• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock analysis

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Stock Forecasting Using Prophet vs. LSTM Model Applying Time-Series Prediction

  • Alshara, Mohammed Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2022
  • Forecasting and time series modelling plays a vital role in the data analysis process. Time Series is widely used in analytics & data science. Forecasting stock prices is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. A stock market is an unregulated place for forecasting due to the absence of essential rules for estimating or predicting a stock price in the stock market. Therefore, predicting stock prices is a time-series problem and challenging. Machine learning has many methods and applications instrumental in implementing stock price forecasting, such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis, statistical analysis. This paper will discuss implementing the stock price, forecasting, and research using prophet and LSTM models. This process and task are very complex and involve uncertainty. Although the stock price never is predicted due to its ambiguous field, this paper aims to apply the concept of forecasting and data analysis to predict stocks.

A Prediction of Stock Price Movements Using Support Vector Machines in Indonesia

  • ARDYANTA, Ervandio Irzky;SARI, Hasrini
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.399-407
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    • 2021
  • Stock movement is difficult to predict because it has dynamic characteristics and is influenced by many factors. Even so, there are some approaches to predict stock price movements, namely technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sentiment analysis. Many researches have tried to predict stock price movement by utilizing these analysis techniques. However, the results obtained are varied and inconsistent depending on the variables and object used. This is because stock price movement is influenced by a variety of factors, and it is likely that those studies did not cover all of them. One of which is that no research considers the use of fundamental analysis in terms of currency exchange rates and the use of foreign stock price index movement related to the technical analysis. This research aims to predict stock price movements in Indonesia based on sentiment analysis, technical analysis, and fundamental analysis using Support Vector Machine. The result obtained has a prediction accuracy rate of 65,33% on an average. The inclusion of currency exchange rate and foreign stock price index movement as a predictor in this research which can increase average prediction accuracy rate by 11.78% compared to the prediction without using these two variables which only results in average prediction accuracy rate of 53.55%.

An Analysis on Combination Effect of Value Investment Strategy and Moving Average Method (가치투자전략과 이동평균법의 결합효과)

  • Chang, Kyung-Chun;Kim, Yeon-Gueon;Kim, Hyun-Seok
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2008
  • In this paper we analyse performance of value strategy and moving average method among the non-financial listed companies whose fiscal year ends at December in the Korean Stock Exchange between 1996 and 2005. And we analyse combination investment performance of value investment and moving average method. After the analysis objective enterprises divide with the value stock and the growth stock, in accordance with moving average method we divide ascending stock and descending stock. And we compose 6 portfolios with combination of value stock, growth stock, ascending stock and descending stock. Using the difference of investment performance of these portfolios, when fundamental analysis and technical analysis method all considering we measure investment performance. The major findings of this research are as follows: First, the value strategy of buying value stocks and selling growth stocks were effective in the long-term investment. Second, using the moving average method, technical analysis were effective in the case of the short-term investment. Third, the portfolios combined fundamental analysis and technical analysis were more effective than investment performance of technical analysis.

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A Multivariate GARCH Analysis on International Stock Market Integration: Korean Market Case

  • Kim, Namhyoung
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2015
  • Financial integration is a phenomenon in which global financial markets are closely connected with each other. This article investigates the integration of Korean stock market with other stock markets using a multivariate GARCH analysis. We chose total seven countries including Korea for this paper based on the amount of export and then we chose major stock indices which can be thought as representative stock markets of those countries. The empirical analysis has shown that countries' financial integration.

A Trade Strategy in Stock Market using Market Basket Analysis (장바구니분석을 이용한 주식투자전략 수립 방안)

  • 주영진
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2002
  • We propose a new application method of the datamining technique that might help building an efficient trade strategy in the stock market, where the analysis of the huge database is essential. The proposed method utilizes the association rules among the price changes of individual stock from the market basket analysis (a datamining technique typically used in the Marketing field) in building the strategy We also apply the proposed method to the daily stock prices in Korean stock market, from Jan. 2000 to Dec. 2001. The application results show that the proposed method gives an significantly higher yield rate than the actual stock chage rate.

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An Accurate Stock Price Forecasting with Ensemble Learning Based on Sentiment of News (뉴스 감성 앙상블 학습을 통한 주가 예측기의 성능 향상)

  • Kim, Ha-Eun;Park, Young-Wook;Yoo, Si-eun;Jeong, Seong-Woo;Yoo, Joonhyuk
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2022
  • Various studies have been conducted from the past to the present because stock price forecasts provide stability in the national economy and huge profits to investors. Recently, there have been many studies that suggest stock price prediction models using various input data such as macroeconomic indicators and emotional analysis. However, since each study was conducted individually, it is difficult to objectively compare each method, and studies on their impact on stock price prediction are still insufficient. In this paper, the effect of input data currently mainly used on the stock price is evaluated through the predicted value of the deep learning model and the error rate of the actual stock price. In addition, unlike most papers in emotional analysis, emotional analysis using the news body was conducted, and a method of supplementing the results of each emotional analysis is proposed through three emotional analysis models. Through experiments predicting Microsoft's revised closing price, the results of emotional analysis were found to be the most important factor in stock price prediction. Especially, when all of input data is used, error rate of ensembled sentiment analysis model is reduced by 58% compared to the baseline.

Purchase Accommodation Attitude of Commercial Stock Merchandise - Focused on Cuisiniers of Deluxe Hotels - (시판용 육수 제품의 구매 수용 태도 - 특급 호텔 조리사를 중심으로 -)

  • Byun, Gwang-In;Kim, Dong-Jin;Choi, Soo-Keun
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to validate the evaluation of stock, which has relation with self-esteem and career for the development of commercial stock. This study conducted a survey of purchasing attitudes & receptiveness in order to hold an accurate course for developing stock. According to the analysis, the results are as follows. It examined the cuisiniers of deluxe hotels who mainly use stock of Seoul and the capital region. A total of 350 samples were distributed and 289 samples were selected for the research. Statistical analysis of collected data executed frequency, percentage, average, reliability analysis, factor analysis using SPSSWIN 12.0 PC package programs. Making stock, cooking skills, cooking methods, quality of food ingredients and cooking recipes are important. Also, sensory characteristics such as color, odor, and taste should be considered. Career and self-esteem act on the purchase accommodation attitude of commercial stock. Commercial stock products more than 1,000 mL or 2,000 mL of liquid styles need packing of vacuum pack(vinyl). Based on the result of this study, we will make efficient use of research data for the development of commercial stock products and we will be able to improve conservation of taste with good quality by making by hand through standardization and mass production of traditional culinary skills.

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Competition between Online Stock Message Boards in Predictive Power: Focused on Multiple Online Stock Message Boards

  • Kim, Hyun Mo;Park, Jae Hong
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.526-541
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    • 2016
  • This research aims to examine the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards, namely, NAVER Finance and PAXNET, which are the most popular stock message boards in South Korea, in stock market activities. If predictive power exists, we then compare the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards. To accomplish the research purpose, we constructed a panel data set with close price, volatility, Spell out acronyms at first mention.PER, and number of posts in 40 companies in three months, and conducted a panel vector auto-regression analysis. The analysis results showed that the number of posts could predict stock market activities. In NAVER Finance, previous number of posts positively influenced volatility on the day. In PAXNET, previous number of posts positively influenced close price, volatility, and PER on the day. Second, we confirmed a difference in the prediction power for stock market activities between multiple online stock message boards. This research is limited by the fact that it only considered 40 companies and three stock market activities. Nevertheless, we found correlation between online stock message board and stock market activities and provided practical implications. We suggest that investors need to focus on specific online message boards to find interesting stock market activities.

A Study on the Management of Stock Data with an Object Oriented Database Management System (객체지향 데이타베이스를 이용한 주식데이타 관리에 관한 연구)

  • 허순영;김형민
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.197-214
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    • 1996
  • Financial analysis of stock data usually involves extensive computation of large amount of time series data sets. To handle the large size of the data sets and complexity of the analyses, database management systems have been increasingly adaopted for efficient management of stock data. Specially, relational database management system is employed more widely due to its simplistic data management approach. However, the normalized two-dimensional tables and the structured query language of the relational system turn out to be less effective than expected in accommodating time series stock data as well as the various computational operations. This paper explores a new data management approach to stock data management on the basis of an object-oriented database management system (ODBMS), and proposes a data model supporting times series data storage and incorporating a set of financial analysis functions. In terms of functional stock data analysis, it specially focuses on a primitive set of operations such as variance of stock data. In accomplishing this, we first point out the problems of a relational approach to the management of stock data and show the strength of the ODBMS. We secondly propose an object model delineating the structural relationships among objects used in the stock data management and behavioral operations involved in the financial analysis. A prototype system is developed using a commercial ODBMS.

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A Comparative Analysis of the Market Reaction to the Stock Investment Proverbs (주식 투자 격언에 대한 시장 반응 비교분석)

  • Kim, Ki-Bum;Kim, Min-Sun;Park, Jae-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.5982-5988
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    • 2015
  • This study is about what effect the proverb of the stock has on the investment behavior by the stock investors. It confirmed if the investors knew the stock proverb that had been used in the stock market for a long time, examined the stock investors applied this content to the real investment process, analyzed if the application influenced the investment result. For this, this study selected total 29 stock proverbs about the investment principle, diversified investment, item selection, time of buying and selling, and value tendency which were being used in the stock market and frequently quoted in the stock-related literature to conduct a questionnaire targeting 191 stock investors and analyze the result. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed the investors of 14% applied the stock proverb to invest and created the profit through it. It is expected the stock investors and the stock market used the analyzed stock proverb statistics through these helpful study and results to apply to the stock investment.