• 제목/요약/키워드: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA)

검색결과 20건 처리시간 0.024초

기계학습모델을 통한 응급실 폐렴환자의 사망예측 모델과 기존 예측 모델의 비교 (Predicting the mortality of pneumonia patients visiting the emergency department through machine learning)

  • 배열;문형기;김수현
    • 대한응급의학회지
    • /
    • 제29권5호
    • /
    • pp.455-464
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective: Machine learning is not yet widely used in the medical field. Therefore, this study was conducted to compare the performance of preexisting severity prediction models and machine learning based models (random forest [RF], gradient boosting [GB]) for mortality prediction in pneumonia patients. Methods: We retrospectively collected data from patients who visited the emergency department of a tertiary training hospital in Seoul, Korea from January to March of 2015. The Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were calculated for both groups and the area under the curve (AUC) for mortality prediction was computed. For the RF and GB models, data were divided into a test set and a validation set by the random split method. The training set was learned in RF and GB models and the AUC was obtained from the validation set. The mean AUC was compared with the other two AUCs. Results: Of the 536 investigated patients, 395 were enrolled and 41 of them died. The AUC values of PSI and SOFA scores were 0.799 (0.737-0.862) and 0.865 (0.811-0.918), respectively. The mean AUC values obtained by the RF and GB models were 0.928 (0.899-0.957) and 0.919 (0.886-0.952), respectively. There were significant differences between preexisting severity prediction models and machine learning based models (P<0.001). Conclusion: Classification through machine learning may help predict the mortality of pneumonia patients visiting the emergency department.

Risk factors for progressing to critical illness in patients with hospital-acquired COVID-19

  • Kyung-Eui Lee;Jinwoo Lee;Sang-Min Lee;Hong Yeul Lee
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
    • /
    • 제39권3호
    • /
    • pp.477-487
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background/Aims: Risk factors for progression to critical illness in hospital-acquired coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remain unknown. Here, we assessed the incidence and risk factors for progression to critical illness and determined their effects on clinical outcomes in patients with hospital-acquired COVID-19. Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed patients admitted to the tertiary hospital between January 2020 and June 2022 with confirmed hospital-acquired COVID-19. The primary outcome was the progression to critical illness of hospital-acquired COVID-19. Patients were stratified into high-, intermediate-, or low-risk groups by the number of risk factors for progression to critical illness. Results: In total, 204 patients were included and 37 (18.1%) progressed to critical illness. In the multivariable logistic analysis, patients with preexisting respiratory disease (OR, 3.90; 95% CI, 1.04-15.18), preexisting cardiovascular disease (OR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.11-11.27), immunocompromised status (OR, 3.18; 95% CI, 1.11-9.16), higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.28-1.96), and higher clinical frailty scale (OR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.62-4.13) showed significantly increased risk of progression to critical illness. As the risk of the groups increased, patients were significantly more likely to progress to critical illness and had higher 28-day mortality. Conclusions: Among patients with hospital-acquired COVID-19, preexisting respiratory disease, preexisting cardiovascular disease, immunocompromised status, and higher clinical frailty scale and SOFA scores at baseline were risk factors for progression to critical illness. Patients with these risk factors must be prioritized and appropriately isolated or treated in a timely manner, especially in pandemic settings.

소아 중환자실에 입실한 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자의 예후 및 위험인자 (Outcome and risk factors of pediatric hemato-oncology patients admitted in pediatric intensive care unit)

  • 김보은;하은주;배근욱;김성국;임호준;서종진;박성종
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
    • /
    • 제52권10호
    • /
    • pp.1153-1160
    • /
    • 2009
  • 목 적:최근 다양한 치료 방법의 발전과 지지요법의 발달로, 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자의 생존율이 향상되었으나, 적극적이고 다양한 치료를 하게 되면서 이와 관련된 여러 합병증으로 소아 중환자실에 입실하는 경우 또한 많아졌다. 이에 본 연구에서는 소아 중환자실에 입실한 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자의 임상양상과 사망률을 살펴보고, 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자에게 적합한 중증도 측정 체계와 사망률에 영향을 미치는 위험 요인에 대해 알아보고자 했다. 방 법:2005년 9월부터 2008년 7월까지 서울아산병원 소아 중환자실에 입실한 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자 중 3일 이상 재실한 환자를 대상으로 후향적으로 의무기록을 조사했다. 생존군과 비생존군으로 나누어 나이, 성별, 재실 일수에 대하여 조사했고, 기저 질환과 중환자실 입원 이유, 인공호흡기 적용 여부, 투석 및 승압제 투여 여부, CRP 및 ANC에 따른 사망률을 알아보았다. 또, 생존군과 비생존군의 OSF number, SOFA score, PRISM III score, O-PRISM score를 비교하고, 점수에 따른 사망률을 알아보았다. 결 과:총 88예 중 30예가 사망하여 사망률은 34.1%이었다. 남아가 49예, 여아가 39예이었고, 평균 나이는 $7.0{\pm}5.7$세, 평균 재원일수는 $18.1{\pm}22.2$일로 이었다. 기저 질환은 혈액 질환이 68예(77.3%)로 가장 많았으며, 중환자실 입실 이유는 호흡기능 부전이 35예(39.8%)로 가장 많았고, 패혈쇼크가 19예(21.6%)이었다. CRP는 생존군에서 $9.1{\pm}9.0$, 비생존군에서 $16.4{\pm}11.2$로, 비생존군에서 유의하게 높았고(P<0.01), 비생존군에서 인공호흡기 치료나 투석이 필요했던 경우가 많았으며(P<0.01), 조혈모세포 이식을 받은 군의 사망률이 유의하게 높았다(P<0.05). 중증도 측정 체계 중에서는 initial OSF number, highest OSF number, SOFA score, PRISM III score가 비생존군에서 의미있는 증가를 보였고(P<0.01), 이들을 수용자 작업특성곡선을 사용하여 비교하였을 때, highest OSF number가 곡선하면적 0.845로 가장 높았고, 중환자실 입실 24시간 이내에 측정한 PRSIM III score와 SOFA score의 곡선하면적이 각각 0.723, 0.751로 유의한 결과를 보였다. 총 21예에서 조혈모세포 이식을 받았으며 이들의 O-PRISM score는 비생존군에서 높은 경향을 보였으나, 통계적으로 유의하지는 않았다. 결 론: 본 연구에서 소아 중환자실 입실한 소아 종양/혈액 질환 환자 사망의 위험인자로는 CRP, 인공호흡기 치료, 투석, 조혈모세포 이식이 있었으며, 예후 예측지표로는 highest OSF number, PRISIM III score, SOFA score가 의미 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

스테로이드를 투여한 후기 급성호흡곤란증후군 환자에서 시간경과에 따른 생리학적 지표의 변화 (The Changes of Physiologic Parameters with Time in Steroid treated-Late Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Patients)

  • 전익수;서지영;고원중;편유장;강은해;함형석;위미숙;정만표;김호중;권오정
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • 제54권4호
    • /
    • pp.429-438
    • /
    • 2003
  • 배 경 : 후기 ARDS로 스테로이드를 투여 받은 환자들에서 어느 시점까지의 반응의 유무가 기계환기에서의 이탈 여부를 예측할 수 있는지 시간경과에 따른 생리학적 지표의 변화를 기준으로 살펴보았다. 방 법 : 1999년 12월부터 2002년 7월까지 내과계 중환자실에서 ARDS로 7일 이상 기계환기치료를 받은 후에도 심한 저산소증($PaO_2/FIO_2$ ratio<200)이 지속되어 스테로이드 치료를 시행하였던 28명(남 : 여 24 : 4, 중앙연령 64세)을 대상으로 후향적 연구를 시행하였다. 스테로이드는 Meduri 등의 방법을 사용하여 투여하였다. 스테로이드 투여 후 기계환기에서 이탈이 가능하였던 환자들을 이탈군(n=14)으로, 기계환기 중 사망하였거나 이탈에 실패했던 환자들을 실패군(n=14)으로 나누어 기저특성과 기계환기 시작일(Dmv), 스테로이드 투여 3일전(D-3), 투여 당일(D0), 그리고 투여 후 3일(D3), 7일(D7)의 생리학적 지표들을 비교하였다. 결 과 : 이탈군과 실패군 사이의 기저특성상의 유의한 차이는 발견되지 않았으며 Dmv과 D-3에 두 군간에 생리학적 지표들의 차이는 없었다(p>0.05). D0에는 이탈군의 다장기부전 점수(SOFA score)가 6.6+/-2.5로 실패군의 8.8+/-2.9보다 유의하게 낮았다(p<0.05). 투여 D7에는 폐유순도를 제외한 대부분의 지표들이 두 군간 유의한 차이를 보였으며(p<0.05), 이탈군에서는 D0에 비해 생리학적 지표들이 유의한 호전이 있었던 반면에 실패군에서는 유의한 호전이 관찰되지 않았다. 결 론 : 결론적으로 후기 ARDS에서 스테로이드 투여 후 7일까지 생리학적 지표의 호전을 보이지 않는 경우 스테로이드 치료 지속 여부를 신중히 고려해야 할 것으로 생각한다.

내과 중환자실 환자의 혈당조절 프로토콜 적용 및 효과 (Application and Effects of a Blood Glucose Control Protocol for Medical Intensive Care Unit Patients)

  • 김은성;최스미;김영삼
    • 중환자간호학회지
    • /
    • 제7권2호
    • /
    • pp.45-57
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of a blood glucose control protocol for medical intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Methods: The subjects were recruited from medical ICU adult patients whose blood glucose levels exceeded 200 mg/dL in two consecutive tests. The experimental group (n=62) received the modified Yale (MY) insulin protocol, whereas the control group (n=64) was treated with the conventional insulin therapy methods. Results: In the experimental group, the mean blood glucose levels (p<.001) and the time to reach the target range of glucose (p<.001) decreased significantly while the incidence rates of a target range of glucose of 100-140 mg/dL (p<.001) increased significantly as compared to the control group. However, no statistically significant differences were found in the incidence of hypoglycemia(p=.644), or the number of glucose tests (p=.236) between the groups. The length of stays in the ICU (p=.001), ventilator care days (p=.038), and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (p=.029) in the experimental group were significantly lower than those of the control group. Conclusion: Application of the protocol was effective in improving the state of blood glucose control in medical ICU patients. Therefore, this protocol is expected to be used as a part of nursing intervention in critical care nursing.

  • PDF

주요 수면유도제인 독실라민과 디펜히드라민의 급성 중독 비교 (Comparative Analysis of Overdose with Common Sleep-aid Medications - Doxylamine vs Diphenhydramine -)

  • 류현식;이미진;박성수;정원준;김현진
    • 대한임상독성학회지
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2010
  • Purpose: The previous studies on $H_1$ antihistamine overdose have generally been limited to cases of acute doxylamine succinate (DS) poisoning, yet there have been some studies on diphenhydramine (DPH) overdosing. But many clinicians consider the two drugs to be very similar and to have similar ingredients. The purpose of this study was to clarify the toxicologic characteristics and clinical outcomes between DS and DPH poisoning/overdose. Methods: We reviewed the medical and intensive care records of the patients with acute DS or DPH poisoning and who admitted to our emergency department from January 2008 and April 2010. We collected patient information regarding the features of the poisoning and the clinical and demographic characteristics. The patients were assessed for the clinical outcomes, the GCS, the PSS (Poisoning Severity Score) and the SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment). Results: Fifty seven patients (45 cases of DS poisoning and 12 cases of DPH poisoning) were enrolled. Compared with the DS group, the DPH group had higher incidences of intubation, serious mental change, QTc prolongation and ECG conduction abnormality (p=0.041, <0.001, 0.014 and 0.044, respectively). The DPH group had a higher PSS and a longer ICU stay. The peak CPK time and the CPK normalization time were longer for the patients with rhabdomyolysis due to DS poisoning. Conclusion: Two common $H_1$ antihistamines, doxylamine and diphenhydramine, are in the same ethanolamine-structural class, but the toxico-clinical outcomes are different according to many aspects. Therefore, clinicians could take a careful approach for the differential diagnosis and management between DS and DPH poisoning.

  • PDF

Prevalence and predictors of multidrug-resistant bacteremia in liver cirrhosis

  • Aryoung Kim;Byeong Geun Song;Wonseok Kang;Dong Hyun Sinn;Geum-Youn Gwak;Yong-Han Paik;Moon Seok Choi;Joon Hyeok Lee;Myung Ji Goh
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
    • /
    • 제39권3호
    • /
    • pp.448-457
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background/Aims: Improved knowledge of local epidemiology and predicting risk factors of multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria are required to optimize the management of infections. This study examined local epidemiology and antibiotic resistance patterns of liver cirrhosis (LC) patients and evaluated the predictors of MDR bacteremia in Korea. Methods: This was a retrospective study including 140 LC patients diagnosed with bacteremia between January 2017 and December 2022. Local epidemiology and antibiotic resistance patterns and the determinants of MDR bacteremia were analyzed using logistic regression analysis. Results: The most frequently isolated bacteria, from the bloodstream, were Escherichia coli (n = 45, 31.7%) and Klebsiella spp. (n = 35, 24.6%). Thirty-four isolates (23.9%) were MDR, and extended-spectrum beta-lactamase E. coli (52.9%) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (17.6%) were the most commonly isolated MDR bacteria. When Enterococcus spp. were cultured, the majority were MDR (MDR 83.3% vs. 16.7%, p = 0.003), particularly vancomycin-susceptible Enterococcus faecium. Antibiotics administration within 30 days and/or nosocomial infection was a significant predictor of MDR bacteremia (OR: 3.40, 95% CI: 1.24-9.27, p = 0.02). MDR bacteremia was not predicted by sepsis predictors, such as positive systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA). Conclusions: More than 70% of strains that can be treated with a third-generation cephalosporin have been cultured. In cirrhotic patients, antibiotic administration within 30 days and/or nosocomial infection are predictors of MDR bacteremia; therefore, empirical administration of broad-spectrum antibiotics should be considered when these risk factors are present.

Association between Age-Adjusted Endothelial Activation and Stress Index and Intensive Care Unit Mortality in Patients with Severe COVID-19

  • Jong Hwan Jeong;Manbong Heo;Sunghoon Park;Su Hwan Lee;Onyu Park;Taehwa Kim;Hye Ju Yeo;Jin Ho Jang;Woo Hyun Cho;Jung-Wan Yoo;Korean Intensive Care Study Group
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • 제87권4호
    • /
    • pp.524-531
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background: Endothelial activation and stress index (EASIX) reflects endothelial dysfunction or damage. Because endothelial dysfunction is one of the key mechanisms, a few studies have shown the clinical usefulness of original and age-adjusted EASIX (age-EASIX) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to evaluate the clinical utility of age-EASIX in predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19 in South Korea. Methods: Secondary analysis was performed using clinical data retrospectively collected from 22 nationwide hospitals in South Korea between January 1, 2020, and August 31, 2021. Patients were at least 19 years old and admitted to the ICU for severe COVID-19, demanding at least high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy. EASIX [lactate dehydrogenase (U/L)×creatinine (mg/dL)/platelet count (109 cells/L)] and age-EASIX (EASIX×age) were calculated and log2-transformed. Results: The mean age of 908 critically ill patients with COVID-19 was 67.4 years with 59.7% male sex. The mean log2 age-EASIX was 7.38±1.45. Non-survivors (n=222, 24.4%) in the ICU had a significantly higher log2 age-EASIX than of survivors (8.2±1.52 vs. 7.1±1.32, p<0.001). Log2 age-EASIX was significantly associated with ICU mortality (odds ratio, 1.541; 95% confidence interval, 1.322 to 1.796; p<0.001) and had a better area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in predicting ICU mortality (0.730 vs. 0.660, p=0.001). Conclusion: Age-EASIX is significantly associated with ICU mortality and has better discriminatory ability than the SOFA score in predicting ICU mortality.

Critically Ill Patients with Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009 at a Medical Center in Korea

  • Choi, Eun-Young;Huh, Jin-Won;Lim, Chae-Man;Koh, Youn-Suck;Kim, Sung-Han;Choi, Sang-Ho;Kim, Won-Young;Kim, Won;Kim, Mi-Na;Hong, Sang-Bum
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • 제70권1호
    • /
    • pp.28-35
    • /
    • 2011
  • Background: The aim of the study was to describe the characteristics, treatments, and outcomes of critically ill patients with pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009 at a major medical center in Korea. Methods: This retrospective observational study examined critically ill adult patients with pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009, who were admitted to the AMC between August and December 2009. Results: 27 patients with confirmed pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009 were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at the Asan Medical Center (AMC). The median age (IQR) was 59 years (41~67), and 66.7% of the patients were older than 51 years. A total of 81.5% of the patients had 2 or more co-morbidities. The median time (IQR) from symptom onset to presentation was 2 days (1~4), and the median time from presentation to ICU admission was 0 days (0~1.5). All patients received oseltamivir (300 mg/day) and 13 patients received triple combination therapy (oseltamivir, amantadine, ribavirin). Twelve patients required mechanical ventilation on the first day of ICU admission. A total of 6 patients (22.2%) died within 28 days of admission. The patients who died had significantly higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores at presentation. There were no significant differences in age, co-morbidities, or antiviral regimens between survivors and non-survivors. Conclusion: Critical illness related to pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009 was common in elderly patients with chronic co-morbidities. All patients were given high-dose oseltamivir or triple combination antiviral therapy. Nonetheless, patients with critical illnesses associated with pandemic Influenza A/H1N1 2009 had a death rate of 22.2%.

비 순환기계 중환자의 예후 인자로서의 Troponin-I, Lactate, C-reactive protein의 유용성 (Usefulness of Troponin-I, Lactate, C-reactive protein as a Prognostic Markers in Critically Ill Non-cardiac Patients)

  • 조유지;함현석;김휘종;김호철;이종덕;황영실
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • /
    • 제58권6호
    • /
    • pp.562-569
    • /
    • 2005
  • 배 경 : 중환자에서 질환의 중증도 평가체계는 예후를 평가하는데 유용한 것으로 알려져 있다. 하지만 이들은 다소 복잡하고 비용-효과 면이 있어 보다 손쉽게 예후를 예측할 수 있는 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 등과 같은 생화적 지표에 대한 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 본 연구는 비 순환기계 중환자에서 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치가 예후 인자로서 유용한지를 알아보고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법 : 2003년 9월부터 2004년 6월까지 경상대학교 병원 내과계 중환자실에 비 순환기계 질환으로 입원한 환자 139명(63.3{\pm}14.7세, 남:여=88:31)을 대상으로 하였다. 중환자실 입원 24시간내 APACHE II, SAPS II와 SOFA 점수를 이용해 질환의 중증도와 다장기부전의 정도를 평가하였고 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치를 측정하였다. 중환자 입원 후 재원 10일째와 30일째 생존군과 비 생존군의 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치를 서로 비교하였고 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치가 정상인 군과 비정상인 군간의 재원 10일째 및 30일째 사망률을 비교하였다. 또한 각 지표와 중증도 평가체계인 SAPS II와 SOFA 점수와의 상관 관계를 조사하였다 결 과 : 재원 10일째 비생존군의 입원 당시 측정한 troponin-I와 CRP 수치는 각각 $4.208{\pm}10.23ng/ml$, $137.69 {\pm}70.18mg/L$로 생존군의 $1.018{\pm}2.58ng/ml$, $98.48{\pm}69.24mg/L$에 비해 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 재원 30일째 비생존군의 입원 당시 측정한 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치는 각각 $3.36{\pm}8.74ng/ml$, $15.42{\pm}20.57ng/dl$, $131.28{\pm}71.23mg/L$로 생존군의 $0.99{\pm}2.66ng/ml$, $8.02{\pm}9.54ng/dl$, $96.87{\pm}68.83mg/L$에 비해 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 입원 당시 측정한 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치가 비정상인 군의 재원 10일 사망률은 각각 28.1%, 31.6%, 18.9%로 정상군의 사망률 11.0%, 15.8 %, 0%에 비해 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 입원 당시 측정한 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치가 비정상인 군의 재원 30일 사망률은 각각 38.6%, 47.4%, 25.8%로 정상군의 사망률 15.9%, 21.7%, 14.3%에 비해 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 입원 당시 측정한 troponin-I와 lactate는 SAPS II 점수와 유의한 상관관계가 있었다($r^2=0.254$, $r^2=0.365$, (p<0.05). 결 론 : 입원 당시에 측정한 troponin-I, lactate, CRP 수치는 비 순환기계 중환자의 예후를 예측하는 데 도움이 될 것으로 생각된다.