• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.291-297
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• 1996

In this paper, we propose the jackknife estimator and the bootstrap estimator of Gini index of the two-parameter exponential distribution when the location parameter $\theta$ is unknown and the scale parameter $\sigma$is known. Sinilarly, we propose the bias location parameter $\theta$ and the scale parameter $\sigma$ are unknown. The bootstrap estimator is more efficient than the other estimators when the location parameter $\theta$is unknown and the scale parameter $\sigma$ is known, and the bias corrected estimator is more efficient than the MLE when both the location parameter $\theta$ and the scale parameter $\sigma$are unknown.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.31-40
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• 2015

This study proposes a mathematical model that can forecast national defense expenditures. The ongoing European debt crisis weighs heavily on markets; consequently, government spending in many countries will be constrained. However, a forecasting model to predict military spending is acutely needed for South Korea because security threats still exist and the estimation of military spending at a reasonable level is closely related to economic growth. This study establishes two models: an Auto-Regressive Moving Average model (ARIMA) based on past military expenditures and Transfer Function model with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate and consumer price index as input time series. The proposed models use defense spending data as of 2012 to create defense expenditure forecasts up to 2025.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.445-459
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• 2014

This paper investigates the dependence structure of Korean financial markets (stock, foreign exchange (FX) rates and bond) using copula-GARCH and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models. We examine GJR-GARCH with skewed elliptical distributions and four copulas (Gaussian, Student's t, Clayton and Gumbel) to model dependence among returns, and then employ DCC model to describe system-wide correlation dynamics. We analyze the daily returns of KOSPI, FX (WON/USD) and KRX bond index (Gross Price Index) from $2^{nd}$ May 2006 to $30^{th}$ June 2014 with 2,063 observations. Empirical result shows that there is significant asymmetry and fat-tail of individual return, and strong tail-dependence among returns, especially between KOSPI and FX returns, during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis period. Focused only on recent 30 months, we find that the correlation between stock and bond markets shows dramatic increase, and system-wide correlation wanders around zero, which possibly indicates market tranquility from a systemic perspective.

• 대한가정학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.27-36
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• 1987

The purpose of this study was to develop a slacks pattern drafting method for the fatty women of 40∼55 aged Korean women who are more than 1.5 Rohrer's index on the basis of their physical characteristics. The study was composed as follows; 1. Body measurement and statistical analysis: One hundred and thirty women between the ages of 40∼55 over 1.5 Rohrer's index were measured on 21 items. Mean, standard deviation, variance, maximum, minimum, range were computed. 2. 4 types of conventional slacks pattern were collected. The most accepted conventional slacks pattern was decided through wearing test. The new pattern was based onthe most accepted conventional pattern, and developed through wearing tests. 3. Evaluation of the new pattern drafting method: The sensory evaluation was applied to evaluate the new pattern by comparing is with the most accepted conventional pattern. According to the statistical analysis of the result of the 12 items, all the items showed significant differences (α 0.01) between the two, with the new pattern having higher scores.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.129-147
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• 2004

For square contingency tables with nominal categories, this paper proposes a measure to represent the degree of departure from the quasi-symmetry (QS) model and the Bradley-Terry (BT) model. The measure proposed is expressed by using the Cressie and Read (1984)'s power-divergence or Patil and Taillie (1982)'s diversity index. The measure lies between 0 and 1, and it is useful for comparing the degree of departure from QS or BT in several tables.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.565-576
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• 2002

We propose a new sampling design for the 2001 Health Index Survey at Seoul. In this stratified two-stage sampling design, the ED(enumeration district) of 2000 Population and Housing Census is used as primary sampling unit and the Gu is used as stratification variable in order to obtain the sub-domain estimate for 25 Gu's as well as population estimate for Seoul. The sample ED's are systematically selected after the Ed's are ordered by location and property to obtain a representative sample. And also, the imputation methods for item nonresponses are suggested.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.543-554
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• 1997

A family of some capability indices { $C_{p}$(.alpha.,.beta.); .alpha..geq.0, .beta..geq.0}, containing the indices $C_{p}$, $C_{{pk}}$, $C_{{pm}}$, and $C_{{pmk}}$, has been defined by Vannman(1993) for the case of two-sided specification interval. By varying the parameters of the family various capability indices with suitable properties are obtained. We derive tha asymptotic distribution of the family { $C_{p}$(.alpha.,.beta.); .alpha..geq.0,.beta..geq.0} under general proper conditions. It is also shown that the bootstrap approximation to the distribution of the estimator $C_{p}$(.alpha., .beta.) is vaild for almost all sample sequences. These asymptotic distributions would be used in constructing some bootstrap confidence intervals.tervals.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.289-303
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• 1998

For square contingency tables with ordered categories, Tomizawa (1995) considered two kinds of measures to represent the degree of departure from global symmetry, which means that the probability that an observation will fall in one of cells in the upper-right triangle of square table is equal to the probability that the observation falls in one of cells in the lower-left triangle of it. This paper proposes a generalization of those measures. The proposed measure is expressed by using Cressie and Read's (1984) power divergence or Patil and Taillie's (1982) diversity index. Special cases of the proposed measure include TomiBawa's measures. The proposed measure would be useful for comparing the degree of departure from global symmetry in several tables.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.109-116
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• 2009

In the paper, we designed an automatic security diagnostic evaluation System(SeDES) based on a security diagnostic evaluation model(SeDEM) for an organization's security assurance. The SeDEM evaluates a security level of an organization quantitatively by a security evaluation formula which is composed of security variables and security index as applying the statistical CAEL model for evaluate risk level of banks. The SeDES has a good expandability as changing security variables according to an organization scale, characteristics and so on. And it also has a excellent usage because it inputs only numeric data got from statistical technique to security index. We can understand more a security level correctly than the existent risk assessment system because it is possible to assess quantitatively with an security grade as well as score. analysis.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.163-172
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• 2017

Economic sentiment is typically measured using ordinary response options. The University of Michigan and the United States Conference Board are two widely used major indexes that have separately established independent consumer sentiment indexes based on three-level ordinary response options: positive, neutral, and negative. Notwithstanding, limited attention has been paid to the structural differences in their built-in formulas, which are referred to the disparate micro scoring schemes applied to an individual question. This paper examines the structural difference of the two indexes and then addresses situations where one is more reliable than the other. Real data from business tendency surveys of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development are used to illustrate our points empirically. As a conclusion, it is stressed that the two indexes should be handled with care when applied to economic sentiment comparison studies.