• 제목/요약/키워드: Technical Insolvency

검색결과 3건 처리시간 0.017초

수산기업의 부실화 요인 및 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry)

  • 이윤원;장창익;홍재범
    • 한국수산경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수산경영학회 2007년도 추계학술발표회 및 심포지엄
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    • pp.167-184
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    • 2007
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut-down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t-test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non-distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990$\sim$1993), period 2(1994$\sim$1997), period 3(1998$\sim$2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub-samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub-sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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수산기업의 부실화 요인과 그 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry)

  • 장창익;이윤원;홍재범
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut - down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t - test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non - distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990 - 1993), period 2(1994 - 1997), period 3(1998 - 2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub - samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub - sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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공공발주자 의사결정에 미치는 가치공학(VE)의 영향력 분석 - 프로젝트 생애주기를 중심으로 - (The Influence Analysis of Value Engineering for the Public Empoyer's Decision Marking - Focused on the Project Life Cycle -)

  • 박종순;전재열
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2015
  • 공공프로젝트 발주자들에게 VE의 중요성이 점증되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 VE 공공발주체계의 과학화, 시스템화를 통하여 공공발주자의 의사결정을 객관화시키고 발주체계 관련자들의 상호신뢰 회복을 위한 의사결정 지원체계의 구축을 위하여, 공공발주자에게 미치는 VE 프로젝트 발주체계의 영향력 분석에 대한 DB를 구축하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이에 국내의 VE 수행현황 분석을 통하여 수행체계의 문제점을 고찰하고, 도출된 문제점의 개선을 위하여 건설VE 수행사례를 통한 프로젝트 발주 시 고려하여야 할 VE 영향요소를 추출하여 설문결과에 대한 회귀분석 및 요인분석을 통하여 전체의 60%이상의 영향력을 가지는 15개의 영향요소를 도출한다. 도출된 영향요소에 대한 AHP분석을 통하여 프로젝트 생애주기 동안의 각 단계에 미치는 영향력을 분석하여 제시하였다.