• Title/Summary/Keyword: Temperature Trend

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The Estimation of Urbanization Effect in Global Warming over Korea using Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperatures (최고, 최저기온을 이용한 우리나라 기온변화에서의 도시화효과 분석)

  • Koo, Gyo-Sook;Boo, Kyung-On;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2007
  • This study investigates urbanization effect in warming trend of surface air temperature over Korea. The data used in this study consist of the daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period of 32 years(1968-1999) from 16 stations of KMA. To calculate magnitude and trend of urbanization effect, stations were classified into urban and rural stations using population statistics. Urban stations were defined as those with population densities greater than 1000 persons per kilometer squared in 1995. The others were defined as rural stations. The urban stations were also subdivided into two groups according to their population totals. For estimates of urban effect magnitude, temperature change was calculated by comparing 16-year mean values between 1968-83 and 1984-99. Then, the difference between each urban station and every rural station was calculated. During the analysis period of 32 years, maximum temperature increase is $1.22^{\circ}C$. In the total temperature increase, urban effect is estimated by 28.7%. For minimum temperature, it becomes larger by about 10% than that in maximum temperature. Therefore, urban effect in an increasing trend of minimum temperature is 38.9% in the change of $1.13^{\circ}C$.

A trend analysis of seasonal average temperatures over 40 years in South Korea using Mann-Kendall test and sen's slope (Mann-Kendall 비모수 검정과 Sen's slope를 이용한 최근 40년 남한지역 계절별 평균기온의 경향성 분석)

  • Jin, Dae-Hyun;Jang, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Hee-Kyung;Lee, Yung-Seop
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.439-447
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    • 2021
  • Due to the frequent emergence of global abnormal climates, related studies on meteorological change is being actively proceed. However, the research on trend analysis using weather data accumulated over a long period of time was insufficient. In this study, the trend of temperature time series data accumulated from automated surface observing system (ASOS) for 40 years was analyzed by using a non-parametric analysis method. As a result of the Mann-Kendall test on the annual average temperature and seasonal average temperature time series data in South Korea, it has shown that an upward trend exists. In addition, the result of calculating the Sen's slope, which can determine the degree of tendency before and after the searched change point by applying the Pettitt test, recent data after the fluctuation point confirmed that the tendency of temperature rise was even greater.

The Trend on the Change of the Cherry Blossom Flowering Time due to the Temperature Change (기온 변화에 따른 벚꽃 개화시기의 변화 경향)

  • Lee, Seungho;Lee, Kyoungmi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the trend on the change of the cherry blossom flowering time due to the temperature change by selecting regions that have long periods of cherry blossom flowering time data as cases. With the flowering time data, the distribution of cherry blossom flowering time, time series change and change rate of cherry blossom flowering time were analyzed. Also, the correlation between the cherry blossom flowering time and the temperature was analyzed. The flowering of cherry blossom is earlier in metropolitan areas, and in the east coastal region than the west coastal region. The trend on the change of the cherry blossom flowering time is very similar to change the temperature. The change rate of the cherry blossom flowering time is rising up in the whole regions under study, and is relatively high in metropolitan areas. Especially, the cherry blossom flowering time festinated greatly in Pohang that is one of the heavily industrialized cities. From the analysis of correlation analysis between cherry blossom flowering time and temperature elements, the cherry blossom flowering time is highly related with mean temperature of March, which the month is just before the beginning of flowering.

CLIMATIC TRENDS OF SOME PARAMETERS OF THE SOUTHERN OCEAN DERIVED FROM REMOTE SENSING DATA

  • Lebedev, S.A.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.1023-1026
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    • 2006
  • As it was shown recently, climate changes in Antarctica resulted in interannual trends of some climatic parameters like sea level pressure, surface air temperature, ice thickness and others. These tendencies have effect on the Southern Ocean meteorological and hydrological regime. The following remote sensing data: AVHRR MCSST data, satellite altimetry data (merged data of mission ERS-2, TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, ENVISAT, GFO-1) are used to analyse the interannual and/or climatic tendency of sea surface temperature (SST) and sea level anomaly (SLA). According to the obtained results, SST has negative trend $-0.02{\pm}0.003^{\circ}C/yr$ for 24-yr record (1982-2005) and SLA has positive trend $0.01{\pm}0.005$ cm/yr for 24-yr record (1982-2005) and $0.24{\pm}0.026$ cm/yr for 12-yr record (1993-2005). However in some areas (for example, Pacific-Antarctic Ridge) SST and SLA tendencies are stronger $-0.065{\pm}0.007^{\circ}C/yr$ and $-0.21{\pm}0.05$ cm/yr, respectively.

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Hydrochemical Properties of the Onyang Hot Spring Waters (온양지역 온천수의 수리화학적 특성)

  • Yun, Uk;Cho, Byong Wook;Lee, Cholwoo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.561-570
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    • 2016
  • For the investigation of hydrochemical changes in hot spring waters from the Onyang hot spring area, we analyzed water chemistry of 24 hot spring waters in 2011 and 2016. The results showed that there is no significant change in temperature and properties of the hot spring waters. The relationship of 2016 between temperature and $SiO_2$ and F reveals a positive trend ($r^2=0.60$, 0.47), and the relationship between temperature and Ca, Mg, Cl, $SO_4$, $HCO_3$, EC reveals a negative trend ($r^2=0.50$, 0.11, 0.50, 0.63, 0.23, 0.51). The relationship between temperature and pH is a positive trend, while the one between temperature and DO is a negative trend, indicating that the source is from deep groundwater. When plotted on Piper diagram, most of which are $Na-HCO_3$ but several hot waters are classified as the $Na(Ca)-HCO_3$, indicating inflow of shallow groundwater was occurred.

Trace (Minor) Elemental and Isotopic Compositions of Calcitic Skeletons in the Eastern Coast and Cheju Island, Korea (한반도 동해안과 제주도 연안에서 발견되는 방해석질 각질의 미량원소, 부원소 및 탄소와 산소 동위원소 함량의 변화)

  • Ji, Ok-Mi;Woo, Kyung-Sik
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.124-141
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study are to investigate the trace (minor) elemental and isotopic compositions of calcitic skeletons, such as barnacle, echinoid, branching and encrusting calcareous algae and oyster, from the eastern coast of Korean peninsula and Cheju Island, and to compare their variations with latitude, that is, the temperature of ambient seawater at which the skeletons grew. Articulated and encrusting red algae are composed of high-Mg calcite (7-21 mol% $MgCO_3$). Echinoids are also composed of high-Mg calcite (7-15 mol% $MgCO_3$). Whereas barnacles are composed of low-Mg calcite (1-5 mol% $MgCO_3$). The Mg compositions of articulated red algae, barnacle and oyster tend to increase with increasing water temperature, whereas those of encrusting red algae and echinoid do not show any trend. Sr compositions of articulated red algae, echinoid and barnacle tend to decrease with increasing water temperature, whereas those of encrusting red algae and oyster do not show any trend. Mn compositions of articulated red algae and encrusting red algae decrease with an increase of water temperature, whereas those of echinoid and barnacle do not show any trend. Fe compositions of articulated red algae tend to decrease with increasing water temperature, whereas those of encrusting red algae and oyster increase. Fe compositions of echinoid and barnacle do not show any trend with water temperature variations. Ba compositions of echinoid and low-magnesium calcitic skeletons do not show any trend with water temperature variations. Ba compositions of articulated red algae tend to decrease with increasing water temperature, whereas those of encrusting red algae increase. Cd and Pb compositions of all the skeletons tend to increase with increasing water temperature. Cu compositions of encrusting red algae increase with increasing water temperature, whereas articulated red algae, echinoid, barnacle and oyster do not show any trend. Zn compositions of high-magnesium calcitic skeletons and low-magnesium calcitic skeletons do not show any trend. Estimated water temperatures from oxygen isotopic data of all the skeletons except for the barnacle arc higher than the range of temperature of the shallow seawater of the East Sea and around Cheju Island. The oxygen isotopic compositions of oyster and echinoid are well clustered, and they do not show any trend with increasing water temperature. Therefore, this could reflect that the organisms have not secreted their shells in oxygen isotopic equilibrium with ambient seawater due to vital effect. Thus, the oxygen isotopic composition of barnacle can potentially be utilized for paleotemperature estimate whereas those of other organisms in this study may not be useful.

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Development of Synthetic Regression Diagram for Analyzing Linear Trend of Sea Surface Height, Temperature, and Salinity around the Korean Marginal Seas (한반도 주변 해역 해수면 및 수온, 염분의 선형 추세 분석을 위한 종합 회귀 도표 개발)

  • LIM, BYEONG-JUN;CHANG, YOU-SOON
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2016
  • This study developed synthetic regression diagram for analyzing the linear trend of sea surface height, temperature, and salinity around the Korean marginal seas. In situ observed data had been quality controlled and they were verified by EOF comparison with objective analyzed data. From the synthetic regression diagram, we confirmed similar linear regression values with those of previous studies, but additionally provided detailed regression rate of each 5 to 30 year for the total periods of 1983-2013. We expect that quantitative results presented by this study will be useful as standard reference numbers for relevant studies analyzing oceanic long-term trend.

Long-term pattern changes of sea surface temperature during summer and winter due to climate change in the Korea Waters

  • In-Seong Han;Joon-Soo Lee;Hae-Kun Jung
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.26 no.11
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    • pp.639-648
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    • 2023
  • The sea surface temperature (SST) and ocean heat content in the Korea Waters are gradually increased. Especially the increasing trend of annual mean SST in the Korea Water is higher about 2.6 times than the global mean during past 55 years (1968-2022). Before 2010s, the increasing trend of SST was led by winter season in the Korea Waters. However, this pattern was clearly changed after 2010s. The increasing trend of SST during summer is higher about 3.9 times than during winter after 2010s. We examine the long-term variations of several ocean and climate factors to understand the reasons for the long-term pattern changes of SST between summer and winter in recent. Tsushima warm current was significantly strengthened in summer compare to winter during past 33 years (1986-2018). The long-term patterns of Siberian High and East Asian Winter Monsoon were definitely changed before and after early- or mid-2000s. The intensities of those two climate factors was changed to the increasing trend or weakened decreasing trend from the distinctive decreasing trend. In addition, the extreme weather condition like the heatwave days and cold spell days in the Korea significantly increased since mid- or late-2000s. From these results, we can consider that the occurrences of frequent and intensified marine heatwaves during summer and marine cold spells during winter in the Korea Waters might be related with the long-term pattern change of SST, which should be caused by the long-term change of climate factors and advection heat, in a few decade.

Modelling land surface temperature using gamma test coupled wavelet neural network

  • Roshni, Thendiyath;Kumari, Nandini;Renji, Remesan;Drisya, Jayakumar
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 2017
  • The climate change has made adverse effects on land surface temperature for many regions of the world. Several climatic studies focused on different downscaling techniques for climatological parameters of different regions. For statistical downscaling of any hydrological parameters, conventional Neural Network Models were used in common. However, it seems that in any modeling study, uncertainty is a vital aspect when making any predictions about the performance. In this paper, Gamma Test is performed to determine the data length selection for training to minimize the uncertainty in model development. Another measure to improve the data quality and model development are wavelet transforms. Hence, Gamma Test with Wavelet decomposed Feedforward Neural Network (GT-WNN) model is developed and tested for downscaled land surface temperature of Patna Urban, Bihar. The results of GT-WNN model are compared with GT-FFNN and conventional Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN) model. The effectiveness of the developed models is illustrated by Root Mean Square Error and Coefficient of Correlation. Results showed that GT-WNN outperformed the GT-FFNN and conventional FFNN in downscaling the land surface temperature. The land surface temperature is forecasted for a period of 2015-2044 with GT-WNN model for Patna Urban in Bihar. In addition, the significance of the probable changes in the land surface temperature is also found through Mann-Kendall (M-K) Test for Summer, Winter, Monsoon and Post Monsoon seasons. Results showed an increasing surface temperature trend for summer and winter seasons and no significant trend for monsoon and post monsoon season over the study area for the period between 2015 and 2044. Overall, the M-K test analysis for the annual data shows an increasing trend in the land surface temperature of Patna Urban.

A Study on Characteristics of Climate Variability and Changes in Weather Indexes in Busan Since 1904 (1904년 이래의 부산 기후 변동성 및 생활기상지수들의 기후변화 특성 연구)

  • Ha-Eun Jeon;Kyung-Ja Ha;Hye-Ryeom Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2023
  • Holding the longest observation data from April 1904, Busan is one of the essential points to understand the climate variability of the Korean Peninsula without missing data since implementing the modern weather observation of the South Korea. Busan is featured by coastal areas and affected by various climate factors and fluctuations. This study aims to investigate climate variability and changes in climatic variables, extremes, and several weather indexes. The statistically significant change points in daily mean rainfall intensity and temperature were found in 1964 and 1965. Based on the change point detection, 117 years were divided into two periods for daily mean rainfall intensity and temperature, respectively. In the long-term temperature analysis of Busan, the increasing trend of the daily maximum temperature during the period of 1965~2021 was larger than the daily mean temperature and the daily minimum temperature. Applying Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, daily maximum temperature is largely affected by the decadal variability compared to the daily mean and minimum temperature. In addition, the trend of daily precipitation intensity from 1964~2021 shows a value of about 0.50 mm day-1, suggesting that the rainfall intensity has increased compared to the preceding period. The results in extremes analysis demonstrate that return values of both extreme temperatures and precipitation show higher values in the latter than in the former period, indicating that the intensity of the current extreme phenomenon increases. For Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature (effective humidity), increasing (decreasing) trend is significant in Busan with the second (third)-largest change among four stations.