• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1572-1581
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• 2011

Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment has been active on transport infrastructure. But investment of transport infrastructure has more risks than others due to overforecast of transport demand for ensuring project validity, and cost uncertainty arising from financial crisis, commodity prices and so on. In the case of Incheon international airport express, after 2 years and 6 months, Incheon international airport express is opened, Korail take over equity stake in private investor due to the problems of MRG(Minimum Revenue Guarantee) be contracted with private investor. Not only that, in other case of Yong-in light rail, it is ongoing for legal disputes between Yong-in local government and private investor on account of opening delaying. On current Investment Assessment System of Transport Infrastructure, Risk Management system on investment of transport infrastructure is inadequate because Sensitivity Analysis in economic efficiency have been performed on the simple method which only changes benefits, expense and social discount rate. For this reason, this study analyze risks for investment of transport infrastructure demand forecast, and rise to the management practice for every particular item.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.69-81
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• 2018

This study performed an economic analysis and tested the viability of a public computerization project to create a comprehensive information system for public e-procurement for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). The study found that the estimated costs of the project included 4.3 billion won to build the system and 710 million won per year to maintain the system once it is built. The project's estimated total benefits amounted to 6.66 billion won per year, including 5.871 billion won per year in increased convenience for SMBs that use the system, 406 million won per year in benefits for public institutions, and 383 million won per year in benefits for the institution "A" to adopt the system. We used the contingent valuation method (CVM) to estimate the benefits to SMBs, which would be the main participants of the project. The survey found that the SMBs were willing to pay an average fee of 170,136 won. we conducted an economic analysis by applying a 5.5% social discount rate over an analysis period of 10 years and found a benefit-cost ratio of 5.02 and a net present value of 40.201 billion won, which indicated a very high economic viability of the project. The results of this study can be an important reference when deciding whether to pursue computerization projects in the public sector.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.313-327
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• 2006

This study aims to examine the operating status of the Farmer's Health Center Project and the validity of its business using the benefit-cost analysis. As the pilot project of the Rural Development Adminstration from 1996, a total of 884 Farmer's Health Centers were established until 2004. Internal information of the RDA management unit was used for the analysis. A questionnaire with an interview was also performed with 70 over 468 Centers that had been established from 2001 to 2004. Results were as follows. 1) The Center was mainly used by elderly over 60 years, which took 71.4%. Winter was the most popular season for visiting. 2) Approximately 71% of the manager of the Center pointed out the deficiency of fuel cost as the most difficulty in operating the Center. 3) Users were moderately satisfied with facility and the effect of its use, which took 3.5 point over 5 scale. 4) For the cost-benefit analysis on the Centers, both 5% of social discount rate and 15 years of use term were assumed. Subsequently, the Net Present Value was 3,134 million won, which certified the validity of the business.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.101-111
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• 2013

본 연구에서는 울산~포항 간 복선전철 건설예정인 교량을 사례로 교량형식별 LCC 개념을 적용 경제성이 가장 우수한 공법을 적용하기 위하여 같은 연장 (L=1,615m)을 갖는 유사한 4개 교량에 대한 DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) 분석을 실시하였다. DEA 모형은 상대적 효율성 평가를 위해 개발된 CCR 모형을 사용하였으며, 투입변수로 초기건설비용, 유지관리비용, 간접비용 (사용자비용 + 사회간접 손실비용), 생애주기비용을 사용, 산출변수로는 평균 내구연한을 사용하였다. 투입 변수 산정을 위해 생애주기비용 분석을 사용하였는데 생애주기 비용 산정은 분석기간 100년, 실질할인율 4.83%를 적용 하였으며, 비용의 분류는 초기건설비용, 유지관리비용, 사용자비용, 사회간접손실비용으로 분류 하였다. 분석결과, 비교 2안과 비교 3안이 가장 효율적인 것으로 분석되었으며, 나머지 대안의 효율성은 비교 1안, 기본안, 비교 4안 순서로 나타났다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권16호
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• pp.6903-6908
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• 2015

Background: As smoking is the leading preventable cause of multiple diseases and premature cancer deaths, estimating the burden of cancer attributable to smoking has become the standard in documenting the adverse impact of smoking. In Indonesia, there is a dearth of studies assessing the economic costs of cancers related to smoking. This study aimed to estimate indirect mortality costs of premature cancer deaths and years of potential life lost (YPLL) attributable to smoking among the Indonesian population. Materials and Methods: A prevalence based method was employed. Using national data, we estimated smoking-attributable cancer mortality in 2013. Premature mortality costs and YPLL were estimated by calculating number of cancer deaths, life expectancy, annual income, and workforce participation rate. A human capital approach was used to calculate the present value of lifetime earnings (PVLE). A discount rate of 3% was applied. Results: The study estimated that smoking attributable cancer mortality was 74,440 (30.6% of total cancer deaths), comprised of 95% deaths in men and 5% in women. Cancers attributed to smoking wereresponsible for 1,207,845 YPLL. Cancer mortality costs caused by smoking accounted for USD 1,309 million in 2013. Among all cancers, lung cancer is the leading cause of death and economic burden. Conclusions: Cancers related to smoking pose an enormous economic burden in Indonesia. Therefore, tobacco control efforts need to be prioritized in order to prevent more losses to the nation. The data of this study are important for advocating national tobacco control policy.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.168-175
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• 2006

2005년 1월 민간투자법의 개정에 따라 전국적으로 44개 국공립 시설 뿐 아니라 사립대학을 중심으로 BTL사업의 발주가 급증하고 있다. 그러나 BTL사업은 시설의 기획, 설계, 시공, 운영 및 관리까지 포함하여 20여년 이상의 프로젝트 관리 과정을 대상으로 하는 포괄적 사업방식이다. 따라서 각 단계별로 다양한 리스크 인자들이 발생하게 된다. 그러나 사업제안단계에서 재무적 리스크를 정량적으로 분석할 수 있는 민감요인은 공사비, 차입금리, 할인율, 부대사업 임대료, 운영비용 등이 있다. 본 연구에서는 BTL사업 제안단계에서 사업에 영향을 미치는 리스크 요인들의 특성을 고찰하고 이 요인들이 사업성에 미치는 영향도를 분석하고 이에 대한 대응방안을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제51권4호
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• pp.19-45
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• 2020

This study is to evaluate economic effect of the creation project of snow crab, Chionoecetes opilio, spawning and habitat ground in Uljin and Youngdeok county. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: first, 14,400 million won was invested in the creation project cost of Chionoecetes opilio spawning and habitat ground of Uljin and Youngdeok County from 2015 to 2020. Second, the creation project of Chionoecetes opilio spawning and habitat ground directly provides fishing benefits, festival benefits, research and development benefits and employment benefits. Third, on the basis of above benefits, the creation project of Chionoecetes opilio spawning and habitat ground has net present value of 29,900.53 million won, internal rate of return 16.9%, and benefit-cost of 2.91 under a 4.5% social discount rate. Also, the creation project creates 195 jobs. This indicates that the creation project of Chionoecetes opilio spawning and habitat ground not only contributes to the increase in the income of coastal fishery and fishing villages but also to the job making. The result of this study provides useful information to policy makers or project managers as it shows that the project to create spawning and habitat ground should be carried out in consideration of the resource and biological characteristics of individual fish and that economic assessment logic should also be developed based on this. Also, it proves that the project to create a snow crab spawning and habitat ground is a national and local infrastructure project that increases the actual fishing income in the region. At the same time, it maintains the reproducibility function of most fish species, along with enhancing the people's benefits such as fishing village tourism and marine product consumption. Moreover, it provides useful information on budgeting for the continuous development of snow crab spawning and habitat ground in the mid to long-term.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제49권4호
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• pp.109-129
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• 2018

This study is to evaluate economic effect of the creation project of Octopus Ochellatu spawning and habitat ground in Taean County. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: first, the creation project cost of Octopus Ochellatus spawning and habitat ground invested in Taean from 2015 to 2017 was 3,400 million won. Second, The creation project of Octopus Ochellatus spawning and habitat ground directly provides fishing benefits, recreational boat fishing benefits, festival benefits, research and development benefits, and employment benefits. Third, on the basis of above benefits, the creation project of Octopus Ochellatus spawning and habitat ground has a net present value of 14,478 million won, internal rate of return 60.8%, and benefit-cost of 5.03 under a 4.5% social discount rate. Also, the creation project creates 47 jobs. This indicates that the creation project of Octopus Ochellatus spawning and habitat ground contributes not only to the increase in the income of coastal fishery, recreational boat fishing business and fishing villages but also to the job making. In conclusion, with all these results, a project for making spawning grounds and habitats in the specified region gives species more numerically abundant and this gives more profits to fishermen in the coastal area. In addition, this project helps to make attractions to visitors or people who came to those specified regions to participate in events or have recreation, which means it improves profits to that fishing village and improve a settlement condition.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.237-247
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• 2018

This study aims to estimate optimal harvests, fishing efforts, and stock levels of hairtail harvested by the large pair bottom trawl, the large otter trawl, the large purse seine, the offshore long line, and the offshore angling fisheries by using the surplus production models and the current value Hamiltonian method. Processes of this study are as follows. First of all, this study estimates the standardized fishing efforts regarding the harvesting of the hairtail by the above five fishing gears based on the general linear model developed by Gavaris. Secondly, this study estimates environmental carrying capacity (k), intrinsic growth rate (r), and catchability coefficient (q) by applying the Clarke Yoshimoto Pooley (CY&P) model among various surplus production models. Thirdly, this study estimates the optimal harvests, fishing efforts, and stock levels regarding the hairtail by the current value Hamiltonian method, including the average landing price, the average unit cost, and the social discount rate. Finally, this study attempts a sensitivity analysis to figure out changes in optimal harvests, fishing efforts, and stock levels due to changes in the average landing price and the average unit cost. As results induced by the current value Hamiltonian method, the optimal harvests, fishing efforts, and stock levels regarding the hairtail caught by several fishing gears were estimated as 33,133 tons, 901,080 horse power, and 79,877 tons, respectively. In addition, from the results of the sensitivity analysis, first of all, if the average landing price of the hairtail constantly increases, the optimal harvests of it increase at a decreasing rate, and then harvests finally slightly decrease as a result of decreases in stock levels. Secondly, if the average unit cost of fishing efforts continuously increases, the optimal fishing efforts decreases, but optimal stock levels increase. Optimal harvests start climbing and then decrease continuously due to increases in the average unit cost. In summary, this study suggests that the optimal harvests (33,133 tons) were larger than actual harvests (25,133 tons), but the optimal fishing efforts (901,080 horse power) were much less than estimated standardized fishing efforts (1,277,284 horse power), corresponding to the average of the recent three years (2014-2016). This result implies that the hairtail has been inefficiently harvested and recently overfished due to excessive fishing efforts. Efficient management and conservation policies on stock levels need to be urgently implemented. Some appropriate strategies would be to include the hairtail in the Korean TAC species or to extend the closed fishing season for this species.

• 지적과 국토정보
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.61-78
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• 2014

중국이 우리 영토인 '구려벌'을 그들의 영토로 만들기 위해 동북공정을 필두로 한 영토공정을 실시하고 있는 것에 대해, 중국 영토공정의 원인과 목적 및 실태를 분석하고 그에 대한 대응 방안을 제시함으로써 잃어버린 우리 영토를 수복하는 데 본연구의 목적이 있다. 이를 위해서 본 연구에서는 중국이 실시하는 영토공정에 대해 세부적으로 검토했다. 중국이 실시하는 영토공정인 동북공정과 단대공정, 탐원공정과 요하문명론은 물론 근대공정까지 실시하게 된 원인과 목적을 밝히고 그 내용을 점검하고 실태를 분석하여 문제점을 지적한 후 그에 대한 대응 방안을 제시했다. 중국은 영토공정을 실시하기 위해서 무엇보다 문화와 역사를 왜곡하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서도 문화와 역사적인 측면에서 중국이 주장하는 왜곡의 실태를 파악하고 그 모순을 짚어서 맞대응하는 방법을 택함으로써 차별성을 가졌다. 아울러 본 연구에서는 중국의 역사와 문화 왜곡은 물론 우리 스스로 중국이 주장하는 것들을 각기 딴 생각으로 해석하는 잘못을 지적하였다. 또 우리 영토를 지키는데 정부의 적극적인 대응이 매우 중요하다는 점을 강조하였다.