• 제목/요약/키워드: Target Price

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Do Analyst Practices and Broker Resources Affect Target Price Accuracy? An Empirical Study on Sell Side Research in an Emerging Market

  • Sayed, Samie Ahmed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • This paper attempts to measure the impact of non-financial factors including analyst practices and broker resources on performance of sell side research. Results reveal that these non-financial factors have a measurable impact on performance of target price forecasts. Number of pages written by an analyst (surrogate for analyst practice) is significantly and directly linked with target price accuracy indicating a more elaborate analyst produces better target price forecasts. Analyst compensation (surrogate for broker resource) is significantly and inversely linked with target price accuracy. Out performance by analysts working with lower paying firms is possibly associated with motivation to migrate to higher paying broking firms. The study finds that employing more number of analysts per research report has no significant impact on target price accuracy -negative coefficient indicates that team work may not result in better target price forecasts. Though insignificant, long term forecast horizon negatively affects target price accuracy while stock volatility improves target price accuracy.

Optimization of Investment Decision Making by Using Analysts' Target Prices (애널리스트 목표가를 활용한 최적 투자의사결정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Su-Ji;Kim, Heung-Kyu;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2020
  • Investors aim to maximize the return rate for their own investment, utilizing various information as possible as they can access. However those investors, especially individual investors, have limitations of interpretation of the domain-specific information or even the acquisition of the information itself. Thus, individual investors tend to make decision affectively and frequently, which may cause a loss in returns. This study aims to analyze analysts' target price and to suggest the strategy that could maximize individual's return rate. Most previous literature revealed that the optimistic bias exists in the analysts' target price and it is also confirmed in this study. In this context, this study suggests the upper limit of target rate of returns and the optimal value named 'alpha(α)' which performs the adjustment of proposed target rate to maximize excess earning returns eventually. To achieve this goal, this study developed an optimization problem using linear programming. Specifically, when the analysts' proposed target rate exceeds 30%, it could be adjusted to the extent of 59% of its own target rate. As apply this strategy, the investors could achieve 1.2% of excess earning rate on average. The result of this study has significance in that the individual investors could utilize analysts' target price practically.

A Study on the Introduction of Derivatives for Hedge of Housing Rent Price -Targeting Apartment Rent Price in Gangnam and Gangbuk Regions of Seoul- (주택전세가격 헤지를 위한 파생상품 도입 연구 - 서울시 강남, 강북지역 아파트 전세가격을 대상으로 -)

  • Choi, In-Sik;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to seek a method capable of hedging a rising risk of housing rent price by introducing derivatives with the target of Korean housing rent markets. The research model used in this thesis progressed a research by applying a futures contract method with the target of the rent price of major apartments in Gangnam and Gangbuk Regions of Seoul. As an analysis result, the rent price of all complexes has risen during its analysis period, so it could be confirmed that the CRB future index was also risen according to this. Finally, it was confirmed that the rising risk of the rent price can be hedged through a purchase position of futures. But, as the difference between rent price variation and CRB future index variation occurs, it appeared that 100% of hedge is difficult. However, it is judged that if considering that a method capable of hedging the rising risk of the existing rent price was nonexistent, the hedge trading effect utilizing the CRB future index on the rent price will be meaningful.

The Effects of the Type of Brand Extensions on Evaluations of Target Extension Product in Dissimilar Extensions: Focusing on the Moderating Role of Brand Concept and the Price of Target Extension Product (비유사 확장 시 브랜드확장 유형이 목표확장제품의 평가에 미치는 효과: 브랜드 컨셉과 목표확장제품 가격의 조절적 역할을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Sung-Youl;Huh, Jong-Ho;Jang, So-Hee
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we investigate the relative effectiveness of the two types of brand extensions (sequential extensions vs. direct extensions) in dissimilar extensions and examine the moderating role of two key variables - brand concept(functional brand vs. symbolic brand) and price of target extension product(low vs. high). The results from two experiments show that consumers evaluate the target extension product more favorably when brand is extended sequentially to dissimilar categories than when it is extended directly. However, the difference of target extension product evaluation between sequential extensions and direct extensions decrease when brand is symbolic and price of target extension product is high. Theoretical and managerial implications of the finding are discussed and inplications for future research are suggested.

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Study on the Effect of Quantitative and Qualitative Easing(QQE) in Japan (日本の量的·質的金融緩和(QQE)の効果について)

  • Yeom, Dongho
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.143-162
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    • 2018
  • This paper focuses on the policy framework about "Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE)" of Japan, and analyzes reasons why the policy goal was not reached. The QQE was introduced by the Bank of Japan in 2013 with the purpose of meeting the price stability target of 2% and getting out of deflation that prevents sustained price decline. However, despite the implementation of the bold monetary easing policy unprecedented in the world, the policy goal was not achieved as of June 2018. As a result of analyzing the causes, the following three structural factors were confirmed. 1) The rise in prices by QQE was limited because Japan's consumer price is strongly depending on import price. 2) The effect is high degree of uncertainty and limited because theoretical framework of reflationist which adopted QQE depends on "expectation formation" by "self-fulfilling expectation" and "multiple equilibria". 3) It was confirmed that the expansion of the monetary base did not lead to money stock due to the existence of Japanese liquidity trap, long-term low interest rate policy.

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Comparative Analyses of Mass Marketing and Target Marketing Based on Price Elasticity and Production Cost (가격탄력성과 생산비용에 기초한 대량 마케팅과 표적시장 마케팅의 비교 분석)

  • Won, Jee Sung
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - It is widely accepted that the process of developing marketing strategy is composed of three steps: market segmentation, target market selection and positioning. However, mass marketing strategy based on cost reduction through economies of scale and standardized products, can be also an effective strategic option. Many marketing scholars including Theodore Levitt emphasize the importance of applying the mass production concept to various industries including service industries. Especially, in times of economic downturn, the capability of providing consumers with low-priced, value products can be an important source of competitive advantage, as well as the ability of providing high-priced premium products. Marketers should decide whether they will implement mass marketing strategy or target marketing strategy. The present study theoretically shows that firms should understand the target customers' price elasticity as well as the firm's cost structure in order to make such a strategic decision. Research design, data, and methodology - Instead of implementing an empirical study, this study provides a theoretical(mathematical) investigation on the effect of consumers' price elasticity on a firm's optimal price level, profit, sales volume, revenue, and cost. The results are mostly deduced from derivative calculations and several graphs are utilized to represent the results on the relationships between the variables under study. Results - The analytical results suggest that it is more profitable for a firm to adopt the segment/target marketing strategy (more specifically the differentiation strategy) when the degree of consumers' heterogeneity is high and the proportion of the fixed cost in the total cost is low. On the other hand, if the degree of consumers' heterogeneity is low and the fixed cost is high, it is better to adopt the mass marketing strategy or the cost leadership strategy. The strategy of concentrating on a single target market will be effective when consumers' needs are highly heterogeneous but the fixed cost is high. Any of the three types of generic strategies proposed my Porter(1980, 1985) can be applied when both the consumers' heterogeneity and the fixed cost are low. This study also proposes the contribution-margin-based method for developing the optimal pricing strategy. Conclusions - One of the primary roles of marketers is to find a proper compromise between the two conflicting goals of maximizing customer satisfaction and minimizing cost. In order to do so, he or she should understand the characteristics of the target customers as well as the cost structure of the firm. In addition to the theoretical analyses, this study discusses several business cases and explains how superior companies find the optimal compromise position between these two goals and dominate the market. One of the radical changes recently taking place in business arena is the reduction of production and distribution costs of both physical goods and information due to the advancement and the wide diffusion of information technology. The cost reduction combined with lowered priced elasticity incurred by customized products and services, will enable many firms to adopt the mass customization strategy.

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A Quantitative Study of the Effects of a Price Collar in the Korea Emissions Trading System on Emissions and Costs (배출권거래제 가격상하한제가 배출량 및 감축비용에 미치는 영향에 대한 정량적 연구)

  • Bae, Kyungeun;Yoo, Taejoung;Ahn, Young-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.261-290
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    • 2022
  • Although market stabilization measures have been triggered in the K-ETS, carbon price is still under uncertainty. Considering Korea's 2030 enhanced reduction target announced in October 2021, it is crucial to have practical stabilization measures to appropriately deal with price uncertainty. This study examines the quantitative effects of a price collar, which is considered as a means of alleviating price uncertainty, on expected cumulative emissions and abatement costs. There are three main scenarios: carbon tax, emissions trading system, and emissions trading system with a price collar. Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to reflect uncertainty in emission. There are several results as follows: 1) In a price collar, domestic emission target is likely to be achieved with a lower expected abatement cost than other scenarios. In addition, there is a small amount of excess emissions in this research and it would be not critical(0.1% excess than target); 2) Prohibiting banking increases the expected abatement cost. This is because firms can not intertemporally reallocate allowances to match the firm's optimal emissions path; 3) With the adoption of a price collar, government's net revenue can be positive even if the government's purchase volume of emissions allowances is more than sales volume. This is because the government sells them at price ceiling and purchases them at price floor.

Analyzing Fluctuation of the Rent-Transaction price ratio under the Influence of the Housing Transaction, Jeonse Rental price (주택매매가격 및 전세가격 변화에 따른 전세/매매가격비율 변동 분석)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Sang-Hyo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2010
  • Uncertainty in housing price fluctuation has great impact on the overall economy due to importance of housing market as both place of residence and investment target. Therefore, estimating housing market condition is a highly important task in terms of setting national policy. Primary indicator of the housing market is a ratio between rent and transaction price of housing. The research explores dynamic relationships between Rent-Transaction price ratio, housing transaction price and jeonse rental price, using Vector Autoregressive Model, in order to demonstrate significance of shifting rent-transaction price that is subject to changes in housing transaction and housing rental market. The research applied housing transaction price index and housing rental price index as an indicator to measure transaction and rental price of housing. The price index and data for price ratio was derived from statistical data of the Kookmin Bank. The time-series data contains monthly data ranging between January 1999 and November 2009; the data was log transformed to convert to level variable. The analysis result suggests that the rising ratio between rent-transaction price of housing should be interpreted as a precursor for rise of housing transaction price, rather than judging as a mere indicator of a current trend.

Price Elasticity Analysis of University Students in Foodservice Operations for Pricing Policy (대학교 학생식당의 가격정책을 위한 가격탄력성 분석)

  • 양일선;백승희;신서영
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study were to : (a) analyzed price elasticity of university students in foodservice operations and (b)provide insight for price decision-making. Questionnaires were composed of price elasticity, the utilization and opinions of students on university foodservice operations, and demographic information regarding respondents. The questionnaires were distributed to 600 university students of 6 universities located in Seoul. Statistical data analysis was completed using the SAS package for descriptive analysis, t-test, ANOVA, and Pearson’s correlation. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: The average price for lunch was ₩1,663 for campus food, and ₩2,965 for off-campus restaurants. The frequency of utilizing the university cafeteria was fairly high. Students felt that the proper price for lunch was ₩1,446, presenting a lower price than the actual average price for lunch. The price elasticity was investigated in relation to the change in utilization rate when these was a price increase. The price elasticity was 2.03, with significant differences between sex, age, and major. The groups utilizing the university cafeteria frequently, taking longer time to go to off-campus or that were satisfied with the university cafeteria, had a lower price elasticity than those that did not. The results of this study suggest that predicting the price elasticity of the target market would assist the pricing policy, and the fact that the same students have different price elasticity by place and atmosphere can be used in marketing strategies.

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The Influence of Community Facilities on the Price of Housing with Block Unit on the Price of Housing with Block Unit: Focused on 82 Complexes in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (블록단위 단독주택의 주민공동시설이 가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 수도권 82개 단지를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Ji-Hun;Jo, Hang-Hun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • This study fulfills an empirical analysis how the physical factors affect the formation of housing price with the block unit. Block unit houses are a type of housing that pursues comfort and convenience in that the characteristics of individual houses and apartment houses are mixed. Existing studies have focused only on the physical characteristics of various planning elements such as block-type residential complexes. Nevertheless, it is not known whether the physical characteristics of block-type residential complexes reflect the preferences of actual consumers. In addition, there are no sufficient studies on how to evaluate them from the market side. In this study, block-level detached housing sites the target complexes with 10 or more households built between 2002 and 2019. The target areas for analysis are 163 complexes in Paju, Namyangju, Goyang, Suwon, Yongin, Ansan, Gimpo, Incheon, Seongnam, Hwaseong and Gwangju, Gyeonggi-do. The physical elements that make up the unit housing were classified through factor analysis. Finally, regression analysis was conducted to establish the basis determining the price-forming factors. As a result of the analysis, the factors that influenced the price were the site area and the number of community facilities. The variable with negative influence was the distance from Seoul. Based on the results of this study, it can be said that the influence on price formation in various areas was confirmed by presenting the relationship between the facility composition and price of a detached house.