• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic Evolution

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The Impact of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Soil Water and Plant Water Stress (토양수분과 식생 스트레스 동역학에 기후변화가 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Su-Hee;Kim, Sang-Dan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.52-56
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    • 2009
  • In this study a dynamic modeling scheme is presented to derive the probabilistic structure of soil water and plant water stress when subject to stochastic precipitation conditions. The newly developed model has the form of the Fokker-Planck equation, and its applicability as a model for the probabilistic evolution of the soil water and plant water stress is investigated under climate change scenarios. This model is based on the cumulant expansion theory, and has the advantage of providing the probabilistic solution in the form of probability distribution function (PDF), from which one can obtain the ensemble average behavior of the dynamics. The simulation result of soil water confirms that the proposed soil water model can properly reproduce the results obtained from observations, and it also proves that the soil water behaves with consistent cycle based on the precipitation pattern. The plant water stress simulation, also, shows two different PDF patterns according to the precipitation. Moreover, with all the simulation results with climate change scenarios, it can be concluded that the future soil water and plant water stress dynamics will differently behave with different climate change scenarios.

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A study on the optimal sizing and topology design for Truss/Beam structures using a genetic algorithm (유전자 알고리듬을 이용한 트러스/보 구조물의 기하학적 치수 및 토폴로지 최적설계에 관한 연구)

  • 박종권;성활경
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 1997
  • A genetic algorithm (GA) is a stochastic direct search strategy that mimics the process of genetic evolution. The GA applied herein works on a population of structural designs at any one time, and uses a structured information exchange based on the principles of natural selection and wurvival of the fittest to recombine the most desirable features of the designs over a sequence of generations until the process converges to a "maximum fitness" design. Principles of genetics are adapted into a search procedure for structural optimization. The methods consist of three genetics operations mainly named selection, cross- over and mutation. In this study, a method of finding the optimum topology of truss/beam structure is pro- posed by using the GA. In order to use GA in the optimum topology problem, chromosomes to FEM elements are assigned, and a penalty function is used to include constraints into fitness function. The results show that the GA has the potential to be an effective tool for the optimal design of structures accounting for sizing, geometrical and topological variables.variables.

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Application of FE approach to deformation analysis of RC elements under direct tension

  • Jakubovskis, Ronaldas;Kupliauskas, Rimantas;Rimkus, Arvydas;Gribniak, Viktor
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.68 no.3
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    • pp.345-358
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    • 2018
  • Heterogeneous structure and, particularly, low resistance to tension stresses leads to different mechanical properties of the concrete in different loading situations. To solve this problem, the tension zone of concrete elements is reinforced. Development of the cracks, however, becomes even more complicated in the presence of bar reinforcement. Direct tension test is the common layout for analyzing mechanical properties of reinforced concrete. This study investigates scatter of the test results related with arrangement of bar reinforcement. It employs results of six elements with square $60{\times}60mm$ cross-section reinforced with one or four 5 mm bars. Differently to the common research practice (limited to the average deformation response), this study presents recordings of numerous strain gauges, which allows to monitor/assess evolution of the deformations during the test. A simple procedure for variation assessment of elasticity modulus of the concrete is proposed. The variation analysis reveals different deformation behavior of the concrete in the prisms with different distribution of the reinforcement bars. Application of finite element approach to carefully collected experimental data has revealed the effects, which were neglected during the test results interpretation stage.

Stochastic characteristics of reinforcement corrosion in concrete beams under sustained loads

  • Huang, Le;Jin, Xianyu;Fu, Chuanqing;Ye, Hailong;Dong, Xiaoyu
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.447-460
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with the characteristics of reinforcement corrosion in concrete beams under the influence of sustained loads. The evolution and distribution laws of the reinforcement corrosion were measured periodically over time. The results show that sustained load exhibits a pronounced exacerbating effect on the reinforcement corrosion, and enlarges the nonuniformity level of corrosion as the load level increases. Accompanied with the continuous formation of the rust, the corrosion rate was also observed to be highly nonlinear and time-dependent. Moreover, to visually and quantitatively analyze the distribution of reinforcement corrosion, the 3D scanning technology combined with the probability statistics analysis was adopted, and the observed nonuniformity can be well described by the Gumbel distribution. Finally, an approach based on the three-phase spherical model was proposed to estimate the reinforcement corrosion, taking account of the effects of sustained load on the changes of concrete porosity and oxygen diffusivity.

The long-term mm/radio activity of active galactic nuclei

  • Trippe, Sascha
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.59.1-59.1
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    • 2011
  • I present an analysis of the long-term evolution of the fluxes of six active galactic nuclei (AGN) - 0923+392, 3C 111, 3C 273, 3C 345, 3C 454.3, and 3C 84 - in the frequency range 80 - 267 GHz using archival calibration data of the IRAM Plateau de Bure Interferometer. Our dataset spans a long timeline of ~14 years with 974 - 3027 flux measurements per source. We find strong (factors ~2-8) flux variability on timescales of years for all sources. The flux density distributions of five out of six sources show clear signatures of bi- or even multimodality. Our sources show mostly steep (alpha~0.5-1), variable spectral indices that indicate outflow dominated emission; the variability is most probably due to optical depth variations. The power spectra globally correspond to red-noise spectra with five sources being located between the cases of white and flicker noise and one source (3C 111) being closer to the case of random walk noise. For three sources the low-frequency ends of their power spectra appear to be upscaled in spectral power by factors ~2-3 with respect to the overall powerlaws. We conclude that the source emission cannot be described by uniform stochastic emission processes; instead, a distinction of "quiescent" and (maybe multiple) "flare" states of the source emission appears to be necessary.

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Analysis of the suitability of optimization methods for parameter estimation of stochastic rainfall model. (추계학적 강우모형의 모수 추정을 위한 최적화 기법의 적합성 분석)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2018
  • 돌발홍수, 집중호우 등 강우가 발생 원인되는 자연재해에 효과적으로 대응하기 위한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있으나 강우의 시공간 변동성과 발생과정의 복잡한 물리과정으로 인해 강우 추정에 한계를 가진다. 일반적으로 강우 추정은 물리적, 추계학적 모형을 이용하며 추계학적 모형의 점과정(point process)을 이용하여 강우를 생산한다. 추계학적 강우 모형은 관측 강우의 시간 스케일, 강우발생 빈도, 강우 강도 등 강우 구조의 특성을 반영 할 수 있다는 장점을 가지고 있으나 생산되는 강우의 구조가 추정되는 매개변수에 크게 의존한다는 점에서 실제 강우에 적합한 매개변수 추정이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역내에 있는 20개의 강우관측 지점을 대상으로 1973년-2017년까지의 강우 관측자료를 수집하였으며 추계학적 강우생성 모형으로 점과정을 이용하는 추계학적 강우생성 모형인 NSRPM(Neymann-Scott rectangular pulse model)을 선정하였다. NSRPM모형의 매개변수를 추정하기위한 최적기법으로 DFP(Davidon-Fletcher-Powell), GA(genetic algorithm), Nelder-Mead, DE(differential evolution)를 이용하여 추정된 매개변수의 적합성을 분석하고 지역특성을 고려한 매개변수 추정 기법을 제시하였다. 추정된 모형의 매개변수를 분석한 결과 DE와 Nelder-Mead 기법이 높은 적합성을 보였으며 DFP, GA기법이 상대적으로 낮은 적합도를 보였다.

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EVOLUTION OF NUCLEAR FUEL MANAGEMENT AND REACTOR OPERATIONAL AID TOOLS

  • TURINSKY PAUL J.;KELLER PAUL M.;ABDEL-KHALIK HANY S.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2005
  • In this paper are reviewed the current status of nuclear fuel management and reactor operational aid tools. In addition, we indicate deficiencies in current capabilities and what future research is judged warranted. For the nuclear fuel management review the focus is on light water reactors and the utilization of stochastic optimization methods applied to the lattice, fuel bundle, core loading pattern, and for BWRs the control rod pattern/core flow design decision making problems. Significant progress in addressing separately each of these design problems on a single cycle basis is noted; however, the outstanding challenge of addressing the integrated design problem over multiple cycles under conditions of uncertainty remains to be addressed. For the reactor operational aid tools review the focus is on core simulators, used to both process core instrumentation signals and as an operator aid to predict future core behaviors under various operational strategies. After briefly reviewing the current status of capabilities, a more in depth review of adaptive core simulation capabilities, where core simulator input data are adjusted within their known uncertainties to improved agreement between prediction and measurement, is presented. This is done in support of the belief that further development of adaptive core simulation capabilities is required to further significantly advance the utility of core simulators in support of reactor operational aid tools.

The Optimization of Sizing and Topology Design for Drilling Machine by Genetic Algorithms (유전자 알고리즘에 의한 드릴싱 머신의 설계 최적화 연구)

  • Baek, Woon-Tae;Seong, Hwal-Gyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.24-29
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    • 1997
  • Recently, Genetic Algorithm(GA), which is a stochastic direct search strategy that mimics the process of genetic evolution, is widely adapted into a search procedure for structural optimization. Contrast to traditional optimal design techniques which use design sensitivity analysis results, GA is very simple in their algorithms and there is no need of continuity of functions(or functionals) any more in GA. So, they can be easily applicable to wide area of design optimization problems. Also, owing to multi-point search procedure, they have higher porbability of convergence to global optimum compared to traditional techniques which take one-point search method. The methods consist of three genetics opera- tions named selection, crossover and mutation. In this study, a method of finding the omtimum size and topology of drilling machine is proposed by using the GA, For rapid converge to optimum, elitist survival model,roulette wheel selection with limited candidates, and multi-point shuffle cross-over method are adapted. And pseudo object function, which is the combined form of object function and penalty function, is used to include constraints into fitness function. GA shows good results of weight reducing effect and convergency in optimal design of drilling machine.

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Bivariate Oscillation Model for Surrogating Climate Change Scenarios in the LCRR basin

  • Lee, Taesam;Ouarda, Taha;Ahn, Yujin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.69-69
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    • 2021
  • From the unprecedented 2011 spring flood, the residens reside by Lake Champlain and Richelieu River encountered enormous damages. The International Joint Committee (IJC) released the Lake Champlain-Richelieu River (LCRR) Plan of Study (PoS). One of the major tasks for the PoS is to investigate the possible scenarios that might happen in the LCRR basin based on the stochastic simulation of the Net Basin Supplies that calculates the amount of flow into the lake and the river. Therefore, the current study proposed a novel apporach that simulate the annual NBS teleconnecting the climate index. The proposed model employed the bivariate empirical decomposition to contamporaneously model the long-term evolution of nonstationary oscillation embeded in the annual NBS and the climate signal (here, Artic Oscillation: AO). In order to represent the variational behavior of NBS correlation structure along with the temporal revolution of the climate index, a new nonstationary parameterization concept is proposed. The results indicate that the proposed model is superior performance in preserving long and short temporal correlation. It can even preserve the hurst coefficient better than any other tested models.

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A Clustering Technique to Minimize Energy Consumption of Sensor networks by using Enhanced Genetic Algorithm (진보된 유전자 알고리즘 이용하여 센서 네트워크의 에너지 소모를 최소화하는 클러스터링 기법)

  • Seo, Hyun-Sik;Oh, Se-Jin;Lee, Chae-Woo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2009
  • Sensor nodes forming a sensor network have limited energy capacity such as small batteries and when these nodes are placed in a specific field, it is important to research minimizing sensor nodes' energy consumption because of difficulty in supplying additional energy for the sensor nodes. Clustering has been in the limelight as one of efficient techniques to reduce sensor nodes' energy consumption in sensor networks. However, energy saving results can vary greatly depending on election of cluster heads, the number and size of clusters and the distance among the sensor nodes. /This research has an aim to find the optimal set of clusters which can reduce sensor nodes' energy consumption. We use a Genetic Algorithm(GA), a stochastic search technique used in computing, to find optimal solutions. GA performs searching through evolution processes to find optimal clusters in terms of energy efficiency. Our results show that GA is more efficient than LEACH which is a clustering algorithm without evolution processes. The two-dimensional GA (2D-GA) proposed in this research can perform more efficient gene evolution than one-dimensional GA(1D-GA)by giving unique location information to each node existing in chromosomes. As a result, the 2D-GA can find rapidly and effectively optimal clusters to maximize lifetime of the sensor networks.