• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.161-181
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• 1995

The goal of this article is to study the performances of various empirical Bayes simultaneous interval estimates for all pairwise comparisons. The considered empirical Bayes interval estimaters are those based on unbiased estimate, a hierarchical Bayes estimate and a constrained hierarchical Bayes estimate. Simulation results for small sample cases are given and an illustrative example is also provided.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.37-50
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• 2002

Simultaneous estimation of accuracy and probability corresponding to a prediction interval is considered in this study. Traditional application of confidence interval forecasting consists in evaluation of interval limits for a given significance level. The wider is this interval, the higher is probability and the lower is the forecast precision. In this paper a measure of stochastic forecast accuracy is introduced, and a procedure for balanced estimation of both the predicting accuracy and confidence probability is elaborated. Solution can be obtained in an optimizing approach. Suggested method is applied to constructing confidence intervals for parameters estimated by normal and t distributions

• 한국간담췌외과학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.40-48
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• 2023

Backgrounds/Aims: Timing of resection for synchronous colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) has been debated for decades. The aim of the present study was to assess the feasibility of simultaneous resection of CRLM in terms of major complications and develop a prediction model for safe resections. Methods: A retrospective single-center study of synchronous, resectable CRLM, operated between 2013 and 2021 was conducted. Upper limit of 95% confidence interval (CI) of major complications (≥ grade IIIA) was set at 40% as the safety threshold. Logistic regression was used to determine predictors of morbidity. Prediction model was internally validated by bootstrap estimates, Harrell's C-index, and correlation of predicted and observed estimates. Results: Ninety-two patients were operated. Of them, 41.3% had rectal cancers. Major hepatectomy (≥ 4 segments) was performed for 25 patients (27.2%). Major complications occurred in 20 patients (21.7%, 95% CI: 13.8%-31.5%). Predictors of complications were the presence of comorbidities and major hepatectomy (area under the ROC curve: 0.692). Unacceptable level of morbidity (≥ 40%) was encountered in patients with comorbidities who underwent major hepatectomy. Conclusions: Simultaneous bowel and CRLM resection appear to be safe. However, caution should be exercised when combining major liver resections with bowel resection in patients with comorbid conditions.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.209-229
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• 2001

옥계항 내외의 5개 정점에서 부이형 파향·파고계와 수압식 파고계를 사용하여 연속관측한 장·단주기파의 장기간 자료를 분석하여 옥계항 주변 해역에서의 장주기파 에너지의 공간적, 시간적 분포를 검토하였다. 장주기파 자료 분석에 일정평활화법, 점증평활화법 및 이동평균평활화법을 적용하여 각각의 장·단점을 검토한 결과 해당 항만의 제1 공진 모드의 주기와 사용하는 자료의 길이에 따라 적절한 에너지 평활화 방법을 사용해야 함을 보였다. 장기간 자료와 2일 길이의 자료들의 분석 결과를 비교하여 평상시와 폭풍시를 구분하여 해석하는 것이 타당함을 보였다. 한편, 관측 자료의 종합적인 분석 결과 옥계항의 Helmholtz 공진 주기는 약 9.6분(상대진폭비 9∼10)으로 제시되었으며 저중력파 주기대의 주기 1.2∼1.3분과 0.7분의 국부 부진동이 매우 뚜렷하게 나타났다. 그리고, 평상시 자료에서는 항입구와 항내 정점에서 주기 9분 이상에서의 에너지가 저중력파 주기대의 에너지에 비해 100배 이상으로 매우 크게 나타났지만, 폭풍시에는 주파수 대폭에 무관하게 에너지가 크게 나타났으며, 특히 항내에서는 국부 부진동의 에너지가 평상시에 비해 최소 100배 이상으로 제시되었다. 마지막으로 항내에서는 Helmholtz 공진 모드와 주기 1∼2분의 저중력파 에너지가 폭풍파고의 크기에 비례하는 것으로 나타났다.