• Title/Summary/Keyword: Storm surge

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Estimation of Frequency of Storm Surge Heights on the West and South Coasts of Korea Using Synthesized Typhoons (확률론적 합성태풍을 이용한 서남해안 빈도 해일고 산정)

  • Kim, HyeonJeong;Suh, SeungWon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2019
  • To choose appropriate countermeasures against potential coastal disaster damages caused by a storm surge, it is necessary to estimate the frequency of storm surge heights estimation. As the coastal populations size in the past was small, the tropical cyclone risk model (TCRM) was used to generate 176,689 synthetic typhoons. In simulation, historical paths and central pressures were incorporated as a probability density function. Moreover, to consider the typhoon characteristics that resurfaced or decayed after landfall on the southeast coast of China, incorporated the shift angle of the historical typhoon as a function of the probability density function and applied it as a damping parameter. Thus, the passing rate of typhoons moving from the southeast coast of China to the south coast has improved. The characteristics of the typhoon were analyzed from the historical typhoon information using correlations between the central pressure, maximum wind speed ($V_{max}$) and the maximum wind speed radius ($R_{max}$); it was then applied to synthetic typhoons. The storm surges were calculated using the ADCIRC model, considering both tidal and synthetic typhoons using automated Perl script. The storm surges caused by the probabilistic synthetic typhoons appear similar to the recorded storm surges, therefore this proposed scheme can be applied to the storm surge simulations. Based on these results, extreme values were calculated using the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) method, and as a result, the 100-year return period storm surge was found to be satisfactory compared with the calculated empirical simulation value. The method proposed in this study can be applied to estimate the frequency of storm surges in coastal areas.

Numerical Modelling of Typhoon-Induced Storm Surge on the Coast of Busan (부산 연안에서 태풍에 의한 폭풍해일의 수치모델링)

  • Cha-Kyum Kim;Tae-Soon Kang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.760-769
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    • 2023
  • A numerical simulations were performed to investigate the storm surge during the passage of Typhoon Maemi on the coast of Busan. The typhoon landed on the southern coasts of Korean Peninsula at 21:00, September 12, 2003 with a central pressure of 950 hPa, and the typhoon resulted on the worst coastal disaster on the coast of Busan in the last decades. Observed storm surges at Busan, Yeosu, Tongyoung, Masan, Jeju and Seogwipo harbors during the passage of the typhoon were compared with the computed data. The simulated storm surge time series were in good agreement with the observations. The simulated peak storm surges were estimated to be 230 cm at Masan harbor, 200 cm at Yeosu harbor and Tongyoung harbor, and 75 cm at Busan harbor. The computed storm surges along the east coast of Busan measure 52 to 55 cm, exhibiting a gradual reduction in surge height as one moves further from the coast of Busan. Therefore, coastal inundation due to the storm surge in the semi-enclosed bay can induce great disasters, and the simulated results can be used as the important data to reduce the impact of a typhoon-induced coastal disaster in the future.

Numerical Modeling of Storm Surge around the Coast of Pusan (부산연안 폭풍해일 변동양상과 수치예측)

  • 이종섭;주귀홍;장선덕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.104-111
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    • 1990
  • The water level variation due to the Typhoon around the coast of Pusan in the southern sea of Korea is investigated from the observed tidal record. Water level variations at six stations along the coast are discussed in association with the meteorological data. The characteristics of storm surge at Pusan during Typhoon Thelma in 1987 is analysed using the observed data, and it is performed the numerical simulation of storm surge which includes a inverse barometric effect due to the horizontal distribution of sea sur-face pressure. From the calculation results, the peak value of storm surge in the coast of Pusan was occur-red around the 01:00 July 16th, which is well coincident with the observed water level variation at the Kadukdo. However, the calculated value at the Pusan TBM is inconsistent with the observed one, which is regarded due to a reason that the Tidal Bench Mark (TBM) locates in the channel. In the computation results, the maximum surge occurs at the coast of Nakdong estuary, which is considered primarily due to a topographic effect, and water level variation exceeded 2.5 meter in these areas while only about 60 cm in another coasts.

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Prediction of Storm Surge Height Using Synthesized Typhoons and Artificial Intelligence (합성태풍과 인공지능을 활용한 폭풍해일고 예측)

  • Eum, Ho-Sik;Park, Jong-Jib;Jeong, Kwang-Young;Park, Young-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.892-903
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    • 2020
  • The rapid and accurate prediction of storm-surge height during typhoon attacks is essential in responding to coastal disasters. Most methods used for predicting typhoon data are based on numerical modeling, but numerical modeling takes significant computing resources and time. Recently, various studies on the expeditious production of predictive data based on artificial intelligence have been conducted, and in this study, artificial intelligence-based storm-surge height prediction was performed. Several learning data were needed for artificial intelligence training. Because the number of previous typhoons was limited, many synthesized typhoons were created using the tropical cyclone risk model, and the storm-surge height was also generated using the storm surge model. The comparison of the storm-surge height predicted using artificial intelligence with the actual typhoon, showed that the root-mean-square error was 0.09 ~ 0.30 m, the correlation coefficient was 0.65 ~ 0.94, and the absolute relative error of the maximum height was 1.0 ~ 52.5%. Although errors appeared to be somewhat large at certain typhoons and points, future studies are expected to improve accuracy through learning-data optimization.

Numerical Simulation of Coastal Urban Inundation due to Storm Surge and Rainfall (폭풍해일과 강우에 의한 해안 도시 범람 수치모의)

  • Kim, Gun Hyeong;Pyo, Chang Kyu;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.388-396
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    • 2014
  • In this study, numerical simulations are conducted for the inundations due to storm surge and rainfall at Masan City of Korea where severe damages occurred by the typhoon Maemi. A coupled numerical model which can deal with various flow patterns such as storm surge, rainfall and sewer flows is employed. The numerical results show that the inundation area and depth increase significantly when the combined effects of storm surge and rainfall are considered in comparison with those obtained without a rainfall effect. Further numerical simulations are conducted to evaluate the performance of the sea wall being constructed for the coastal defence. The results show that the maximum inundation depths decrease when the sea wall is constructed. However, the duration of inundation becomes longer, because the rainwater on the ground cannot be discharged easily to the sea due to the presence of the sea wall.

A Study on Inundation Simulation in Coastal Urban Areas Using a Two-Dimensional Numerical Model (2차원 수치모형을 이용한 해안도시지역 내 범람모의에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo-Chang;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.601-617
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the simulation and analysis for the inundation in a coastal urban area according to the storm surge height are carried out using a 2-D numerical model. The target area considered in this study is a part of the new town of Changwon City, Gyungsangnam-do and this area was extremely damaged due to the storm surge generated during the period of the typhoon "Maemi" in 2003. For the purpose of the verification of the numerical model applied in this study, the simulated results are compared and analyzed with the temporal storm surge heights observed at the tide station in Masan bay and inundation traces in an urban area. Moreover, in order to investigate the influence of super typhoons possible in the future, the results simulated with the storm surge heights increased 1.25 and 1.5 times compared with those observed during the period of typhoon "Maemi" are compared and analyzed.

Storm Surge Analysis using Archimedean Copulas (Copulas에 기반한 우리나라 동해안 폭풍해일 분석)

  • Hwang, Jeongwoo;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.421-421
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    • 2017
  • In order to secure the safety of coastal areas from the continuous storm surge in Korea, it is important to predict the wave movement and properties accurately during the storm event. To improve the accuracy of the storm simulation, and to quantify coastal risks from the storm event, the dependencies between wave height, wave period, and storm duration should be analyzed. In this study, therefore, copulas were used to develop multivariate statistical models of sea storms. A case study of the east coast of Korea was conducted, and the dependencies between wave height, wave period, water level, storm duration and storm interarrival time were investigated using Kendall's tau correlation coefficient. As a result of the study, only wave height, wave period, and storm duration appeared to be correlated.

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Development for Prediction Model of Disaster Risk through Try and Error Method : Storm Surge (시행 착오법을 활용한 재난 위험도 예측모델 개발 : 폭풍해일)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun;Yoo, HyungJu;Jeong, SeokIl;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2018
  • The storm surge is caused by an typhoons and it is not easy to predict the location, strength, route of the storm. Therefore, research using a scenario for storms occurrence has been conducted. In Korea, hazard maps for various scenarios were produced using the storm surge numerical simulation. Such a method has a disadvantage in that it is difficult to predict when other scenario occurs, and it is difficult to cope with in real time because the simulation time is long. In order to compensate for this, we developed a method to predict the storm surge damage by using research database. The risk grade prediction for the storm surge was performed predominantly in the study area of the East coast. In order to estimate the equation, COMSOL developed by COMSOL AB Corporation was utilized. Using some assumptions and limitations, the form of the basic equation was derived. the constants and coefficients in the equation were estimated by the trial and error method. Compared with the results, the spatial distribution of risk grade was similar except for the upper part of the map. In the case of the upper part of the map, it was shown that the resistance coefficient, k was calculated due to absence of elevation data. The SIND model is a method for real-time disaster prediction model and it is expected that it will be able to respond quickly to disasters caused by abnormal weather.

GIS Decision Support Modeling for Storm Surge Management (해일방재를 위한 GIS Decision Support Modeling)

  • 김수정;김승용;염재홍
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.435-440
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    • 2004
  • Most of our GIS implementation activities have been focussed on the management of urban information in local municipalities. Management of urban facilities has been the major issue of concern and has little role in providing the decision maker with alternatives from which one can analyse and choose the optimum solution. For this reason, the spatial decision support system is in need. Business analysis software is effectively used for site analysis of new stores, customer prospecting and other issues of decision making for business purposes, The same geoprocessing module of business analysis software would be useful if put to use for the management of disaster management especially for storm surge management. Application of the business analysis model for disaster management has been reviewed. Specially in case of storm surge, where quick response is crucial, the spatial decision support system will be most effective.

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Numerical Simulation of Storm Surge and Wave due to Typhoon Kong-Rey of 2018 (2018년 태풍 콩레이에 대한 폭풍해일과 파랑 수치모의)

  • Kwon, Kab Keun;Jho, Myeong Hwan;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.252-261
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    • 2020
  • Numerical simulations of the storm surge and waves induced by the Typhoon Kong-Rey incident on the south coast of Korea in 2018 are conducted using the JMA-MSM weather field provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency, and the calculated surge heights are compared with the time history observed at harbours along the south-east coast. For the waves occurring coincidentally with the storm surges the calculated significant wave heights are compared with the data measured using the wave buoys operated by the KHOA (Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency) and the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and the data observed at AWAC stations of the KIOST (Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology). Additional simulations are also performed based on the pressure and wind fields obtained using the best track information provided by the JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) of the United States, and the results are compared and analyzed. Based on the results of this study it is found that the reliable weather fields are essential for the accurate simulation of storm surges and waves.