• 제목/요약/키워드: The cost of human damage

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최소기대비용에 기초한 교량의 최적내진신뢰성 (Optimal Seismic Reliability of Bridges Based on Minimum Expected Life Cycle Costs)

  • 조효남;임종권;심성택
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1999년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 1999
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic procedure for the development of the reliability-based seismic safety and cost-effective Performance criteria for design and upgrading of long span PC bridges. In the paper, a set of cost function models for life cycle cost analysis of bridges is proposed. The total life cycle cost functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect regional economic losses. The damage costs are successfully expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices and damage probabilities. The proposed approach is successfully applied to model bridges in both regions of a moderate seismicity area like Seoul, Korea and a high one like Tokyo, Japan. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as long span PC bridges.

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Reliability-based Life Cycle Cost Analysis for Optimal Seismic Upgrading of Bridges

  • Alfredo H-S. Ang;Cho, Hyo-Nam;Lim, Jong-Kwon;An, Joong-San
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2001
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for reliability-based assessment of life cycle cost (LCC) effectiveness and economic efficiency for cost-effective seismic upgrading of existing bridges. The LCC function is expressed as the sum of the upgrading cost and all the discounted life cycle damage costs, which is formulated as a function of the Park-Ang damage index and structural damage probability. The damage costs are expressed in terms of direct damage costs such as repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, and indirect damage costs such as road user costs and indirect regional economic losses. For dealing with a variety of uncertainties associated with earthquake loads and capacities, a simulation-based reliability approach is used. The SMART-DRAIN-2DX, which is a modified version of the well-known DRAIN-2DX, is extended by incor-porating LCC analysis based on the LCC function developed in the study. Economic efficiencies for optimal seismic upgradings of the continuous PC segmental bridges are assessed using the proposed LCC functions and benefit-cost ratio.

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대도시에서의 인적·물적 홍수피해 추정을 위한 회귀함수 개발 (Development of regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments in the metropolises)

  • 임연택;이종석;최현일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화와 기상이변으로 인해 최근 전세계적으로 홍수피해가 증가하고 있다. 우리나라에서는 피해복구가 일반적인 홍수피해 대응방안으로 사용되어 왔기 때문에, 홍수피해에 대한 예방적인 대책을 위해서는 강우특성에 따른 지역적 홍수피해규모를 예측할 필요가 있다. 따라서, 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 7개 대도시에서의 강우에 의한 인적 및 물적 홍수피해 예측을 위한 회귀함수를 개발하는 것이다. 회귀분석은 1998년부터 2017년까지 최근 20년 동안의 인적 및 물적 손실의 2가지 피해특성자료에 대해 6개의 강우특성 인자를 4가지 형태의 비선형 방정식에 각각 적용한 총 48가지 유형의 단순회귀모형을 통해 종합적으로 수행되었다. 결정계수와 유의성 검정을 통해 회귀분석 결과를 검토하여 각 대도시의 피해추정함수를 최종 선정하였고, 이를 이용하여 100년 빈도 강우량에 대한 7개 대도시의 인적 및 물적 홍수피해 규모를 평가하였다. 본 논문의 결과는 홍수피해 저감대책을 위한 홍수피해 규모 평가에 기초정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

구조 수명간 지진위험도를 고려한 연속 PSC교의 LCC 최적 내진설계 (Optimum Life-Cycle Cost-Effective Seismic Design for Continuous PSC Bridges Considering Lifetime Expected Seismic Risks)

  • 조효남;이광민;박경훈;김평석
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2004년도 춘계 학술발표회 제16권1호
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    • pp.720-723
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    • 2004
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for determining optimum Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective seismic design for continuous PSC bridges considering lifetime expected seismic risks. In the paper, a set of cost function for LCC analysis of bridges is proposed. The total LCC functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. The damage costs are expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices (Park and Ang, 1985) and lifetime damage probabilities. The proposed approach is applied to model bridges of both moderate seismicity regions like Korea and high seismicity regions like Japan. Since, in case of bridges, a number of parameters may have an influence on optimal target reliability, various sensitivity analyses are performed in this study. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as continuous PC bridges.

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장대 PC교량의 최적 내진설계 및 성능개선을 위한 최소 기대 Life Cycle Cost 모델 (Minimum Expected Life Cycle Cost Model for Optimal Seismic Design and Upgrading of Long Span PC Bridges)

  • 조효남;임종권
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1999년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 1999
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic and practical life cycle cost(LCC) model for the development of the reliability-based seismic safety and cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of long-span PC bridges. The LCC models consist of five cost functions such as initial cost, repair/replacement cost, human losses, road user cost, and indirect losses of regional economy. The proposed model Is successfully expressed in temrs of Park-Ang damage indices and life cycle damage probability obtained from SMART-DRAIN-2DX which is an existing algorithm for nonlinear time history analysis. The proposed LCC model is successfully applied to a viaduct constructed by PSM, in Seoul. Based on the observations, the proposed systematic procedure for the formulation of LCC model may be useful for the development of the reliability-based seismic safety and cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of long-span PC bridges.

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인공지능기술을 이용한 교량구조물의 생애주기비용분석 모델 (Life Cycle Cost Analysis Models for Bridge Structures using Artificial Intelligence Technologies)

  • 안영기;임정순;이증빈
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2002
  • This study is intended to propose a systematic procedure for the development of the conditional assessment based on the safety of structures and the cost effective performance criteria for designing and upgrading of bridge structures. As a result, a set of cost function models for a life cycle cost analysis of bridge structures is proposed and thus the expected total life cycle costs (ETLCC) including initial (design, testing and construction) costs and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair and replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect regional economic losses costs. Also, the optimum safety indices are presented based on the expected total cost minimization function using only three parameters of the failure cost to the initial cost (${\tau}$), the extent of increased initial cost by improvement of safety (${\nu}$) and the order of an initial cost function (n). Through the enough numerical invetigations, we can positively conclude that the proposed optimum design procedure for bridge structures based on the ETLCC will lead to more rational, economical and safer design.

전기안전 업무의 비용효과 분석을 위한 전기화재 손실비용 추정방법 개발 (The Development on the Estimate method for the Cost-Effect Analysis of the Electrical Safety Management)

  • 유재근
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권2호
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    • pp.349-352
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    • 2015
  • This paper estimates electrical fire damage cost-effect to analyze electrical safety efficiency by applying a cost-benefit analysis method for analyzing the efficiency of a business public interest. Electrical fire loss statistics data was presented as direct costs and casualties, including deaths due to an electrical fire, this paper adds overhead "Incidental Cost of Accidents to the Employer" by W. H. Heinrich was applied to estimate the cost of economic loss. Also wounded, including the loss of human deaths by referring to the car accident insurance claims costs and human development estimated the losses caused by an electrical fire. And to perform a cost-benefit analysis of the electrical safety as a result of future work. In this paper, the economic effect of the electric field of safety and public interest work to systematically presented.

강풍 피해에 따른 피해비용의 효율적인 산정을 위한 분류체계 개발 (Development of Categorization System for Efficient Calculation of Damage Cost according to Strong Wind)

  • 송창영;이종훈
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the plan to construct a disaster information categorization system that can be objectively and efficiently performed was suggested in order to perform disaster management task systematically. Recently, the damage of natural disasters is gradually growing larger and faster, increasing the economic loss. Especially, as for the domestic storm damage, the damage from strong wind was found to be greater than the damage from torrential rain. Also, strong wind was found to be inflicting a great damage on human life, property and agricultural crops, so the necessity to study damage restoration from strong wind is increasing. Nevertheless, the damage items categorized in the domestic disaster year book are often comprehensive or unclear in criteria, and thus fail to reflect items or matters due to actual disaster damage. It is difficult to aggregate damage accurately such that it does not correspond to the national compensation scope or the damage amount is calculated according to subjective judgment of the investigator in charge. As such, if the disaster information management is inadequate by not applying accurate categorization criteria from damage amount calculation, there can be an issue with fairness when paying the damage support aid. Therefore, this study suggested a categorization plan for objective and efficient execution of disaster information management task in order to resolve such issues. It is expected that quick and efficient execution would be possible in disaster information management and task procedure domestically by constructing systematic categorization system related to disaster information.

서울 대기 중 미세 먼지 노출로 인한 위해도에 근거한 우선 관리 지역 선정 -이론적 사망 위해도 및 손실비용을 근거로- (Selection of Priority Areas Based on Human and Economic Risk from Exposure to Fine Particles in Seoul)

  • 김예신;이용진;신동천
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2004
  • It is important to select a risk based priority area for environmental policy formation and decision-making. We estimated the health risks and associated damage costs from exposure to fine particles and assigned priority areas for twenty -five districts in Seoul. In order to estimate the theoretical mortality incidence of the health risk, baseline risks were estimated from mortality rates in two low level areas of fine particles, Seocho Gu and Cheju city To estimate the damage cost from the risk estimates, we investigated and estimated the willingness to pay (WTP) for specific risk reduction. We assumed two different locations as the reference area, Cheju city as Scenario I and Seocho gu as Scenario II. From the results, the five districts, Kwangjin, Chungnang, Kangbuk, Nowon, and Kangnam, ranked high in the categories of both health risk and economic risk. Damage costs were over twenty billion won in each of these districts. As there are uncertainties in these results, the parameter values such as PM$_{2.5}$ level, dose -response slope factor, baseline risk, exposure population and WTP should be continuously validated and refined.d.

제품의 온실가스 배출저감에 대한 성과지표 개발 - 컨조인트 분석(conjoint analysis)을 이용한 지구온난화 영향의 사회적 비용 추정 - (Development of the Performance Indicator for the Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Products - Estimation of Social Cost for Global Warming Impact using the Conjoint Analysis -)

  • 정인태;이건모;송종성
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.1245-1254
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    • 2008
  • 지구온난화 영향의 사회적 비용(외부비용) 추산 방법을 제안하는 것이 이 연구의 목적이다. 지구온난화 영향의 피해를 받는 대상을 정의하기 위하여 엔드포인트 접근방법(endpoint approach)을, 피해를 받는 대상에 대한 경제적 가치를 산출하기 위하여 컨조인트 분석(conjoint analysis)을 각각 적용하였다. 보호대상에 대한 사회적 선호도와 지불의사금액(Willingness to Pay; WTP)을 측정하여 보호대상에 대한 경제적 가치를 추정한 결과 인간 건강은 62,261,700원/DALY(년)(장애보정생존연수), 사회 자산은 10,000원/10,000원이었다. 또한 각 보호대상에 대한 단위 피해를 정량화 한 피해계수(damage factor)와 인간 건강과 사회 자산에 대한 경제적 가치를 곱하여 GHG의 비용계수(cost factor)를 산출하였다. 온실가스 중 CO$_2$의 경우 비용계수는 13.52원/kg(13,520원/ton)으로 산출되었다. 제품 및 서비스로 인해 배출된 GHG 목록 결과값과 각 온실가스의 비용계수를 곱하여 지구온난화의 외부비용을 산출하였다.