• Title/Summary/Keyword: State-space Model

Search Result 1,021, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Management Strategy Evaluation of the Current TAC (Total Allowable Catch) Regulation in Korea: The Case of Chub Mackerel Scomber japonicus Fisheries (관리전략평가(Management Strategy Evaluation) 방법에 의한 현행 TAC (Total Allowable Catch) 의사결정 검토: 고등어(Scomber japonicus) 어업의 경우)

  • Kim, Doyul;Seo, Young Il;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.55 no.6
    • /
    • pp.946-953
    • /
    • 2022
  • Using the management strategy evaluation methods and data on the Korea chub mackerel Scomber japonicus where the state-space logistic production model is used as the operation and the estimation model respectivley, we examined the effects of both Dorn's rule, α and the buffer value for ABC (allowable biological catch), which are used by the Korea fishery managers for decision rules. We set scenarios that have different pairs of buffer and α values, which include those currently used in the management in Korea. Under each sceanario, we projected the fish population biomass until year 2050, during which ABC is determined in each year with the decision rule. We used three kinds of performance measures: (i) whether the biomass in 2050 is overfished; (ii) the average of annual yields over the simulation period; and (iii) the variability of annual yields over the period. We found that the current practice (buffer=0.9, and α = 0.05) resulted in the best performance in terms of avoiding the "overfished" status. However, the current practice failed to reach the maximum average of the annual yields and led to larger uncertainty in the annual yields.

Innovative Technology of Teaching Moodle in Higher Pedagogical Education: from Theory to Pactice

  • Iryna, Rodionova;Serhii, Petrenko;Nataliia, Hoha;Kushevska, Natalia;Tetiana, Siroshtan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.22 no.8
    • /
    • pp.153-162
    • /
    • 2022
  • Relevance. Innovative activities in education should be aimed at ensuring the comprehensive development of the individual and professional development of students. The main idea of modular technology is that the student should learn by himself, and the teacher manages his learning activities. The advantage of modular technology is the ability of the teacher to design the study of the material in the most interesting and accessible forms for this part of the study group and at the same time achieve the best learning results. Innovative Moodle technology. it is gaining popularity every day, significantly expanding the space of teaching and learning, allowing students to study inter-faculty university programs in depth. The purpose of this study is to assess the quality of implementation of the e-learning system Moodle. The study was conducted at the South Ukrainian National Pedagogical University named after K. D. Ushinsky in order to identify barriers to the effective implementation of innovative distance learning technologies Moodle and introduce a new model that will have a positive impact on the development of e-learning. Methodology. The paper used a combination of theoretical and empirical research methods. These include: scientific analysis of sources on this issue, which allowed us to formulate the initial provisions of the study; analysis of the results of students 'educational activities; pedagogical experiment; questionnaires; monitoring of students' activities in practical classes. Results. This article evaluates the implementation of the principles of distance learning in the process of teaching and learning at the University in terms of quality. The experiment involved 1,250 students studying at the South Ukrainian National Pedagogical University named after K. D. Ushinsky. The survey helped to identify the main barriers to the effective implementation of modern distance learning technologies in the educational process of the University: the lack of readiness of teachers and parents, the lack of necessary skills in applying computer systems of online learning, the inability to interact with the teaching staff and teachers, the lack of a sufficient number of academic consultants online. In addition, internal problems are investigated: limited resources, unevenly distributed marketing advantages, inappropriate administrative structure, and lack of innovative physical capabilities. The article allows us to solve these problems by gradually implementing a distance learning model that is suitable for any university, regardless of its specialization. The Moodle-based e-learning system proposed in this paper was designed to eliminate the identified barriers. Models for implementing distance learning in the learning process were built according to the CAPDM methodology, which helps universities and other educational service providers develop and manage world-class online distance learning programs. Prospects for further research focus on evaluating students' knowledge and abilities over the next six months after the introduction of the proposed Moodle-based program.

Research on the Decolorization of Epoxy Polymer by Accelerated Solar Radiation Test (태양광 복사 가속화 시험을 통한 에폭시 폴리머의 색 변화 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Bong;Lee, Dong-Geon;Kim, Myung-Jun;Lee, Soo-Yong;Park, Jung-Sun;Kang, Tae-Yeop;Baek, Sang-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.44 no.11
    • /
    • pp.949-956
    • /
    • 2016
  • There are a number of effects by solar radiation in many aerospace industrial fields, such as degradation of mechanical properties, sealing effect of sealants or decolorization. Because it takes long time to investigate these effects by using the light of natural state, new methods are developed for accelerating this phenomenon. In this paper, we developed an apparatus to simulate accelerated solar radiation phenomenon selecting irradiation intensity $1,120W/m^2$ as the designed environment. Epoxy polymer as the composite material was chosen and processed by ASTM-D638, a reference for tensile test of polymer and plastic. Total color shift was selected as the test category to evaluate acceleration of the test. We obtained acceleration factors and numerical model from test data and concluded it can shorten test periods by accelerated irradiation intensity of $1,120W/m^2$.

Performance Evaluation of Output Queueing ATM Switch with Finite Buffer Using Stochastic Activity Networks (SAN을 이용한 제한된 버퍼 크기를 갖는 출력큐잉 ATM 스위치 성능평가)

  • Jang, Kyung-Soo;Shin, Ho-Jin;Shin, Dong-Ryeol
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.8
    • /
    • pp.2484-2496
    • /
    • 2000
  • High speed switches have been developing to interconnect a large number of nodes. It is important to analyze the switch performance under various conditions to satisfy the requirements. Queueing analysis, in general, has the intrinsic problem of large state space dimension and complex computation. In fact, The petri net is a graphical and mathematical model. It is suitable for various applications, in particular, manufacturing systems. It can deal with parallelism, concurrence, deadlock avoidance, and asynchronism. Currently it has been applied to the performance of computer networks and protocol verifications. This paper presents a framework for modeling and analyzing ATM switch using stochastic activity networks (SANs). In this paper, we provide the ATM switch model using SANs to extend easily and an approximate analysis method to apply A TM switch models, which significantly reduce the complexity of the model solution. Cell arrival process in output-buffered Queueing A TM switch with finite buffer is modeled as Markov Modulated Poisson Process (MMPP), which is able to accurately represent real traffic and capture the characteristics of bursty traffic. We analyze the performance of the switch in terms of cell-loss ratio (CLR), mean Queue length and mean delay time. We show that the SAN model is very useful in A TM switch model in that the gates have the capability of implementing of scheduling algorithm.

  • PDF

IRAS 15099-5856: Remarkable Mid-Infrared Source with Prominent Crystalline Silicate Emission

  • Koo, Bon-Chul;McKee, Christopher F.;Suh, Kyung-Won;Moon, Dae-Sik;Burton, Michael, G.;Hiramatsu, Masaaki;Bessel, Michael S.;Onaka, Takashi;Kim, Hyun-Jeong;Jeong, Woong-Seob;Gaensler, Bryan;Im, Myung-Shin;Lee, Ho-Gyu;Lee, Jae-Joon;Tatematsu, Ken'ichi;Kohno, Kotaro;Ezawa, Ryohei;Ezawa, Hajime;Yun, Min-S.;Hughes, David H.
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.57-57
    • /
    • 2010
  • We report the discovery of a bright mid-infrared (MIR) source with prominent crystalline silicate emission using the space telescope AKARI and Spitzer. This source, IRAS 15099-5856, has a spectacular morphology with a bright central compact source (CCS) surrounded by knots, spurs, and several extended (~4') arc-like filaments. The source is seen only in infrared at ${\geq}10{\mu}m$. The Spitzer MIR spectrum of the CCS shows prominent emission features from Mg-rich crystalline silicates and strong [Ne II] 12.88 ${\mu}m$ and several other faint ionic lines. We model the MIR spectrum as thermal emission from several independent dust components and compare their properties to those of the Herbig Be star HD 100546 which shows very similar MIR spectrum. Our molecular line observations reveal two molecular clouds around the source, but no associated dense molecular cores. We discuss two possible origins for IRAS 15099-5856; a deeply embedded massive young stellar object on the other side of the Galaxy and a disrupted, protoplanetary disk being photoevaporated by the UV radiation from the nearby O star Muzzio 10.

  • PDF

A Constitutive Model for Soil Using Mohr-Coulomb Criteria (Mohr-Coulomb식(式)을 사용한 흙의 구성(構成)모델)

  • Lee, Hyung Soo;Lee, Byung Dae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1405-1415
    • /
    • 1994
  • The soil on the behavior of the nonlinear elastic work-hardening plasticity has a variety of stress paths due to the state of soil and the test conditions. The soil with a specific volume ${\upsilon}$ in principal stress space (${\sigma}_1$, ${\sigma}_2$, ${\sigma}_3$, and ${\upsilon}$v) displays the shape of an irregular hexagonal pyramid with an end cap. With variations of ${\upsilon}$ the size of the cap is changed but its shape remains unchanged and the movement of the cap is controlled by the increase or decrease of the plastic volumetric strain. By reflecting such a property of soil various cap models have been developed by researchers. In this thesis, a constitutive model of soil with a combination of the nonlinear elastic work-hardening plastic cap and the failure surfaces of Mohr-Coulomb (M-C cap model) has been developed. According to the the results of analyses using the work-hardening plastic cap model, the normally consolidated soil under shearing has experienced the work-hardening and plastic flow (movement of the cap). But in the shearing of the overconsolidated soil the elastic behavior is shown until the stress path has reached the failure surface and the cap does not move.

  • PDF

Numerical Modeling for Turbulent Combustion Processes of Vortex Hybrid Rocket (Vortex Hybrid 로켓 난류연소과정의 모델링 해석)

  • 조웅호;김후중;김용모;윤명원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2003.05a
    • /
    • pp.244-245
    • /
    • 2003
  • 고체나 액체 추진로켓에 비하여 하이브리드 추진 시스템은 작동조건의 안정성과 안전함등의 많은 장점을 가지고 있다. HTPB와 같은 고체연료는 제작 및 저장, 운송 그리고 장착상의 안정성을 가지고 있으며 하이브리드 로켓의 고체연료로의 산화제의 유입을 제어하면서 추력의 변화와 엔진내부의 연소중단과 재 점화를 용이하게 할 수 있다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 하이브리드 엔진은 좀 더 경제적인 장치로 기대를 모으고 있다. 그러나, 기존의 하이브리드 로켓 엔진은 고체 추진 로켓에 비하여 낮은 연료 regression 율과 연소효율을 가지는 단점이 있다. 이러한 단점을 해결하고 요구되어지는 추력값과 연료유량을 증가시키기 위하여 고체연료의 표면적을 증가시킬 필요가 있다. 기존의 하이브리드 엔진에서는 연료 그레인에 다수의 연소포트를 만들어 표면적을 증가시켰으나 이는 비 활용 공간의 증가와 추진제의 질량 및 체적분율의 상당한 감소를 초래한다. 지난 수십년간에 걸쳐 하이브리드 엔진에서 연료의 regression 특성 및 엔진 성능 향상을 위한 연구가 계속되어 왔으며 최근에 엔진의 체적 규제를 경감시키고 연료의 regression율을 향상시키기 위하여 선회유동을 이용하는 하이브리드 로켓 엔진들이 제안되고 있다. 이러한 선회유동을 가지는 하이브리드 로켓은 고체연료 그레인에 대하여 평행하게 유입되는 기존의 하이브리드 로켓에 비하여 고체연료 벽면에서의 대류열전달이 현저하게 증가하게 되어 아주 높은 고체연료의 regression율을 얻을 수 있는 이점이 있다. 선회유동 하이브리드 로켓의 연소과정은 고체 연료의 열분해과정, 대류 열전달, 난류 혼합, 난류와 화학반응의 상호작용, soot의 생성 및 산화과정, soot 입자 및 연소가스에 의한 복사 열전달, 연소장과 음향장의 상호작용 등의 복잡한 물리적 과정을 포함하고 있다. 이러한 물리적 과정 중 난류연소, 고체연료 벽면 근방에서의 대류 열전달 및 연소과정에서 생성되는 soot 입자로부터의 복사 열전달, 그리고 고체연료 열 분해시 표면반응들은 고체연료의 regression율에 큰 영향을 미친다. 특히 고체연료의 난류화염면의 위치와 폭, 그리고 비 예혼합 난류화염장에서 생성되는 soot의 체적분율의 예측은 난류연소모델, 열전달 모델, 그리고 regression율 모델에 의해 크게 영향을 받기 때문에 수치모델의 예측 능력 향상시키기 위하여 이러한 물리적 과정을 정확히 모델링해야 할 필요가 있다. 특히 vortex hybrid rocket내의 난류연소과정은 아래와 같은 Laminar Flamelet Model에 의해 모델링 하였다. 상세 화학반응 과정을 고려한 혼합분율 공간에서의 화염편의 화학종 및 에너지 보존 방정식은 다음과 같다. 화염편 방정식과 혼합분률과 scalar dissipation rate의 관계식을 이용하여 혼합분률과 scalar dissipation rate에 따른 모든 reactive scalar들을 구하게 된다. 이러한 화염편 방정식들을 mixture fraction space에서 이산화시켜서 얻은 비선형 대수방정식은 TWOPNT(Grcar, 1992)로 계산돼 flamelet Library에 저장되게 된다. 저장된 laminar flamelet library를 이용하여 난류화염장의 열역학 상태량 평균치는 presumed PDF approach에 의해 구해진다. 본 연구에서는 강한 선회유동을 가지는 Hybrid Rocket 연소장내의 난류와 화학반응의 상호작용을 분석하기 위하여 Laminar Flamelet Model, 화학평형모델, 그리고 Eddy Dissipation Model을 이용한 수치해석결과를 체계적으로 비교하였다. 또한 Laminar Flamelet Model과 state-of-art 물리모델들을 이용하여 선회 유동을 갖는 하이브리드 로켓 엔진의 연소 및 Soot 생성 및 산화과정을 살펴보았으며 복사 열전달이 고체 연료 표면의 regression율에 미치는 영향도 살펴보았다. 특히 swirl강도, 산화제의 유입위치 그리고 선회유동의 형성방식이 하이브리드 로켓의 연소특성 및 regression rate에 미치는 영향을 상세히 해석하였다.

  • PDF

Consumer Responses to Retailer's Location-based Mobile Shopping Service : Focusing on PAD Emotional State Model and Information Relevance (유통업체의 위치기반 모바일 쇼핑서비스 제공에 대한 소비자 반응 : PAD 감정모델과 정보의 상황관련성을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyun-Hwa;Moon, Hee-Kang
    • Journal of Distribution Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.63-92
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study investigated consumer intention to use a location-based mobile shopping service (LBMSS) that integrates cognitive and affective responses. Information relevancy was integrated into pleasure-arousal-dominance (PAD) emotional state model in the present study as a conceptual framework. The results of an online survey of 335 mobile phone users in the U.S. indicated the positive effects of arousal and information relevancy on pleasure. In addition, there was a significant relationship between pleasure and intention to use a LBMSS. However, the relationship between dominance and pleasure was not statistically significant. The results of the present study provides insight to retailers and marketers as to what factors they need to consider to implement location-based mobile shopping services to improve their business performance. Extended Abstract : Location aware technology has expanded the marketer's reach by reducing space and time between a consumer's receipt of advertising and purchase, offering real-time information and coupons to consumers in purchasing situations (Dickenger and Kleijnen, 2008; Malhotra and Malhotra, 2009). LBMSS increases the relevancy of SMS marketing by linking advertisements to a user's location (Bamba and Barnes, 2007; Malhotra and Malhotra, 2009). This study investigated consumer intention to use a location-based mobile shopping service (LBMSS) that integrates cognitive and affective response. The purpose of the study was to examine the relationship among information relevancy and affective variables and their effects on intention to use LBMSS. Thus, information relevancy was integrated into pleasure-arousal-dominance (PAD) model and generated the following hypotheses. Hypothesis 1. There will be a positive influence of arousal concerning LBMSS on pleasure in regard to LBMSS. Hypothesis 2. There will be a positive influence of dominance in LBMSS on pleasure in regard to LBMSS. Hypothesis 3. There will be a positive influence of information relevancy on pleasure in regard to LBMSS. Hypothesis 4. There will be a positive influence of pleasure about LBMSS on intention to use LBMSS. E-mail invitations were sent out to a randomly selected sample of three thousand consumers who are older than 18 years old and mobile phone owners, acquired from an independent marketing research company. An online survey technique was employed utilizing Dillman's (2000) online survey method and follow-ups. A total of 335 valid responses were used for the data analysis in the present study. Before the respondents answer any of the questions, they were told to read a document describing LBMSS. The document included definitions and examples of LBMSS provided by various service providers. After that, they were exposed to a scenario describing the participant as taking a saturday shopping trip to a mall and then receiving a short message from the mall. The short message included new product information and coupons for same day use at participating stores. They then completed a questionnaire containing various questions. To assess arousal, dominance, and pleasure, we adapted and modified scales used in the previous studies in the context of location-based mobile shopping service, each of the five items from Mehrabian and Russell (1974). A total of 15 items were measured on a seven-point bipolar scale. To measure information relevancy, four items were borrowed from Mason et al. (1995). Intention to use LBMSS was captured using two items developed by Blackwell, and Miniard (1995) and one items developed by the authors. Data analyses were conducted using SPSS 19.0 and LISREL 8.72. A total of usable 335 data were obtained after deleting the incomplete responses, which results in a response rate of 11.20%. A little over half of the respondents were male (53.9%) and approximately 60% of respondents were married (57.4%). The mean age of the sample was 29.44 years with a range from 19 to 60 years. In terms of the ethnicity there were European Americans (54.5%), Hispanic American (5.3%), African-American (3.6%), and Asian American (2.9%), respectively. The respondents were highly educated; close to 62.5% of participants in the study reported holding a college degree or its equivalent and 14.5% of the participants had graduate degree. The sample represents all income categories: less than $24,999 (10.8%), $25,000-$49,999 (28.34%), $50,000-$74,999 (13.8%), and $75,000 or more (10.23%). The respondents of the study indicated that they were employed in many occupations. Responses came from all 42 states in the U.S. To identify the dimensions of research constructs, Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) using a varimax rotation was conducted. As indicated in table 1, these dimensions: arousal, dominance, relevancy, pleasure, and intention to use, suggested by the EFA, explained 82.29% of the total variance with factor loadings ranged from .74 to .89. As a next step, CFA was conducted to validate the dimensions that were identified from the exploratory factor analysis and to further refine the scale. Table 1 exhibits the results of measurement model analysis and revealed a chi-square of 202.13 with degree-of-freedom of 89 (p =.002), GFI of .93, AGFI = .89, CFI of .99, NFI of .98, which indicates of the evidence of a good model fit to the data (Bagozzi and Yi, 1998; Hair et al., 1998). As table 1 shows, reliability was estimated with Cronbach's alpha and composite reliability (CR) for all multi-item scales. All the values met evidence of satisfactory reliability in multi-item measure for alpha (>.91) and CR (>.80). In addition, we tested the convergent validity of the measure using average variance extracted (AVE) by following recommendations from Fornell and Larcker (1981). The AVE values for the model constructs ranged from .74 through .85, which are higher than the threshold suggested by Fornell and Larcker (1981). To examine discriminant validity of the measure, we again followed the recommendations from Fornell and Larcker (1981). The shared variances between constructs were smaller than the AVE of the research constructs and confirm discriminant validity of the measure. The causal model testing was conducted using LISREL 8.72 with a maximum-likelihood estimation method. Table 2 shows the results of the hypotheses testing. The results for the conceptual model revealed good overall fit for the proposed model. Chi-square was 342.00 (df = 92, p =.000), NFI was .97, NNFI was .97, GFI was .89, AGFI was .83, and RMSEA was .08. All paths in the proposed model received significant statistical support except H2. The paths from arousal to pleasure (H1: ${\ss}$=.70; t = 11.44), from information relevancy to intention to use (H3 ${\ss}$ =.12; t = 2.36), from information relevancy to pleasure (H4 ${\ss}$ =.15; t = 2.86), and pleasure to intention to use (H5: ${\ss}$=.54; t = 9.05) were significant. However, the path from dominance to pleasure was not supported. This study investigated consumer intention to use a location-based mobile shopping service (LBMSS) that integrates cognitive and affective responses. Information relevancy was integrated into pleasure-arousal-dominance (PAD) emotional state model as a conceptual framework. The results of the present study support previous studies indicating that emotional responses as well as cognitive responses have a strong impact on accepting new technology. The findings of this study suggest potential marketing strategies to mobile service developers and retailers who are considering the implementation of LBMSS. It would be rewarding to develop location-based mobile services that integrate information relevancy and which cause positive emotional responses.

  • PDF

Energy-Aware Self-Stabilizing Distributed Clustering Protocol for Ad Hoc Networks: the case of WSNs

  • Ba, Mandicou;Flauzac, Olivier;Haggar, Bachar Salim;Makhloufi, Rafik;Nolot, Florent;Niang, Ibrahima
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.7 no.11
    • /
    • pp.2577-2596
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, we present an Energy-Aware Self-Stabilizing Distributed Clustering protocol based on message-passing model for Ad Hoc networks. The latter does not require any initialization. Starting from an arbitrary configuration, the network converges to a stable state in a finite time. Our contribution is twofold. We firstly give the formal proof that the stabilization is reached after at most n+2 transitions and requires at most $n{\times}log(2n+{\kappa}+3)$ memory space, where n is the number of network nodes and ${\kappa}$ represents the maximum hops number in the clusters. Furthermore, using the OMNeT++ simulator, we perform an evaluation of our approach. Secondly, we propose an adaptation of our solution in the context of Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) with energy constraint. We notably show that our protocol can be easily used for constructing clusters according to multiple criteria in the election of cluster-heads, such as nodes' identity, residual energy or degree. We give a comparison under the different election metrics by evaluating their communication cost and energy consumption. Simulation results show that in terms of number of exchanged messages and energy consumption, it is better to use the Highest-ID metric for electing CHs.

HMM-based Upper-body Gesture Recognition for Virtual Playing Ground Interface (가상 놀이 공간 인터페이스를 위한 HMM 기반 상반신 제스처 인식)

  • Park, Jae-Wan;Oh, Chi-Min;Lee, Chil-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.10 no.8
    • /
    • pp.11-17
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose HMM-based upper-body gesture. First, to recognize gesture of space, division about pose that is composing gesture once should be put priority. In order to divide poses which using interface, we used two IR cameras established on front side and side. So we can divide and acquire in front side pose and side pose about one pose in each IR camera. We divided the acquired IR pose image using SVM's non-linear RBF kernel function. If we use RBF kernel, we can divide misclassification between non-linear classification poses. Like this, sequences of divided poses is recognized by gesture using HMM's state transition matrix. The recognized gesture can apply to existent application to do mapping to OS Value.