• Title/Summary/Keyword: Storms

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Towards a revised base wind speed map for the United Kingdom

  • Miller, Craig A.;Cook, Nicholas J.;Barnard, Richard H.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.197-212
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    • 2001
  • Observations of extreme wind speeds in the United Kingdom from 1970 to 1980, corrected for the influence of upwind ground roughness and topography, have been analysed using the recently-developed "Improved Method of Independent Storms" (IMIS). The results have been used to compile two new maps of base wind speed and to confirm the climatic factors in current use. One map is 'irrespective' of wind direction and the other is 'equally weighted' by direction. The 'equally weighted' map is expected to be more consistently reliable and appropriate for use with the climatic factors for the design of buildings and structures.

Comparsion of Dst forecast models during intense geomagnetic storms (Dst $\leq$ -100 nT)

  • Ji, Eun-Young;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Dong-Hun
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.51.2-51.2
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    • 2010
  • We have investigated 63 intense geomagnetic storms (Dst $\leq$ -100 nT) that occurred from 1998 to 2006. Using these events, we compared Dst forecast models: Burton et al. (1975), Fenrich and Luhmann (1998), O'Brien and McPherron (2000a), Wang et al. (2003), and Temerin and Li (2002, 2006) models. For comparison, we examined a linear correlation coefficient, RMS error, the difference of Dst minimum value (${\Delta}$peak), and the difference of Dst minimum time (${\Delta}$peak_time) between the observed and the predicted during geomagnetic storm period. As a result, we found that Temerin and Li model is mostly much better than other models. The model produces a linear correlation coefficient of 0.94, a RMS (Root Mean Square) error of 14.89 nT, a MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation) of ${\Delta}$peak of 12.54 nT, and a MAD of ${\Delta}$peak_time of 1.44 hour. Also, we classified storm events as five groups according to their interplanetary origin structures: 17 sMC events (IP shock and MC), 18 SH events (sheath field), 10 SH+MC events (Sheath field and MC), 8 CIR events, and 10 nonMC events (non-MC type ICME). We found that Temerin and Li model is also best for all structures. The RMS error and MAD of ${\Delta}$peak of their model depend on their associated interplanetary structures like; 19.1 nT and 16.7 nT for sMC, 12.5 nT and 7.8 nT for SH, 17.6 nT and 15.8 nT for SH+MC, 11.8 nT and 8.6 nT for CIR, and 11.9 nT and 10.5 nT for nonMC. One interesting thing is that MC-associated storms produce larger errors than the other-associated ones. Especially, the values of RMS error and MAD of ${\Delta}$peak of SH structure of Temerin and Li model are very lower than those of other models.

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CATALOGUE OF METEOR SHOWERS AND STORMS IN KOREAN HISTORY (한국 역사서 속의 별똥비와 별똥 소나기의 목록)

  • Ahn, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.39-72
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    • 2004
  • We present a more complete and accurate catalogue of astronomical records far meteor showers and meteor storms appeared in primary official Korean history books, such as Samguk-sagi, Koryo-sa, Seungjeongwon-ilgi, and Chosen-Wangjo-Sillok. So far the catalogue made by Imoto and Hasegawa in 1958 has been widely used in the international astryonomical society. The catalogue is based on a report by Sekiguchi in 1917 that is mainly based on secondary history books. We observed that the catalogue has a number of errors in either dates or sources of the records. We have thoroughly checked the primary official history books, instead of the secondary ones, in order to make a corrected and extended catalogue. The catalogue contains 25 records of meteor storms, four records of intense meteor-showers, and five records of usual showers in Korean history. We also find that some of those records seem to correspond to some presently active meteor showers such as the Leonids, the Perseids, and the n -Aquarids-Orionids pair. However, a large number of those records do not correspond to suck present showers. This catalogue we obtained can be useful for various astrophysical studies in the future.

Development of a Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Model Using Weather Radar Data (기상레이더 자료를 이용한 단시간 강우예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob; Kim, Jong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1023-1034
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    • 2008
  • The size and frequency of the natural disaster related to the severe storms are increased for recent decades in all over the globe. The damage from natural disasters such as typhoon, storm and local severe rainfall is very serious in Korea since they are concentrated on summer season. These phenomena will be more frequent in the future because of the impact of climate change related to increment of $CO_2$ concentration and the global warming. To reduce the damage from severe storms, a short-range precipitation forecasting model using a weather radar was developed. The study was conducted as following four tasks: conversion three-dimensional radar data to two-dimensional CAPPI(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator) efficiently, prediction of motion direction and velocity of a weather system, estimation of two-dimensional rainfall using operational calibration. Results demonstrated that two-dimensional estimation using weather radar is useful to analyze the spatial characteristics of local storms. If the precipitation forecasting system is linked to the flood prediction system, it should contribute the flood management and the mitigation of flood damages.