• 제목/요약/키워드: Surrogate Variable

검색결과 59건 처리시간 0.028초

대청호 유역의 수질평가를 위한 종합수질지수의 적용 (Application of Korean Water Quality Index for the Assessment of River Water Quality in the Basin of Daecheong Lake)

  • 정세웅;박재호
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.470-476
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    • 2005
  • The Korean Water Quality Index (K-WQI) was applied to the rivers located in the watershed of Daecheong Lake to assess the status of river water quality, and propose potential target constituents for better water quality management in the watershed. The estimated K-WQI value for each river was varied from 70 to 90, and Youngdongcheon showed the worst score while Mujunamdeachen showed the best score. The total nitrogen (TN) and total coliform bacteria were identified as the most significant constituents that degrade the K-WQI values in the rivers. The correlation coefficients (r) were determined between K-WQI and the delivered specific load ($kg/km^2/yr$) of BOD, TN, and TP to justify potential target constituents that have a great influence on the improvement of K-WQI values. The results showed that TN (r=-0.86) and TP (r=-0.85) have a strong negative relationships with K-WQI, but BOD have almost no effect. This implies that BOD, the surrogate parameter for organic pollutants, is no more a feasible water quality variable for the water quality management in the study site.

The Application of Customer Equity Concepts in Cellular Phone: Antecedents, Constructs, and Consequences

  • Park, Seong Yong
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.23-48
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    • 2011
  • Generally, higher brand equity ends up with higher market share and higher profitability. However, superior brand equity does not guarantee the success in the market. That is, consumer choice is closely related to brand equity but we need more than brand equity to explain this complex phenomenon. We adopt the customer equity concepts: value equity, brand equity, and retention equity. By incorporating value equity and retention equity into customer equity, it is possible to avoid the problems of using the brand equity only. In the paper, we apply this customer equity concepts to cellular phone and investigate the effects of antecedent variables such as exposure, knowledge, positive experience and negative experience on the components of customer equity. In addition, as surrogate measure of customer lifetime value, the weighted measure of purchase intention, consideration set inclusion, and next purchase is used as dependent variable. We estimate the effects of components of customer equity at the brand level and aggregate level using SURE model. Estimation results show that Apple has currently low market share but has high future potentials and Korean firms have currently high market share but has rather low future potentials.

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Evolutionary computational approaches for data-driven modeling of multi-dimensional memory-dependent systems

  • Bolourchi, Ali;Masri, Sami F.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.897-911
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a novel approach based on advancements in Evolutionary Computation for data-driven modeling of complex multi-dimensional memory-dependent systems. The investigated example is a benchmark coupled three-dimensional system that incorporates 6 Bouc-Wen elements, and is subjected to external excitations at three points. The proposed technique of this research adapts Genetic Programming for discovering the optimum structure of the differential equation of an auxiliary variable associated with every specific degree-of-freedom of this system that integrates the imposed effect of vibrations at all other degrees-of-freedom. After the termination of the first phase of the optimization process, a system of differential equations is formed that represent the multi-dimensional hysteretic system. Then, the parameters of this system of differential equations are optimized in the second phase using Genetic Algorithms to yield accurate response estimates globally, because the separately obtained differential equations are coupled essentially, and their true performance can be assessed only when the entire system of coupled differential equations is solved. The resultant model after the second phase of optimization is a low-order low-complexity surrogate computational model that represents the investigated three-dimensional memory-dependent system. Hence, this research presents a promising data-driven modeling technique for obtaining optimized representative models for multi-dimensional hysteretic systems that yield reasonably accurate results, and can be generalized to many problems, in various fields, ranging from engineering to economics as well as biology.

Optimizing shallow foundation design: A machine learning approach for bearing capacity estimation over cavities

  • Kumar Shubham;Subhadeep Metya;Abdhesh Kumar Sinha
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.629-641
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    • 2024
  • The presence of excavations or cavities beneath the foundations of a building can have a significant impact on their stability and cause extensive damage. Traditional methods for calculating the bearing capacity and subsidence of foundations over cavities can be complex and time-consuming, particularly when dealing with conditions that vary. In such situations, machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques provide effective alternatives. This study concentrates on constructing a prediction model based on the performance of ML and DL algorithms that can be applied in real-world settings. The efficacy of eight algorithms, including Regression Analysis, k-Nearest Neighbor, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Multivariate Regression Spline, Artificial Neural Network, and Deep Neural Network, was evaluated. Using a Python-assisted automation technique integrated with the PLAXIS 2D platform, a dataset containing 272 cases with eight input parameters and one target variable was generated. In general, the DL model performed better than the ML models, and all models, except the regression models, attained outstanding results with an R2 greater than 0.90. These models can also be used as surrogate models in reliability analysis to evaluate failure risks and probabilities.

WASP8 모형의 하천 미세플라스틱 모의 적용성 검토 (Applicability of the WASP8 in simulating river microplastic concentration)

  • 김경민;박태진;정한석
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제56권5호
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2023
  • 미세플라스틱 분석에는 많은 비용과 인력, 그리고 긴 분석시간이 필요하기 때문에 하천에서의 연속적 미세플라스틱 관측에는 한계가 있다. 이와 같은 한계는 일반적으로 모형의 활용을 통해 보완될 수 있으나, 미세플라스틱의 거동 모의를 위한 모형 연구는 상당히 제한적으로 수행되었다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 하천 수질 오염원의 거동을 이해하고 예측하는 데 많이 활용되는 물리식 기반 동적 수치모형인 Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP)의 미세플라스틱 오염예측에의 적용성을 검토하였다. 이를 위해, 안양천 대상 미세플라스틱 실측자료와 WASP8의 생화학적 산소요구량(BOD)과 부유물질(SS) 상태변수를 미세플라스틱 대리인자로 이용하여 안양천의 미세플라스틱 농도를 모의하였다. 모의결과, SS를 이용한 미세플라스틱 모의가 BOD를 이용한 모의보다 미세플라스틱 농도 모의에 더 좋은 성능을 나타냈다. 이는 상태변수로 이용한 각 수질인자의 특성에 기인한 것으로 생물화학적 지표인 BOD는 생물화학적으로 매우 안정된 미세플라스틱 모의에 대리인자로 사용하기에 적합하지 않은 것으로 판단된다. 반면, 미세플라스틱과 물리적 거동이 유사한 SS의 경우 미세플라스틱의 농도변화 추세를 잘 반영하였다. 향후, 보다 엄밀한 모형을 통한 미세플라스틱 오염 예측을 위해서는 미세플라스틱 재현성 평가를 위한 다양한 환경조건에서의 기초적인 미세플라스틱 조사 연구가 요구되며, 미세플라스틱 입력자료의 단위문제가 해결되어야 한다.

고정밀 비행 시뮬레이션을 위한 개선 VFM 기법 연구 (Improved VFM Method for High Accuracy Flight Simulation)

  • 이치호;김무겸;이재륜;전권수;장막심;이재우
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제49권9호
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    • pp.709-719
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    • 2021
  • 최근 들어 비행 시뮬레이션 기술의 정확도 향상과 기술의 발전으로 실제 비행시험 횟수를 줄이고 시뮬레이션으로 비행 안전과 인증을 확인하는 가상 인증이 확대되는 추세에 있다. 고신뢰도의 비행 시뮬레이션을 위해서는 고정밀도의 공력 데이터를 다양한 받음각과 마하수, 옆 미끄럼각 범위에서 구성해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 정밀한 공력 데이터베이스의 구축을 위해 최적 설계에 주로 사용되는 다양한 데이터 융합 기법의 하나인 Gaussian Process(GP) 기반의 변형 정밀도 모델링(VFM, Variable Fidelity Modeling) 기법과 Adaptive Sampling 기법을 결합하여 개선 변형 정밀도(Improved VFM) 기법을 제안하였다. Case study로 F-16 전투기를 선정하고 고정밀도 데이터의 종류에 따라 4개의 Case를 분류하여 각각의 오차와 정확도를 확인하였다. 여기에 본 연구에서 제안하는 개선 VFM 데이터 융합 기법을 적용하여 고정밀 공력 데이터 사용 횟수를 최소화함으로써 그 유용함을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한, Gliding, Short Term Pitch Response, Roll Mode 기동에 대한 실제 실험 데이터 대비 항공안전 인증 요구 만족 여부를 확인하였다. 이를 통해 개선 변형 정밀도 모델링을 사용한 고정밀도 시뮬레이션의 가상 인증 적용 가능성을 확인하였다.

Risk Stratification of Early Stage Oral Tongue Cancers Based on HPV Status and p16 Immunoexpression

  • Ramshankar, Vijayalakshmi;Soundara, Viveka T.;Shyamsundar, Vidyarani;Ramani, Prathiba;Krishnamurthy, Arvind
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권19호
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    • pp.8351-8359
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    • 2014
  • Background: Recent epidemiological data have implicated human papilloma virus (HPV) infection in the pathogenesis of head and neck cancers, especially oropharyngeal cancers. Although, HPV has been detected in varied amounts in persons with oral dysplasia, leukoplakias and malignancies, its involvement in oral tongue carcinogenesis remains ambiguous. Materials and Methods: HPV DNA prevalence was assessed by PCR with formalin fixed paraffin embedded sections (n=167) of oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma patients and the physical status of the HPV16 DNA was assessed by qPCR. Immunohistochemistry was conducted for p16 evaluation. Results: We found the HPV prevalence in tongue cancers to be 51.2%, HPV 16 being present in 85.2% of the positive cases. A notable finding was a very poor concordance between HPV 16 DNA and p16 IHC findings (kappa<0.2). Further molecular classification of patients based on HPV16 DNA prevalence and p16 overexpression showed that patients with tumours showing p16 overexpression had increased hazard of death (HR=2.395; p=0.005) and disease recurrence (HR=2.581; p=0.002) irrespective of their HPV 16 DNA status. Conclusions: Our study has brought out several key facets which can potentially redefine our understanding of tongue cancer tumorigenesis. It has emphatically shown p16 overexpression to be a single important prognostic variable in defining a high risk group and depicting a poorer prognosis, thus highlighting the need for its routine assessment in tongue cancers. Another significant finding was a very poor concordance between p16 expression and HPV infection suggesting that p16 expression should possibly not be used as a surrogate marker for HPV infection in tongue cancers. Interestingly, the prognostic significance of p16 overexpression is different from that reported in oropharyngeal cancers. The mechanism of HPV independent p16 over expression in oral tongue cancers is possibly a distinct entity and needs to be further studied.

정보시스템 사용자의 기대, 시스템의 지각된 성능, 기대불일치가 사용자 만족에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study of the Influence of Expectation, Perceived Performance, and Disconfirmation on Information Systems User Satisfaction)

  • 김종욱;신승균;김병곤
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.101-123
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    • 2004
  • User satisfaction has been widely used by information system(IS) researchers as the most appropriate surrogate variable for the systems success since Bailey and Pearson(1983) provided their user satisfaction measurement. Because user satisfaction is a perceived performance measure by users, not a real or objective measure for systems success, however, perceived user satisfaction by users may not be exactly identical with the real systems performance. In this regard, if the user's ultimately perceived satisfaction is different from the real systems performance, we need to investigate why these two measures are different and which factors may cause the difference. From the perspective of disconfirmation of user expecations, this study examined why user satisfaction and real systems performance may not be identical each other. Expectaion-disconfirmation theory which has had a central role in marketing in explaining the effects of expectation and disconfirmation on consumer satisfaction was similarly adopted in this study to explain the role of expectation and disconfirmation in user satisfaction in the IS environment. Based on the expectation-disconfirmation theory, the current study developed a research model to examine the effects of expectation, system performance, and disconfirmation on user satisfaction in particular. Six research hypotheses derived from the research model were empirically tested using the partial least squares(PLS) method. The results of the statistical analysis indicate that the effects of system performance and disconfirmation were fairly strong on user satisfaction, while the user's expectation has shown insignificant influences on user satisfaction.

물리적 상점과 가상 상점의 협업적 경로전략: 감각상품을 중심으로 (A Collaborative Channel Strategy of Physical and Virtual Stores for Look-and-feel Products)

  • 김진백;오창규
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.67-93
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    • 2006
  • Some consumers prefer online and others prefer offline. What makes them prefer online or offline? There has been a lack of theoretical development to adequately explain consumers' channel switching behavior between traditional physical stores and new virtual stores. Through consumers' purchase decision processes, this study examined the reasons why consumers changed channels depending on purchase process stages. Consumer's purchase decision process could be divided into three stages: pre-purchase stage, purchase stage, and post-purchase stage. We used the intention of channel selection as a surrogate dependent variable of channel selection. And some constructs, that is, channel function, channel benefits, customer relationship benefits, and perceived behavioral control, were selected as independent variables. In buying look-and-feel products, it was identified that consumers preferred virtual stores to physical stores at pre-purchase stage. To put it concretely, all constructs except channel benefits were more influenced to consumers at virtual stores. This result implied that information searching function, which is a main function at pre-purchase stage, was better supported by virtual stores than physical stores. In purchase stage, consumers preferred physical stores to virtual stores. Specially, all constructs influenced much more to consumers at physical stores. This result implied that although escrow service and trusted third parties were introduced, consumers felt that financial risk, performance risk, social risk, etc. still remained highly online. Finally, consumers did not prefer any channel at post-purchase stage. But three independent variables, i.e. channel function, channel benefits, and customer relationship benefits, were significantly preferred at physical stores rather than virtual stores at post-purchase stage. So we concluded that physical stores were a little more preferred to virtual stores at post-purchase stage. Through this study, it was identified that most consumers might switch channels according to purchase process stages. So, first of all, sales representatives should decide that what benefits should be given them through virtual stores at the pre-purchase stage and through physical stores at the purchase and post-purchase stages, and then devise collaborative channel strategies.

전역 민감도 분석을 이용한 건물 에너지 성능평가의 합리적 개선 (Rational Building Energy Assessment using Global Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 유영서;이동혁;김선숙;박철수
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2020
  • The building energy performance indicator, called Energy Performance Index (EPI), has been used for the past decades in South Korea. It has a list of design variables assigned with weighting factors (a, b). Unfortunately, the current EPI method is not performance-based but very close to a prescriptive rating. With this in mind, this study aims to propose a new performance-based EPI method. For this purpose, a global sensitivity analysis method, Sobol, is employed. The Sobol method is suitable for complex nonlinear models and can decompose all the output variance due to every input. The Sobol sensitivity index of each variable is defined as 0 to 1 (0 to 100%), and the sum of all sensitivity indices is equal to 1 (100%). In this study, an office building was modeled using EnergyPlus and then the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) was conducted to generate a surrogate model to EnergyPlus. The sensitivity index was suggested to replace weight (a) in the existing EPI. In addition, the discrete weight (b) in the existing EPI was replaced by a set of continuous regression functions. Due to the introduction of the sensitivity index and the continuous regression functions, the new proposed approach can provide far more accurate outcome than the existing EPI (R2: 0.83 vs. R2: 0.01 for cooling, R2: 0.66 vs. R2: 0.01 for total energy). The new proposed approach proves to be more rational, objective and performance-based than the existing EPI method.