• Title/Summary/Keyword: Severity Model

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Assessment of Vegetation Recovery after Forest Fire

  • Yu, Xinfang;Zhuang, Dafang;Hou, Xiyong
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.328-330
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    • 2003
  • The land cover of burned area has changed dramatically since Daxinganling forest fire in Northeastern China during May 6 ? June 4, 1987. This research focused on determining the burn severity and assessment of forest recovery. Burned severity was classified into three levels from June 1987 Landsat TM data acquired just after the fire. A regression model was established between the forest canopy closure from 1999 forest stand map and the NDVI values from June 2000 Landsat ETM+ data. The map of canopy closure was got according to the regression model. And vegetation cover was classified into four types according to forest closure density. The change matrix was built using the classified map of burn severity and vegetation recovery. Then the change conversions of every forest type were analyzed. Results from this research indicate: forest recovery status is well in most of burned scars; and vegetation change detection can be accomplished using postclassification comparison method.

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The relationships of perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, and subjective norms with COVID-19 preventive behaviors: a secondary data analysis comparing adolescents and emerging adults in South Korea

  • Sunhee Park;Sumi Oh
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Based on the health belief model and theory of planned behavior, this study investigated how age group (adolescence and emerging adulthood) moderated the relative effects of perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, and subjective norms on preventive behavior against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Methods: This secondary data analysis utilized data from adolescents (n=272) and emerging adults (n=239). Hierarchical multiple regression analysis was performed to test the moderating effect of age group on the relationships among variables. Results: Higher perceived susceptibility (β=.21, p<.001), perceived severity (β=.14, p=.002), subjective norms (friends) (β=.26, p<.001), subjective norms (parents) (β=.44, p<.001), and subjective norms (schools) (β=.28, p<.001) enhanced COVID-19 preventive behaviors. Moderated regression analysis showed that subjective norms (friends and school) impacted preventive behavior in adolescents more than in emerging adults. Conclusion: Given the need to increase perceived susceptibility and severity among adolescents and emerging adults, these findings provide baseline data for designing effective COVID-19 prevention interventions that consider the developmental characteristics of different age groups. Interventions by health centers at universities can strengthen COVID-19 preventive behavior among emerging adults. As adolescents are influenced by friends, their peer roles must be strengthened to enhance adherence to COVID-19 preventive guidelines.

Prediction of Software Fault Severity using Deep Learning Methods (딥러닝을 이용한 소프트웨어 결함 심각도 예측)

  • Hong, Euyseok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2022
  • In software fault prediction, a multi classification model that predicts the fault severity category of a module can be much more useful than a binary classification model that simply predicts the presence or absence of faults. A small number of severity-based fault prediction models have been proposed, but no classifier using deep learning techniques has been proposed. In this paper, we construct MLP models with 3 or 5 hidden layers, and they have a structure with a fixed or variable number of hidden layer nodes. As a result of the model evaluation experiment, MLP-based deep learning models shows significantly better performance in both Accuracy and AUC than MLPs, which showed the best performance among models that did not use deep learning. In particular, the model structure with 3 hidden layers, 32 batch size, and 64 nodes shows the best performance.

A Study on Forecasting Traffic Safety Level by Traffic Accident Merging Index of Local Government (교통사고통합지수를 이용한 차년도 지방자치단체 교통안전수준 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Rim, Cheoulwoong;Cho, Jeongkwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2012
  • Traffic Accident Merging Index(TAMI) is developed for TMACS(Traffic Safety Information Management Complex System). TAMI is calculated by combining 'Severity Index' and 'Frequency'. This paper suggest the accurate TAMI prediction model by time series forecasting. Preventing the traffic accident by accurately predicting it in advance can greatly improve road traffic safety. Searches the model which minimizes the error of 230 local self-governing groups. TAMI of 2007~2009 years data predicts TAMI of 2010. And TAMI of 2010 compares an actual index and a prediction index. And the error is minimized the constant where selects. Exponential Smoothing model was selected. And smoothing constant was decided with 0.59. TAMI Forecasting model provides traffic next year safety information of the local government.

The Effects of Road Geometry on the Injury Severity of Expressway Traffic Accident Depending on Weather Conditions (도로기하구조가 기상상태에 따라 고속도로 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Su Jin;Kho, Seung-Young;Park, Ho-Chul
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.12-28
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    • 2019
  • Road geometry is one of the many factors that cause crashes, but the effect on traffic accident depends on weather conditions even under the same road geometry. This study identifies the variables affecting the crash severity by matching the highway accident data and weather data for 14 years from 2001 to 2014. A hierarchical ordered Logit model is used to reflect the effects of road geometry and weather condition interactions on crash severity, as well as the correlation between individual crashes in a region. Among the hierarchical models, we apply a random intercept model including interaction variables between road geometry and weather condition and a random coefficient model including regional weather characteristics as upper-level variables. As a result, it is confirmed that the effects of toll, ramp, downhill slope of 3% or more, and concrete barrier on the crash severity vary depending on weather conditions. It also shows that the combined effects of road geometry and weather conditions may not be linear depending on rainfall or snowfall levels. Finally, we suggest safety improvement measures based on the results of this study, which are expected to reduce the severity of traffic accidents in the future.

Severity-Adjusted LOS Model of AMI patients based on the Korean National Hospital Discharge in-depth Injury Survey Data (퇴원손상심층조사 자료를 기반으로 한 급성심근경색환자 재원일수의 중증도 보정 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Won-Joong;Kim, Sung-Soo;Kim, Eun-Ju;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.4910-4918
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to design a Severity-Adjusted LOS(Length of Stay) Model in order to efficiently manage LOS of AMI(Acute Myocardial Infarction) patients. We designed a Severity-Adjusted LOS Model with using data-mining methods(multiple regression analysis, decision trees, and neural network) which covered 6,074 AMI patients who showed the diagnosis of I21 from 2004-2009 Korean National Hospital Discharge in-depth Injury Survey. A decision tree model was chosen for the final model that produced superior results. This study discovered that the execution of CABG, status at discharge(alive or dead), comorbidity index, etc. were major factors affecting a Sevirity-Adjustment of LOS of AMI patients. The difference between real LOS and adjusted LOS resulted from hospital location and bed size. The efficient management of LOS of AMI patients requires that we need to perform various activities after identifying differentiating factors. These factors can be specified by applying each hospital's data into this newly designed Severity-Adjusted LOS Model.

Structural Equation Model for Caregiving Experience of Families Providing Care for Family Members with Mental Disorders (정신질환자 가족의 돌봄경험 구조모형)

  • Oh, In Ohg;Kim, Sunah
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was done to develop and test a structural model for caregiving experience including caregiving satisfaction and caregiving strain in families providing care for family members with a mental disorder. Methods: The Stress-appraisal-coping model was used as the conceptual framework and the structural equation model to confirm the path that explains what and how variables affect caregiving experience in these families. In this hypothesis model, exogenous variables were optimism, severity of illness and uncertainty. The endogenous variables were self efficacy, social support, caregiving satisfaction and caregiving strain. Data were collected using structured questionnaires. Results: Optimism and caregiving self-efficacy had significant direct and indirect effects on caregiving satisfaction. Optimism, severity of illness and uncertainty had significant direct and indirect effects on caregiving strain. The modified path model explained effects of optimism on caregiving self-efficacy with social support in the path structure as a mediator. Also, there were direct and indirect effects of optimism and uncertainty on caregiving satisfaction with social support and caregiving self-efficacy in the path structure as a mediators. Conclusion: Results suggest the need to improve caregiving self-efficacy of these families, establish support systems such as a mental health professional support programs for caregiving self-efficacy. Optimism, severity of illness and uncertainty perceived by families need to be considered in the development of support programs in order to increase their effectiveness.

Structural Equation Modeling for Quality of Life of Mothers of Children with Developmental Disabilities: Focusing on the Self-Help Model (발달장애아 어머니 삶의 질 구조모형: Self-Help Model을 중심으로)

  • Yang, Mi Ran;Yu, Mi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.308-323
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aimed to construct and test a predictive model for the quality of life (QOL) in mothers of children with developmental disabilities (DB). The hypothesized model included severity of illness, distress, uncertainty, self-help, and parenting efficacy as influencing factors, QOL as a consequence based on the Braden's Self-Help Model. Methods: The data were collected through a direct and online surveys from 206 mothers in 8 locations, including welfare or daycare centers, developmental treatment centers, and The Parents' Coalition for the Disabled located in two provinces of Korea. Data were analysed using SPSS/WIN 23.0 and AMOS 21.0 program. Results: The fit indices of the predictive model satisfied recommended levels; 𝛘2 = 165.79 (p < .001), normed 𝛘2 (𝛘2/df) = 2.44, RMR = .04, RMSEA = .08, GFI = .90, AGFI = .85, NFI = .91, TLI = .93, CFI = .95. Among the variables, distress (β = - .46, p < .001), parenting efficacy (β = .22, p < .001), and self-help (β = .17, p = .018) had direct effects on QOL. Severity of illness (β = - .61, p = .010) and uncertainty (β = - .08, p = .014) showed indirect effects. The explanatory power of variables was 61.0%. Conclusion: The study results confirm the utility of Braden's Self-Help Model. They provide a theoretical basis for improving QOL in mothers of children with DB. Nursing intervention strategies that can relieve mothers' distress and uncertainty related to disease and enhance parenting efficacy and self-help behavior should be considered.

Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity (고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Jeung, Woo Dong;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2012
  • This study focused on estimating influential factors of traffic accidents and analyzing traffic accident severity of elderly and non elderly using traffic accident data. In order to reclassify elderly and non elderly traffic accident by a statistical method from entire traffic accident data, multiple discriminant analysis was applied. Also ordered logit model was applied for analyzing traffic accident severities using traffic accident severities as an independent variable and transportation facilities, road conditions and human characteristics as dependent variables. As results of the comparison between elderly and non elderly traffic accident, the traffic accident severity was affected by the age, types of traffic accidents, human characteristics and road conditions as well. Also, transportation facilities and road conditions affected to more elderly traffic accident than non elderly. Therefore, traffic accident severity would be decreased with the improvement of transportation facilities and road conditions for the elderly.

njury Severity Analysis of Cyclists in Two Wheeler to Taxi Crashes: An Application of Vehicle Black Box Data in Incheon, Korea (차량 블랙박스 자료를 활용한 택시-이륜차 사고에서의 이륜차 이용자 사고 심각도 분석)

  • Kim, Seonjung;Chung, Younshik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.917-923
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    • 2018
  • In recent, technological advancement including a vehicle black box (VBB) has led to reducing such underreporting issues and errors of crash data. The objective of this study is to analyze the injury severity of cyclists on taxi-to-two wheeler crashes based on the accurate crash data collected from the VBB in taxi. This study defined the two wheelers as bicycle and motorcycle. To perform this study, we used the VBB data collected from taxis operating in Incheon, South Korea for a two-year period (2010-2011). An ordered probit model was applied to analyze the injury severity in crashes. As a result, new injury severity factors were found: increase of the crash speed of taxi, damage of crash-involved vehicles (i.e., taxi and/or two wheeler), not standing of cyclists after crash, and second or third impact of cyclists after first crash.