• 제목/요약/키워드: Skewed Distribution

검색결과 227건 처리시간 0.028초

세탁기 및 화장실 용수 수요량에 대한 예측모형 연구 (A Study on Prediction Model for Laundry and Toilet Water-use demand)

  • 명성민
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 5년간의 세탁기 및 화장실 용수의 실측 자료를 기반으로 표본가구의 가구 및 주택, 월 특성들을 나타내는 변수들을 조사하여 위의 두 가지 용수에 대한 수요예측모형을 개발하는 것이다. 그러나 반응변수인 세탁기 및 화장실 용수의 분포를 확인한 결과 양의 왜도, 즉, 왼쪽으로 치우친 형태로 정규분포를 따르지 않기 때문에 다중회귀모형 적용 시 추정치가 편의되는 문제가 있다. 따라서 이에 대한 대안으로 세탁기 및 화장실 용수 수요 예측모형을 와이블 및 대수정규회귀모형으로 가정하고, 3가지 모형을 적용하여 최적모형을 제시하고 이에 대한 해석을 제시하였다. 그 결과 와이블 분포를 가정한 회귀모형이 가장 적합하다고 나타났으며, 이에 대한 각 용수별 예측모형을 제시하고 해석하였다. 그 결과 두 용수 모두 공통적으로 실거주인원이 용수사용에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 인자로 나타났다. 분석결과를 토대로 세탁기 및 화장실 용수의 수요를 예측시 실거주인원에 대한 고려가 필요하다는 점을 시사하며, 예측모형을 통한 관리부서에서 장기적으로 물 수요관리에 대한 정책 수립, 수도 관련 시설 규격 및 기자재 결정 등의 기초자료로 활용 할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다. 추후 연구에서는 1인 가구 등과 같은 실태를 반영한 독립변수들을 고려한 실측연구 등이 필요할 것이다.

사회재난 지표별 등급화 기법 비교: 가축질병을 중심으로 (Comparison of Rating Methods by Disaster Indicators)

  • 이효진;윤홍식;한학
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 최근 대형 사회재난이 발생하면서 사회재난 안전도 진단에 대한 필요성이 요구되며 행정안전부에서 지역 안전지수, 국가안전대진단 등 지역의 안전도 등급을 계산하여 매년 공표하고 있다. 기존의 안전도 진단 시스템은 등간격 혹은 정규분포를 이용해서 획일화된 방법으로 등급화를 진행하여 위험지도를 작성하고 있다. 연구방법: 하지만 등간격 기법은 위험등급을 객관적으로 분석할 수 있지만 분포가 한쪽에 치우쳐있는 경우 위험등급을 분류하는데 한계가 있으며 z-score 기법은 모집단이 정규분포를 따르지 않으면 신뢰도가 떨어지는 문제가 있다. 지표별로 통계 데이터의 분포가 상이하기 때문에 데이터 분포별로 가장 적합한 등급화를 적용해야한다. 연구결과: 따라서 본 논문에서는 재난 지표의 데이터를 분석하여 각 지표마다 최적화된 등급화를 진행하고자 기존의 등간격 기법과 네츄럴브레이크 기법을 비교 및 적합한 방법을 제시하였다. 결론: 그 결과 기존의 등급화 기법과 다르게 적용된 것은 6새 지표 중 3개에 해당하였다.

A Note on the Robustness of the X Chart to Non-Normality

  • Lee, Sung-Im
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.685-696
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    • 2012
  • These days the interest of quality leads to the necessity of control charts for monitoring the process in various fields of practical applications. The $\overline{X}$ chart is one of the most widely used tools for quality control that also performs well under the normality of quality characteristics. However, quality characteristics tend to have nonnormal properties in real applications. Numerous recent studies have tried to find and explore the performance of $\overline{X}$ chart due to non-normality; however previous studies numerically examined the effects of non-normality and did not provide any theoretical justification. Moreover, numerical studies are restricted to specific type of distributions such as Burr or gamma distribution that are known to be flexible but can hardly replace other general distributions. In this paper, we approximate the false alarm rate(FAR) of the $\overline{X}$ chart using the Edgeworth expansion up to 1/n-order with the fourth cumulant. This allows us to examine the theoretical effects of nonnormality, as measured by the skewness and kurtosis, on $\overline{X}$ chart. In addition, we investigate the effect of skewness and kurtosis on $\overline{X}$ chart in numerical studies. We use a skewed-normal distribution with a skew parameter to comprehensively investigate the effect of skewness.

섬유다발 배열 및 적층수에 따른 평직복합재료 등가물성치의 변화에 관한 통계적 연구 (A Statistical Study of Effective Properties due to Fiber Tow Misalignment and Thickness Change for Plain Weave Textile Composites)

  • 우경식;서영욱
    • Composites Research
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 평직복합재료의 섬유다발의 배열 및 적층수가 등가물성치에 미치는 영향을 연구하였다. 임의로 적층된 2~32장의 평직복합재료 구조물의 단위구조를 모델링 하였고, 단위구조의 외부 경계 면에는 반복 경계조건을 가하였다. 등가물성치는 일축 인장시험 및 전단시험을 수치적으로 모사하여 계산하였고, 섬유다발 위상차의 무작위적 특성은 표본해석을 통해 고려하였다. 계산 된 등가물성치의 통계처리 결과, 두께가 얇은 평직복합재료의 $E_{xx}$$V_{xy}$는 위상차의 영향을 크게 받았고, 넓은 빈도분포를 보였다. 그러나 적층수가 증가함에 따라 분포의 폭은 감소하였고 평균값은 일정한 값으로 수렴하였다. 반면에, 섬유다발의 면내 방향으로의 이동 및 적층수의 변화는 $G_{xy}$에 거의 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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영광 원자력발전소 주변해역 표층퇴적물의 입도와 원소분포 특성 (Characteristics of Particles Size and Element Distribution in the Coastal Bottom Sediments in the Vicinity of Youngkwang Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 은고요나
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2000
  • order to investigate physical characteristics and element concentrations of sediments, coastal bottom sediments were collected at 20 stations in the vicinity of Youngkwang Nuclear Power Plant. After air drying of samples in the laboratory. article size distribution was examined by Master sizer (X-350F), radio-activity by HPGe ${\gamma}$-spectrphotometer, and element concentrations by ICP-AES and AAS. According to particle size analysis , sediments are mainly composed of silt fraction weith 23% of sand, 65% of silt and 12% of clay on average. Most sediments are derived from muddy environment that silt dominates with the characteristics of 5.3${\varsigma}$ mean particle size, poorly sorted, very fine skewed and lepto-kurtic. Only two sediments are well sorted with sandy silt owing to wind, winnowing action, tide and current andits complex reactions. Element concentrations in the coastal bottom sediments are relatively high at finer sediment and show significant relationship with grain size. Index of geoaccumulation by heavy metals at every sampling station is classified as practically unpolluted. The radioactivities of the sediments were measured for 15 isotope elements, and 2 elements of K-40 and Cs-137 were detected in most sediments. The K-40 is the natural nuclide and the artificial nuclide of Cs-137 was thought to be derived from the fallout of past nuclear weapon test. The results of correlation coefficient between grain size and radioactivity shows that the activity of Cs-137 significantly increases in finer grain.

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Fair Peer Assignment Scheme for Peer-to-Peer File Sharing

  • Hu, Chih-Lin;Chen, Da-You;Chang, Yi-Hsun;Chen, Yu-Wen
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.709-735
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    • 2010
  • The reciprocal virtue of peer-to-peer networking has stimulated an explosion of peer population and service capacity, ensuring rapid content distribution in peer-to-peer networks. Critical issues such as peer churn, free riding, and skewed workload significantly affect performance results such as service agility, fairness, and resource utilization. To resolve these problems systematically, this study proposes a peer assignment scheme that supports fair peer-to-peer file sharing applications. The proposed scheme exploits the peer duality of both server-oriented peer capacity and client-oriented peer contribution. Accordingly, the system server can prioritize download requests and appropriately assign server peers to uploading file objects. Several functional extensions, including peer substitution and elimination, bandwidth adjustment, and distributed modification, help cope with subtle situations of service starvation and download blocking, and hence make the system design robust and amenable. Simulation results show this design is examined under both centralized and distributed peer-to-peer environments. Performance results confirm that the proposed mechanisms are simple but effective in maintaining service agility and fairness, without loss of overall service capacity in peer-to-peer files sharing systems.

HCN(1-0) OBSERVATIONS OF STARLESS CORES

  • SOHN J,;LEE C, W,;LEE H, M.;PARK Y.-S.;MYERS P. C.;LEE Y.;TAFALLA M.
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.261-263
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    • 2004
  • We present a progress report on HCN(1-0) line observations toward starless cores to probe inward motions. We have made a single pointing survey toward the central regions of 85 starless cores and performed mapping observations of 6 infall candidate starless cores. The distributions of the velocity difference between HCN(1-0) hyperfine lines and the optically thin tracer $N_2H^+$(1-0) are significantly skewed to the blue, meaning that HCN(1-0) frequently detects inward motions. Their skewness to the blue is even greater than that of CS(2-1) Lee et al., possibly implying more infall occurrence than CS(1-0). We identify 19 infall candidates by using several characteristics illustrating spectral infall asymmetry seen in HCN(1-0) hyperfine lines, CS(3-2), CS(2-1), $DCO^+(2-1)$ and $N_2H^+$ observations. The HCN(1-0) F(O-l) with the least optical depth usually shows a similar intensity distribution to that of $N_2H^+$ which closely traces the density distribution of the cores, indicating that HCN(1-0) is less chemically affected and so believed to reflect kinematics occurring in rather inner regions of the cores. Detailed radiative transfer model fits of the spectra are underway to analyze central infall kinematics in starless cores.

애착 Q-set의 국내 준거 개발 연구 (A Study on the development of Criterion Scores for the Attachment Q-set in Korea)

  • 이영;박경자;나유미
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study was to develop criterion scores for the Korean version of the Attachment Q-set. It further examined distribution of security of attachment scores of Korean infants and differences in attachment scores by the cultural background. The criterion scores of attachment security were developed by 8 judges who are knowledgable in attachment theory and research. They used the Q-set to describe behavior characteristics of ideally secure infants of 12 and 36 months of age. Distribution of the attachment scores was analyzed with 191 infants, compiled from 4 studies including infants selected for this study. The attachment security criterion scores developed for Korean infants correlated highly with the Waters' criterion scores (1987) for American infants, .90 for 12 months and .88 for 36 months of age. Correlations between attachment scores developed for 12-and 36-month-olds was .89. The attachment security scores of the Korean version was a little higher and more negatively skewed than scores calculated using the American criterion. There were significant differences in the security of attachment scores by socioeconomic background of the infants, but not with employment status of the mothers. Infants of nonemployed middle class mothers had significantly higher security of attachment scores than infants of nonemployed lower class mothers. Infants from lower class families had higher "difficulty" scores, and "enjoying physical contact" scores were higher among infants from the middle class.

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Al-Li-( Cu, Zr) 합금에서 시효에 따른 δ' 상의 형상 및 입자크기분포의 변화 (The Changes of the Shape and Particle Size Distribution of δ' Phase on Ageing in Al-Li-( Cu, Zr) Alloys)

  • 우기도;조현기
    • 열처리공학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.96-102
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    • 1994
  • The present work was aimed to examine the changes of the shape and particle size distribution(PSD) of ${\delta}^{\prime}$ particles on ageing in Al-Li-(Cu, Zr) alloys which had low density, high specific strength and stiffness, Increasing ageing time and temperature resulted in particles whose aspect ratio tended toward 1. The aspect ratio of ${\delta}^{\prime}$ particles was not dependent upon the ageing temperature and time in Al-Li-Cu alloy but was dependent upon them in Al-Li-Zr alloy. The PSD of ${\delta}^{\prime}$ particles in Al-Li-Zr alloy skewed to the right hand compared with that in Al-Li-Cu alloy, because $Al_3Zr$ phase in Al-Li-Zr alloy formed before ageing promoted the precipitation and growth of ${\delta}^{\prime}$ phase. Therefore, the PSD of the ${\delta}^{\prime}$ particles was found to be affected by the presence of $Al_3Zr$ particles. The growth rate of ${\delta}^{\prime}$ phase was not affected by the existence of the third transition phase $T_1$ formed by the addition of Cu in Al-Li alloy but was affected by the existence of $Al_3Zr$ formed by the addition of Zr in Al-Li alloy.

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사행수로에서의 유속 및 분산특성에 관한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study of Flow and Dispersion Characteristics in Meandering Channel)

  • 박성원;서일원
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.799-802
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    • 2008
  • General behaviors based on hydraulic characteristics of natural streams and channels have been recently analyzed and developed via various numerical models. However in the states of natural hydraulics, an experimental research must be performed simultaneously with the mathematical analysis due to effects of hydraulic properties such as meander, sediment, and so on. In this study based on 2-D advection-dispersion equation, flow and tracer experiments were performed in the S-curved meandering laboratory channel with a rectangular cross-section. The channel was equipped with instrument carriages which was equipped with an auto-traversing system to be used with velocity measuring sensors throughout the depth and breadth of the flow field. To measure concentration distribution of the salt solution was adjusted to that of the flume water by adding methanol and a red dye (KMnO4) was added to aid the visualization of the tracer cloud, the tracer was instantaneously injected into the flow as a full-depth vertical line source by the instantaneous injector and the initial concentration of the tracer was 100,000 mg/l. The secondary current as well as the primary flow pattern was analyzed to investigate the flow distribution in the meandering channels. The velocity distribution of the primary flow for all cases skewed toward the inner bank at the first bend, and was almost symmetric at the crossovers, and then shifted toward the inner bank again at the next alternating bend. Thus, one can clearly notice that the maximum velocity occurs taking the shortest course along the channel, irrespective of the flow conditions. The result of the tracer tests shows that pollutant clouds are spreading following the maximum velocity lines in each cases with various mixing patterns like superposition, separation, and stagnation of pollutant clouds. Flow characteristics in each cases performed in this study can be compared with tracer dispersion characteristics with using evaluation of longitudinal and transverse dispersion coefficients(LDC, TDC). As expected, LDC and TDC in meandering parts have been evaluated with increasing distribution and straight parts have effected to evaluate minimum of LDC and TDC due to symmetric flow patterns and attenuations of secondary flow.

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