• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.20 no.7
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• pp.555-561
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• 2019

This study analyzed the shipbuilding structure of House Tangerine over a ten day period and according to the month in Jeju. By estimating and analyzing the price flexibility function of House Tangerine, the aim was to determine if the shipment control can stabilize and increase the incomes of House Tangerine farmers and derive policy implications. The greatest decline in the coefficients of the ten-day price flexibility occurred in the equations from early June to late July. Therefore, the shipment control of House Tangerine is required more during early June and late July. The coefficient of DUM_Q, indicating the year in which the quality of House Tangerine is somewhat deteriorated, was statistically significant and had a (-) sign. The coefficients of DUM_SUK, indicating the year in which Chuseok (Korean Thanksgiving Day) was in October, was statistically significant and had a (-) sign in the middle and late October. The greatest decline in the coefficient of monthly price flexibility function occurred in July, June, and September. Therefore, shipment control is required more in July, June, and September. The (-) signs of the coefficients of DUM_Q and DUM_SUK suggest that the need for shipment control is more important when the quality is less than better quality and that the necessity of shipment control is required more when Chuseok is in October, respectively.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.212-217
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• 2020

The purpose of this study was to analyze the volatility and properties of a time series for tangerine prices in Jeju using the GARCH model of Bollerslev(1986). First, it was found that the time series for the rate of change in tangerine prices had a thicker tail rather than a normal distribution. At a significance level of 1%, the Jarque-Bera statistic led to a rejection of the null hypothesis that the distribution of the time series for the rate of change in tangerine prices is normally distributed. Second, the correlation between the time series was high based on the Ljung-Box Q statistic, which was statistically verified through the ARCH-LM test. Third, the results of the GARCH(1,1) model estimation showed statistically significant results at a significance level of 1%, except for the constant of the mean equation. The persistence parameter value of the variance equation was estimated to be close to 1, which means that there is a high possibility that a similar level of volatility will be present in the future. Finally, it is expected that the results of this study can be used as basic data to optimize the government's tangerine supply and demand control policy.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.376-381
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to investigate price transmissions between wholesale and retail markets regarding Jeju tangerines by employing co-integration analysis and vector error correction model. The results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the long-run equilibrium relationship was found among wholesale and retail markets in time series for level by distribution channel. Second, a short-run causality relationship was observed between wholesale and retail markets. Third, the long-run causality relationship between wholesale market and retail markets was found bidirectional and feedback effect. These results imply that the wholesale price performs a central role in establishing price in the tangerine market, and the wholesale market influences tangerine price. In conclusion, for the development of a competitive tangerine industry, it is necessary to aggressively promote the policy of supply and demand control of tangerine production through organizing producers.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.19 no.7
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• pp.214-221
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to analyze the shipbuilding structure of field tangerine by ten days and by month. By estimating and analyzing the price flexibility function of field tangerines, this study determines whether the shipment control can stabilize and increase the income of field tangerine farmers and provides policy implication. Considering the overall market, a 1% increase in shipment volume indicates that the coefficient of price flexibility varies with ten days and month. The greatest decline is from late October to early January. Therefore, a greater necessity of shipment control is required during late October and early January. The coefficient of the dummy variable (DUM_Q) indicates the year in which the quality declines is statistically significant and sign. The coefficient of the dummy variable (DUM02) represents the year in which more than 7 days after the New Year holidays are in February is statistically significant and sign from early October to late January. Therefore, it can be seen that the necessity of shipment control is more required when New Year holidays are in February. The greatest decline in the coefficient of price flexibility is from October to December. Therefore, a greater necessity of shipment control is required during October and December. The signs of coefficients of DUM01 and DUM_Q dummy variable of the price flexibility function suggest that the need for shipment control is more important when quality is worse than better quality and that the necessity of shipment control is more required when New Year holidays are in February, respectively.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.7
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• pp.303-311
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• 2020

The acreage of tangerines in the U.S. sharply rose from 19,000 ha in 2009 to 27,000 ha in 2016, an increase of 42% in 7 years. Considering the recent surge in tangerine exports to Japan, the export volume of 6-7 thousand tons is highly likely to increase in the future. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze the economic impact of U.S. tangerine imports on the Korean citrus industry under various scenarios. In order to examine the possibility of imports of U.S. tangerines, the unit price of U.S. exports to Japan was used since U.S. tangerines are not imported to South Korea. Citrus fruits are divided into field citrus, house citrus, and late-maturing citrus (including winter season citrus) based on the cultivation method and variety used to analyze. Considering both the field and house seasons, the import volume of U.S. tangerines can be expected to rise from roughly 4,700 tons in 2021 to 10,000 tons in 2027. Imports of U.S. tangerines may be pushed up or delayed depending not only on the harvest method and quality of domestic field and house citrus but also on the harvest of U.S. tangerines. However, it is necessary to note that tangerines could be imported after 2021, when the tariff rate on U.S. tangerines will fall below 50%.