로미결정은 낮아진다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 연구 결과를 바탕으로 진로 상담 실제 및 후속 연구에 대한 시사점을 논하였다.

Sentinel 위성영상과 기계학습을 이용한 국내산불 피해강도 탐지 (Wildfire Severity Mapping Using Sentinel Satellite Data Based on Machine Learning Approaches)

  • 심성문;김우혁;이재세;강유진;임정호;권춘근;김성용
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권5_3호
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    • pp.1109-1123
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    • 2020
  • 국토 대부분이 산림으로 구성되어 있는 대한민국은 매 년 많은 산불이 발생한다. 산불은 토양의 전단강도를 약화시켜 산사태에 취약한 토양층을 만들기도 하고, 수목의 복구가능여부에 따라 다른 계획 설립이 필요하기 때문에 산불피해면적 뿐만 아니라 피해강도에 대한 파악도 중요하다. 위성 원격탐사를 통한 산불피해강도 추정 연구가 많이 수행되어 왔으나, NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index)와 NBR(Normalized Burn Ratio) 등과 같은 단일 인자의 시계열 변화만을 이용하여 피해강도를 파악하기에는 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 Sentinel-1A SAR-C (Synthetic Aperture Radar-C)와 Sentinel-2A MSI(Multi Spectral Instrument)센서의 자료를 이용하여 기계학습방법을 통한 산불 피해강도 탐지 모델들을 제시하였다. 2017년 5월 삼척, 2019년 4월 강릉·동해, 2019년 4월 고성·속초 총 세개의 산불사례를 이용하여 RF(Random forest), LR(Logistic regression), SVM(Support Vector Machine)기계학습 모델을 구축하였다. 연구결과, random forest 모델이 82.3%의 총정확도로 가장 높은 성능을 보여주었다. 모델의 범용성 및 학습자료 민감도 확인을 위해 사례교차검증도 추가 시행하였는데, 그 결과 사례들의 시기적 차이에 의한 식생활력 및 재생도의 차이에 민감도가 높음을 확인하였다. 이는 추후 다양한 시공간적 사례를 추가할 시 개선이 될 것으로 보인다.

기내 난동승객관련 도쿄협약의 개정필요성과 한국국내법적 접근의 한계 (The Need for Modernization of the Tokyo Convention(1963) on the Issue of Unruly Passengers and the Inadequacy of Korean Domestic Legal Approaches)

  • 배종인;이재운
    • 항공우주정책ㆍ법학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2012
  • 항공안전과 항공보안이 날로 발전하여 항공교통은 과거에 비해 월등히 안전해졌으나, 국제항공에서 기내난동사건은 지속적으로 증가하는 추세이다. 국제법으로는 1963년 도쿄협약 (항공기내 범죄방지협약)이 난동승객관련 사건들에 적용된다. 도쿄협약은 185개국이 비준한 성공적인 협약이지만, 여러 문제점을 가지고 있고, 특히, 정의조항, 관할권, 집행력에 관련한 흠결이 있다. 첫째, 어떠한 행위가 항공기내 범죄에 해당하는지에 대한 정의조항이 없어서, 항공기 출발국에서 범죄에 해당하는 행위가 항공기 도착국에서는 범죄에 해당하지 않는 상황을 야기할 수 있다. 각기 다른 정의조항은 항공사들의 대응을 효과적이지 못하게 할 수 있다. 둘째, 착륙국에 관할권이 없어서 기내에서 명백하게 범죄를 저지른 기내난동승객의 처벌이 불가능한 상황을 만들 수 있다. 셋째, 도쿄협약은 등록국에 대한 형사 관할권행사의 권한을 부여했을 뿐, 실제로 그 권한을 사용해야 한다는 의무를 부여하지 않았다. 도쿄협약을 비준함과 동시에, 한국은 기내난동승객문제를 처리하기 위한 국내법적 절차로써 항공기운항안전법을 1974년에 제정했다. 이후 2002년 ICAO 모델입법 Circular 288을 일부 반영하여, 항공안전 및 보안에 관한 법률(항안법)이 2002년 제정되었다. 항안법이 꾸준하게 개정되어온 포괄적인 법률이지만, 관할권 관련 조항은 없으며, 오직 형법만이 관할권 관련조항이 있다. 형법은 영토, 국적, 등록을 기초로 관할권을 정하고, 이는 본질적으로 도쿄협약의 관할권 원칙과 동일하다. 그러므로, 국내법 또한 기내난동승객 처리에 대한 관할권의 흠결을 해결하지 못한다. 또한, 법원의 판결도 항공기 납치 같은 심각한 범죄가 아닌 이상 관할권 관련 적극적인 입장을 피력할 것으로 보이지 않는다. ICAO 법률위원회의 특별위원회가 기내난동승객관련 1963년 도쿄협약 (항공기내 범죄방지협약) 개정의 실효성을 연구하기 위해 조직되었다. ICAO의 연구결과가 도쿄협약 현대화 작업으로 이어져서 기내난동승객을 보다 효과적으로 대응하고, 보다 근본적으로는, 기내난동승객 발생건수를 줄일 수 있도록 해야겠다.

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전문대학(專門大學)의 학제(學制) 다양화(多樣化)를 통한 보건계(保健系) 학과(學科)의 계속교육과정(繼續敎育課程) 개발(開發)에 관한 연구(硏究) (Curricula Innovation Study for the Advancement of Allied Health Sciences Education through the Current Junior College System)

  • 최종학;황선철;임국환;함용운;김유현
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.95-120
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    • 1996
  • College level educational training system for the allied health manpower in the country is one of the oldest junior college education programs, and has been developed at very steady phase. Since the school years of the programs limited for 2 to 3 years by the education related law, qualification of the manpower is insufficient to meet the rapidly changing needs in the field of allied health and medicine. The system is comparable with that of developed countries where 4-year baccalaureate degree programs are basically required to be an allied health personnel. Thus, education and training background of allied health program graduates of the country confronts the barriers in competition and cooperation with the graduates of foreign countries at equal basis. Beside, junior college graduates can hardly find the way through advanced courses at 4-year colleges in their specialties except a few programs such as environmental sicience or courses in hygiene. It has long been sought to develop the education and training programs for junior college graduates. Some of them are already materilized and some show remarkable progress while some need to tackle. Wide opening of the opportunity to enroll extensive education program for the junior college graduates of allied health science majors in 4-year colleges with eventual grant of bachelor's degree for those who successfully completed the programs should soon be substantiated. The study was focused to emphasize the necessity of the extensive education and training for the junior college graduate allied health manpower, and to show possibility of the education program development in connection with the 4-year degree granting education programs. The outcome of the study can be summarized as followings. 1. A total number of graduates from eight allied health sciences related programs of junior colleges by the year of 1995 are 109,320. 2. According to the survey report analysed through questionnaires, 99.7% of respondents including administrative deans and professors of junior colleges agreed with the establishment of extensive education and training programs in junior colleges. 53.9% of administrative deans, 52.9% of professors and 47.6% of the graduates expected that it is possible to learn more about their majors, and to earn bachelor's degree through the extensive education programs. Other opinions include that the programs can provide supplementary opportunities to fortify in the area of basic life science, and development of research and technology. 3. It was also found through the survey that 91.2% of the deans, 87.8% of the professors and 68.2% of the graduates responded that the most appropriate organizations to open the extensive education and training programs for allied health manpower are junior colleges where allied health personnel are taught and trained. The majority of the respondents agreed that the acceptable number of credits offered for the previous 2-year junior college graduates are $50\sim60$, and those for the current 3-year graduates are $20\sim30$ units. 4. It was strongly suggested through the survey that baccalaureate degree should be granted for those who successfully completed the extensive courses. The suggestion was claimed by 94.1% of the deans, 89.4% of the professors and 83.4% of the graduates. 5. The model curricula for the extensive education and training programs for the allied health manpower are designed for the purpose of broad capability in practice, enrichment of knowledge and promotion of proficiency for the self access in the major areas. 6. To meet the universal standards of allied health education and training program, it is recommended that opening of the curricula for the extensive, and as well as intensive, courses within junior colleges(continuation education institute) should be materialized. The special baccalaureate degree programs within junior colleges are also recommended to accommodate the junior college graduates and to grant the degree fellowing successful completion of the courses. As a part of the education revolution in progress, the school years at junior college level should be flexible depending upon the nature of course and trend of the universe. For instance, the school years for the allied health manpower should be extended to two to four years from current two to three years.

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상품 선택 특성에 따른 쇼핑채널 선택에 관한 연구: 식품 MD를 중심으로 (An Exploratory Empirical Study on Shopping Choice in Retail Channels by the Selective Characteristics of Foods)

  • 하광옥;이정희
    • 기업가정신과 벤처연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구의 목적은 소비자의 쇼핑 시 소비자의 상품(식품) 선택 특성이 온, 오프라인의 업태별 선호도와 옴니채널 선호도에 영향을 미치는가를 분석하여 유통업체의 마케팅 전략 수립에 시사점을 얻기 위함이다. 연구모형은 소비자의 식품 선택 특성이 각각 업태별 선호도와 옴니채널 선호도에 미치는 영향으로 구성 되었다. 총 477부의 설문조사를 토대로 분석한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, (1) 식품의 선도, (2) 맛, (3) 품질, 안전, (4) 시식시음, (5) 식품의 기능 및 정보, (6) 원산지, (7) 브랜드 충성도의 7가지 특성을 활용한 식품 구매 특성은 업태별로 다양하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 채택된 가설은 브랜드 충성도(5회), 선도(3회), 시식 시음(3회), 원산지(1회) 순으로 선정이 된 것으로 보아 식품의 선택요인은 (1) 어떤 브랜드 인가, (2) 얼마나 선도가 좋은가, (3) 시식 시음으로 먹어보고 구입 한다, (4) 원산지는 확인 한다 로 압축이 되며 실제 소비자가 식품 쇼핑 시에도 7가지를 모두 활용 한다기보다는 업태별 특성에 맞는 핵심적인 선택 요인만 활용하는 것으로 보여진다. 편의점은 3개 요인이 영향을 미치고 나머지 업태는 1~2요인만 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 옴니채널 선호도 분석에 있어서 식품의 선택 특성이 제한적으로 영향을 미치는 것으로 나왔으며 이는 옴니채널의 개념을 소비자가 아직 명확하게 이해하지 못하는 것에 기인한다고 보여진다. 셋째, 본 연구의 분석결과는 업태 별로 다양한 영향을 미치는 식품의 선택 특성을 업태별 마케팅 전략에 반영을 할 필요성이 있다는 점과 옴니채널 이용 소비자는 식품의 품질 및 안전을 중시하고 시식을 통해 상품을 확인하고, 어느 곳에서도 신뢰를 할 수 있는 브랜드를 추구하여 온 오프라인을 동시에 이용하는 합리적인 소비를 하기 때문에 옴니채널은 합리성을 추구하는 고객이 선호도가 높을 것이라는 시사점을 제공한다. 향후 유통업의 옴니체널 전략은 많은 어려움이 예상되며, 본 연구는 유통의 패러다임을 바꾸게 되는 옴니채널을 식품의 선택특성을 활용하여 처음으로 연구를 시도한 것에 의의가 있다.

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한국형 기업의 사회적 책임활동 측정을 위한 척도 개발 연구: 소비자 인식을 중심으로 (Developing a Scale for Measuring the Corporate Social Responsibility Activities of Korea Corporation: Focusing on the Consumers' Awareness)

  • 박종철;김경진;이한준
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.27-52
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    • 2010
  • 그동안 기업의 사회적 책임활동에 대한 척도개발이 국·내외적으로 일부 연구자들에서 수행되어져 왔지만, 기업의 사회적 책임활동을 측정하고 있는 구성개념(측정항목)들에 대한 이론적 배경의 결핍과 기업의 네 가지 사회적 책임활동 차원이 과연 서로 이질적인 차원인지에 대한 의문이 제기되었다. 또한, 기업의 사회적 책임활동과 관련된 지난 30년간 발표된 정량적 분석에 의하면, 대부분의 연구들이 측정항목과 방법론 측면에서 많은 문제점을 보이고 있다. 이처럼 기업의 사회적 책임활동 (CSR)에 대한 학문적 관심은 오래 지속되고 있지만, 기업의 사회적 책임차원 (경제적, 법률적, 윤리적, 자선적 책임)에 대하여 소비자들이 어떻게 바라보는지, 혹은 어떻게 인지하는지에 대해 측정할 수 있는 척도가 미흡한 실정이다. 특히 기업의 사회적 책임활동에 대한 척도가 서구사회 위주로 개발되어 국내에서 인용되다보니, 국내 특성에 맞는 기업의 사회적 책임활동을 측정할 수 있는 척도가 미흡하였다. 이에 본 연구는 다양한 이해관계들을 대상을 집단면접(FGI)을 실시하여 국내 상황에 맞는 척도를 개발하였고, 본 연구에서 개발된 새로운 척도가 기존 척도에 비하여 더 높은 예측력을 지니는지를 간접적으로 증명하였다. 본 연구결과를 통해 새롭게 개발된 기업의 사회적 책임활동에 대한 척도는 다음과 같다. 우선, 경제적 책임은 '제품의 품질개선 노력', '고객의 불평처리에 대한 체계구축', '이윤창출을 통한 국가 경제발전 이바지', '고용창출 노력', 법률적 책임으로는 '법적기준 준수', '직원들의 복지추구와 고용 관련법 준수', '명시된 계약적 책임이행', '기업경영 관련법 준수', '소비자보호법 준수', 윤리적 책임으로는 '윤리강령 지침마련', '과장광고나 허위광고', '투명경영', '사업파트너와의 공정한 거래', 자선적 책임으로는 '지역사회와의 협력사업', '스포츠 및 문화활동 지원', '지역사회 봉사', '사회환원' 등이다. 연구결과는 국내 기업들에게 경제적 책임활동의 중요성을 다시 한 번 인지시키고 있으며, 특히 국내 기업들에게 자사의 사회적 책임활동을 진단하는데 중요한 실무적인 시사점을 제시할 것이다.

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일산화탄소중독(一酸化炭素中毒)의 진료대책(診療對策) 수립(樹立)을 위한 추계학적(推計學的) 연구(硏究) (A Stochastic Study for the Emergency Treatment of Carbon Monoxide Poisoning in Korea)

  • 김용익;윤덕로;신영수
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.135-152
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    • 1983
  • Emergency medical service is an important part of the health care delivery system, and the optimal allocation of resources and their efficient utilization are essentially demanded. Since these conditions are the prerequisite to prompt treatment which, in turn, will be crucial for life saving and in reducing the undesirable sequelae of the event. This study, taking the hyperbaric chamber for carbon monoxide poisoning as an example, is to develop a stochastic approach for solving the problems of optimal allocation of such emergency medical facility in Korea. The hyperbaric chamber, in Korea, is used almost exclusively for the treatment of acute carbon monoxide poisoning, most of which occur at home, since the coal briquette is used as domestic fuel by 69.6 per cent of the Korean population. The annual incidence rate of the comatous and fatal carbon monoxide poisoning is estimated at 45.5 per 10,000 of coal briquette-using population. It offers a serious public health problem and occupies a large portion of the emergency outpatients, especially in the winter season. The requirement of hyperbaric chambers can be calculated by setting the level of the annual queueing rate, which is here defined as the proportion of the annual number of the queued patients among the annual number of the total patients. The rate is determined by the size of the coal briquette-using population which generate a certain number of carbon monoxide poisoning patients in terms of the annual incidence rate, and the number of hyperbaric chambers per hospital to which the patients are sent, assuming that there is no referral of the patients among hospitals. The queueing occurs due to the conflicting events of the 'arrival' of the patients and the 'service' of the hyperbaric chambers. Here, we can assume that the length of the service time of hyperbaric chambers is fixed at sixty minutes, and the service discipline is based on 'first come, first served'. The arrival pattern of the carbon monoxide poisoning is relatively unique, because it usually occurs while the people are in bed. Diurnal variation of the carbon monoxide poisoning can hardly be formulated mathematically, so empirical cumulative distribution of the probability of the hourly arrival of the patients was used for Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability of queueing by the number of the patients per day, for the cases of one, two or three hyperbaric chambers assumed to be available per hospital. Incidence of the carbon monoxide poisoning also has strong seasonal variation, because of the four distinctive seasons in Korea. So the number of the patients per day could not be assumed to be distributed according to the Poisson distribution. Testing the fitness of various distributions of rare event, it turned out to be that the daily distribution of the carbon monoxide poisoning fits well to the Polya-Eggenberger distribution. With this model, we could forecast the number of the poisonings per day by the size of the coal-briquette using population. By combining the probability of queueing by the number of patients per day, and the probability of the number of patients per day in a year, we can estimate the number of the queued patients and the number of the patients in a year by the number of hyperbaric chamber per hospital and by the size of coal briquette-using population. Setting 5 per cent as the annual queueing rate, the required number of hyperbaric chambers was calculated for each province and for the whole country, in the cases of 25, 50, 75 and 100 per cent of the treatment rate which stand for the rate of the patients treated by hyperbaric chamber among the patients who are to be treated. Findings of the study were as follows. 1. Probability of the number of patients per day follows Polya-Eggenberger distribution. $$P(X=\gamma)=\frac{\Pi\limits_{k=1}^\gamma[m+(K-1)\times10.86]}{\gamma!}\times11.86^{-{(\frac{m}{10.86}+\gamma)}}$$ when$${\gamma}=1,2,...,n$$$$P(X=0)=11.86^{-(m/10.86)}$$ when $${\gamma}=0$$ Hourly arrival pattern of the patients turned out to be bimodal, the large peak was observed in $7 : 00{\sim}8 : 00$ a.m., and the small peak in $11 : 00{\sim}12 : 00$ p.m. 2. In the cases of only one or two hyperbaric chambers installed per hospital, the annual queueing rate will be at the level of more than 5 per cent. Only in case of three chambers, however, the rate will reach 5 per cent when the average number of the patients per day is 0.481. 3. According to the results above, a hospital equipped with three hyperbaric chambers will be able to serve 166,485, 83,242, 55,495 and 41,620 of population, when the treatmet rate are 25, 50, 75 and 100 per cent. 4. The required number of hyperbaric chambers are estimated at 483, 963, 1,441 and 1,923 when the treatment rate are taken as 25, 50, 75 and 100 per cent. Therefore, the shortage are respectively turned out to be 312, 791. 1,270 and 1,752. The author believes that the methodology developed in this study will also be applicable to the problems of resource allocation for the other kinds of the emergency medical facilities.

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Performance of Drip Irrigation System in Banana Cultuivation - Data Envelopment Analysis Approach

  • Kumar, K. Nirmal Ravi;Kumar, M. Suresh
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2016
  • India is largest producer of banana in the world producing 29.72 million tonnes from an area of 0.803 million ha with a productivity of 35.7 MT ha-1 and accounted for 15.48 and 27.01 per cent of the world's area and production respectively (www.nhb.gov.in). In India, Tamil Nadu leads other states both in terms of area and production followed by Maharashtra, Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh. In Rayalaseema region of Andhra Pradesh, Kurnool district had special reputation in the cultivation of banana in an area of 5765 hectares with an annual production of 2.01 lakh tonnes in the year 2012-13 and hence, it was purposively chosen for the study. On $23^{rd}$ November 2003, the Government of Andhra Pradesh has commenced a comprehensive project called 'Andhra Pradesh Micro Irrigation Project (APMIP)', first of its kind in the world so as to promote water use efficiency. APMIP is offering 100 per cent of subsidy in case of SC, ST and 90 per cent in case of other categories of farmers up to 5.0 acres of land. In case of acreage between 5-10 acres, 70 per cent subsidy and acreage above 10, 50 per cent of subsidy is given to the farmer beneficiaries. The sampling frame consists of Kurnool district, two mandals, four villages and 180 sample farmers comprising of 60 farmers each from Marginal (<1ha), Small (1-2ha) and Other (>2ha) categories. A well structured pre-tested schedule was employed to collect the requisite information pertaining to the performance of drip irrigation among the sample farmers and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model was employed to analyze the performance of drip irrigation in banana farms. The performance of drip irrigation was assessed based on the parameters like: Land Development Works (LDW), Fertigation costs (FC), Volume of water supplied (VWS), Annual maintenance costs of drip irrigation (AMC), Economic Status of the farmer (ES), Crop Productivity (CP) etc. The first four parameters are considered as inputs and last two as outputs for DEA modelling purposes. The findings revealed that, the number of farms operating at CRS are more in number in other farms (46.66%) followed by marginal (45%) and small farms (28.33%). Similarly, regarding the number of farmers operating at VRS, the other farms are again more in number with 61.66 per cent followed by marginal (53.33%) and small farms (35%). With reference to scale efficiency, marginal farms dominate the scenario with 57 per cent followed by others (55%) and small farms (50%). At pooled level, 26.11 per cent of the farms are being operated at CRS with an average technical efficiency score of 0.6138 i.e., 47 out of 180 farms. Nearly 40 per cent of the farmers at pooled level are being operated at VRS with an average technical efficiency score of 0.7241. As regards to scale efficiency, nearly 52 per cent of the farmers (94 out of 180 farmers) at pooled level, either performed at the optimum scale or were close to the optimum scale (farms having scale efficiency values equal to or more than 0.90). Majority of the farms (39.44%) are operating at IRS and only 29 per cent of the farmers are operating at DRS. This signifies that, more resources should be provided to these farms operating at IRS and the same should be decreased towards the farms operating at DRS. Nearly 32 per cent of the farms are operating at CRS indicating efficient utilization of resources. Log linear regression model was used to analyze the major determinants of input use efficiency in banana farms. The input variables considered under DEA model were again considered as influential factors for the CRS obtained for the three categories of farmers. Volume of water supplied ($X_1$) and fertigation cost ($X_2$) are the major determinants of banana farms across all the farmer categories and even at pooled level. In view of their positive influence on the CRS, it is essential to strengthen modern irrigation infrastructure like drip irrigation and offer more fertilizer subsidies to the farmer to enhance the crop production on cost-effective basis in Kurnool district of Andhra Pradesh, India. This study further suggests that, the present era of Information Technology will help the irrigation management in the context of generating new techniques, extension, adoption and information. It will also guide the farmers in irrigation scheduling and quantifying the irrigation water requirements in accordance with the water availability in a particular season. So, it is high time for the Government of India to pay adequate attention towards the applications of 'Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and its applications in irrigation water management' for facilitating the deployment of Decision Supports Systems (DSSs) at various levels of planning and management of water resources in the country.

The current state and prospects of travel business development under the COVID-19 pandemic

  • Tkachenko, Tetiana;Pryhara, Olha;Zatsepina, Nataly;Bryk, Stepan;Holubets, Iryna;Havryliuk, Alla
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권12spc호
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    • pp.664-674
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    • 2021
  • The relevance of this scientific research is determined by the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the current trends and dynamics of world tourism development. This article aims to identify patterns of development of the modern tourist market, analysis of problems and prospects of development in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Materials and methods. General scientific methods and methods of research are used in the work: analysis, synthesis, comparison, analysis of statistical data. The analysis of the viewpoints of foreign and domestic authors on the research of the international tourist market allowed us to substantiate the actual directions of tourism development due to the influence of negative factors connected with the spread of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19. Economic-statistical, abstract-logical, and economic-mathematical methods of research were used during the process of study and data processing. Results. The analysis of the current state of the tourist market by world regions was carried out. It was found that tourism is one of the most affected sectors from COVID-19, as, by the end of 2020, the total number of tourist arrivals in the world decreased by 74% compared to the same period in 2019. The consequence of this decline was a loss of total global tourism revenues by the end of 2020, which equaled $1.3 trillion. 27% of all destinations are completely closed to international tourism. At the end of 2020, the economy of international tourism has shrunk by about 80%. In 2020 the world traveled 98 million fewer people (-83%) relative to the same period last year. Tourism was hit hardest by the pandemic in the Asia-Pacific region, where travel restrictions are as strict as possible. International arrivals in this region fell by 84% (300 million). The Middle East and Africa recorded declines of 75 and 70 percent. Despite a small and short-lived recovery in the summer of 2020, Europe lost 71% of the tourist flow, with the European continent recording the largest drop in absolute terms compared with 2019, 500 million. In North and South America, foreign arrivals declined. It is revealed that a significant decrease in tourist flows leads to a massive loss of jobs, a sharp decline in foreign exchange earnings and taxes, which limits the ability of states to support the tourism industry. Three possible scenarios of exit of the tourist industry from the crisis, reflecting the most probable changes of monthly tourist flows, are considered. The characteristics of respondents from Ukraine, Germany, and the USA and their attitude to travel depending on gender, age, education level, professional status, and monthly income are presented. About 57% of respondents from Ukraine, Poland, and the United States were planning a tourist trip in 2021. Note that people with higher or secondary education were more willing to plan such a trip. The results of the empirical study confirm that interest in domestic tourism has increased significantly in 2021. The regression model of dependence of the number of domestic tourist trips on the example of Ukraine with time tendency (t) and seasonal variations (Turˆt = 7288,498 - 20,58t - 410,88∑5) it forecast for 2020, which allows stabilizing the process of tourist trips after the pandemic to use this model to forecast for any country. Discussion. We should emphasize the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fact that many experts and scientists believe in the long-term recovery of the tourism industry. In our opinion, the governments of the countries need to refocus on domestic tourism and deal with infrastructure development, search for new niches, formats, formation of new package deals in new - domestic - segment (new products' development (tourist routes, exhibitions, sightseeing programs, special rehabilitation programs after COVID) -19 in sanatoriums, etc.); creation of individual offers for different target audiences). Conclusions. Thus, the identified trends are associated with a decrease in the number of tourist flows, the negative impact of the pandemic on employment and income from tourism activities. International tourism needs two to four years before it returns to the level of 2019.