• 제목/요약/키워드: Speed Prediction

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열간사상압연 통판안정성 개선을 위한 속도설정모델 개발 (Development of Rolling Speed Set-up Model for the Travelling Stability in Hot Strip Finishing Mill)

  • 문영훈;김영환
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 1999년도 제3회 압연심포지엄 논문집 압연기술의 미래개척 (Exploitation of Future Rolling Technologies)
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 1999
  • New rolling speed prediction model has been developed for the precise presetting rolling speed of each finishing mill stand in the tandem hot strip mill. Those factors such as neutral point, work roll diameter, rolling torque, friction coefficient, bite angle and the thickness at each side of entry and deliver of the rolls were taken into account. To consider width effect on forward slip, calibration factors obtained from rolling torque has been added to new prediction model and refining method has also been developed to reduce the speed unbalance between adjacent stands. The application of the new model showed a good agreement in rolling speeds between the predictions and the actual measurements, and the standard deviation of prediction error has also been significantly reduced.

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고속도로의 엇갈림 구간 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Freeway Weaving Section Analysis)

  • 최병국;정준화
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.21-40
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    • 1992
  • We examine primarily the existing study procedures for freeway weaving section by comparing speed estimates. Most methods have poor predictions because of neglecting the weaving vehicle influ-ence. In this study we develop the speed prediction equation considering the weaving influence area i.e, weaving box. Assuming that speeds outside weaving box are similar to speeds in freeway basic sec-tions we develop speed equation in box based on the field data. Moreover level of service criteria and weaving analysis precedure are proposed under the new speed prediction equation.

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고속철도 환경소음 예측 모델 고찰 (Review on Environment Noise Prediction Methods Emitted by High Speed Trains)

  • 조대승;정홍구;조준호;장강석;윤제원
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.2852-2859
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    • 2011
  • Planning and construction of railway for high speed trains up to 400 km/h are recently driven in Korea. High speed train is one of the environment-friendly fastest mass transportation means but its noise generated by rolling, traction and aerodynamic mechanism can cause public complaints of residents nearby railways. To cost-effectively prevent the troublesome noise in a railway planning stage, the rational railway noise prediction method considering the characteristics of trains as well as railway structures should be required but it is difficult to find an authentic method for Korean high speed trains such as KTX and KTX-II. In this study, recent railway noise prediction methods developed by EU countries are introduced and discussed for consulting before setting the framework of our own railway noise prediction model emitted by Korean high speed trains over 250 km/h. Especially, the new Schall 03 model (2006) developed by Germany and IMAGINE model (2007) suggested by an EU framework research project are intensively reviewed. In addition, research items required for the development of our own model are suggested.

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구간단속장비 설치 효과 분석 및 사고예측모형 개발 (A Study on Effectiveness Analysis and Development of an Accident Prediction Model of Point-to-Point Speed Enforcement System)

  • 김다예;이호원;홍경식
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2019
  • According to the National Police Agency, point-to-point speed enforcement system is being installed and operated in 97 sections across the country. It is more effective than other enforcement systems in terms of stabilizing the traffic flow and inhibiting the kangaroo effect. But it is only 5.1% of the total enforcement systems. The National Police Agency is also aware that its operation ratio is very low and it is necessary to expand point-to-point speed enforcement system. Hence, this study aims to provide the expansion basis of the point-to-point speed enforcement operation through analysis of the quantitative effects and development the accident prediction model. Firstly, this study analyzed the effectiveness of point-to-point speed enforcement system. Naive before-after study and comparison group method(C-G Method) were used as methodologies of analyzing the effectiveness. The result of using the naive before-after study was significant. Total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 42.15%, 70.64% and 45.30% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 6.92% and 20.50%p respectively. Moreover, using the C-G method total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 31.35%, 66.62% and 10.04% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 3.49% and 56.65%p respectively. Secondly, this study developed a prediction model for the probability of casualty crash. It was dependant on factors of traffic volume, ratio of exceeding speed limit, ratio of heavy vehicle, ratio of curve section, and presence of point-to-point speed enforcement. Finally, this study selected the most danger sections to the major highway and evaluated proper installation sections to the recent installation section by applying the accident prediction model. The results of this study are expected to be useful in establishing the installation standards for the point-to-point speed enforcement system.

인공신경망 기반의 풍력발전기 발전량 예측에 관한 연구 (Study on the Prediction of wind Power Generation Based on Artificial Neural Network)

  • 김세윤;김성호
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.1173-1178
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    • 2011
  • The power generated by wind turbines changes rapidly because of the continuous fluctuation of wind speed and direction. It is important for the power industry to have the capability to predict the changing wind power. In this paper, neural network based wind power prediction scheme which uses wind speed and direction is considered. In order to get a better prediction result, compression function which can be applied to the measurement data is introduced. Empirical data obtained from wind farm located in Kunsan is considered to verify the performance of the compression function.

고속선 궤도틀림진전예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on High Speed Railway Track Deterioration Prediction)

  • 심윤섭;김기동;이성욱;우병구;이기우
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2010
  • Present maintenance of a high speed railway is after the fack maintenance that executes a task when measured value goes over threshold value except some planned maintenance. It is difficult from efficient management of maintenance human resource and equipment commitment because it is difficult to predict quantity of maintenance targets. Corrective maintenance is pushed back on the repair priority of other target to need repair and it is exceeded repair cost potentially. For safety and dependable track management because track deterioration prediction is linked directly with track's life and safety of train service, it is very important that track management be based on preventive maintenance. In this study, we propose statistics model of track quality to use track inspection data and forecast model for track deterioration prediction.

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고속가공에서 2중 신경망을 이용한 표면거칠기 예측과 가공DB 구축 효율화 방안 (Prediction of Surface Roughness using double ANN and the Efficient Machining Database Building Scheme in High Speed Machining)

  • 원종률;남성호;유송민;이석우;최헌종
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.411-415
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a double artificial neural network (ANN) approach and the efficient machining database building scheme are presented for the prediction of surface roughness in high-speed machining. In this approach, 4 machining parameters and used for the prediction of cutting force components, and the combinations of 4 parameters and the predicted cutting force components are finally used for the prediction of surface roughness. The experimental results comparing the these results with the predicted values using simple 4 input nodes have been also investigated to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

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예측모델에 따른 태양광발전시스템의 하절기 모듈온도 예측 및 정확도 분석 (Prediction and Accuracy Analysis of Photovoltaic Module Temperature based on Predictive Models in Summer)

  • 이예지;김용식
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.25-38
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    • 2017
  • Climate change and environmental pollution are becoming serious due to the use of fossil energy. For this reason, renewable energy systems are increasing, especially photovoltaic systems being more popular. The photovoltaic system has characteristics that are affected by ambient weather conditions such as insolation, outside temperature, wind speed. Particularly, it has been confirmed that the performance of the photovoltaic system decreases as the module temperature increases. In order to grasp the influence of the module temperature in advance, several researchers have proposed the prediction models on the module temperature. In this paper, we predicted the module temperature using the aforementioned prediction model on the basis of the weather conditions in Incheon, South Korea during July and August. The influence of weather conditions (i.e. insolation, outside temperature, and wind speed) on the accuracy of the prediction models was also evaluated using the standard statistical metrics such as RMSE, MAD, and MAPE. The results show that the prediction accuracy is reduced by 3.9 times and 1.9 times as the insolation and outside temperature increased respectively. On the other hand, the accuracy increased by 6.3 times as the wind speed increased.

고속열차(TGV) 주행시 연변에서의 소음예측 및 방음시설설계 (Noise Prediction and Design of Soundproof Facilities for the High Speed Train)

  • 나희승
    • 소음진동
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.1106-1115
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    • 1999
  • This paper sums up the study of the soundproof facilities (noise barriers) to be placed on the test track section within the Seoul-Pusan H.S.T. project. The objective of this study is to determine optimum design of soundproof including height, length, location, sound absorbing materials for test track(chonan-taejon). This paper shows the model to design the shape and materials of noise barrier for high speed trains(TGV, ICE, ect). The design of soundproof facilities is to be conducted by MITHRA for the prediction of noise impact of the TGV and for optimising noise barriers in order to reduce the noise generated by high speed trains. A number of computer simulations are carried out in order to determine the specification of noise barrier on test track.

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고속카메라 데이터 분석을 통한 발사체 지지대 분산 궤적의 근사적 예측 방법 (A Prediction Method for Sabot-Trajectory of Projectile by using High Speed Camera Data Analysis)

  • 박윤호;우호길
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we have proposed a prediction method for sabot-trajectory of projectile using high speed camera data analysis. Through analyzing trajectory of sabot with high speed camera data, we can extract its real velocity and acceleration including effects of friction force, pressure of flume, etc. Using these data, we suggest a prediction method for sabot-trajectory of projectile having variable acceleration, especially for minimum and maximum acceleration, by using interpolation method for velocity and acceleration data of sabot. Also we perform the projectile launching tests to achieve the trajectory of sabot in case of minimum and maximum thrust. Simulation results show that they are similar to real tests data, for example velocity, acceleration and the trajectory of sabot.