• Title/Summary/Keyword: Sliding Period Learning

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Production of agricultural weather information by Deep Learning (심층신경망을 이용한 농업기상 정보 생산방법)

  • Yang, Miyeon;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.293-299
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    • 2018
  • The weather has a lot of influence on the cultivation of crops. Weather information on agricultural crop cultivation areas is indispensable for efficient cultivation and management of agricultural crops. Despite the high demand for agricultural weather, research on this is in short supply. In this research, we deal with the production method of agricultural weather in Jeollanam-do, which is the main production area of onions through GloSea5 and deep learning. A deep neural network model using the sliding window method was used and utilized to train daily weather prediction for predicting the agricultural weather. RMSE and MAE are used for evaluating the accuracy of the model. The accuracy improves as the learning period increases, so we compare the prediction performance according to the learning period and the prediction period. As a result of the analysis, although the learning period and the prediction period are similar, there was a limit to reflect the trend according to the seasonal change. a modified deep layer neural network model was presented, that applying the difference between the predicted value and the observed value to the next day predicted value.

ADAPTIVE SLIDING WINDOW METHOD FOR TURBO CODES IN CDMA CELLULAR SYSTEM WITH POWER CONTROL ERROR

  • Park, Sook-Min;Yoon, Sang-Sic;Kim, Sang-Wu;Lee, Kwyro
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.565-568
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a method that can be used to reduce the decoding computational complexity in turbo codes. To reduce the decoding complexity we proposed an adaptive sliding window method which control the learning period of Viterbi sliding window method depending on channel signal to interference ratio (SIR). When received signal to interference ratio (SIR) is relatively high, we can reduce the decoding complexity without a noticeable degradation of BER performance at CDMA cellular system with power control error.

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Development of Long-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Model using Sliding Period Learning and Characteristics of Major Districts (주요 지역별 특성과 이동 기간 학습 기법을 활용한 장기 전력수요 예측 모형 개발)

  • Gong, InTaek;Jeong, Dabeen;Bak, Sang-A;Song, Sanghwa;Shin, KwangSup
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2019
  • For power energy, optimal generation and distribution plans based on accurate demand forecasts are necessary because it is not recoverable after they have been delivered to users through power generation and transmission processes. Failure to predict power demand can cause various social and economic problems, such as a massive power outage in September 2011. In previous studies on forecasting power demand, ARIMA, neural network models, and other methods were developed. However, limitations such as the use of the national average ambient air temperature and the application of uniform criteria to distinguish seasonality are causing distortion of data or performance degradation of the predictive model. In order to improve the performance of the power demand prediction model, we divided Korea into five major regions, and the power demand prediction model of the linear regression model and the neural network model were developed, reflecting seasonal characteristics through regional characteristics and migration period learning techniques. With the proposed approach, it seems possible to forecast the future demand in short term as well as in long term. Also, it is possible to consider various events and exceptional cases during a certain period.

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Prediction of Baltic Dry Index by Applications of Long Short-Term Memory (Long Short-Term Memory를 활용한 건화물운임지수 예측)

  • HAN, Minsoo;YU, Song-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.497-508
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to overcome limitations of conventional studies that to predict Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The study proposed applications of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) named Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to predict BDI. Methods: The BDI time-series prediction was carried out through eight variables related to the dry bulk market. The prediction was conducted in two steps. First, identifying the goodness of fitness for the BDI time-series of specific ANN models and determining the network structures to be used in the next step. While using ANN's generalization capability, the structures determined in the previous steps were used in the empirical prediction step, and the sliding-window method was applied to make a daily (one-day ahead) prediction. Results: At the empirical prediction step, it was possible to predict variable y(BDI time series) at point of time t by 8 variables (related to the dry bulk market) of x at point of time (t-1). LSTM, known to be good at learning over a long period of time, showed the best performance with higher predictive accuracy compared to Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). Conclusion: Applying this study to real business would require long-term predictions by applying more detailed forecasting techniques. I hope that the research can provide a point of reference in the dry bulk market, and furthermore in the decision-making and investment in the future of the shipping business as a whole.