• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.188-192
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• 2021

In this paper, we apply data mining techniques and machine learning algorithms using R software, which is used to predict, here we applied a regression model to test some factor on the dataset for which we assumed that it effects student performance. Model was built on an existing dataset which contains many factors and the final grades. The factors tested are the attention to higher education, absences, study time, parent's education level, parent's jobs, and the number of failures in the past. The result shows that only study time and absences can affect the students' performance. Prediction of student academic performance helps instructors develop a good understanding of how well or how poorly the students in their classes will perform, so instructors can take proactive measures to improve student learning. This paper also focuses on how the prediction algorithm can be used to identify the most important attributes in a student's data.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제22권10호
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• pp.9-17
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• 2017

The student dropout prediction is an indispensable for many intelligent systems to measure the educational system and success rate of all university. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an intelligent dropout prediction system that minimizes the situation by adopting the proactive process through an effective model that predicts the students who are at risk of dropout. In this paper, the main data sets for students dropout predictions was used as questionnaires and university information. The questionnaire was constructed based on theoretical and empirical grounds about factor affecting student's performance and causes of dropout. University Information included student grade, interviews, attendance in university life. Through these data sets, the proposed dropout prediction model techniques was classified into the risk group and the normal group using statistical methods and Naive Bays algorithm. And the intelligence dropout prediction system was constructed by applying the proposed dropout prediction model. We expect the proposed study would be used effectively to reduce the students dropout in university.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제26권11호
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• pp.1608-1614
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• 2022

최근 학생 수 감소로 인한 대학 간 경쟁이 심화되면서 성과부진학생을 조기에 예측하고, 중도이탈을 예방하기 위해 다양한 노력을 기울이는 것은 대학의 필수 업무로 인식되고 있다. 이를 위해서는 학생의 성과를 정밀하게 예측하는 우수한 성능의 모델이 필수적이다. 본 논문은 성과부진학생을 식별하기 위한 분류 예측 모델에서 이상 데이터를 제거하거나 증폭을 통해 예측 성능을 향상시키는 방법에 대해 제안한다. 기존 이상데이터 처리방법은 주로 데이터를 삭제하거나 무시하는데 집중되었지만 이 논문에서는 잡음과 변화지표를 구분하는 기준을 제시하고, 데이터를 삭제하거나 증폭함으로써 예측 모델의 성능을 높이는데 기여한다. 제안 방법의 검증을 위해 공개된 학습 성과 데이터를 활용한 실험에서 기존 방법에 비해 제안방법이 분류 성능을 향상시킬 수 있는 다수의 사례를 발견할 수 있었다.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.109-115
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• 2021

The number of freshmen at universities is decreasing due to the recent decline in the school-age population, and the survival of many universities is threatened. To overcome this situation, universities are seeking ways to use big data within the school to improve the quality of education. A study on the prediction of dropout students is a representative case of using big data in universities. The dropout prediction can prepare a systematic management plan by identifying students who will drop out of school due to reasons such as dropout or expulsion. In the case of actual on-campus data, a large number of missing values are included because it is collected and managed by various departments. For this reason, it is necessary to construct a model by effectively reflecting the missing values. In this study, we propose a university student dropout prediction model based on eXtreme Gradient Boost that can be applied to data with many missing values and shows high performance. In order to examine the practical applicability of the proposed model, an experiment was performed using data from C University in Chungbuk. As a result of the experiment, the prediction performance of the proposed model was found to be excellent. The management strategy of dropout students can be established through the prediction results of the model proposed in this paper.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제15권9호
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• pp.1292-1301
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• 2001

The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.

• 대한통합의학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.155-166
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• 2024

Purpose : This study aims to identify key factors for predicting dropout risk at the university level and to provide a foundation for policy development aimed at dropout prevention. This study explores the optimal machine learning algorithm by comparing the performance of various algorithms using data on college students' dropout risks. Methods : We collected data on factors influencing dropout risk and propensity were collected from N University. The collected data were applied to several machine learning algorithms, including random forest, decision tree, artificial neural network, logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) classification, and Naive Bayes. The performance of these models was compared and evaluated, with a focus on predictive validity and the identification of significant dropout factors through the information gain index of machine learning. Results : The binary logistic regression analysis showed that the year of the program, department, grades, and year of entry had a statistically significant effect on the dropout risk. The performance of each machine learning algorithm showed that random forest performed the best. The results showed that the relative importance of the predictor variables was highest for department, age, grade, and residence, in the order of whether or not they matched the school location. Conclusion : Machine learning-based prediction of dropout risk focuses on the early identification of students at risk. The types and causes of dropout crises vary significantly among students. It is important to identify the types and causes of dropout crises so that appropriate actions and support can be taken to remove risk factors and increase protective factors. The relative importance of the factors affecting dropout risk found in this study will help guide educational prescriptions for preventing college student dropout.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제22권10호
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• pp.246-256
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• 2022

Recently, parents and teachers consider physical education as a minor subject for students in elementary and secondary schools. Physical education performance has become increasingly significant as parents and schools pay more attention to physical schooling. The sports mining with distribution analysis model considers different factors, including the games, comments, conversations, and connection made on numerous sports interests. Using different machine learning/deep learning approach, children's athletic and academic interests can be tracked over the course of their academic lives. There have been a number of studies that have focused on predicting the success of students in higher education. Sports interest prediction research at the secondary level is uncommon, but the secondary level is often used as a benchmark to describe students' educational development at higher levels. An Automated Student Interest Prediction on Sports Mining using DL Based Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory model (BiLSTM) is presented in this article. Pre-processing of data, interest classification, and parameter tweaking are all the essential operations of the proposed model. Initially, data augmentation is used to expand the dataset's size. Secondly, a BiLSTM model is used to predict and classify user interests. Adagrad optimizer is employed for hyperparameter optimization. In order to test the model's performance, a dataset is used and the results are analysed using precision, recall, accuracy and F-measure. The proposed model achieved 95% accuracy on 400^th instances, where the existing techniques achieved 93.20% accuracy for the same. The proposed model achieved 95% of accuracy and precision for 60%-40% data, where the existing models achieved 93% for accuracy and precision.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.136-142
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• 2021

This study was conducted by researchers to compare the differences between the ratings of mothers and teachers on young children's academic ability and learning ability, and to confirm their influence on elementary school academic performance ability. This study was conducted using data from the 7th year(2 014) and 10th year(2017) of the panel study on Korean children. The analysis data were individual basic background, academic ability, preparation for learning, and academic performance ability. 600 children were used for the study. We suggests that close interaction and cooperation between mother and teacher are necessary to support young children's academic ability and learning preparation.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제21권10호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2021

학습관리 시스템(LMS)에 축적되는 로그 데이터는 학습 과정에 대한 양질의 정보를 제공한다. 지금까지 LMS 로그 데이터를 활용한 학업성취 예측 연구가 다양하게 수행되었지만, 상대적으로 적은 양의 학생 및 수업 데이터에 기반하고 있어 연구 결과 일반화 가능성에 한계가 존재한다. 본 연구는 대용량 LMS 로그 데이터를 이용해 대학생 학업성취를 조기예측하는 심층신경망 모델을 개발하고 성능을 검증했다. 이를 위해 가명화 처리된 LMS 로그 데이터 78,466,385건과 성적 데이터 165,846건을 활용했다. 그 결과, 본 연구에서 제안하는 예측 모델은 우수학생 집단을 학기 초부터 높은 수준의 정확도로 예측하였다. 한편 보통 및 저성취 집단에 대한 예측 정확도는 제한적인 수준이었지만, 예측시점이 늦을수록 향상되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 순수 LMS 로그 데이터만을 이용해 실제로 활용할 수 있을 정도의 일반화 성능을 가진 심층신경망 기반 조기예측 모델을 구현했다는 의의가 있다.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제28권8호
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• pp.49-58
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• 2023

학생들의 중도 탈락은 대학의 재정적 손실 뿐 아니라, 학생 개개인 및 사회적으로도 부정적인 영향을 끼친다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 기계 학습을 이용하여 대학생들의 중도 탈락 여부를 예측하고자 하는 다양한 시도가 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 대학생들의 중도 탈락 여부를 예측하기 위해 DNN(Deep Neural Network)과 LGBM(Light Gradient Boosting Machine)을 이용한 모델을 구현하고 성능을 비교하였다. 학습 데이터로는 서울 소재 중소규모 4년제 대학인 A 대학의 20,050명의 학생을 대상으로 수집된 학적 및 성적 데이터를 학습에 이용하였다. 원본 데이터의 140여개의 속성 중 중도 탈락 여부를 나타내는 속성과의 상관계수가 0.1 이상인 속성들만 추출하여 학습하였다. 두 모델의 성능 실험 결과, DNN과 LGBM의 F1-스코어는 0.798과 0.826이었으며, LGBM이 DNN에 비해 2.5% 나은 예측 성능을 보였다.