• 제목/요약/키워드: Statistical power

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지하상가 부하설비의 사용특성과 전력관리 방안 연구 (A Study on the Reasonable Power Demand Method and Load Characteristics in Underground Streets)

  • 김세동;최도혁;류승기
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.235-237
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    • 1996
  • This paper shows a reasonable power demand method and load characteristics in underground streets, that was made by the systematic and statistical way considering actual conditions, such as investigated electric equipment capacity, electric power consumption, load characteristics, etc for 13 underground streets.

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사무소건물(事務所建物)의 전기설비용양(電氣設備容量) 산정(算定)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on the Estimation of Electric Equipment Capacity in Office Buildings)

  • 김세동;최도혁
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1992년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.666-668
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    • 1992
  • This paper shows a reasonable design standard of electric equipment capacity for office buildings, that was made by the systematic and statistical way considering actual conditions, such as investigated electric equipment capacity, electric power consumption, etc for 121 buildings. The saving of electric equiment investment, the decrease of power loss, the improvement of facilities utilization and the decreasse of electric power rates can be contributed by the application of the design standard.

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SCADA 시스템의 소프트웨어 연구 개발 (Program development For software maintenance of existing SCADA system in KEPCO)

  • 신건학;우희곤
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1987년도 정기총회 및 창립40주년기념 학술대회 학회본부
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    • pp.321-324
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    • 1987
  • The development of SCADA system program has been studied for the purpose of upgrading its function and increasing the effect of system application. The results of this project are divided into 3 steps, Analysis of the system function and operating system, Improvement of programs for effective alarm/logging system, Development of programs for the statistical analysis of power system operation.

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원자력발전소 사고 사망의 통계적 생명가치와 사회적 비용 및 에너지정책 시사점 (The Value of a Statistical Life and Social Costs of Death due to Nuclear Power Plant Accidents and Energy Policy Implications)

  • 김용주
    • 한국방사선학회논문지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문은 원자력발전소(원전) 사고에 의한 조기사망의 사회적 비용을 추정하기 위해 조건부가치측정법(Contingent Valuation Method, CVM)을 이용하여 통계적 생명가치(Value of a Statistical Life, VSL)를 추정한다. VSL 추정치는 약 35억 5천만 원이다. 이에 세계 원전 역사상 발생한 모든 사고 사망자수 약 181만 명을 곱하여 추정한 사회적 비용은 1,952조 원으로서 한국의 2022년 실질 GDP에 비견되는 수준이다. 연평균 조기사망자수와 사회적 비용은 각각 26,000명과 28조 원이다. 1987~2021년간 세계 화력발전소의 사고와 대기오염물질 배출로 인해 발생한 조기사망의 사회적 비용 추정치는 26,919조 원인데, 이는 미국의 2021년 GDP 규모에 상당하는 규모로서 9조 원을 기록한 원전의 약 3,000배에 달한다. 2021년 한 해만 보더라도, 화력발전소의 사회적 비용은 1,075조 원에 달하지만, 원전은 2,920억 원에 불과하다. 한국의 경우, 2050 탄소중립 정책의 영향으로 재생에너지 발전 비중이 증가할 것이므로, 화력발전 대비 원자력발전 비중을 증가시키는 에너지믹스를 제안한다. 본 논문은 또한 효율적인 에너지 정책을 담보하기 위해 CVM을 이용한 VSL 추정 연구를 지속적으로 축적할 필요가 있음을 강조한다.

사출금형기계용 앵귤러핀의 충격시험에 따른 파손분석과 와이블 통계 해석 (Failure Analysis and Weibull Statistical Analysis according to Impact Test of the Angular Pin for Injection Molding Machines)

  • 김철수;남기우;안석환
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2017
  • In this study, failure analysis of the angular pin for molding machines to aluminum component molding was carried out. SM45C steel was used for the angular pin, it was surface hardened by the induction surface hardening heat treatment. The cross section of damaged angular pin was observed, and micro Vickers hardness value from the fractured part was measured. Brittle fracture was occurred from the fracture surface of angular pin, therefore, impact toughness value was evaluated by V-notch Charpy impact test. It was confirmed that the impact absorption energy was high when was tempered at a high temperature for a long time, and the toughness was slightly increased. Also, 2-parameter Weibull statistical analysis was investigated in order to evaluate the reliability of the measured micro Vickers hardness values and absorbed energy. The micro Vickers hardness and absorbed energy well followed a two-parameter Weibull probability distribution, respectively. The reverse design against angular pin was proposed as possible by using test results.

Goodness-of-fit tests for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.519-531
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    • 2017
  • We consider goodness-of-fit test statistics for Weibull distributions when data are randomly censored and the parameters are unknown. Koziol and Green (Biometrika, 63, 465-474, 1976) proposed the $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version for a simple hypothesis based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit of the distribution function. We apply their idea to the other statistics based on the empirical distribution function such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Liao and Shimokawa (Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 64, 23-48, 1999) statistics. The latter is a hybrid of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises, and Anderson-Darling statistics. These statistics as well as the Koziol-Green statistic are considered as test statistics for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters. The null distributions depend on the estimation method since the test statistics are not distribution free when the parameters are estimated. Maximum likelihood estimation and the graphical plotting method with the least squares are considered for parameter estimation. A simulation study enables the Liao-Shimokawa statistic to show a relatively high power in many alternatives; however, the null distribution heavily depends on the parameter estimation. Meanwhile, the Koziol-Green statistic provides moderate power and the null distribution does not significantly change upon the parameter estimation.

Statistical Studies on the Physical Parameters and Oscillations of Sunspots and Flares

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.41.2-41.2
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    • 2016
  • We perform three statistical studies on the physical properties and oscillations in the confined plasma such as a photospheric sunspot and confined coronal loop. From the statistical studies on the sunspot umbra and its oscillation, we find that (1) the total magnetic flux inside the umbra for the three groups increases proportionally with the powers of the umbral area and the power indices in the three groups significantly differ from each other; (2) the three groups have different characteristics in their umbral area, intensity, magnetic field strength, and Doppler velocity as well as their relationships; (3) the mean frequency of the umbral oscillations increases with the umbral mean magnetic field strength and height; (4) the time delay of the core intensity of Fe I absorption line relative to the continuum which are de-convolved with the frequency range higher than 3.5 mHz is mostly positive, implying that the photospheric umbral oscillations are likely upwardly propagating; (5) the umbral mean plasma beta ranges approximately 0.6-1.1 and does not vary significantly from pores to mature sunspots. From the comparative study on the quasi-periodic pulsations (QPPs) in the solar and stellar flares, (6) we find that the power index of the periods scaling the damping times observed in the stellar QPPs is consistent with that observed in the solar QPPs, suggesting that physical mechanisms responsible for the stellar QPPs are likely the magneto-hydrodynamic oscillation of solar coronal loops.

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A simple formula for insertion loss prediction of large acoustical enclosures using statistical energy analysis method

  • Kim, Hyun-Sil;Kim, Jae-Seung;Lee, Seong-Hyun;Seo, Yun-Ho
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.894-903
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    • 2014
  • Insertion loss prediction of large acoustical enclosures using Statistical Energy Analysis (SEA) method is presented. The SEA model consists of three elements: sound field inside the enclosure, vibration energy of the enclosure panel, and sound field outside the enclosure. It is assumed that the space surrounding the enclosure is sufficiently large so that there is no energy flow from the outside to the wall panel or to air cavity inside the enclosure. The comparison of the predicted insertion loss to the measured data for typical large acoustical enclosures shows good agreements. It is found that if the critical frequency of the wall panel falls above the frequency region of interest, insertion loss is dominated by the sound transmission loss of the wall panel and averaged sound absorption coefficient inside the enclosure. However, if the critical frequency of the wall panel falls into the frequency region of interest, acoustic power from the sound radiation by the wall panel must be added to the acoustic power from transmission through the panel.

Statistical analysis of parameter estimation of a probabilistic crack initiation model for Alloy 182 weld considering right-censored data and the covariate effect

  • Park, Jae Phil;Park, Chanseok;Oh, Young-Jin;Kim, Ji Hyun;Bahn, Chi Bum
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2018
  • To ensure the structural integrity of nuclear power plants, it is essential to predict the lifetime of Alloy 182 weld, which is used for welding in nuclear reactors. The lifetime of Alloy 182 weld is directly related to the crack initiation time. Owing to the large time scatter in most crack initiation tests, a probabilistic model, such as the Weibull distribution, has mainly been adopted for prediction. However, since statistically more advanced methods than current typical methods may be applied, we suggest a statistical procedure for parameter estimation of the crack initiation time of Alloy 182 weld, considering right-censored data and the covariate effect. Furthermore, we suggest a procedure for uncertainty evaluation of the estimators based on the bootstrap method. The suggested statistical procedure can be applied not only to Alloy 182 weld but also to any material degradation data set including right-censored data with covariate effect.

Image Registration Based On Statistical Descriptors In Frequency Domain

  • Chang, Min-hyuk;Ahmad, Muhammad-Bilal;Lee, Cheul-hee;Chun, Jong-hoon;Park, Seung-jin;Park, Jong-an
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2002년도 ITC-CSCC -3
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    • pp.1531-1534
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    • 2002
  • Shape description and its corresponding matching algorithm is one of the main concerns in MPEG-7. In this paper, a new method is proposed for shape registration of 2D objects for MPEG-7 Shapes are recognized using the Hu statistical moments in frequency domain. The Hu moments are moment-based descriptors of planar shapes, which are invariant under general translation, rotational, scaling, and reflection transformation. The image is transformed into frequency domain using Fourier Transform. Annular and radial wedge distributions fur the power spectra are extracted. Different statistical features (Hu moments) are found f3r the power spectrum of each selected transformed individual feature. The Euclidean distance of the extracted moment descriptors of the features are found with respect to the shapes in the database. The minimum Euclidean distance is the candidate for the matched shape. The simulation results are performed on the test shapes of MPEG-7.

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