• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.25-48
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• 2023

The current article has explored the effect of productive capacities (as defined by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development) and of structural economic vulnerability (as defined by the United Nations) on fiscal space volatility in developing countries. It relies on the definition and measure of fiscal space proposed by Aizenman and Jinjarak (2010; 2011) and Aizenman et al. (2019). To compute the indicator of fiscal space and hence that of fiscal space volatility, fiscal space is considered as the ratio of outstanding public debt to the 'de facto tax base', the latter being the number of years of tax revenues needed for a country to repay its debt. Results based on a sample of 116 countries from 2000 to 2018 have revealed that the enhancement of productive capacities is associated with lower fiscal space volatility, while higher structural economic vulnerability heightens fiscal space volatility. On another note, highly vulnerable countries tend to experience a higher negative effect of productive capacities on fiscal space volatility than relatively less vulnerable countries.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.323-335
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• 2017

A simplified framework for the probabilistic estimation of economic losses induced by the structural vulnerability in single-story and single-bay precast industrial buildings is presented. The simplifications introduced in the framework are oriented to the definition of an expeditious procedure adoptable by government agencies and insurance companies for preliminary risk assessment. The economic losses are evaluated considering seismic hazard, structural response, damage resulting from the structural vulnerability and only structural-vulnerability-induced e]conomic losses, i.e., structural repair or reconstruction costs (stock and flow costs) and content losses induced by structural collapse. The uncertainties associated with each step are accounted for via Monte Carlo simulations. The estimation results in a probabilistic description of the seismic risk of portal-like industrial buildings, expressed in terms of economic losses for each occurrence (i.e., seismic event) that owners (i.e., insured) and stakeholders can use to make risk management decisions. The outcome may also be useful for the definition of the insurance premiums and the evaluation of the risks and costs for the owner corresponding to the insurance industrial costs. A prototype of a precast concrete industrial building located in Mirandola, Italy, hit by the 2012 Emilia earthquake, is used as an example of the application of the procedure.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.365-375
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• 2017

Seismic risk management has two main technical aspects: to recommend the construction of high-performance buildings and other structures using earthquake-resistant designs or evaluate existing ones, and to prepare emergency plans using realistic seismic scenarios. An overview of seismic risk assessment methodologies in Croatia is provided with details regarding the components of the assessment procedures: hazard, vulnerability and exposure. For Croatia, hazard is presented with two maps and it is expressed in terms of the peak horizontal ground acceleration during an earthquake, with the return period of 95 or 475 years. A standard building typology catalogue for Croatia has not been prepared yet, but a database for the fourth largest city in Croatia is currently in its initial stage. Two methods for earthquake vulnerability assessment are applied and compared. The first is a relatively simple and fast analysis of potential seismic vulnerability proposed by Croatian researchers using damage index (DI) as a numerical value indicating the level of structural damage, while the second is the Macroseismic method.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.11-21
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• 2022

가뭄은 장기간에 걸쳐 광범위하게 발생하며, 사회·경제적으로도 큰 피해를 발생시킨다. 가뭄 위험도는 기상학적 및 수문학적 요소와 더불어 사회적, 환경적, 물리적 및 경제적 요소로 이루어져 있기 때문에, 가뭄 위험도에 대한 영향을 정량적으로 파악하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 충청북도를 대상으로 구조방정식모형을 이용하여 가뭄 노출성, 취약성, 대응능력 및 위험도 사이의 영향 관계를 파악하고, 베이지안 네트워크를 적용하여 가뭄 위험도에 대한 영향을 평가하였다. 또한, 가뭄 위험도 평가 인자별 민감도 분석을 통해 가뭄 위험도의 변화 정도를 분석하였다. 그 결과 과거 가뭄 위험도가 가장 큰 지역은 충주시로, 노출성 및 대응능력을 변화시켰을 때에도 가장 크게 산정되었다. 다만, 취약성을 변화시켰을 때에는 음성군이 위험도가 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다. 위험도에 대한 영향인자들의 민감도 분석을 실시한 결과 증평군이 민감도가 가장 컸으며, 노출성, 취약성 및 대응능력에서 제천시, 음성군, 옥천군이 민감도가 크게 나타났다. 이러한 결과를 통해 가뭄 위험도 및 가뭄 위험도에 대한 영향인자를 확인하였으며, 영향인자별 지역의 특성을 고려한 가뭄 대책 마련이 가능하다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.261-272
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• 2020

Recent severe earthquakes in and around the vital public places worldwide indicate the severe vulnerability of ground excitation to be assailed. Reducing the effect of seismic lateral load in structural design is an important conception. Essentially, seismic isolation is required to shield the superstructure in such a way that the building superstructure would not move when the ground is shaking. This study explores the effectiveness, design, and practical feasibility of base isolation systems to reduce seismic demands on buildings of varying elevations. Thus, static and dynamic analyses were conducted based on site-specific bi-directional earthquakes for base-isolated as well as fixed-based buildings. Remarkably, it was discovered that isolators used in low-rise to high-rise structures tend to significantly decrease the structural responses of seismic prone buildings. The higher allowable horizontal displacement induces structural flexibility and ensure good structural health of the building stories. Reinforcement from vertical and horizontal members can be reduced in significant amounts for BI buildings. Thus, although incorporating base isolators increases the initial outlay, it considerably diminishes the total structural cost.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권5호
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• pp.145-154
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to analyze how the problems caused by overtourism affect the quality of life of Jeju residents and their perceptions of the overtourism phenomenon by exploring related factors for future policy implications. In the research model, each independent factor related to tourists affects the quality of life of residents, and the mediation variable (QoL) ultimately agrees with overtourism. This study uses Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), which is less influenced by the sample size. The research is based on 360 questionnaires. The test results showed that cultural factors affected the QoL statistically at 1% significance level, and economic factors were significant at 5%. The quality of life variable affects the agreement of overtourism (p-value 1% significance level). An indirect effect analysis on whether each independent factor affects the overtourism factor through the parameter of the QoL of the residents showed that the cultural factor at 5% level statistically affected it, and economic factors were significant at 10%. In conclusion, we recommend implementing both economic and cultural factors to reduce the negative perception of overtourism for the policy planning. Further research in multiple aspects should be continued to overcome the vulnerability of the Island destination tourism.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.18-37
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• 2024

이 연구는 영국 건설업 사례연구를 통해 이주노동자의 산업안전보건 문제를 구조적 취약성을 중심으로 살펴본다. 이주노동자는 중층적으로 분절화된 노동시장의 하층부에서 외주화된 위험노동을 담당한다. 구조적 취약성은 산업안전보건의 위험요인을 이주노동자 개인의 책임이나 '문화'적 차이보다는 작업장 내 위계를 형성하고 위험을 증가시키는 사회구조에 중점을 둔다. 이 연구는 영국 건설업 내 위험의 이주화를 지속화하는 구조적 요인을 저임금 이주노동력에의 의존성, 불안정 고용구조, 브렉시트 이후 이주노동자의 법적지위를 중심으로 살펴보고, 세 가지 요인이 어떻게 맞물리며 이주노동자의 건강과 안전에 대한 취약성을 증대하는지 논의한다. 위험의 이주화는 사업장의 안전보건이나 보편적 산재보험에 대한 논의뿐 아니라 저임금 저숙련 인력에 의존하는 고용구조와 국가의 노동이주정책이 상호연관된 문제이다. 이에 교육훈련이나 법제도에서 이주노동자를 배제하지 않는 소극적 차원의 선언적 정책을 넘어 구조적 위험요인을 제거해나가는 적극적조치가 요구된다.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.138-147
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• 2018

최근 경주, 포항 등 국내에서 지진으로 인한 피해가 지속적으로 발생하면서, 우리나라가 더 이상 지진의 안전지대가 아니며 이에 대한 대비가 필요함을 알게 되는 계기가 되었다. 또한 내진설계 개념 도입 이전에 건설된 교량들은 적절한 보강 대책이 마련되지 않은 상태로 남아있는 실정으로 경제성과 구조적 안전성이 고려된 내진보강이 순차적으로 이루어져야한다. 기존 교량의 내진성능 예비평가는 교량이 위치한 지역의 지진세기를 고려한 지진도와 취약도 및 영향도를 고려하여 4개의 그룹으로 내진 그룹화하고 이를 통해 내진성능 상세평가를 위한 우선순위가 결정된다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 방법과 다르게 교량의 중요도와 취약조건, 도로교의 세부사항을 기준으로 선정하여 도로교의 내진 보강 우선순위를 결정하는 보다 간편하고 객관적인 알고리즘을 제안하고 이를 실제 교량에 적용하여 적합성을 확인하였다.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.603-621
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• 2014

Past high speed wind events have exposed the vulnerability of the roof systems of existing light-framed wood structures to uplift loading, contributing greatly to economic and human loss. This paper further investigates the behaviour of light-framed wood structures under the uplift loading of a realistic pressure distribution. A three-dimensional finite-element model is first developed to capture the behaviour of a recently completed full-scale experiment. After describing the components used to develop the numerical model, a comparison between the numerical prediction and experimental results in terms of the deflected shape at the roof-to-wall connections is presented to gain confidence in the numerical model. The model is then used to analyze the behaviour of the truss system under realistic and equivalent uniform pressure distributions and to perform an assessment of the use of the tributary area method to calculate the withdrawal force acting on the roof-to-wall connections.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.266-273
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• 2015

Keeping in mind that there are only limited social, economic and administrative resources for reducing marine casualties, the result of statistical survey showed the loopholes of safe maritime transport system, and rendered that most casualties occurred in coastal waters by human errors. When the IMO Marine Casualty Investigation Code was utilized to reveal any structural vulnerability of the international measures, IMO was required to expand its roles to enhance the interface between Liveware and Environment of SHEL model. So, several risk assessment models were studied and found that Maritime Safety Audit System of the Republic of Korea could be a good example of enhancing safe interface between navigators (Liveware) and the navigational circumstances (Environment). It could be dealt with at IMO level as a tool for applying at human error enforcing waters. International cooperative research for upgrading risk assessment modes should also be future terms of reference.