• 제목/요약/키워드: Solar radiation prediction

검색결과 141건 처리시간 0.032초

평면식 태양열 집열기의 성능에 관한 연구 (Study on the Performance of the Flat-Plate Solar Collectors)

  • 장규섭;김만수
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 1977
  • Solar energy is a potential source of power that offers much promise being used for low-temperature applications like drying farm crops, space heating, and water heating for domestic uses. Already much of it are being used for those purpose in foreign countries. However, very little research has been done to determine the possibility of using the solar energy in Korea. This study was conducted to develop the general prediction equation of the total radiation on a horizontal surface in Daejeon area based on 5 years 91972, Jun.1-1976. Dec.31) meteorological data (bright sunshine hours, average total horizontal radiation), and to obtain experimentally the thermal efficiency of solar air and water collectors, which will be used as a basic data of designing flat-plate solar collector system.In addition to the thermal efficiency of the collectorsthe relationship among those factors affecting it such as weather condition, orientation factor, and tilted angle of collector was analyzed. The results of this study were as follows. 1. The general predicted equation of the total radiation on a horizontal surface in Daejeon area based on bright sunshine hours was developed as $H_{av} =(1.546\frac{n}{N}-0.582)H_o$. Predicting the total radiation on a horizontal surface by the above equation was thought to be possible because to values of 0.882 was smaller than any t values at above 0.05 level on the basis of two tailed test of the difference between the calculated and the recorded values. 2.It was observed that optimum tilt angle of the collector in the summer and the autumn drying season was 13 degrees and 51 degrees respectively, these values could be obtained by adding or substracting approximately 25 degrees from the latitude of this area $(36.3^{\circ}N)$ .The relationship between orientation factor and declination of sun at suitable tilt angle of 33 degrees $(s=0.9\O)$ was shown at Fig.4. 3.The thermal efficiency of solar wdter collector was shown 13.4-51. 6% on Aug. 15 (the minimum radiation recorded) and 43.8 ~537% Aug.20 (the maximum radiation recorded), and 13.8~ 46.6 and 44.3~ 49.7 were shown on each corresponding day. 4.The thermal efficiency of the collectors according to the weather condition was shown a big difference of about 10% between the day of the maximum radiation recorded and the minimum, but the differen of efficiency between the air and the water collector was at most 2 ~ 3%. 5. Even if the efficiency of the solar water collector was a little higher than the solar air collector, for drying farm products, the solar air collector was thought to be more effective because the air heated by collector could be directly used for drying them.

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태양광 에너지 예측을 위한 기상 데이터 기반의 인공 신경망 모델 구현 (Solar Energy Prediction Based on Artificial neural network Using Weather Data)

  • 정원석;정영화;박문규;서정욱
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2018년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.457-459
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    • 2018
  • 태양광발전시스템은 태양광으로부터 에너지를 생산하는 발전기술이며, 신재생 에너지 기술 중 가장 빠르게 성장하고 있다. 태양광 발전 시스템은 부하에 안정적으로 에너지를 공급하는 것이 가장 중요시 된다. 그러나 날씨 및 기상 조건에 따라 에너지 생산이 불안정하기 때문에 에너지 생산량에 대한 정확한 예측이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 강수량, 장 단파 복사선 평균, 온도 등 15가지 종류의 기상 데이터를 사용하여 태양광 에너지를 예측하는 인공 신경망(ANN)을 구현하고 성능을 평가한다. 인공 신경망은 은닉층을 구성하고 오버피팅을 방지하기 위한 페널티 ${\alpha}$와 같은 파라미터를 조절하여 구현한다. 예측모델의 정확도와 타당성을 검증하기 위해 성능지표로 MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error)와 MAE(Mean Absolute Error)를 사용한다. 실험 결과 Hidden Layer $Sizes=^{\prime}16{\times}10^{\prime}$을 사용하였을 때 MAPE=19.54와 MAE=2155345.10776로 나타났다.

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직달일사를 이용한 잠열축열식 바닥난방 시스템이 냉방부하에 미치는 영향에 대한 검토 (Effects of Phase Change Material Floor Heating Systems using Direct Solar Gain on Cooling Load)

  • 김수경
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2013
  • In this research, the effect of a heating system, which is powered by direct solar energy accumulated in phase change material (PCM) as heat storage material installed on the floor surface, on the cooling load was studied. Cooling load of a test building designed for this research was measured with fan coil unit and factors affecting it were also estimated. Experiments were performed with and without PCM installed on the building floor to understand the effect of the PCM on the cooling load. Additionally, to confirm the experiments results, the prediction calculation formula by average outside temperature and integrated solar radiation was composed using multivariate regression model. The results suggested that the heating system with PCM on the floor surface has the potential to shift electric power peak by radiating heat, stored during the daytime in it, at night, not increasing the total cooling load much.

건물에너지 저감을 위한 향별 슬랫형 블라인드의 최적각도 제어 알고리즘 산출 (Optimized slat angle control algorithm prediction of venetian blind depending on window orientation for energy saving)

  • 권혁주;이금호;이광호
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Most modern office buildings adopt the curtain wall system in order to provide occupants with the sense of openness and high-technology, which requires large window area. As a result, the amount of solar radiation increases, negatively affecting cooling load during the summer and increasing energy costs. However, the performance of window itself is not sufficiently controllable parameter to control thermal comfort and solar radiation. Therefore, a shading device such as venetian blind is required to control them and thus a variety of studies have been performed thus far. So, the purpose of this study is to improve the performance of blind through the development of blind control algorithm. Method: Among various input variables for the control of venetian blinds, the vertical solar radiation has been selected in this study as the primary input variable and the optimal control algorithm for venetian blinds were developed for each window orientation. Result: The developed optimal control algorithm has a positive effect on building energy savings.

복사 모델에 의한 남한의 지표면 태양광 분포 (Distribution of Surface Solar Radiation by Radiative Model in South Korea)

  • 조일성;지준범;이원학;이규태;최영진
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2010
  • 단일 기층의 모형 대기에 적용하기 위한 태양 복사 모델을 기준 모델(Line-by-Line Model: LBL)로 보정하여 2009년 1월부터 2009년 12월까지 한반도의 지표면 태양광 시공간 분포를 계산 및 분석하였다. 이 연구에 사용된 태양 복사 모델의 입력 자료는 기상청(KMA)의 수치모델 자료 그리고 위성자료로부터 도출된 오존 전량과 에어로졸 및 구름 자료 등이 사용되었다. 이 연구 기간 동안 4 km 간격으로 수평면에 대하여 한반도의 지표면 태양광을 계산하였고 그 결과를 지표면 일사 관측값들과 비교하였다. 그 결과 모델에 의하여 계산된 연 누적 태양광은 안동과 대구 및 진주를 연결하는 지역에서 최대값($5,400MJ/m^2$ 이상)이 나타났고 이 값들은 위성 관측 전운량 자료와 잘 일치하였다. 그러나 지표면 일사 관측 자료의 공간 분포는 모델 계산 결과와 차이가 있었으며 그 원인은 관측소 일사계의 보정 및 관리운영에 따른 자료 정확성 때문인 것으로 분석된다.

담수직파재배 논벼의 기준작물 잠재증발산량 산정방법별 작물계수의 변화 (Variation of Crop Coefficient With Respect to the Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Estimation Methods in Ponded Direct Seeding Paddy Rice)

  • 정상옥
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.114-121
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    • 1997
  • In order to provide basic information for the estimation of evapotranspiration in the ponded direct seeding paddy field, both field lysimeter experiment and model prediction were performed to estimate daily ET. Various methods were used to predict daily reference crop ET and crop coefficients. Measure4 mean daily ET during the 1995 growing season varied from 5.9 to 6.1 mm depending on the species, while it varied from 5.1 to 5.5 mm in 1996. Model predicted mean daily ET during the 1995 growing season varied from 3.9 to 4.9 mm depending on the prediction model, while it varied from 3.5 to 4.7 mm in 1996. The smaller ET values both measured and predicted in 1996 were caused by the low values of temperature, sunshine hours, and solar radiation. Crop coefficients varied from 1.20 to 1.50 in 1995 depending on the prediction model, while it varied from 1.10 to 1.47 in 1996. Comparison of the seven reference crop ET prediction methods used in this study shows that the Penman-Monteith method and the FAO-Radiation method gave the lowest ET while the corrected Penman method and the Hargreaves method gave the largest ET. Since crop coefficients vary to a large extent based on the prediction methods, reference crop ET prediction method should be carefully selected in irrigation planning.

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운량 및 일조시간을 이용한 우리나라의 시간당 전일사량의 평가 (Global Hourly Solar Irradiation Estimation using Cloud Cover and Sunshine Duration in South Korea)

  • 이관호
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2011
  • Computer simulation of buildings and solar energy systems is being used increasingly in energy assessments and design. For the six locations (Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Deagu, Gwangju and Busan) in South Korea where the global hourly solar irradiation (GHSI) is currently measured, GHSI was calculated using a comparatively simple cloud cover radiation model (CRM) and sunshine fraction radiation model (SFRM). The result was that the measured and calculated values of GHSI were similar for the six regions. Results of cloud cover and sunshine fraction models have been compared with the measured data using the coefficient of determination (R2), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean bias error (MBE). The strength of correlation R2 varied within similar ranges: 0.886-0.914 for CRM and 0.908-0.934 for SFRM. Average MBE for the CRM and SFRM were 6.67 and 14.02 W/m2, respectively, and average RMSE 104.36 and 92.15 W/m2. This showed that SFRM was slightly accurate and used many regions as compared to CRM for prediction of GHSI.

Estimation of the General Along-Track Acceleration in the KOMPSAT-1 Orbit Determination

  • Lee, Byoung-Sun;Lee, Jeong-Sook;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.92.4-92
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    • 2001
  • Estimation of the general along-track acceleration was performed in the KOMPSAT-1 orbit determination process. Several sets of the atmospheric drag and solar radiation pressure coefficients were also derived with the different spacecraft area. State vectors in the orbit determination with the different spacecraft area were compared in the time frame. The orbit prediction using the estimated coefficients was performed and compared with the orbit determination results. The orbit prediction with the different general acceleration values was also carried out for the comparison.

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Parametric Analysis of the Solar Radiation Pressure Model for Precision GPS Orbit Determination

  • Bae, Tae-Suk
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2017
  • The SRP (Solar Radiation Pressure) model has always been an issue in the dynamic GPS (Global Positioning System) orbit determination. The widely used CODE (Center for Orbit Determination in Europe) model and its variants have nine parameters to estimate the solar radiation pressure from the Sun and to absorb the remaining forces. However, these parameters show a very high correlation with each other and, therefore, only several of them are estimated at most of the IGS (International GNSS Service) analysis centers. In this study, we attempted to numerically verify the correlation between the parameters. For this purpose, a bi-directional, multi-step numerical integrator was developed. The correlation between the SRP parameters was analyzed in terms of post-fit residuals of the orbit. The integrated orbit was fitted to the IGS final orbit as external observations. On top of the parametric analysis of the SRP parameters, we also verified the capabilities of orbit prediction at later time epochs. As a secondary criterion for orbit quality, the positional discontinuity of the daily arcs was also analyzed. The resulting post-fit RMSE (Root-Mean-Squared Error) shows a level of 4.8 mm on average and there is no significant difference between block types. Since the once-per-revolution parameters in the Y-axis are highly correlated with those in the B-axis, the periodic terms in the D- and Y-axis are constrained to zero in order to resolve the correlations. The 6-hr predicted orbit based on the previous day yields about 3 cm or less compared to the IGS final orbit for a week, and reaches up to 6 cm for 24 hours (except for one day). The mean positional discontinuity at the boundary of two 1-day arcs is on the level of 1.4 cm for all non-eclipsing satellites. The developed orbit integrator shows a high performance in statistics of RMSE and positional discontinuity, as well as the separations of the dynamic parameters. In further research, additional verification of the reference frame for the estimated orbit using SLR is necessary to confirm the consistency of the orbit frames.

Prediction model for whistler chorus waves responsible for energetic electron acceleration and scattering

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Lee, Dae-Young;Cho, Jung-Hee;Shin, Dae-Kyu
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.94.1-94.1
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    • 2013
  • Whistler mode chorus waves, which are observed outside the plasmasphere of the Earth's magnetosphere, play a major role in accelerating and scattering energetic electrons in the radiation belts. In this study we developed a predicting scheme of the global distribution of chorus by using the Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms (THEMIS) satellite data. First, we determined global spatial distributions of chorus activity, and identified fit functions that best represent chorus intensities in specific L-MLT zones. Second, we determined the specific dependence of average chorus intensity on preceding solar wind conditions (e.g., solar wind speed, IMF Bz, energy coupling degree) as well as preceding geomagnetic states (as represented by AE, for example). Finally, we combined these two results to develop the predicting functions for the global distribution and intensity of chorus. Implementing these results in the radiation belt models should improve the local acceleration effect by chorus waves.

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