• Title/Summary/Keyword: TBM project requirements

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The investigation of the applicability of Monte Carlo Simulation in analyzing TBM project requirements

  • Ulku Kalayci Sahinoglu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2024
  • Geotechnical parameter estimation is critical to the design, performance, safety, and cost and schedule management in Tunnel Boring Machine projects. Since these parameters vary within a certain range, relying on mean values for evaluation introduces significant risks to the project. Due to the non-homogeneous characteristics of geological formation, data may not exhibit a normal distribution and the presence of outliers might be deceptive. Therefore, the use of reliable analyses and simulation models is inevitable in the course of the data evaluation process. Advanced modeling techniques enable comprehensive analysis of the project data and allowing to model the uncertainty in geotechnical parameters. This study involves using Monte Carlo Simulation method to predict probabilistic distributions of field data, and therefore, establish a basis for designs and in turn to minimize project risks. In the study, 166 sets of geotechnical data Obtained from 35 boreholes including Standard Penetration Test, Limit Pressure, Liquid Limit, and Plastic Limit values, which are mostly utilized parameters in estimating project requirements, were used to estimate the geotechnical data distribution of the study field. In this context, firstly, the data was subjected to multi-parameter linear regression and variance analysis. Then, the obtained equations were implemented into a Monte Carlo Simulation, and probabilistic distributions of the geotechnical data of the field were simulated and corresponding to the 90% probability range, along with the minimum and maximum values at the 5% probability levels presented. Accordingly, while the average SPT N30 value is 42.86, but the highest occurrence rate is 50.81. For Net Limit Pressure, the average field data is 17.07 kg/cm2, with the maximum occurrence between 9.6 kg/cm2 and 13.7 kg/cm2. Similarly, the average Plastic Limit value is 22.32, while the most probable value is 20.6. The average Liquid Limit value is 56.73, with the highest probability at 54.48, as indicated in the statistical data distribution. Understanding the percentage distribution of data likely to be encountered in the project allows for accurate forecasting of both high and low probability scenarios, offering a significant advantage, particularly in ordering TBM requirements.

The suggestion of tunneling information and detail requirements for EPB shield machine design (토압식 쉴드TBM 장비설계를 위한 설계항목과 세부 요구사양의 구성에 관한 제안)

  • Kim, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Hyouk;Kim, Seong-Cheol;Kang, Si-On;Mun, Cheol-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2020
  • Recently, tunneling projects using shield TBM are increasing in Korea, but the information of client for machine design and manufacturing considering the characteristics of the tunneling phase is not formal, and it is difficult to optimized machine for suitable tunneling works. This paper suggest as for reference the required terms that can be used in Korea on the design items and detailed requirements for ordering of EPB shield TBM based on overseas case study. It would be hope that the TBM user can request the overall tunneling plan and required machine specification when ordering TBM, and the TBM supplier can design and manufacturing that is clear condition and suitable machine for the successful project, so that there are no residential civil complaints and for safe tunneling as well, shield TBM tunneling method will be activated.

A study on the establishment of domestic criteria through analysis of shield TBM requirements in overseas ITB (Invitation to Bid) (해외 쉴드TBM 입찰안내서 분석을 통한 국내 발주 기준 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Hyouk;Mun, Cheol-Hwa;Kim, Young-Hyu;Kim, Dong-Ho;Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.985-997
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    • 2017
  • In many countries, most of the tunneling works have been ordered by the shield TBM, and also Korean companies are actively bidding and execute in this project. In case of Korea, refurbished machines are mainly using in power cable, gas pipelines, and water and sewage tunnel. Also in metro projects, shield TBM of over diameter 7m is required mainly by using brand new machine. Since the shield TBM is not easy to change once it is produced, it is necessary for the client to provide sufficient information on the production conditions so as to satisfy various characteristics of the construction. In this study, to manufacturing optimal shield TBM, the Client's TBM requirements of tunnel construction in Hong Kong and UK was analyzed and compared with the domestic requirements. The results are expected to provide as client's guidelines for bidding stage and manufacturing for shield TBM tunneling in Korea in the future.

Comparative risk analysis of NATM and TBM for mixed-face large-diameter urban tunneling (도심지 대단면 복합지반 NATM 과 TBM 터널공법의 비교위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Geun;Moon, Joon-Shik;Shim, Jai-Beom;Lee, Seung-Bok;Choi, Chang-Rim;Chun, Youn-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2011
  • The risk assessment is essential for tunnel design in order to minimize risks associated with uncertainty about geological conditions and tunneling method. This paper provides a comparative risk analysis of a large single bore TBM driven tunnel against sequentially excavated NATM tunnel for a mixed-face large-diameter urban tunnel project near or under a river. The focus of this assessment is on the risks associated with the tunnel excavation methods, in particular whether a TBM or NATM presents more or less risk to achieve the planned excavation duration and bring the project within the estimated bid price. First, the impacts and risks to tunnel construction under each method were discussed, and the risks were scored and ranked in the order of perceived severity and likelihood. Finally, the assessment from a risk based perspective was conducted to decide which alternate tunneling method is more likely to deliver the project with the least time and cost. It is very important to note that this study is only applied to this tunnel project with specific geological conditions and other contract requirements.