• 제목/요약/키워드: Seismic failure probability

검색결과 135건 처리시간 0.023초

확률론적 지진위험도 분석을 위한 원전 격납건물의 비탄성에너지 흡수계수 평가 (Inelastic Energy Absorption Factor for the Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of NPP Containment Structure)

  • 최인길;서정문
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제5권5호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2001
  • 원전 격납건물은 내진 안정성을 확보하기 위해 설계단계에서 여유나 보수성을 부여하게 된다. 원전 구조물의 내진성능 평가는 이러한 여유나 보수성을 배제한 실질적인 성능 및 응답을 기준으로 평가하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 내진성능 평가에 고려되는 구조물의 성능 및 응답관련 계수들 중 그 기여도가 비교적 큰 비탄성 에너지 흡수계수의 산정방법에 대한 비교를 수행하였다. 또한 각종 방법에 따라 산정된 비탄성 에너지 흡수계수에 따른 HCLPF(high confidence of low probability of failure)값의 변화를 분석하였다. 연구결과 원전 격납건물의 비탄성 에너지 흡수계수는 1.5~1.75로 나타났다. 구조물의 내진성능을 명확히 평가하기 위해서는 먼저 구조물의 비선형 거동 및 연성도를 정확히 평가하여야 함을 알 수 있다.

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지진 및 기초의 세굴을 고려한 교량시스템의 동적거동분석 (Dynamic Behavior Analysis of Bridges under the Combined Effect of Earthquake and Scour)

  • 김상효;최성욱;이상우;김호상
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2002년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2002
  • Bridge dynamic behaviors and the failure of the foundation are examined in this study under seismic excitations including the local scour effect. The simplified mechanical model, which can consider the effect of various influence elements, is proposed to simulate the bridge motions. The scour depths around the foundations are estimated by the CSU equation recommended by the HEC-18 and the local scour effect upon global bridge motions is then considered by applying various foundation stiffness based upon the reduced embedded depths. From the simulation results, it is found that seismic responses of a bridge with the same scour depth for both foundations increase due to the local scour effect. The bridge scour is found to be significant under weak and moderate seismic intensity. The recovery durations of the foundation stiffness after local scour are found to be critical in the estimation of the probability of foundation failure under earthquakes. Therefore, the safety of the whole bridge system should be conducted with the consideration of the scour effect upon the foundations and the recovery duration of stiffness should be determined rationally.

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중저진 지역에서의 지진격리교량의 경제적 효율성에 관한 연구 (Cost Effectiveness of Bse-Isolation for Bridges in Low and Moderate Seismic Region)

  • 고현무
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 1999년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 1999
  • Minimum life-cycle cost helps to evaluate cost effectiveness of base-isolated bridges under specific condition. Life-cycle cost mainly consists of the initial construction cost and the expected damage cost. Damage cost estimation needs proper model of input ground motion failure probability evaluation method and limit states definition. We model the input ground motion as spectral density function compatible with the response spectra defined at each seismicity and site condition. Spectrum analysis and crossing theory is suitable for reseating calculation of failure probabilities in the process of cost minimization. Limit states of base-isolated bridges re defined for superstructure isolator and pier respectively The method is applied to both base-isolated bridges and conventional bridges under the same conditions to investigate cost effectiveness of base isolation in low and moderate seismic region. the results show that base-isolation of bridges are more effective in low and moderate seismic region and that the site effects on the economical efficiency may not be negligible in such a region.

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PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC ASSESSMENT OF BASE-ISOLATED NPPS SUBJECTED TO STRONG GROUND MOTIONS OF TOHOKU EARTHQUAKE

  • Ali, Ahmer;Hayah, Nadin Abu;Kim, Dookie;Cho, Ung Gook
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.699-706
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    • 2014
  • The probabilistic seismic performance of a standard Korean nuclear power plant (NPP) with an idealized isolation is investigated in the present work. A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) of the Wolsong site on the Korean peninsula is performed by considering peak ground acceleration (PGA) as an earthquake intensity measure. A procedure is reported on the categorization and selection of two sets of ground motions of the Tohoku earthquake, i.e. long-period and common as Set A and Set B respectively, for the nonlinear time history response analysis of the base-isolated NPP. Limit state values as multiples of the displacement responses of the NPP base isolation are considered for the fragility estimation. The seismic risk of the NPP is further assessed by incorporation of the rate of frequency exceedance and conditional failure probability curves. Furthermore, this framework attempts to show the unacceptable performance of the isolated NPP in terms of the probabilistic distribution and annual probability of limit states. The comparative results for long and common ground motions are discussed to contribute to the future safety of nuclear facilities against drastic events like Tohoku.

Response modification factor and seismic fragility assessment of skewed multi-span continuous concrete girder bridges

  • Khorraminejad, Amir;Sedaghati, Parshan;Foliente, Greg
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.389-403
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    • 2021
  • Skewed bridges, being irregular structures with complicated dynamic behavior, are more susceptible to earthquake damage. Reliable seismic-resistant design of skewed bridges can be achieved by accurate determination of nonlinear seismic demands. However, the effect of geometric characteristics on the response modification factor (R-factor) is not accounted for in bridge design practices. This study attempts to investigate the effects of changes in the number of spans, skew angle and bearing stiffness on R-factor values and to assess the seismic fragility of skewed bridges. Results indicated that changes in the skew angle had no significant effect on R-factor values which were in consonance with code-prescribed R values. Also, unlike the increase in the number of spans that resulted in a decrease in the R-factor, the increase in bearing stiffness led to higher R-factor values. Findings of the fragility analysis implied that although the increase in the number of spans, as well as the increase in the skew angle, led to a higher failure probability, greater values of bearing stiffness reduced the collapse probability. For practicing design engineers, it is recommended that maximum demands on substructure elements to be calculated when the excitation angle is applied along the principal axes of skewed bridges.

KDS 41 17 00에 따라 설계된 저층 필로티 건물의 지진 취약도 (Seismic Fragility of Low-rise Piloti Buildings Designed According to KDS 41 17 00)

  • 주창혁;김태완
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2022
  • The 2017 Pohang earthquake caused severe damage to low-rise piloti buildings. The damage was caused mainly by column shear failure, and some core walls were as well. The damaged piloti buildings in Pohang City could be relieved if they were designed correctly according to the standards at that time. However, the post-earthquake investigation revealed design, construction, and permission problems. To solve the problems, the Piloti Building Structure Design Guidelines that include strict specifications were published in 2018. Separately, KDS 41 17 00, the seismic design standard for buildings, was enacted in 2019 and it included the guideline contents. Therefore, at least after the publication of the guidelines, piloti buildings, designed by the standard and guidelines, can be expected to possess better seismic performance than existing piloti buildings. To confirm this, the probability of exceedance for several damage state thresholds was estimated for existing and designed piloti buildings. As a result, the probability of damage of designed piloti buildings was very low compared to existing ones. Consequently, it was confirmed that the guideline and standard adequately supplement the structural fragility of existing piloti buildings.

Seismic fragility assessment of shored mechanically stabilized earth walls

  • Sheida Ilbagitaher;Hamid Alielahi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.277-293
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    • 2024
  • Shored Mechanically Stabilized Earth (SMSE) walls are types of soil retaining structures that increase soil stability under static and dynamic loads. The damage caused by an earthquake can be determined by evaluating the probabilistic seismic response of SMSE walls. This study aimed to assess the seismic performance of SMSE walls and provide fragility curves for evaluating failure levels. The generated fragility curves can help to improve the seismic performance of these walls through assessing and controlling variables like backfill surface settlement, lateral deformation of facing, and permanent relocation of the wall. A parametric study was performed based on a non-linear elastoplastic constitutive model known as the hardening soil model with small-strain stiffness, HSsmall. The analyses were conducted using PLAXIS 2D, a Finite Element Method (FEM) program, under plane-strain conditions to study the effect of the number of geogrid layers and the axial stiffness of geogrids on the performance of SMSE walls. In this study, three areas of damage (minor, moderate, and severe) were observed and, in all cases, the wall has not completely entered the stage of destruction. For the base model (Model A), at the highest ground acceleration coefficient (1 g), in the moderate damage state, the fragility probability was 76%. These values were 62%, and 54%, respectively, by increasing the number of geogrids (Model B) and increasing the geogrid stiffness (Model C). Meanwhile, the fragility values were 99%, 98%, and 97%, respectively in the case of minor damage. Notably, the probability of complete destruction was zero percent in all models.

수동형 댐퍼를 장착한 구조물의 동적응답기반 신뢰성 해석 - 제1편: 부재별 파괴확률 산정 (Dynamic Response based Reliability Analysis of Structure with Passive Damper - Part 1: Assessment of Member Failure Probability)

  • 김승민;옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes a dynamic reliability analysis of control system as a method of quantitative evaluation of its performance in probabilistic terms. In this dynamic reliability analysis, the failure event is defined as an event that the dynamic response of the structural system exceeds a displacement limit, whereas the conventional reliability analysis method has limitations that do not properly assess the actual time history response of the structure subjected to dynamic loads, such as earthquakes and high winds, by taking the static response into account in the failure event. In this first paper, we discuss the control effect of the viscous damper on the seismic performance of the member-level failure where the failure event of the structural member consists of the union set of time-sequential member failures during the earthquake excitations and the failure probability of the earthquake-excited structural member is computed using system reliability approach to consider the statistical dependence of member failures between the subsequent time points. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed approach can present a reliable assessment of the control performance of the viscous damper system in comparison with MCS method. The most important advantage of the proposed approach can provide us more accurate estimate of failure probability of the structural control system by using the actual time-history responses obtained by dynamic response analysis.

강사장교의 지진응답특성 및 내진 안전성 평가 (The Earthquake Response Characteristics and Seismic Safety Evaluation of Steel Cable Stayed Bridges)

  • 한성호;신재철;최진우
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.435-454
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 내진 설계규정에서 고려하고 있지 않은 근거리지진의 특성을 규명하고, 사장교 구조물에 미치는 영향을 검토하고자 한다. 대표적인 근거리 및 원거리지진의 실측자료를 선정한 후, 탄성 및 비탄성응답스펙트럼을 작성하여 지진기록의 특성을 분석하였다. 세 가지 형식의 사장교 및 실제 사장교 구조물을 대상으로 지진특성에 따른 응답해석을 수행하여 주요부재에 대한 응답특성을 비교 분석하였다. 또한 지진응답해석 결과를 이용하여 신뢰성해석을 수행하였으며, 신뢰성지수 및 파괴확률을 검토함으로써 대상 사장교 구조물의 내진 안전성을 정량적으로 평가하였다. 응답스펙트럼, 지진응답해석 및 신뢰성해석 결과에 의하면 근거리지진이 사장교 응답에 대한 영향은 기존의 원거리지진과는 상이한 양상을 보이고 있으므로, 사장교 구조물 설계 시 중요한 인자로 고려해야 할 것을 제시하고자 한다.

A novel risk assessment approach for data center structures

  • Cicek, Kubilay;Sari, Ali
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.471-484
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    • 2020
  • Previous earthquakes show that, structural safety evaluations should include the evaluation of nonstructural components. Failure of nonstructural components can affect the operational capacity of critical facilities, such as hospitals and fire stations, which can cause an increase in number of deaths. Additionally, failure of nonstructural components may result in economic, architectural, and historical losses of community. Accelerations and random vibrations must be under the predefined limitations in structures with high technological equipment, data centers in this case. Failure of server equipment and anchored server racks are investigated in this study. A probabilistic study is completed for a low-rise rigid sample structure. The structure is investigated in two versions, (i) conventional fixed-based structure and (ii) with a base isolation system. Seismic hazard assessment is completed for the selected site. Monte Carlo simulations are generated with selected parameters. Uncertainties in both structural parameters and mechanical properties of isolation system are included in simulations. Anchorage failure and vibration failures are investigated. Different methods to generate fragility curves are used. The site-specific annual hazard curve is used to generate risk curves for two different structures. A risk matrix is proposed for the design of data centers. Results show that base isolation systems reduce the failure probability significantly in higher floors. It was also understood that, base isolation systems are highly sensitive to earthquake characteristics rather than variability in structural and mechanical properties, in terms of accelerations. Another outcome is that code-provided anchorage failure limitations are more vulnerable than the random vibration failure limitations of server equipment.