• 한국지진공학회논문집
• /
• 제22권4호
• /
• pp.245-251
• /
• 2018

In this paper, we address some issues in existing seismic hazard closed-form equations and present a novel seismic hazard equation form to overcome these issues. The presented equation form is based on higher-order polynomials, which can well describe the seismic hazard information with relatively high non-linearity. The accuracy of the proposed form is illustrated not only in the seismic hazard data itself but also in estimating the annual probability of failure (APF) of the structural systems. For this purpose, the information on seismic hazard is used in representative areas of the United States (West : Los Angeles, Central : Memphis and Kansas, East : Charleston). Examples regarding the APF estimation are the analyses of existing platform structure and nuclear power plant problems. As a result of the numerical example analyses, it is confirmed that the higher-order-polynomial-based hazard form presented in this paper could predict the APF values of the two example structure systems as well as the given seismic hazard data relatively accurately compared with the existing closed-form hazard equations. Therefore, in the future, it is expected that we can derive a new improved APF function by combining the proposed hazard formula with the existing fragility equation.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제10권2호
• /
• pp.389-408
• /
• 2016

Recently, seismic hazard analysis has become a very significant issue. New systems and available data have been also developed that could help scientists to explain the earthquakes phenomena and its physics. Scientists have begun to accept the role of uncertainty in earthquake issues and seismic hazard analysis. However, handling the existing uncertainty is still an important problem and lack of data causes difficulties in precisely quantifying uncertainty. Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) values are usually obtained in a statistical method: regression analysis. Each of these GMPEs uses the preliminary data of the selected earthquake. In this paper, a new fuzzy method was proposed to select suitable GMPE at every intensity (earthquake magnitude) and distance (site distance to fault) according to preliminary data aggregation in their area using ${\alpha}$ cut. The results showed that the use of this method as a GMPE could make a significant difference in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) results instead of selecting one equation or using logic tree. Also, a practical example of this new method was described in Iran as one of the world's earthquake-prone areas.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제41권10호
• /
• pp.1223-1234
• /
• 2009

The outlines of seismic PSA implementation standards and seismic hazard evaluation procedure were shown. An overview of the cause investigation of seismic motion amplification on the Niigata-ken Chuetsu-oki (NCO) earthquake was also shown. Then, the contents for improving the seismic hazard evaluation methodology based on the lessons learned from the NCO earthquake were described. (1) It is very important to recognize the effectiveness of a fault model on the detail seismic hazard evaluation for the near seismic source through the cause investigation of the NCO earthquake. (2) In order to perform and proceed with a seismic hazard evaluation, the Japan Nuclear Energy Safety Organization has proposed the framework of the open deliberation rule regarding the treatment of uncertainty which was made so as to be able to utilize a logic tree. (3) The b-value evaluation on the "Stress concentrating zone," which is a high seismic activity around the NCO hypocenter area, should be modified based on the Gutenberg-Richter equation.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제49권2호
• /
• pp.373-379
• /
• 2017

Seismic probabilistic safety assessments are used to help understand the impact potential seismic events can have on the operation of a nuclear power plant. An important component to seismic probabilistic safety assessment is the seismic hazard curve which shows the frequency of seismic events. However, these hazard curves are estimated assuming a normal distribution of the seismic events. This may not be a strong assumption given the number of recorded events at each source-to-site distance. The use of a normal distribution makes the calculations significantly easier but may underestimate or overestimate the more rare events, which is of concern to nuclear power plants. This paper shows a preliminary exploration into the effect of using a distribution that perhaps more represents the distribution of events, such as the t-distribution to describe data. The integration of a probability distribution with potentially larger tails basically pushes the hazard curves outward, suggesting a different range of frequencies for use in seismic probabilistic safety assessments. Therefore the use of a more realistic distribution results in an increase in the frequency calculations suggesting rare events are less rare than thought in terms of seismic probabilistic safety assessment. However, the opposite was observed with the ground motion prediction equation considered.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
• /
• 제17권2호
• /
• pp.71-77
• /
• 2013

The uniform hazard spectra for seven major cities in Korea, Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Busan, Gwangju, Ulsan, and Inchon are suggested. Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed using the attenuation equations derived from seismology research in Korea since 2000 and the seismotectonic models selected by expert assessment. For the estimation of the uniform hazard spectra, the seismic hazard curves for several frequencies and PGAs were calculated by using the spectral attenuation equations. The seismic hazards (annual exceedance probability) calculated for the 7 metropolises ranged from about $1.4305{\times}0^{-4}/yr$ to $1.7523{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ and averaged out at about $1.5902{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ with a log standard deviation of about 0.085 at 0.2 g. The uniform hazard spectra with recurrence intervals of 500, 1000, and 2500 years estimated by using the calculated mean seismic hazard on the frequencies presented peak values at 10.0 Hz, and the log standard deviations of the difference between metropolises ranged from about 0.013 to 0.209. In view of the insignificant difference between the estimated uniform hazard spectra obtained for the considered metropolises, the mean uniform hazard spectrum was estimated. This mean uniform hazard spectrum is expected to be used as input seismic response spectrum for rock sites in Korea.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.141-157
• /
• 2014

The Conditional Mean Spectrum represents a powerful link between the seismic hazard information and the selection of strong ground motion records at a particular site. The scope of the paper is to apply for the city of Bucharest for the first time the method to obtain the Conditional Mean Spectrum (CMS) presented by Baker (2011) and to select, on the basis of the CMS, a suite of strong ground motions for performing elastic and inelastic dynamic analyses of buildings and structures with fundamental periods of vibration in the vicinity of 1.0 s. The major seismic hazard for Bucharest and for most of Southern and Eastern Romania is dominated by the Vrancea subcrustal seismic source. The ground motion prediction equation developed for subduction-type earthquakes and soil conditions by Youngs et al. (1997) is used for the computation of the Uniform Hazard Spectrum (UHS) and the CMS. The disaggregation of seismic hazard is then performed in order to determine the mean causal values of magnitude and source-to-site distance for a particular spectral ordinate (for a spectral period T = 1.0 s in this study). The spectral period of 1.0 s is considered to be representative for the new stock of residential and office reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in Bucharest. The differences between the Uniform Hazard Spectrum (UHS) and the Conditional Mean Spectrum (CMS) are discussed taking into account the scarcity of ground motions recorded in the region of Bucharest and the frequency content characteristics of the recorded data. Moreover, a record selection based on the criteria proposed by Baker and Cornell (2006) and Baker (2011) is performed using a dataset consisting of strong ground motions recorded during seven Vrancea seismic events.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
• /
• 제31권1호
• /
• pp.26-35
• /
• 2017

미국 노스리지 지진(1994)과 일본 고베지진(1995) 발생 이후 다양한 구조물 및 건축물을 설계 할 때 성능기반 내진설계 개념을 적용하고 있다. 최근 국내 소방시설물에 대해서도 내진설계기준이 제정되어 내진설계 규정에 따라 적합하게 설계되어야 한다. 성능기반 설계가 도입되면서 구조물 중요도에 따라 기능수행, 즉시복구, 인명보호, 붕괴방지 등 각각의 성능에 적합한 연발생빈도의 등재해도 스펙트럼이 요구되고 있다. 확률론적 방법을 적용하여 국내 주요 5개 도시에 대해 등재해도 스펙트럼(uniform hazard spectrum)을 분석하였다. 지진 및 지체구조 관련된 전문가 패널은 10인이며 전문가 패널이 제시한 다수의 지진지체구조구 모델 및 다양한 지진동 감쇠식을 적용하였다. 분석대상 진동수는 (0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 5.0, 10.0) Hz이고 또한 PGA(최대지반가속도) 결과를 이용하여 500년, 1,000년 및 2,500년 등 3개 주요 성능기준에 해당하는 재현주기에 대해 등재해도 스펙트럼을 분석하였다. 민감도 분석에 의하면 지진지체구조 구 모델 변수보다 지반진동 감쇠식 변수가 지진재해도에 보다 큰 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 일반적으로 등재해도 스펙트럼은 10 Hz에서 최대 지진재해도를 보여 주었고, 기존 연구 및 관련 기술기준에 제시된 등재해도 스펙트럼의 수준 및 모양 특성과 대단히 유사하였다.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
• /
• 제24권6호
• /
• pp.277-283
• /
• 2020

In order to improve the ground-motion prediction equation, which is an important factor in seismic hazard assessment, it is essential to obtain good quality seismic data for a region. The Korean Peninsula has an environment in which it is difficult to obtain strong ground motion data. However, because digital seismic observation networks have become denser since the mid-2000s and moderate earthquake events such as the Odaesan earthquake (Jan. 20, 2007, M_L 4.8), the 9.12 Gyeongju earthquake (Sep. 12, 2016, M_L 5.8), and the Pohang earthquake (Nov. 15, 2017, M_L 5.4) have occurred, some good empirical data on ground motion could have been accumulated. In this study, we tried to build a ground motion database that can be used for the development of the ground motion attenuation equation by collecting seismic data accumulated since the 2000s. The database was constructed in the form of a flat file with RotD50 peak ground acceleration, 5% damped pseudo-spectral acceleration, and meta information related to hypocenter, path, site, and data processing. The seismic data used were the velocity and accelerogram data for events over M_L 3.0 observed between 2003 and 2019 by the Korean National Seismic Network administered by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The final flat file contains 10,795 ground motion data items for 141 events. Although this study focuses mainly on organizing earthquake ground-motion waveforms and their data processing, it is thought that the study will contribute to reducing uncertainty in evaluating seismic hazard in the Korean Peninsula if detailed information about epicenters and stations is supplemented in the future.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
• /
• pp.89-96
• /
• 2000

Landslide damage comprise most part of the damages from the earthquake and it only causes the damage to lives and structures directly but also cease the operation of social system by road or lifeline failure. For these reasons hazard assesment on the landslides has been recognized very important. And hazard maps have been used to visualize the hazard of the landslide. In this study as first step for application of hazard map to domestic cases hazard maps are made for the Ul-Joo Ul-san Korea, Where the Yan-san faults are located. For building hazard maps the degree of hazard are evaluated based on Newmark displacement and the resulting maps are constructed by GIS technique. In hazard assesment maximum ground acceleration obtained from attenuation equation of wave propagation and design earthquake acceleration suggested by Ministry of construction are used for acceleration term. Hazard maps are made by GIS programs Arc/Info and Arc/View based on the digital maps and data from lab tests and elastic wave surveys The maps show the possible landslide regions significantly and the displacements of slide are proportional to the slope angles.

• 한국지구과학회지
• /
• 제37권3호
• /
• pp.162-172
• /
• 2016

최근 미국 노스리지 지진(1994)과 일본 고베 지진(1995) 발생 이후 다양한 구조물 및 건축물을 설계할 때 성능 기반 설계 개념이 적극적으로 도입되고 있다. 성능기반 설계가 도입되면서 구조물 각각의 성능에 적합한 연발생빈도의 등재해도 스펙트럼이 요구되고 있다. 10 인의 지진 및 지체구조 전문가가 제시한 국내 및 미국 중동부에서 개발된 스펙트럴 지반진동 감쇠식과 다수의 지진지체구조구 모델을 사용하였다. 인구 밀도가 높은 5개 주요 도시에 대해 확률론적 방법을 이용하여 등지진재해도 스펙트럼을 분석하였다. 0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 5.0, 10.0 Hz 및 PGA에 대해 확률론적 지진재해도 결과를 이용하여 500년, 1,000년 및 2,500년의 3개 재현주기에 대해 등재해도 스펙트럼을 분석하였다. 민감도 분석 결과 각각의 고유 진동수에 해당하는 지반진동 감쇠식이 지진지체구조구 모델에 비하여 지진재해도에 보다 커다란 영향을 주었다. 마지막으로 등재해도 스펙트럼은 공통적으로 10 Hz에서 최대값을 보여 주었고, 원자력 관련 기술기준 또는 기존 연구에서 제시된 등지진재해도 스펙트럼과 수준과 모앙 특성에서 유사성을 보여주었다.