• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.15-23
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• 2015

This study was conducted in an effort to provide important clues pertaining to the conservation and restoration of Aporia crataegi by identifying the spatial distribution characteristics of the current habitats, prospective habitats, and future habitats of A. crataegi in accordance with climate changes. To determine the distribution of A. crataegi, data from a total of 36 collecting points throughout South Korea, North Korea, China, Japan, Mongolia, and Russia are used. The spatial distributions of the data were examined through MaxEnt modeling. The distribution probability rates exceeded 75% at 18 locations among the 36 species occurrence locations, with Gangwon province showing the highest distribution probability in South Korea. The precision of the MaxEnt model was remarkably high, with an AUC value of 0.982. The variables that affect the potential distribution of A. crataegi by more than 10% are the degree of temperature seasonality, the amount of precipitation in the warmest quarter, the annual mean temperature, and the amount of precipitation in the driest month, in that order of importance. It was found that the future potential distribution area of A. crataegi continuously moves northward over time up to 2070s. In addition, the area of the potential distribution showing a habitable probability rate that exceeds 75% in northeast Asia was $28,492km^2$, where the area of potential distribution in the north part of Korean peninsula was $20.404km^2$ in size. Thus, it is anticipated that the most important future habitats of A. crataegi in the northeast Asia will be North and South Hamgyeong provinces and Ryanggang province near Mt. Baekdoosan in the northern area of the Korean peninsula.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.29-42
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• 2023

As the destruction of habitats due to recent development continues, there is also increasing interest in endangered species. Mankyua chejuense is a vulnerable species that is sensitive to changes in population and habitat, and it has recently been upgraded from Endangered Species II to Endangered Species I, requiring significant management efforts. So in this study, we analyzed the potential habitats of Mankyua chejuense using MaxEnt(Maximum Entropy) modeling. We developed three models: one that considered only environmental characteristics, one that considered artificial factors, and one that reflected the habitat of dominant tree species in the overstory. Based on previous studies, we incorporated environmental and human influence factors for the habitats of Mankyua chejuense into spatial information, and we also used the habitat distribution models of dominant tree species, including Ulmus parvifolia, Maclura tricuspidata, and Ligustrum obtusifolium, that have been previously identified as major overstory species of Mankyua chejuense. Our analysis revealed that rock exposure, elevation, slope, forest type, building density, and soil type were the main factors determining the potential habitat of Mankyua chejuense. Differences among the three models were observed in the edges of the habitats due to human influence factors, and results varied depending on the similarity of the habitats of Mankyua chejuense and the dominant tree species in the overstory. The potential habitats of Mankyua chejuense presented in this study include areas where the species could potentially inhabit in addition to existing habitats. Therefore, these results can be used for the conservation and management planning of Mankyua chejuense.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.35-50
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• 2015

본 연구는 비도시지역의 생물종 서식지 보전을 위해 반영할 수 있는 생물종 관련 지표의 개발과 관리지역 세분화 방안을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 생물종 서식분포를 예측한 후에 예측된 서식분포를 활용하여 종풍부도를 만들고 그 결과를 토지적성평가와 비교를 하였다. 종분포도는 59종을 대상으로 Maxent 모형을 사용하였고 15개의 모형변수(5개 지형변수, 4개 식생변수, 6개 거리변수)를 활용하였다. 예측된 생물종 서식분포를 출현/비출현으로 구분한 후 합산하여 종풍부도를 예측 하였다. 토지적성평가는 평가체계 I에 따라 보전, 농업, 개발적성을 물리적, 지역, 공간적 입지 특성별로 평가하였다. 종풍부도 등급과 토지적성평가 등급과의 비교결과는 1등급은 10.92%, 2등급은 37.10%, 3등급은 34.56%, 4등급은 20.89% 그리고 5등급은 1.73%의 면적 일치도가 나타났다. 보전관리지역으로 분류되는 1등급과 계획관리지역으로 분류되는 5등급의 일치도가 가장 낮았다. 이처럼 계획관리지역으로 분류되어도, 종풍부도를 고려해 보면 많은 계획관리지역이 상대적으로 높은 종풍부도 값을 보여주었다. 관리지역은 생물종 서식지의 핵심지역은 아니지만 경관생태학적 관점에서 주변 서식처, 이동통로 등을 제공하면서 생물다양성 보호에 기여 할 수 있다. 따라서 도시관리계획에서 잠재적 생물종 서식분포를 고려하는 노력이 보다 집중되어야 할 것이다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.26-37
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• 2012

Multi-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality models are widely used to simulate the physical and biogeochemical processes in the surface water systems such as reservoirs and estuaries. Most of the models have adopted the Eulerian grid modeling framework, mainly because it can reasonably simulate physical dynamics and chemical species concentrations throughout the entire model domain. Determining the optimum grid cell size is important when using the Eulerian grid-based three-dimensional water quality models because the characteristics of species are assumed uniform in each of the grid cells and chemical species are represented by concentration (mass per volume). The objective of this study was to examine the effect of grid-size of a three dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model (EFDC) on hydrodynamics and mass transport in the Saemangeum Reservoir. Three grid resolutions, respectively representing coarse (CG), medium (MG), and fine (FG) grid cell sizes, were used for a sensitivity analysis. The simulation results of numerical tracer showed that the grid resolution affects on the flow path, mass transport, and mixing zone of upstream inflow, and results in a bias of temporal and spatial distribution of the tracer. With the CG, in particular, the model overestimates diffusion in the mixing zone, and fails to identify the gradient of concentrations between the inflow and the ambient water.

• 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국연소학회 1999년도 제19회 KOSCO SYMPOSIUM 논문집
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• pp.117-128
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• 1999

The removal of nitrogen oxides(NOx) from $N_{2}/O_{2}$ gas using a pulsed corona discharge was investigated as a function of the reduced electric field(E/N) and the energy density(J/L). A kinetic model was developed to characterize the chemical reactions taking place in a pulsed corona discharge reactor. The model calculates the fractional concentrations of radical species at each pulse-on period and utilizes the radicals to remove NOx for the subsequent pulse-off period. Electron collision reaction data are calculated using ELENDIF program to solve Boltzmann equation for electron energy distribution function, and the subsequent chemical reactions are calculated using CHEMKIN-II program to solve stiff ODE(ordinary differential equation) problems for species concentrations. The corona discharge energy per pulse and the time-space averaged E/N were obtained by fitting the model to experimental data. The model calculation shows good agreement with the experimental data, and predicts the formation of other species such as $NO_{2}$, $O_{3}$ and $N_{2}O$.

• 한국응용곤충학회지
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• 제62권3호
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• pp.215-220
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• 2023

최근 국내에서 외래 곤충인 (가칭)마른나무흰개미(Cryptotermes domesticus)가 서울에 위치한 주택에서 발견되었다. 이 종은 국내에 정착할 경우 잠재적으로 목재나 목조건물에 피해를 줄 수 있어 시급한 국내 발생 조사가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 종 분포 모델 기법을 활용하여 마른나무흰개미의 정착 가능성과 관련된 기후적합성을 추정하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 문헌 자료를 바탕으로 전세계 분포 정보를 수집하고, 생물기후변수를 활용하여 4개의 모델링 알고리즘으로 기후적합성 예측 모델을 구동하였다. 개발한 모델들의 결과를 종합하여 최종적으로 마른나무흰개미의 평균 발생 확률로 표현되는 앙상블 모델을 개발하였다. 그 결과 마른나무흰개미는 열대 지방에서에서 해양성 기후를 보이는 연안이나 도서지역에서 기후적합성이 높을 것으로 예상되었다. 국내에서는 기후적합성이 전반적으로 낮을 것으로 추정되었다. 하지만, 마른나무흰개미의 정착 및 확산 가능성을 염두해두고, 최근 발생이 보고된 지점을 중심으로 정밀 역학 조사가 필요할 것으로 보인다.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.198-205
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• 2015

기후변화에 의한 수생태계의 영향은 수생생물의 생리작용의 변화에서부터 종분포에 이르기까지 광범위할 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 금강유역의 어류 종분포를 예측하기 위하여 비출현 정보를 요구하지 않고도 좋은 예측력을 가지고 있는 MaxEnt 모형을 활용하였다. 금강유역 134개 지점의 2007년부터 2009년까지 어류 출현 자료 (고유종 17종 포함 총 47종)와 9개의 환경인자 (월별 최저기온, 최고기온, 평균기온, 강수량, 최저수온, 최고수온, 평균수온, 고도, 경사)를 사용하여, RCP 8.5 기후변화 시나리오에 따라 2050년과 2100년의 어류 종분포를 예측하였다. MaxEnt 모형은 평균 0.798의 적절한 모형적합도를 보여 주었으며, 종분포 예측에 기여도가 높은 환경인자는 고도, 강수량, 최저수온 순이었다. 기후변화가 진행됨에 따라 얼룩동사리와 줄납자루와 같은 고유종의 출현확률은 감소한 반면, 배스와 블루길과 같은 외래종의 출현확률은 증가하였다. 특히 2100년에는 5종 (줄몰개, 미꾸라지, 강준치, 줄납자루, 칼납자루)의 어류가 금강유역에서 더 이상 서식하지 못하는 것으로 예측되었다. 그리고 기후변화에 따라 종풍부도가 높은 지역이 금강유역 내에서 북상하는 것으로 예측되었다. 이러한 결과는 기후변화로 인한 수온 상승이 금강유역 수생태계의 교란을 심화시킬 수 있다는 것을 의미한다.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.23-29
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• 2019

While research findings suggest that the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is the leading cause of economic loss in Korean poultry industry with an estimated cumulative impact of $909 million since 2003, identifying the environmental and anthropogenic risk factors involved remains a challenge. The objective of this study was to identify areas at high risk for potential HPAI outbreaks according to the likelihood of HPAI virus detection in wild birds. This study integrates spatial information regarding HPAI surveillance with relevant demographic and environmental factors collected between 2003 and 2018. The Maximum Entropy (Maxent) species distribution modeling with presence-only data was used to model the spatial risk of HPAI virus. We used historical data on HPAI occurrence in wild birds during the period 2003-2018, collected by the National Quarantine Inspection Agency of Korea. The database contains a total of 1,065 HPAI cases (farms) tied to 168 unique locations for wild birds. Among the environmental variables, the most effective predictors of the potential distribution of HPAI in wild birds were (in order of importance) altitude, number of HPAI outbreaks at farm-level, daily amount of manure processed and number of wild birds migrated into Korea. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the 10 Maxent replicate runs of the model with twelve variables was 0.855 with a standard deviation of 0.012 which indicates that the model performance was excellent. Results revealed that geographic area at risk of HPAI is heterogeneously distributed throughout the country with higher likelihood in the west and coastal areas. The results may help biosecurity authority to design risk-based surveillance and implementation of control interventions optimized for the areas at highest risk of HPAI outbreak potentials.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.298-307
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• 2018

Background: Subalpine ecosystems at high altitudes and latitudes are particularly sensitive to climate change. In South Korea, the prediction of the species richness of subalpine plant species under future climate change is not well studied. Thus, this study aims to assess the potential impact of climate change on species richness of subalpine plant species (14 species) in the 17 mountain national parks (MNPs) of South Korea under climate change scenarios' representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and Migclim for the years 2050 and 2070. Results: Altogether, 723 species occurrence points of 14 species and six selected variables were used in modeling. The models developed for all species showed excellent performance (AUC > 0.89 and TSS > 0.70). The results predicted a significant loss of species richness in all MNPs. Under RCP 4.5, the range of reduction was predicted to be 15.38-94.02% by 2050 and 21.42-96.64% by 2070. Similarly, under RCP 8.5, it will decline 15.38-97.9% by 2050 and 23.07-100% by 2070. The reduction was relatively high in the MNPs located in the central regions (Songnisan and Gyeryongsan), eastern region (Juwangsan), and southern regions (Mudeungsan, Wolchulsan, Hallasan, and Jirisan) compared to the northern and northeastern regions (Odaesan, Seoraksan, Chiaksan, and Taebaeksan). Conclusions: This result indicates that the MNPs at low altitudes and latitudes have a large effect on the climate change in subalpine plant species. This study suggested that subalpine species are highly threatened due to climate change and that immediate actions are required to conserve subalpine species and to minimize the effect of climate change.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.29-42
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• 2024

As a global response to climate and biodiversity challenges, there is an emphasis on the conservation and restoration of ecosystems that can simultaneously reduce carbon emissions and enhance biodiversity. This study comprised a text analysis and keyword extraction of 1,100 research papers addressing nature restoration in Korea, aiming to provide a quantative and systematic evaluation of domestic research trends in this field. To discern the major research topics of these papers, topic modeling was applied and correlations were established through network analysis. Research on nature restoration exhibited a mainly upward trend in 2002-2022 but with a slight recent decline. The most common keywords were "species," "forest," and "water". Research topics were broadly classified into (1) predictions of habitat size and species distribution, (2) the conservation and utilization of natural resources in urban areas, (3) ecosystems and landscape managements in protected areas, (4) the planting and growth of vegetation, and (5) habitat formation methods. The number of studies on nature restoration are increasing across various domains in Korea, with each domain experiencing professional development.